Group 1: Report Core Views - Australia's 2025/26 rapeseed crop output is expected to be 5.7 million tons, unchanged from the previous forecast, with the forecast range between 5.4 - 6.3 million tons. The near - normal temperatures by October will support crop growth, but the cooling forecast from August 25 - 31 is worth attention due to possible light frost in some areas [1] - Malaysia's palm oil product exports from August 1 - 20 increased by 13.6% compared to the same period last month, reaching 929,051 tons [1] - Indonesia plans to increase its crude palm oil annual output from 48.2 million tons in 2024 to 60 million tons by 2030 to meet the growing demand. To achieve this goal, BPDP has implemented human resource improvement plans and the government has launched a plantation revival plan [1] Group 2: Spot Prices - Spot prices of soybean meal in Jiangsu, rapeseed meal in Guangdong, soybean oil in Jiangsu, palm oil in Guangzhou, and rapeseed oil in Jiangsu from August 14 - 20, 2025 are provided, showing price fluctuations during this period [1][8]

Group 1 - The core point of the article highlights that Malaysia's palm oil export volume from August 1 to 20 reached 929,051 tons, representing a 13.61% increase compared to 817,755 tons during the same period last month [1]

Core Viewpoint - The article highlights the significant growth of Yunnan's agricultural exports, particularly fruits and vegetables, to ASEAN markets, driven by geographical advantages, logistics improvements, and supportive policies [1][2][3] Group 1: Export Growth - In the first half of 2025, Yunnan's agricultural exports to ASEAN reached 18.62 billion yuan, a year-on-year increase of 23.5%, with fruit exports growing by 44.3% [1] - The region's unique climate allows for year-round production of various fruits and vegetables, filling seasonal gaps in the ASEAN market [2] Group 2: Infrastructure and Logistics - The opening of the China-Laos Railway and expedited customs processes have significantly improved the speed of agricultural exports [2] - The "Luliang Vegetable Express" cold chain freight train has reduced transportation time to Bangkok by nearly half compared to road transport [2] Group 3: Policy Support - The Yunnan provincial government has implemented measures to optimize tax collection and services to promote the export of highland specialty agricultural products [3] - The establishment of a "green channel" for agricultural exports has facilitated efficient circulation of temperate and tropical fruits [3]

Core Insights - Cambodia's agricultural exports reached $2.42 billion in the first seven months of the year, a 7.5% increase compared to $2.26 billion in the same period last year [1] Export Performance - Key agricultural products exported include rice, bananas, cashews, mangoes, cassava, longan, pepper, and corn [1] - Significant increases in export values were noted for several products: - Cashew exports rose from $490 million to $770 million, a growth of approximately 59% [1] - Corn exports reached $16.66 million, up 52.6% year-on-year [1] - Banana exports totaled $100 million, reflecting a 24.6% increase [1] - Rice exports amounted to $310 million, a year-on-year growth of 11.6% [1] - Longan exports were $24.43 million, up 10.2% [1] - Mango exports were $100 million, showing a slight increase of 0.3% [1] Declining Exports - Some agricultural products experienced a decline in export values: - Rice exports were $610 million, down 16.8% year-on-year [1] - Pepper exports totaled $2.348 million, a decrease of 14% [1] - Cassava exports were $470 million, down 9.8% [1] Major Markets - Cambodia's primary agricultural export markets include China, ASEAN countries, and EU nations [1]

Core Insights - The article highlights the booming production and export of water caltrop, also known as "water ginseng," from Chongqing, China, particularly in Shizhu Tujia Autonomous County, which is the largest production area globally [1][3]. Industry Overview - Water caltrop is a perennial aquatic herb that requires high-quality water and soil conditions for cultivation. It is currently grown on a large scale in regions such as Zhejiang, Chongqing, Hubei, and Hokkaido, Japan [3]. - The planting area for water caltrop in Shizhu is reported to be 14,000 acres, with an annual production of 14,000 tons. The county has developed 35 types of products, including leisure foods, beverages, and skincare items, which are sold in markets such as South Korea, Japan, and Malaysia [3][4]. Export Developments - In December 2024, Chongqing's Water Fire Soil Food Industry Co., Ltd. signed a $100 million export contract with a Japanese company, which includes $80 million worth of water caltrop products. This marks a significant step in the international trade of this agricultural product [4]. - The first self-operated export of ready-to-eat water caltrop occurred in January 2025, indicating a growing presence in international markets [4]. Market Dynamics - The demand for water caltrop is increasing, particularly in Japan, where it is considered a premium ingredient due to its limited local production. As a result, imports from regions like Chongqing are essential [3]. - The harvesting season lasts approximately four months, with significant orders being placed, and advanced preservation techniques allow the product to be stored for extended periods [3]. Local Economic Impact - Local farmers are engaged in the harvesting process, earning between 7 to 8 RMB per kilogram of fresh water caltrop, with daily earnings potentially reaching 800 RMB for efficient workers [5]. - The establishment of the Shizhu Water Caltrop Industry Association in 2024 aims to further develop the industry, focusing on market expansion, technological updates, and product development [7].

