Group 1 - The core viewpoint of the articles indicates that China's financial metrics are showing reasonable growth, supporting the real economy effectively, with social financing scale increasing by 8.7% year-on-year as of the end of May [1] - The narrow money supply (M_1) grew by 2.3% year-on-year, reflecting a significant acceleration in growth, which suggests that recent financial support measures have positively impacted market confidence and economic activities [1][2] - In May, the incremental social financing scale reached 2.29 trillion yuan, which is 224.7 billion yuan more than the previous year, driven mainly by government and corporate bond issuances [2] Group 2 - The issuance of special refinancing bonds to replace hidden debts has been significant, with the net financing scale exceeding 3.8 trillion yuan in the first quarter, marking an increase of 2.5 trillion yuan compared to the same period last year [2] - The average interest rate for newly issued corporate loans in May was approximately 3.2%, which is about 50 basis points lower than the same period last year, indicating a favorable borrowing environment for businesses [2] - The growth in personal loans is also indicative of increased economic activity, with a rise in mortgage loans due to a recovering real estate market and a boost in consumer loans driven by promotional activities [3] Group 3 - The external environment has marginally influenced the credit situation, with foreign trade enterprises responding to tariff impacts by diversifying, leading to increased credit demand [3] - The financial total growth is expected to remain stable, supported by proactive fiscal policies and effective financial measures that have bolstered market confidence [4] - The social financing scale, which encompasses direct financing, is seen as a more comprehensive measure of financial support compared to traditional loan metrics, reflecting the evolving financing landscape [3]

Group 1 - In May, the social financing scale increased by 2.29 trillion yuan, with a year-on-year increase of 224.7 billion yuan, and new RMB loans amounted to 620 billion yuan [1] - The broad money supply (M2) grew by 7.9% year-on-year, which is 0.9 percentage points higher than the same period last year, indicating a strong financial growth relative to nominal economic growth [1] - The narrow money supply (M1) increased by 2.3% year-on-year, reflecting a significant acceleration in the growth of "liquid money," which is expected to boost market confidence and economic activities [1] Group 2 - The net financing of government bonds accelerated in May, reaching 1.46 trillion yuan, while local governments issued 443.2 billion yuan in new special bonds, marking a new high for the year [2] - Corporate bond net financing exceeded 140 billion yuan in May, with a downward trend in financing costs, as the average yield on 5-year AAA corporate bonds fell to 1.97% [2] - Despite a lower scale of new RMB loans compared to the same period last year, the RMB loan balance grew by 7.1% year-on-year, indicating stable loan growth [2] Group 3 - In May, nearly 530 billion yuan in new RMB loans were issued to enterprises, supported by a recent interest rate cut that boosted loan demand [3] - The residential sector saw an increase of nearly 54 billion yuan in new RMB loans, reflecting a recovery in the local real estate market [3] - The increased financing through government and corporate bonds is expected to substitute for bank loans, as local governments prefer using special bonds for project funding [3]

Core Viewpoint - The financial data for May indicates a stable growth in total financing, supporting the real economy, with expectations for continued steady growth in financial totals in the near future [1][8]. Group 1: Financial Data Overview - As of the end of May, the total social financing stock was 426.16 trillion yuan, a year-on-year increase of 8.7% [1]. - The broad money (M2) balance was 325.78 trillion yuan, growing by 7.9% year-on-year [1]. - The narrow money (M1) balance reached 108.91 trillion yuan, with a year-on-year growth of 2.3% [1]. - The balance of RMB loans stood at 266.32 trillion yuan, reflecting a year-on-year increase of 7.1% [1]. Group 2: Drivers of Financing Growth - In the first five months of the year, the cumulative increase in social financing was 18.63 trillion yuan, which is 3.83 trillion yuan more than the same period last year [2]. - Government bonds were identified as the primary driver of the rapid growth in social financing, with a significant increase in net financing in the first quarter [2]. - The issuance of special refinancing bonds aimed at replacing hidden local government debts has been notably high, contributing to the increase in government bond financing [2][3]. Group 3: Loan Demand and Economic Activity - In the first five months, RMB loans increased by 10.68 trillion yuan, with 620 billion yuan added in May alone [4]. - The recent interest rate cuts have positively influenced loan demand, with a notable increase in corporate borrowing [4]. - The growth in personal loans in May, amounting to 540 billion yuan, indicates a recovery in economic activity, supported by a rebound in the real estate market and consumer spending [4][5]. Group 4: Monetary Supply and Economic Outlook - The growth rate of "active money" (M1) accelerated significantly, reflecting improved market confidence and a recovery in investment and consumption activities [7]. - M2 growth remained stable at 7.9%, with expectations for continued steady growth in financial totals [8]. - The ongoing proactive fiscal policies are expected to further support the recovery of effective demand in the real economy [8].

