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A股:系好安全带!接下来,会有新一轮行情了
Sou Hu Cai Jing· 2025-05-30 05:10
今日的A股,节前最后的洗盘了。三大指数跌幅不多,股票有4000家下跌。港股回调,A股的科技股跟着回调了。 这个位置,节前离场的意义有限,为什么还会有人卖?无非是利用小长假的恐慌情绪洗盘,去年的端午节后的A股续下跌了,今年也会如此吗? 对于接下来的行情,短线继续空仓,你也不用看下去了。中长线做好仓位管理、资产配置就行了。 系好安全带 目前的震荡虽然幅度很小,来来回回坐电梯很影响情绪,好不容易红盘了几个点,5月份又跌回去了。大家的情况都差不多,没有必要内耗。 股市的利润肯定不容易,如果容易就没有人上班了。低吸没耐心,追涨没技术,稳健的银行股收股息又不甘心,在股市怎么可能有利润。 不怕震荡,系好安全带就行了,6月底之前没有拉升,9月底之前也有希望,无非是3个月时间罢了,多点耐心就行。在股市的利润很难,很难! 成交量放大了,昨日上涨有很多空单需要套利,目前的A股就是如此,只要涨了就有ETF衍生品做空、量化交易等。关键是散户又没有这些工具,所以很难 受了。 A股会有新一轮行情了 5月份已经结束了,无论盈亏都不重要了,关键是6月可期。个人对接下来的行情很乐观,反复洗盘肯定不是为了急跌,市场的白酒、地产、证券都独立回调 了 ...
日本扛不住了,A股机会来了?
Sou Hu Cai Jing· 2025-05-28 12:37
Group 1 - Japan is experiencing high domestic inflation, with rice prices reportedly doubling, which limits the government's ability to issue more money [2] - The latest data shows that four major Japanese life insurance companies have reported a total floating loss of approximately $60 billion in domestic bond holdings due to rising bond yields [2] - There is a risk of a vicious cycle if Japanese life insurance companies start selling off their bonds, leading to further declines in bond prices [4] Group 2 - The Japanese Ministry of Finance is expected to reduce long-term bond issuance, although the total amount remains unchanged, shifting from long-term to short-term bonds [4] - The recent performance divergence between Hong Kong and A-share markets indicates that foreign capital is playing a significant role, with predictions that a 1% rise in RMB could lead to a 3% increase in A-shares [6] - The RMB has appreciated slightly against other major currencies, but this is seen as a controlled move to avoid aiding U.S. inflation reduction [8] Group 3 - The difference in stock performance during market rallies can be attributed to institutional investors' choices, highlighting the importance of understanding institutional behavior in stock selection [10] - The "institutional inventory" data reflects the trading willingness of institutional funds, indicating that active participation can lead to better investment outcomes [12] - Current market conditions are challenging, with both opportunities and risks present, necessitating careful analysis of institutional preferences to avoid pitfalls [14]
A股:大家做好准备!经济日报发文!接下来,会迎来新方向了
Sou Hu Cai Jing· 2025-05-28 00:49
Group 1 - The current sentiment towards A-shares is pessimistic, with margin trading balances returning to historical lows after a peak two months ago, indicating a rapid shift in market confidence [1] - The TMT sector experienced a significant drop in trading volume from 1.1 trillion to 270 billion, reflecting a trend where investors often enter the market at peaks [1] Group 2 - The demand for housing remains strong, with over 90% of homes lacking investment value and primarily serving as residences, suggesting a persistent need for better housing options [3] - The real estate market is expected to undergo a transformation, as income growth will drive consumers to seek improved housing, indicating that the industry will continue to evolve rather than decline [3] Group 3 - Key sectors such as liquor, banking, and real estate are showing signs of recovery, with the A-share index expected to stabilize and potentially rebound to 3,400 points [5] - The market is characterized by a clear divergence in individual stock performance, with significant movements in key industries likely to drive overall market sentiment [5] Group 4 - Left-side investing focuses on identifying certain upward trends in the bottom range, emphasizing the importance of having a safety margin when building positions [7] - Investors need to overcome the mindset of buying only on dips to succeed in left-side investing, as this approach requires patience and a long-term perspective [7]
A股:系好安全带!周二,新一轮的行情将正式开启了
Sou Hu Cai Jing· 2025-05-26 08:40