Report Summary 1) Report Industry Investment Rating - No investment rating information is provided in the report. 2) Core Viewpoints - The U.S. soybean export inspection volume in the week ending August 7 was 518,066 tons, higher than the expected 200,000 - 500,000 tons [1]. - As of August 10, the U.S. soybean good - excellent rate was 68%, in line with market expectations, with a decline from the previous week [1]. - Brazil exported 2,774,453.27 tons of soybeans in the first week of August, with a 27% increase in daily average export volume compared to August last year [1]. - Malaysian palm oil exports from August 1 - 10 increased by 23.3% (ITS data) and 23.7% (AmSpec data) compared to the same period last month [1]. - Malaysian palm oil inventory at the end of July reached the highest in nearly two years, with a 4.02% month - on - month increase to 2.11 million tons due to strong production [1]. 3) Summary by Related Catalogs Overnight Market Information - U.S. soybean export inspection volume in the week ending August 7 was 518,066 tons, higher than the expected 200,000 - 500,000 tons, and the previous week's revised volume was 628,110 tons [1]. - As of August 10, the U.S. soybean good - excellent rate was 68%, the flowering rate was 91%, and the pod - setting rate was 71% [1]. - Brazil exported 2,774,453.27 tons of soybeans in the first week of August, with a daily average export volume of 462,408.88 tons, a 27% increase compared to August last year [1]. - Malaysian palm oil exports from August 1 - 10 increased by 23.3% (ITS data) and 23.7% (AmSpec data) compared to the same period last month [1]. - Malaysian palm oil inventory at the end of July reached 2.11 million tons, a 4.02% month - on - month increase, with production increasing by 7.09% to 1.81 million tons and exports increasing by 3.82% to 1.31 million tons [1]. Spot Prices - Spot prices of various products such as soybean meal in Jiangsu, rapeseed meal in Guangdong, soybean oil in Jiangsu, palm oil in Guangzhou, and rapeseed oil in Jiangsu from August 5 - 11 are provided [2]. Protein Meal Basis - The report mentions protein meal basis but does not provide specific content [3]. Fat Basis - The report mentions fat basis but does not provide specific content [6]. Fat and Oil Futures Spread - The report mentions fat and oil futures spread but does not provide specific content [8]

Core Insights - The article highlights the commencement of longan exports from Maoming, Guangdong, with an initial shipment of 18 tons heading to Canada, marking the start of the 2025 export season for Maoming longan [1] Group 1: Industry Overview - Maoming is recognized as the "Hometown of Longan" in China, with a long history of over 2000 years in longan cultivation, primarily focusing on the Shuliang and Shixia varieties [1] - The total area dedicated to longan cultivation in Maoming has reached 780,000 acres, with Shuliang longan being a national geographical indication product known for its small seeds, thick flesh, and sweet flavor [1] Group 2: Export Dynamics - Maoming longan is exported to various countries, including the United States, Canada, and Japan, and is well-received by consumers both domestically and internationally [1] - To facilitate the export of longan, which has a short shelf life and is difficult to store and transport, Maoming Customs has established a fast track for fresh agricultural products, implementing a "one-on-one" special connection for expedited processing [1]