报 告 正 文 有效融资需求暂显不足。 5月社融同比保持多增，除了政府债融资保持较高规模以外，低利率带动企业债券融资好转。不过，5月信贷依然偏弱，一方面化债对于企 业贷款的替代效应仍然存在，关税政策也继续影响着企业的融资意愿，反映在企业短期贷款和票据融资整体走弱；另一方面，实体部门融资需求仍然偏弱，降息后 居民的加杠杆意愿尚未有明显增强，财政政策有待加力提效 。 财政资金拨付提振M1。 5月M1增速反弹，一是主要受到去年同期整顿存款"手工补息"带来的低基数影响，二是政府债发行前置，企业现金流趋于改善。5月M2增速 小幅回落，主因5月财政多收少支背景下，政府存款对居民和企业存款增长构成一定压制，不过低基数效应仍然存在。5月末，M2-M1增速差收窄，指向财政资金投 放至实体带动企业资金活化程度好转 。 直接融资支撑社融同比延续多增。 2025年5月社会融资规模增量为2.29万亿元，同比多增额收窄至2271亿元，直接融资是主要的支撑。一方面，5月政府债券融资规 模抬升至1.46万亿元，但同比多增额缩减至2367亿元；另一方面，企业债券净融资规模下降至1496亿元，同比多增额扩大至1211亿元。5月人民币贷款规模增加 ...

Financial Overview - In May 2023, China's social financing scale increased by 2.29 trillion yuan, a year-on-year increase of 224.7 billion yuan, indicating a robust growth in financing activities [1] - The total social financing scale for the first five months of 2023 reached 18.63 trillion yuan, which is 3.83 trillion yuan more than the same period last year [1] Monetary Supply - The broad money supply (M2) reached 325.78 trillion yuan in May, with a year-on-year growth of 7.9%, while the narrow money supply (M1) was 108.91 trillion yuan, growing by 2.3% [2] - The increase in M1 is attributed to a rise in "liquid money," which includes currency in circulation and demand deposits, reflecting improved market confidence and economic activity [2] Loan Growth - The total RMB loan balance stood at 266.32 trillion yuan at the end of May, with a year-on-year growth of 7.1% [2] - Notable growth was observed in inclusive small and micro loans, which increased by 11.6%, and medium to long-term loans for the manufacturing sector, which grew by 8.8% [2] Economic Activity - The reduction in policy interest rates by the central bank in May has encouraged businesses to borrow more, leading to an increase in loan demand [3] - External factors, such as trade negotiations and tariff reductions, have also contributed to increased credit demand from foreign trade enterprises [3] Consumer Loans - The growth in personal loans reflects a recovery in economic activities, with an increase in mortgage loans due to a warming real estate market and a boost in consumer spending driven by promotional events [3] - The central bank's financial support measures, including interest rate cuts and structural monetary policy tools, have started to take effect [3] Future Outlook - Financial growth is expected to remain stable, supported by resilient economic development and increased financing demand in June [4] - The central bank's recent operations, including a 1 trillion yuan reverse repurchase agreement, aim to maintain liquidity in the market [4]