Group 1 - The current A-share market shows limited pullback with nearly 4000 stocks rising, indicating a lack of confidence among investors despite positive market movements [1][5] - The market has been in a correction phase for 8 months, and missing the upcoming main upward trend could lead to a repeat of 2024's performance [3][5] - The A-share market is expected to experience a main upward wave, and investors are advised to remain patient and not to overthink the situation [3][5] Group 2 - A new market cycle is believed to be starting, with key sectors such as liquor, securities, and real estate showing signs of synchronized movement [5][7] - The recent market dynamics suggest that the banking sector has fulfilled its role, and the current pullback is a transition of funds between high and low growth stocks [5][7] - The overall market sentiment remains optimistic, as nearly 4000 stocks rising indicates that there are no significant underlying issues [5][7]
A股:急速回落!是出货还是吸筹?下周,大资金要决定方向了
Sou Hu Cai Jing· 2025-05-23 10:48
Group 1 - The market is experiencing a significant decline, potentially due to sudden negative news or options contract arbitrage, with large funds profiting while retail investors struggle [1] - Large funds are actively buying broad-based ETFs, indicating protective actions, with noticeable volume increases in specific ETFs, suggesting that this is not a selling signal [3] - Key sectors such as liquor, real estate, securities, and coal have not significantly declined despite tariffs, indicating limited downside risk and potential for future upward movement [3] Group 2 - The upcoming week is critical for large funds to determine market direction, with limited downside potential but some possibility of decline [5] - The best opportunities currently lie in Hong Kong stocks rather than A-shares, with a focus on bottoming out in sectors like liquor, real estate, and securities, which are positioned below 3000 points [5] - The market is expected to experience a rotation in leading sectors, with a potential shift away from bank stocks to other weighty industries for upward momentum [7]
早盘直击 | 今日行情关注
Market Overview - The A-share market is currently experiencing a period of consolidation with a stable trend and narrow fluctuations [1] - The market is characterized by a low trading volume, remaining below 1.2 trillion yuan, indicating a lack of active participation and a cautious sentiment among investors [1] - Technical indicators suggest a neutral to slightly strong oscillation, with the Bollinger Bands positioned in a moderately strong area and the KDJ indicator at two-thirds of its range [1] Trading Signals - For the market to break upwards, trading volume needs to exceed 1.5 trillion yuan, which would serve as a clear signal for a potential market shift [1] - Short-term trading remains focused on high-frequency rotation among sectors, with precious metals and jewelry leading gains, while previously strong sectors like chemical fibers and consumer electronics have seen declines [1] Future Outlook - The A-share market is likely to maintain its current rhythm, characterized by narrow index fluctuations, low trading volumes, and rapid sector rotation without any clear signs of a trend reversal [1]
不用猜了!行情明牌了,周四,A股走势分析
Sou Hu Cai Jing· 2025-05-21 10:06
Group 1 - The market is experiencing a divergence, with weight sectors like banks, coal, and electricity driving the index up, while sectors like liquor and securities are not participating in the rally [3][5] - Small and mid-cap stocks are showing some activity, but the overall sentiment is that many investors are not seeing gains, indicating a potential for further market acceleration if certain sectors align [3][6] - The current market environment suggests that the index is being held back intentionally, rather than being unable to rise, with dividend stocks remaining attractive and growth sectors poised for a rebound [5][6] Group 2 - A bullish outlook for A-shares is anticipated, with expectations of a breakout above 3400 points, driven by a few stocks rather than a broad market rally [6][7] - The positions of liquor, securities, and real estate sectors are seen as limiting the downside potential of the index, indicating a protective mechanism in place [9] - The market is in a phase of accumulation, with a new acceleration phase expected, although the timing remains uncertain [9]
13点之后,A股为何突然大涨?
