Group 1 - Ghana plans to issue licenses to cryptocurrency platforms to regulate the asset class used by millions in the country [1] - The central bank governor, Johnson Asiama, stated that a regulatory framework is being finalized and will be submitted to parliament in September [1] - The proposed legislation aims to leverage cryptocurrency for promoting cross-border trade, attracting strategic investments, and collecting financial data [1]

Core Insights - The recent cryptocurrency market has faced significant liquidation events, with over $507 million liquidated in just 24 hours, primarily affecting long positions [1][2][4] - Ethereum has been the most impacted asset, with a liquidation amount of $112.02 million, followed by Bitcoin and XRP at $48.76 million [2] - Despite the liquidation wave, Bitcoin's price has shown resilience, trading at $117,826 with only a slight decline of 0.37% in the last 24 hours [2][4] Market Dynamics - The liquidation surge is attributed to various factors, including regulatory concerns, macroeconomic changes, and shifts in investor sentiment [4] - The presence of high leverage in the market has made it more sensitive to price fluctuations, leading to a chain reaction of liquidations [4] - XBIT decentralized exchange has emerged as a potential safe haven during market turbulence, offering innovative liquidity solutions and a zero liquidation risk design [2][4] Asset Performance - Ethereum's price has dropped below $3,800, currently trading at $3,600, with a 24-hour decline of 1.67% but a weekly increase of 12.79% [3] - XRP has also seen a decline, currently trading at $3.29, with a 24-hour drop of 5.11% but a weekly increase of 10.5% [3] - Solana is facing downward pressure, trading at $191.20, with a 24-hour decline of 3.83% [3] Investor Sentiment - Investors are likely to seek safer, more transparent, and decentralized trading platforms to reallocate their assets following the liquidation events [3][4] - The overall market still shows signs of resilience, with some assets like Bitcoin, Ethereum, XRP, and Solana experiencing weekly gains despite the recent downturn [4]

Regulatory Framework - The three major cryptocurrency bills in the U.S. Congress—CLARITY Act, GENIUS Act, and Anti-CBDC Act—form a coherent regulatory framework for Web3 development[1] - CLARITY Act aims to clearly categorize digital assets as securities, commodities, or stablecoins, delineating the roles of the SEC and CFTC[2] - GENIUS Act establishes a federal regulatory framework for stablecoins, ensuring compliance and safety in their issuance and reserves[2] Market Impact - The combined effect of these bills creates a complex regulatory environment that fosters innovation while reducing traditional securities regulation constraints[3] - The Anti-CBDC Act prohibits the Federal Reserve from issuing CBDCs directly to individuals, protecting the decentralized cryptocurrency market from state competition[3] - The regulatory clarity provided by the CLARITY Act is expected to reduce legal uncertainties, thereby promoting market growth and investor participation[3] Innovation and Challenges - The CLARITY Act is designed to lower compliance burdens for decentralized projects, potentially enhancing the development of crypto derivatives[2] - The GENIUS Act aims to enhance trust in stablecoins, facilitating their use in DeFi and payment applications[2] - Concerns exist regarding the potential for dual regulation and the impact of over-banking on non-custodial stablecoin innovation[2]

Group 1 - The cryptocurrency industry has intensified lobbying efforts to ensure the passage of significant stablecoin legislation in the U.S. Congress, marking a major policy victory for the sector [1] - Lobbying expenditures by cryptocurrency companies and advocates reached $6.9 million in Q2, a 21% increase from the previous quarter, coinciding with the acceleration of industry-supported legislation [1][6] - The recently signed "Stablecoin Act" by President Trump is expected to expand the application of digital assets in global finance and maintain the dollar's status as the world's dominant currency [2][3] Group 2 - Standard Chartered Bank predicts that Bitcoin prices may exceed $135,000 in Q3 2024 and reach $200,000 by the end of 2025, with a potential surge to $500,000 by 2029 [2] - The "GENIUS Act" establishes regulatory rules for stablecoins pegged to the dollar, which advocates believe will enhance the integration of digital assets into everyday financial transactions [2] - The cryptocurrency industry is pushing for broader legislation to create a market structure for trading digital assets like Bitcoin and Ethereum, with additional measures awaiting Senate approval [2] Group 3 - Stablecoins are a type of cryptocurrency designed to maintain a stable value by being pegged to reserve assets like the dollar, and they are becoming mainstream in global financial markets [3] - The high interest rates and the current rate hike cycle are generating significant profits for stablecoin issuers, providing them with bank-level returns [3] - Coinbase Global Inc. is one of the largest spenders on lobbying, focusing on issues related to digital assets, including stablecoin legislation [6] Group 4 - The cryptocurrency industry's lobbying expenditures remain relatively small compared to other sectors, with major players like Pfizer spending $3.5 million on a wide range of issues [7] - The Fairshake Super PAC has raised $230 million to support candidates friendly to the cryptocurrency industry, with significant contributions from Coinbase [7][8] - New lobbying registrations have surged in 2025, indicating a growing commitment to influencing policy in favor of the cryptocurrency sector [8]