Core Viewpoint - The article highlights the improvement in financial conditions in May, with social financing increasing by 2.3 trillion yuan, slightly exceeding market expectations, while credit growth remains weak due to demand-side factors [1][7][13]. Summary by Sections Social Financing - In May, social financing increased by 2.3 trillion yuan, a year-on-year increase of 227.1 billion yuan, slightly above the market average expectation of 2.05 trillion yuan [1][7]. - The total social financing scale for the first five months of 2025 reached 18.63 trillion yuan, an increase of 3.83 trillion yuan compared to the same period last year [7]. Credit Analysis - The increase in real credit was 596 billion yuan, a year-on-year decrease of 223.7 billion yuan, indicating a weaker demand side [8]. - The BCI index showed an improvement in the financing environment for enterprises, suggesting that supply conditions may not be weak [8][9]. Corporate Loans - Long-term loans for enterprises increased by 330 billion yuan, a year-on-year decrease of 170 billion yuan, reflecting weak investment in infrastructure and manufacturing [9]. - Short-term loans increased by 230 billion yuan year-on-year, while bill financing decreased by 282.6 billion yuan, indicating a preference for short-term loans due to higher yields [9]. Bond Financing - Corporate bonds increased by 149.6 billion yuan, a year-on-year increase of 121.1 billion yuan, likely due to lower deposit rates and increased credit bond financing [10][11]. - Government bonds increased by 1.46 trillion yuan, a year-on-year increase of 236.7 billion yuan, reflecting accelerated fiscal implementation [10][11]. Foreign Currency Loans - Foreign currency loans increased by 13.5 billion yuan, marking the first positive growth since March 2024, attributed to a weaker dollar and improved exchange rate expectations [11]. M1 Growth - M1 growth was 2.3%, an increase of 0.8 percentage points from the previous month, indicating a slight recovery in economic conditions [12]. - However, M1 performance remains weak, with a decrease of 230.7 billion yuan in May compared to previous years, influenced by debt replacement and shifts in deposit preferences [12]. Overall Financial Conditions - The article concludes that while supply-side conditions have improved, demand-side expectations remain uncertain, with ongoing impacts from debt replacement affecting financial data [13].

金十数据整理：6月13日欧盘美盘重要新闻汇总 国内新闻： 5. 央行将于6月16日开展4000亿元买断式逆回购操作，期限为6个月（182天）。 6. 中国驻以色列使馆提醒在以中国公民加强安全防范。 1. 习近平将出席第二届中国—中亚峰会。 2. 李强主持召开国务院常务会议，听取构建房地产发展新模式和推进好房子建设有关情况汇报；研究优 化药品和耗材集采有关举措。 3. 央行：5月末M2同比增长7.9%，M1同比增长2.3%。 4. 中国人民银行：初步统计，2025年5月末社会融资规模存量为426.16万亿元，同比增长8.7%。 7. 市场监管总局：市场监管部门将组织实施电商平台消费品安全与召回共治承诺。 8. 《广州市提振消费专项行动实施方案（征求意见稿）》公开征求意见。 9. 腾讯没有与创始人的家族联系讨论交易，也没有考虑收购Nexon。 10. 深圳放宽市场准入24条特别措施将加快实施。 布伦特原油 2. 伊朗退出与美国的核谈判。 3. 以色列对伊朗的空袭导致油价日内一度飙升13%，布伦特原油实现了自2022年俄乌冲突以来最大日内 涨幅。 4. 泰国普吉机场：印度航空AI379航班收到炸弹威胁，请求紧急降落 ...

Core Viewpoint - The People's Bank of China (PBOC) conducted a 2025 billion yuan reverse repurchase operation with a stable interest rate of 1.40%, resulting in a net injection of 675 billion yuan into the market after accounting for 1350 billion yuan of reverse repos maturing on the same day [1] Group 1: Monetary Policy Operations - This week, the PBOC carried out a total of 8582 billion yuan in reverse repurchase operations, with 9309 billion yuan maturing, leading to a total net withdrawal of 727 billion yuan from the open market [1] - The overnight Shanghai Interbank Offered Rate (Shibor) increased by 4.40 basis points to 1.4110%, while the 7-day Shibor decreased by 1.30 basis points to 1.5080% [2][3] - The 14-day Shibor rose by 0.80 basis points to 1.5430% [2] Group 2: Interbank Repo Market - In the interbank pledged repo market, the weighted average rates for overnight and 14-day repos increased by 4.0 basis points and 0.5 basis points, respectively, while the 7-day repo rate decreased by 3.7 basis points [4] - The transaction volumes for overnight and 7-day repos decreased by 635 billion yuan and 2608 billion yuan, respectively [4] Group 3: Money Market Conditions - The money market showed a relatively loose liquidity condition on June 13, with overnight rates dropping to around 1.48% by the end of the trading day [9] - A total of 122 interbank certificates of deposit were issued, with an actual issuance amount of 1354.4 billion yuan [10] Group 4: Financial Statistics - As of the end of May 2025, the broad money supply (M2) stood at 325.78 trillion yuan, reflecting a year-on-year growth of 7.9% [12] - The total social financing scale reached 426.16 trillion yuan by the end of May, with a year-on-year increase of 8.7% [13]

