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赚钱有多难?
Hu Xiu· 2025-06-20 07:35
Group 1 - David Einhorn is a prominent figure in the financial world, known for his remarkable courage and success as a hedge fund manager and a "dragon slayer" who challenges corporate giants [3][4][20] - Einhorn founded Greenlight Capital in 1996 with a modest initial investment of $900,000, achieving an impressive annualized return of over 25% over the next decade [6][8][23] - His investment strategy combines value investing with short selling, allowing him to thrive in both bull and bear markets [9][11] Group 2 - Despite a strong long-term annualized return, many investors who entered at the wrong time faced significant losses, highlighting the paradox that high returns do not equate to high profits [24][26][50] - Greenlight Capital's assets under management peaked at approximately $12 billion in 2014, just before entering a challenging period for the firm [29][31] Group 3 - Einhorn's downfall over the past decade is attributed to a combination of macroeconomic changes, ineffective strategy, and poor risk management [52][90] - He identified three emerging forces in the market that undermined traditional value investing: passive index funds, quantitative trading, and retail speculation [56][58][59] Group 4 - In 2015, Greenlight Capital experienced a significant decline, with a 20.2% drop in net value, primarily due to poor performance in major holdings [63][66] - The firm faced substantial losses from concentrated positions in companies like SunEdison, Consol Energy, and Micron Technology, which saw stock price declines of 74%, 77%, and 59% respectively [66][67] Group 5 - Einhorn's long battle with Tesla, which he viewed as overvalued, resulted in significant losses for Greenlight Capital, particularly in 2018 when the firm lost 34% [71][76] - The market's shift towards narrative-driven investments left Einhorn's traditional valuation methods ineffective, leading to a prolonged struggle for the firm [86][88] Group 6 - The evolution of market dynamics post-2008, characterized by low interest rates and the rise of growth stocks, further complicated Einhorn's investment approach [88][90] - Einhorn's story serves as a cautionary tale about the challenges of investing, emphasizing the need for risk management and adaptability in changing market conditions [90][92]
【知识科普】散户可以使用场外期权做空吗?
Sou Hu Cai Jing· 2025-06-12 14:02
Group 1 - The core viewpoint of the article discusses whether retail investors can short-sell using over-the-counter (OTC) options, highlighting that while theoretically possible, practical barriers exist for retail participation [1][4]. Group 2 - OTC options are characterized by non-standardized contracts negotiated directly between parties, offering high flexibility but also high entry barriers primarily aimed at institutional investors [4][7]. - Retail investors can theoretically short-sell by buying put options or selling call options, but face significant practical limitations such as qualification requirements and high transaction costs [7][8]. Group 3 - Qualification requirements for retail investors include having a net asset of at least 50 million yuan and financial assets of at least 20 million yuan, along with three years of investment experience [8]. - Domestic regulations impose additional restrictions, with retail investors needing to meet the "532 criteria," while overseas platforms may offer OTC options but come with regulatory and currency risks [8]. Group 4 - Alternative methods for retail investors to short-sell include margin trading, index futures, standardized exchange options, and short-selling ETFs or funds, each with its own set of requirements and risks [8].
股市北上,商品南下,到底谁错了?
雪球· 2025-06-09 07:36
以下文章来源于思想钢印 ,作者思想钢印 思想钢印 . 雪球2020年度十大影响力用户,私募基金经理 风险提示:本文所提到的观点仅代表个人的意见,所涉及标的不作推荐,据此买卖,风险自负。 作者:思想钢印9999 来源:雪球 01 924后的 " 分手 " 上半年的股市可谓有惊无险 , 赚钱机会多多 , 但隔壁的商品市场就是完全两样的风景 , 大部 分工业品都是 " 一路南下派 " , 几乎被空头力量主导 , 偶尔借停产检修或宏观利好反弹一把 , 也成为 " 每涨卖机 " 。 国内上市的67个商品期货品种中 , 主力合约价格年初以来下跌的有39个 , 看上去没有那么惨 ? 你再看上涨的28个品种中 , 几乎都是金银和农产品 , 工业品只有铜 、 铝 、 锡三个国际定 价的有色品种和尿素这个严格出口管制的农化产品 。 像焦煤 、 玻璃 、 甲醇 、 塑料 、 橡胶 、 纯碱 、 螺纹钢这一类重要的大宗商品 , 都是跌幅巨大 。 上半年这一轮工业品的下跌 , 实际上是在延续21年以来的商品熊市 : 焦煤主力合约上半年跌了34% , 从21年最高点跌了80% ; 玻璃主力合约上半年跌了25% , 从21年最高点跌了68 ...
做空特斯拉:在中国市场提供无息贷款,这是绝望的表现
美股研究社· 2025-04-08 11:59
作 者 | Max Molter 编译 | 华尔街大事件 长期以来, 特斯拉公司 (NASDAQ: TSLA )一直是投资者的最爱。如今,由于首席执行官埃 隆·马斯克的一些动作,该公司失去了许多支持者和销量。在欧洲销量下滑的情况下,特斯拉在 华为 Model Y 提供 免息贷款的举动 是特斯拉品牌衰落的下一个迹象。 几个月来,马斯克在欧洲的人气下降了。从数据上看, 特斯拉 在法国和瑞典的同比销量分别 下降了 36.83% 和 63.9%。在同一时期内,该公司在法国的市场份额从 2.55% 下降到 1.63%。 如图 1 所示,就整个欧洲而言,其股价甚至比其他任何汽车制造商的股价下降幅度都高出 42.6%。这凸显出,尽管一些下滑可能是由于经济形势所致,但特斯拉的情况仍有其特殊性。 高、不妨购买非电动汽车的客户。此外,他们不太可能关心免息贷款。国内还生产了许多看起 来像特斯拉、感觉像特斯拉但价格低得多的电动汽车,这降低了特斯拉汽车作为欧洲市场经常 提到的体验的价值。比亚迪就是其中一家汽车制造商,其销量同比增长 58%。 特斯拉的估值一直很高。目前,该公司的 EV/EBITDA 比率为 57.42,比行业平均水平高 ...