Core Viewpoint - Bullish, a company involved in cryptocurrency exchange and media, has filed for an IPO with the SEC, marking a significant event in the cryptocurrency industry following the listing of the first stablecoin company, Circle Internet [1][11]. Company Overview - Bullish was established in 2021, incubated by blockchain company Block.one and notable Silicon Valley investor Peter Thiel. The company operates primarily through two segments: Bullish Exchange, a regulated digital asset exchange, and Coindesk, a data and media business acquired in 2023 [3][4]. - Bullish Exchange focuses on institutional trading of digital assets, generating revenue through trading fees and spreads. It is regulated in Germany, Hong Kong, and Gibraltar, with additional licenses sought in other jurisdictions, including the U.S. [3]. - Coindesk's operations include CoinDesk Data, CoinDesk Indices, and CoinDesk Insights, providing market data, indices, and media coverage on digital assets. The company earns revenue through subscriptions, licensing fees, and advertising [4]. Financial Performance - Bullish's projected digital asset revenues for 2022, 2023, and 2024 are $72.89 billion, $116.49 billion, and $250.2 billion, respectively, with net profits expected to shift from a loss of $4.25 billion in 2022 to a profit of $1.3 billion in 2023 and $795.6 million in 2024 [7]. - As of Q1 2025, the company reported $802.3 million in revenue and a loss of $349 million. Its total trading volume since inception exceeds $1.25 trillion, with significant trading volumes in Bitcoin and Ethereum projected for 2024 [7]. Market Position and Competition - Bullish Exchange ranks among the top five platforms for Bitcoin and Ethereum trading, with a daily trading volume exceeding $2.5 billion in Q1 2025. Major competitors include Binance, Coinbase, and Kraken [7]. - Coindesk serves 171,000 users with real-time data and research, while its media site attracted 55 million unique visitors in 2024 [8]. Shareholder Structure - The company's executives collectively hold 73% of the shares, with the largest institutional shareholder, Pu Luo Chung VC, owning 12.8% [8].

Group 1 - The U.S. House of Representatives passed three bills related to stablecoins and cryptocurrencies, including the "Genius Act," which aims to establish a regulatory framework for stablecoins pegged to the U.S. dollar [1] - The "Genius Act" requires stablecoins to be backed by liquid assets such as U.S. dollars or short-term government bonds and mandates monthly disclosures of reserves by issuers [1] - The "Digital Asset Market Clarity Act" seeks to clarify industry rules and delineate the jurisdiction between the SEC and CFTC, with a focus on classifying cryptocurrencies as either securities or commodities [1] Group 2 - The "Anti-Central Bank Digital Currency Surveillance National Act" was also passed, prohibiting the Federal Reserve from issuing a central bank digital currency, citing concerns over privacy and government control [2] - The Trump administration has initiated several measures to support cryptocurrencies, including appointing pro-crypto leadership at the SEC and establishing a federal "strategic Bitcoin reserve" [2] - Following the potential enactment of the "Genius Act," U.S. banks may be able to issue digital assets independently, with major Wall Street executives expressing interest in expanding into digital asset businesses [2]

