欧元兑美元触及五周新低1.1515，下跌0.25%。 欧元/美元 ...

欧元兑美元短线波动不大，现报1.1557。 ...

Group 1 - The core viewpoint of the articles indicates that the recent US-EU trade agreement, while avoiding an escalation of trade wars, may weaken the long-term growth potential of the EU due to significant investment commitments to the US [2][3]. - The EU has agreed to invest $600 billion in the US and purchase $750 billion worth of US energy products, which could lead to an increase in the weighted average tariff rate on EU exports to the US from approximately 1.5% to 15.2% [3]. - Analysts predict that the EU's economic growth rate may decline by 0.2% to 0.4% over the next year as a result of the trade agreement [3]. Group 2 - The euro has experienced a significant drop, with a 1.30% decline against the dollar, marking the largest single-day drop since mid-May [2]. - Analysts suggest that the euro may face short-term downward pressure due to potential increases in US tariffs, which could raise US inflation and lower inflation in the eurozone, leading to a divergence in monetary policy between the Federal Reserve and the European Central Bank [4]. - The market focus is shifting towards the Federal Reserve's interest rate decisions, which could further influence the euro's performance against the dollar [4][5][6].

Group 1: Trade Agreements and Market Impact - The agreement between the US and EU includes a 15% baseline tariff on European imports, while the EU will increase purchases of US energy and technology products, ending months of uncertainty and positively impacting market expectations [1] - Following the trade agreement, the euro to dollar exchange rate fell to a one-month low due to concerns over the potential negative economic impact of the tariffs [3] - The market's focus has shifted from trade tensions to the Federal Reserve's monetary policy, with expectations of a slight rate cut in September [4] Group 2: Federal Reserve and Economic Conditions - The Federal Reserve's decision to lower interest rates hinges on three conditions: signs of weakness in the job market, inflation returning to target levels, and confidence in these assessments [1] - Morgan Stanley predicts that the Federal Reserve is unlikely to cut rates this year, but acknowledges that changes in economic conditions could lead to deviations from expected policy paths [2] - Standard Chartered highlights that the real threat to the dollar comes from the Fed potentially adopting a more dovish stance, rather than the resolution of trade tensions [4] Group 3: Inflation and Economic Forecasts - BMI has revised its inflation forecast for 2025 down from 2.1% to 1.9% due to lower-than-expected inflation data in May [2] - Analysts expect that improvements in the European economy, alongside a slowdown in the US economy, will support the euro against the dollar in the medium term [3]

智通财经7月29日电，美元指数短线拉升20点，上破99关口；欧元兑美元短线走低20余点。 ...

Group 1 - The US Dollar Index (DXY) experienced a short-term increase of 20 points, surpassing the 99 mark [1] - The EUR/USD exchange rate saw a short-term decline of over 20 points [1]

Core Viewpoint - The Euro to US Dollar exchange rate has reached a one-month low, currently reported at 1.1561 [1] Group 1 - The EUR/USD pair has declined, indicating a weakening of the Euro against the Dollar [1]

Core Viewpoint - The euro has depreciated by 0.3% against the US dollar, reaching a level of 1.1555, marking the lowest point in five weeks [1] Group 1 - The euro's decline indicates a potential shift in currency dynamics, which may impact international trade and investment strategies [1]

Core Viewpoint - The euro has depreciated by 0.3% against the US dollar, reaching a five-week low of 1.1555 [1] Group 1 - The euro's decline indicates a weakening against the US dollar, which may reflect broader economic trends [1] - This depreciation could impact trade dynamics and investment flows between the Eurozone and the United States [1] - The current exchange rate may influence monetary policy decisions within the Eurozone [1]

Core Viewpoint - The EUR/USD exchange rate has fallen below 1.16 for the first time since July 18, experiencing a daily decline of 1.19% [1] Group 1 - The EUR/USD exchange rate is currently at its lowest point since mid-July, indicating a significant downward trend in the currency pair [1] - The decline of 1.19% in a single day suggests increased volatility in the foreign exchange market [1]