Sou Hu Cai Jing· 2025-05-14 10:57
Group 1 - The brokerage sector experienced a significant surge after 1 PM, with the securities company index rising over 5%, marking the largest single-day gain recently [1] - Both daily and weekly charts for the brokerage sector have turned bullish, breaking through key resistance levels [1] - The brokerage sector, while not currently the market leader, serves as a barometer for market sentiment, indicating that a broader market rally is unlikely without its participation [1] Group 2 - A notable factor for the A-share market's sudden rise was the announcement of reduced tariffs on certain imported goods from 34% to 10%, which boosted market sentiment [3] - The overseas FTSE A50 index saw a significant increase, rising from 0.88% to 2.38% within 40 minutes, positively impacting both Hong Kong and A-shares [3] - The main drivers of the market rally were the brokerage and insurance sectors, which have historically attracted foreign investment and have a substantial influence on the index [3] Group 3 - Despite the surge, there are concerns about the sustainability of the rally, as the rise was primarily driven by the financial sector, with technology stocks showing little participation [4] - The market exhibited a divergence, with only 2,000 stocks rising compared to over 3,000 declining, indicating a structural division in capital allocation [4] - The index's breakthrough of 3,400 points may require consolidation before a broader consensus can lead to further upward movement, with the potential for reaching 3,500 or even 3,600 points if individual stocks align with the rally [4]
期待!下周,A股会迎来新一轮行情了
Sou Hu Cai Jing· 2025-05-10 11:42
Group 1 - The Shanghai Composite Index is currently around 3350 points, and there is a sentiment of continued decline in the market [1] - The market is expected to rebound, with potential for the index to break through 3700 points as key sectors like securities, liquor, insurance, and oil are anticipated to catch up [3][5] - The banking sector has already shown signs of a rebound, indicating that other growth sectors will follow suit, leading to an upward trend in the index [5] Group 2 - The current market structure suggests that the banking sector's rise is primarily for market support, while growth sectors will accelerate their gains [5] - There is a belief that the market will not allow the majority to profit, as it operates on a principle of competition where losses for some equate to gains for others [5][7] - The upcoming week is viewed positively for the index, although short-term opportunities may remain limited for individual stocks [7]
贸易战美方罕见“服软”?5月7日,凌晨的三大重要消息持续发酵!
Sou Hu Cai Jing· 2025-05-07 16:42
Group 1 - The trade negotiations between China and the United States are ongoing, with China asserting that it will not accept any vague attitudes or preconditions from the U.S. [1] - China emphasizes the mutual benefits of trade but insists on not being coerced into accepting unequal terms imposed by the U.S. [1] Group 2 - The A-share market has shown strong performance, with the ChiNext index rising by 2%, indicating a focus on technology and small-cap stocks [3] - The continuation of the market rally depends on trading volume; sustained volume is necessary for the market to rise further [3] - Key resistance levels are identified at the 60-day and half-year moving averages, with a target of 3326 points [3] Group 3 - A significant trading volume of 1.36 trillion yuan was recorded, an increase of 170 billion yuan from the previous day, with nearly 5000 stocks rising [5] - The positive market conditions are attributed to the appreciation of the yuan and easing tariff expectations, leading to a favorable outlook for May [5] - The market is expected to remain strong, with a focus on maintaining upward trends in stock prices [5] Group 4 - The A-share market opened positively in May, with the Shanghai Composite Index rising over 1% and returning to the 3300-point level, with nearly 5000 stocks in the green [7] - The market sentiment is optimistic, with expectations of more favorable conditions ahead, as previous negative factors have been addressed [7] - A gradual upward trend is preferred over rapid increases, as there are still significant resistance levels to overcome [7]