Report Summary 1. Report Industry Investment Rating No information provided. 2. Core View of the Report - Gold and silver continue to fluctuate. The better - than - expected US economic data has cooled the expectation of the Fed's early interest rate cut, causing the US dollar to stabilize and putting pressure on gold and silver. The impact of the US tariff policy is currently smaller than feared, but the subsequent impact may gradually increase. The implementation of large - scale bills in the US further boosts the expectation of fiscal deficit. The long - term drivers of gold still provide support, but the upward movement is hesitant at high prices. Silver is relatively strong due to the boost from industrial products. Gold and silver may continue to show a relatively strong performance, and the risk of Trump's threats being realized needs to be vigilant [5]. 3. Summary by Related Catalogs Futures Market - **Futures Prices and Changes**: For gold futures, the closing prices of沪金2508 and沪金2512 are 774.36 and 778.76 respectively, with increases of 0.40 and 0.38, and the increase rates are both 0.05%. For silver futures, the closing prices of沪银2508 and沪银2512 are 9178.00 and 9224.00 respectively, with increases of 38.00, and the increase rates are 0.42% and 0.41% respectively. The trading volumes of沪金2508 and沪金2512 are 47780 and 43343 respectively, and the trading volumes of沪银2508 and沪银2512 are 102682 and 76697 respectively [2]. - **Spot Market and Related Ratios**: The price of London gold has decreased by 1.28, with a decrease rate of - 0.17%. The price of London silver has decreased by 1.24, with a decrease rate of - 0.16%. The ratio of gold to silver (spot) is 84.50, and the ratio of Shanghai silver to London silver is 7.18 [2]. - **Inventory Changes**: The inventory of Shanghai Futures Exchange gold remains unchanged at 28,872 kilograms. The inventory of Shanghai Futures Exchange silver has increased by 4,296.00 kilograms to 1,217,085 kilograms. The inventory of COMEX gold has increased by 346,352.72 ounces to 37,143,884 ounces, and the inventory of COMEX silver has decreased by 493426 ounces to 496,688,541 ounces [2]. Macro News - **US Legislative Actions**: The US House of Representatives has passed the "Genius Act" to reform the regulation of cryptocurrencies, which will be submitted to President Trump for signature. It has also passed the "Clarity Act" to establish a regulatory framework for digital assets, which will be submitted to the Senate for review [3]. - **Japan - US Trade**: In June, Japan's auto exports to the US decreased by 26.7% year - on - year, and its total exports to the US decreased by 11.4% year - on - year to 1.71 trillion yen, with a widening decline [3]. - **US Employment and Retail Sales**: The number of initial jobless claims in the US last week decreased by 7000 to 221,000, reaching the lowest level since mid - April. US retail sales in June increased by 0.6% month - on - month, higher than the expected 0.1%, mainly driven by auto sales [3][4]. Comment and Strategy - **Market Situation**: The US retail sales growth rate far exceeded expectations. The expectation of the Fed's early interest rate cut has cooled, and the US dollar has stabilized, putting pressure on gold and silver. The long - term drivers of gold still exist, but the upward movement is hesitant at high prices. Silver is relatively strong due to industrial support [5]. - **Risk Factors**: The risk of Trump's tariff threats being realized needs to be vigilant, and the subsequent impact of the US tariff policy may gradually increase [5].