1. Report Industry Investment Rating - The report gives a neutral strategy for the oil and fat industry [4] 2. Core View of the Report - The weather in the US soybean production areas is favorable, with a decreasing drought rate and good growth. As the weather window gradually closes, there are strong expectations of a bumper harvest, which puts pressure on the oil and fat market, leading to an oscillatory adjustment [1][3] 3. Summary by Relevant Catalogs Market Analysis - **Futures**: The closing price of the palm oil 2509 contract was 8,950 yuan/ton, a decrease of 20 yuan or 0.22% compared to the previous day; the soybean oil 2509 contract closed at 8,406 yuan/ton, unchanged from the previous day; the rapeseed oil 2509 contract closed at 9,496 yuan/ton, a decrease of 66 yuan or 0.69% [1] - **Spot**: In the Guangdong region, the spot price of palm oil was 8,940 yuan/ton, a decrease of 40 yuan or 0.45%, with a spot basis of P09 + -10 yuan, a decrease of 20 yuan; in the Tianjin region, the spot price of first - grade soybean oil was 8,510 yuan/ton, a decrease of 20 yuan or 0.23%, with a spot basis of Y09 + 104 yuan, a decrease of 20 yuan; in the Jiangsu region, the spot price of fourth - grade rapeseed oil was 9,610 yuan/ton, a decrease of 60 yuan or 0.62%, with a spot basis of OI09 + 114 yuan, an increase of 6 yuan [1] Recent Market Information Summary - **US Drought**: As of the week ending August 5, about 3% of the US soybean planting area was affected by drought, down from 5% the previous week and 4% last year [2] - **Brazilian Soybeans**: The 2025/26 soybean planting area in Brazil is expected to grow at the slowest pace in nearly 20 years, with an estimated planting area of 48.13 million hectares (118.9 million acres), a 1.43% increase from the previous year, the smallest increase since the 2006/07 season. The estimated production is 166.56 million tons, lower than the previous year's 168.74 million tons. Brazil's soybean exports in August are expected to reach 8.15 million tons, compared to 7.98 million tons last year [2] - **US Soybean Exports**: The net sales of US soybean exports in the 2024/2025 season were 468,000 tons, up from 349,000 tons the previous week; the net sales in the 2025/2026 season were 545,000 tons, up from 429,000 tons the previous week [2] - **Brazilian Exports**: Brazilian soybean exports in August are expected to reach 8.15 million tons, compared to 7.98 million tons last year; soybean meal exports are expected to be 1.74 million tons, compared to 2.1 million tons last year; corn exports are expected to be 7.58 million tons, compared to 6.42 million tons last year [2] - **Import Prices**: Canadian rapeseed (October shipment) C&F price is $561/ton, down $7/ton; Canadian rapeseed (December shipment) C&F price is $551/ton, down $7/ton. Argentine soybean oil (September shipment) C&F price is $1,141/ton, down $12/ton; Argentine soybean oil (November shipment) C&F price is $1,120/ton, down $21/ton [2]

Core Insights - Chile's Agriculture Ministry has signed a plant quarantine agreement with Indonesia, officially opening the fresh lemon export market to Indonesia, which is the world's fourth most populous country and the largest Muslim nation [1] - This development presents new opportunities for Chilean agricultural exports, particularly in the lemon sector, which has seen significant growth [1] Export Growth - Chile's lemon export industry is experiencing robust growth, with export value projected to increase from $65 million in 2023 to $87 million in 2024, representing a 34% year-on-year growth [1] - Current export markets include the United States, parts of Europe, and South Korea, with the addition of Indonesia expected to benefit regions such as Coquimbo, Valparaíso, and the capital area [1] Bilateral Relations - The achievement is attributed to the collaboration between public and private sectors in Chile [1] - President Boric plans to visit Indonesia during the 2025 APEC summit to further deepen bilateral economic and trade relations [1]