Group 1 - The core viewpoint of the articles highlights the growth in social financing scale driven primarily by government and corporate bonds, indicating a shift towards direct financing methods [1][2] - As of May 2025, the total social financing scale reached 426.16 trillion yuan, with a year-on-year growth of 8.7%, remaining stable compared to the previous month [1] - The balance of loans to the real economy was 262.86 trillion yuan, showing a year-on-year increase of 7%, but a slight decline of 0.1 percentage points from the previous month [1] Group 2 - Government bonds accounted for 20.5% of the total social financing scale, reflecting a significant year-on-year increase of 2.1 percentage points, while corporate bonds made up 7.7%, down 0.4 percentage points [1] - The net financing of government bonds in the first five months of 2025 reached 6.31 trillion yuan, which is an increase of 3.81 trillion yuan compared to the previous year [1][2] - The issuance of special refinancing bonds has been a key factor in replacing bank loans, which may temporarily affect credit volume but ultimately helps alleviate local debt risks [3][4] Group 3 - The trend of bonds substituting loans is becoming more pronounced, with nearly 90% of the social financing scale consisting of bonds and loans, indicating their complementary roles in supporting economic stability [3] - The average yield of 5-year AAA-rated corporate bonds fell to 1.97% in May, encouraging companies to increase bond financing to lower overall financing costs [2][3] - The growth in fixed asset investment funding sources, including government bonds, increased by 16.7% year-on-year, significantly outpacing other funding sources [4] Group 4 - The broad money supply (M2) reached 325.78 trillion yuan, growing by 7.9% year-on-year, while the narrow money supply (M1) was 108.91 trillion yuan, with a growth of 2.3% [5] - The manufacturing PMI improved by 0.5 percentage points in May, indicating a marginal recovery in social confidence and economic activity [5][6] - The consumer price index (CPI) saw a year-on-year decline of 0.1%, while the core CPI rose by 0.6%, suggesting ongoing low inflation levels influenced by supply-demand imbalances [6]

Monetary Policy and Financial Data - The central bank reported that as of the end of May 2025, the broad money supply (M2) reached 325.78 trillion yuan, a year-on-year increase of 7.9% [1] - The narrow money supply (M1) stood at 108.91 trillion yuan, with a year-on-year growth of 2.3% [1] - In the first five months of 2025, RMB loans increased by 1.068 trillion yuan, while RMB deposits rose by 1.473 trillion yuan [1] - The total social financing stock at the end of May 2025 was 426.16 trillion yuan, reflecting a year-on-year growth of 8.7% [1] - The net financing of corporate bonds was 908.7 billion yuan, a decrease of 288.4 billion yuan year-on-year, while government bonds saw a net financing of 6.31 trillion yuan, an increase of 3.81 trillion yuan year-on-year [1] Market Dynamics - The Beijing Stock Exchange announced a continuation of the exemption from bond trading fees to stimulate market activity, effective until December 31, 2026 [4] - The central bank will conduct a 400 billion yuan reverse repurchase operation on June 16, 2025, to maintain liquidity in the banking system [5] - A 2,025 billion yuan reverse repurchase operation was conducted, resulting in a net injection of 675 billion yuan [6] Regional Developments - Hunan Province approved a budget adjustment plan that includes issuing 20 billion yuan in special bonds to address overdue payments to enterprises [7] - Qingdao City is restructuring several state-owned enterprises, planning to invest approximately 30 billion yuan in 87 major projects [9] Bond Issuance - Henan Capital Group has been approved to register 2 billion yuan in medium-term notes, with a validity period of two years [10] - Zhengzhou Development Investment Group has two bond projects under review by the Shenzhen Stock Exchange, totaling 5 billion yuan [11] - The issuance of 5 billion yuan in corporate bonds by Shangqiu Railway Investment Company was completed at an interest rate of 2.47% [13] - Luoyang Urban-Rural Construction Investment Group completed the issuance of 3 billion yuan in corporate bonds at an interest rate of 2.78% [14] - Jiyuan Jikang Technology Company plans to issue 1.5 billion yuan in corporate bonds [15] Credit Ratings and Regulatory Actions - The central bank approved the issuance of technology innovation bonds by several financial institutions, including CICC and CITIC Securities, with amounts up to 150 billion yuan [16] - The China Interbank Market Dealers Association has reduced or canceled 6.16 billion yuan in debt financing tool quotas for three companies [21] Market Sentiment - According to CITIC Research, the average issuance interest rate for technology innovation bonds in May was 1.77%, marking a new low and indicating high investor sentiment [24]