Group 1: Investment Rating - No investment rating information is provided in the report. Group 2: Core Viewpoints - The prices of treasury bond futures generally rose in the previous trading day, with the T2509 contract rising 0.05% and an increase in open interest [2]. - The IRR of the CTD bonds corresponding to the main contracts of each treasury bond futures was at a low level, and there were no arbitrage opportunities [2]. - Short - term market interest rates showed mixed changes. The SHIBOR 7 - day rate remained unchanged, the DR007 rate rose 0.18bp, and the GC007 rate fell 1bp [2]. - Yields of key - term treasury bonds showed mixed changes. The 10Y treasury bond yield fell 0.13bp to 1.66%, and the long - short (10 - 2) treasury bond yield spread was 24.75bp [2]. - The external environment has become more complex, and the "reciprocal tariff" policy has increased global economic uncertainty. The central bank will maintain a supportive monetary policy, which provides some support for treasury bond futures prices. However, the "anti - involution" policy has driven up the prices of some commodities, and the price fluctuations of treasury bond futures may increase in the short term [3]. Group 3: Summary by Related Catalogs Futures Market - **Price and Volume**: The prices of most treasury bond futures contracts rose, with T2509 rising 0.05%. The open interest of T2509 increased, while that of some other contracts showed mixed changes. Trading volumes also varied among different contracts [2]. - **Spreads**: The inter - delivery spreads of some contracts changed. For example, the inter - delivery spread of T2509 increased from - 0.0800 to - 0.055 [2]. - **IRR**: The IRR of the CTD bonds corresponding to the main contracts of each treasury bond futures was at a low level, with no arbitrage opportunities [2]. Spot Market - **Domestic Treasury Bond Yields**: Yields of domestic key - term treasury bonds showed mixed changes. The 6M, 1Y, and 30Y yields rose, while the 2Y, 5Y, 7Y, 10Y, and 20Y yields fell [2]. - **Yield Spreads**: The long - short (10 - 2) treasury bond yield spread was 24.75bp, and other yield spreads also changed [2]. Overseas Market - **Overseas Treasury Bond Yields**: The US 10Y treasury bond yield rose 1bp, the German 10Y treasury bond yield fell 1bp, and the Japanese 10Y treasury bond yield fell 1.4bp [2]. Macro and Industry Information - **Macro News**: The central bank conducted 4505 billion yuan of 7 - day reverse repurchase operations, with a net investment of 3605 billion yuan. Foreign institutions collectively raised their forecasts for China's 2025 GDP growth rate. The US Congress passed two cryptocurrency - related bills, and the US retail sales in June rebounded strongly [3]. - **Industry Information**: On July 17, most money market interest rates declined. The yields of US treasury bonds showed mixed changes, mainly affected by Trump's statements and market interpretations of economic data [3]. Comments and Strategies - Treasury bond futures prices rose slightly, and the yield of the 10 - year treasury bond active bond fell to 1.658%. The central bank's open - market operations maintained a stable market liquidity. The external environment was complex, and the central bank would maintain a supportive monetary policy, which supported treasury bond futures prices. However, short - term price fluctuations might increase [3].

Core Points - The U.S. House of Representatives passed the GENIUS Act, a stablecoin regulatory bill, which is now awaiting Trump's signature for enactment [1] - The bill defines "payment stablecoins" and establishes a regulatory framework, reserve requirements, and investor protections [1][2] Regulatory Framework - Only "Permitted Payment Stablecoin Issuers" (PPSI) can issue stablecoins in the U.S., which includes banks and certain state-level institutions [1] - Issuers with a market cap below $10 billion will be supervised by state regulators, while those above will be directly regulated by the Federal Reserve and the OCC [1] Reserve and Transparency Requirements - Issuers must hold liquid assets equal to the amount of stablecoins issued, ensuring a 1:1 reserve ratio [2] - Regular third-party audits and monthly liquidity reports are mandated to enhance transparency [2] Investor Protection - In the event of issuer bankruptcy, stablecoin holders have priority over other creditors [2] - Misleading marketing practices are prohibited, and issuers must comply with AML and CTF regulations [2] Market Reaction - Following the bill's passage, Circle's stock remained stable, while Coinbase's shares rose over 3% [2] - The cryptocurrency market saw significant gains, with Bitcoin surpassing $120,000 and Ethereum rising over 7% [3] Related Legislation - The House also passed the CLARITY Act, which aims to establish a regulatory framework for cryptocurrencies, transferring more control from the SEC to the CFTC [5][6] - The Anti-CBDC Act was also passed, preventing the Federal Reserve from issuing or testing a central bank digital currency without Congressional approval [6]

1. Report Industry Investment Rating There is no information about the report industry investment rating in the provided content. 2. Core Views of the Report - The macro - economic situation shows mixed trends. Unemployment rates in different age groups in China have different changes, and the US Congress has passed bills related to cryptocurrency regulation. The overall economy shows signs of development, with stable summer grain production and positive changes in the agricultural and rural economy [7][8]. - In the financial market, on July 17, A - share major indices rose collectively, and European and American stock markets also closed higher. The performance of various commodities in the futures market is diverse, with some rising and some falling [12][16][17]. - Different commodity sectors have different market conditions. For example, the agricultural product market is generally in a pattern of weak supply and demand; the energy - chemical market is affected by factors such as supply and demand changes and policy adjustments; the industrial metal market is under pressure from factors such as trade policies and seasonal demand [12][13][15]. 3. Summary by Relevant Catalogs 3.1 Commodity Index Daily Market Tracking - **Stock Indices**: On July 18, the Dow Jones Industrial Index was 44484.49, up 0.519% from the previous day; the Nasdaq Index was 20884.27, up 0.742%; the S&P 500 was 6297.36, up 0.537%; the Hang Seng Index was 24498.95, down 0.077% [2]. - **Macroeconomic Indicators**: SHIBOR overnight was 1.46, down 0.205%; the US dollar index was 98.49, down 0.159%; the US dollar against the RMB (CFETS) remained unchanged [2]. - **Commodity Futures**: In the international market, COMEX gold was 3345.40, down 0.262%; COMEX silver was 38.44, up 0.813%. In the domestic market, gold was 776.74, up 0.059%; silver was 9204.00, up 0.415%, etc. [2]. 3.2 Macro - economic News - **Unemployment Rate**: In June, the unemployment rate of 16 - 24 - year - old labor force in Chinese urban areas (excluding students) was 14.5%, down 0.4 percentage points from the previous month; the 25 - 29 - year - old was 6.7%, down 0.3 percentage points; the 30 - 59 - year - old was 4.0%, up 0.1 percentage point [7]. - **Cryptocurrency Regulation**: The US House of Representatives passed the "Genius Act" and the "Clarity Act" related to cryptocurrency regulation [7]. - **Resident Income**: In the first half of 2025, 11 provinces had per - capita disposable income of residents exceeding 20,000 yuan, with Shanghai ranking first at 46,805 yuan [8]. - **Agricultural Economy**: In the first half of the year, China's summer grain output was 299.48 billion catties, achieving stable production and a good harvest. The autumn grain area is expected to increase steadily [8]. - **Housing and Urban Construction**: The Party group of the Ministry of Housing and Urban - Rural Development emphasized the importance of urban renewal and the construction of a new real - estate development model [8]. - **Consumption Tax Policy**: Starting from July 20, 2025, the threshold for the consumption tax on ultra - luxury cars will be lowered to 900,000 yuan, and new - energy models will be included in the scope of collection [9]. 3.3 Morning Meeting Views on Major Varieties 3.3.1 Agricultural Products - **Peanuts**: The market continues the pattern of weak supply and demand, with slow inventory removal. It is expected to fluctuate strongly in the short term but still maintain a downward trend [12]. - **Oils and Fats**: The market trading is light, and it is expected to fluctuate in the near future [12]. - **Sugar**: The global production increase expectation is strengthened, but the domestic market has a balance of long and short factors. Attention should be paid to the pressure level and risk control [12]. - **Corn**: The supply is under pressure from inventory and auctions, and the demand is weak. A short - selling strategy is recommended [12]. - **Pigs**: The price has been falling slightly, and the supply in the next 2 - 3 months is expected to be relatively abundant, with the futures market in a weak and volatile state [14]. - **Eggs**: The price is rising, with improved supply - demand conditions. There is still room for price increase in the short term [14]. 3.3.2 Energy - Chemical Products - **Caustic Soda**: The fundamentals are weak, and the price has fallen under pressure this week [14]. - **Urea**: The supply is expected to increase after a short - term decline, and the market may fluctuate in the range of 1700 - 1800 yuan/ton [14]. 3.3.3 Industrial Metals - **Copper and Aluminum**: The prices of copper and aluminum are under pressure due to factors such as trade policies and seasonal demand [15]. - **Alumina**: The price is in a consolidation state, and attention should be paid to the impact of macro - market sentiment [15]. - **Rebar and Hot - Rolled Coil**: The overall pressure on inventory accumulation is limited, and the steel price is expected to fluctuate strongly in the short term [15]. - **Ferroalloys**: The medium - and long - term production capacity is in excess, but there is still upward space in the short term due to the warm commodity atmosphere [17]. - **Coking Coal and Coke**: They are strongly supported and are expected to operate strongly [17]. - **Lithium Carbonate**: The supply pressure is increasing, but the demand has marginal improvement. Attention should be paid to the pressure of hedging and key price levels [17]. 3.3.4 Option Finance - **Stock Index**: A - share major indices rose on July 17, and European and American stock markets also closed higher. Investment strategies such as low - buying opportunities and short - term trading are recommended [17][19]. - **Options**: On July 17, A - share major indices rose, and the trading volume and open interest of stock index futures and options had different changes. Trend investors can consider long - 50 and short - 1000 arbitrage, and volatility investors can hold long - straddle positions [20][21].