1. Report Industry Investment Rating No relevant content provided. 2. Core Viewpoints of the Report - Last week, the CBOT November soybean contract rose 27.5 to close at 1035 cents per bushel, a 2.73% increase; the September soybean meal contract rose 80 to close at 3056 yuan per ton, a 2.69% increase; the South China soybean meal spot price rose 30 to 2850 yuan per ton, a 1.06% increase; the September rapeseed meal contract rose 89 to 2850 yuan per ton, a 3.38% increase; the Guangxi rapeseed meal spot price rose 90 to 2600 yuan per ton, a 3.59% increase [4][7]. - The U.S. soybeans closed higher in a volatile market. Firstly, the U.S. soybean crushing volume exceeded expectations, and driven by the boost of the biodiesel policy, the strength of U.S. soybean oil led to the increase. Secondly, the export sales progress of new - crop soybeans accelerated, and the agricultural product procurement agreement between the U.S. and Indonesia was conducive to increasing the export demand for U.S. agricultural products. Thirdly, precipitation in the production areas during the critical growth period in August might decrease compared with the previous period, and the temperature would rise, with the possibility of drought still existing. The Brazilian premium fluctuated within a limited range, and combined with the strength of the external market, there was support from the import cost. There was an expectation of tight soybean supply in the fourth quarter, and there was still no news of soybean procurement. The Dalian soybean meal rose in a volatile market. In the near - term, soybean meal was in the process of continuous inventory accumulation, the supply was relatively loose, and the rebound strength of the spot price was limited [4][7]. - In the next two weeks, the cumulative precipitation in the production areas will be slightly higher than the average, but the precipitation forecast at the end of July has decreased compared with the previous period, and the temperature is relatively high, so there are still concerns about drought. Attention should be paid to the U.S. tariff trade negotiations, as an agricultural product agreement may be reached, which is conducive to boosting the export expectations of U.S. agricultural products. Under the effect of the U.S. biodiesel policy, U.S. soybean oil has risen significantly, supporting the increase in U.S. soybeans. The near - term crushing capacity utilization rate is at a high level, the spot supply is sufficient, and the rebound strength is limited. Attention should be paid to further Sino - U.S. economic and trade negotiations. If the relationship improves, it may be conducive to starting the procurement of U.S. soybeans. The Brazilian premium is stable, and the increase in the external market has raised the import cost. In the short term, the Dalian soybean meal may run in a slightly stronger and volatile manner [4][11]. 3. Summary According to Relevant Catalogs Market Data | Contract | July 18 | July 11 | Change | Change Rate | Unit | | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | | CBOT Soybean | 1035.00 | 1007.50 | 27.50 | 2.73% | Cents per bushel | | CNF Import Price: Brazil | 472.00 | 467.00 | 5.00 | 1.07% | Dollars per ton | | CNF Import Price: U.S. Gulf | 458.00 | 452.00 | 6.00 | 1.33% | Dollars per ton | | Brazilian Soybean Crushing Margin on the Futures Market | - 17.41 | - 32.57 | 15.16 | | Yuan per ton | | DCE Soybean Meal | 3056.00 | 2976.00 | 80.00 | 2.69% | Yuan per ton | | CZCE Rapeseed Meal | 2722.00 | 2633.00 | 89.00 | 3.38% | Yuan per ton | | Soybean Meal - Rapeseed Meal Spread | 334.00 | 343.00 | - 9.00 | | Yuan per ton | | Spot Price: East China | 2900.00 | 2830.00 | 70.00 | 2.47% | Yuan per ton | | Spot Price: South China | 2850.00 | 2820.00 | 30.00 | 1.06% | Yuan per ton | | Spot - Futures Spread: South China | - 206.00 | - 156.00 | - 50.00 | | Yuan per ton | [5] Market Analysis and Outlook - U.S. soybean market: The U.S. soybean crushing volume in June was higher than the average expectation of market analysts, and the soybean oil inventory dropped to a five - month low. As of the week ending July 13, 2025, the U.S. soybean good - to - excellent rate was 70%, higher than the market expectation of 67%. As of the week ending July 15, about 7% of the U.S. soybean planting area was affected by drought. The export sales of U.S. soybeans showed different trends in different periods. The 2024/2025 annual cumulative export sales volume was 5065 tons, with a sales progress of 99.8%. The 2025/2026 annual weekly export net sales were 53 tons, and the cumulative sales volume of this year was 237 tons [7][8][9]. - Brazilian soybean market: The Brazilian National Association of Grain Exporters (Anec) estimated that the soybean export volume in July was expected to be 1219 tons. The 2025 soybean production forecast in Brazil reached a record 1.697 billion tons, and the processing volume and export volume forecasts were also adjusted upwards [10][15]. - Inventory situation: As of the week ending July 11, 2025, the main oil mills' soybean inventory was 657.49 tons, the soybean meal inventory was 88.62 tons, the unexecuted contracts were 548.8 tons, and the national port soybean inventory was 823.1 tons. As of the week ending July 18, the national weekly average daily trading volume of soybean meal was 132,540 tons, the weekly average daily pick - up volume was 185,240 tons, the main oil mills' crushing volume was 2.3055 million tons, and the feed enterprises' soybean meal inventory days were 8.26 days [10][11]. Industry News - Brazil's soybean export in the first two weeks of July was 4,331,243.97 tons, with an average daily export volume of 481,249.33 tons, a 1.61% decrease compared with the average daily export volume in July last year [12]. - As of the week ending July 2, the good - to - excellent rate of rapeseed in Saskatchewan, Canada was 58.97%. As of the week ending July 8, the good - to - excellent rate of rapeseed growth in Alberta was 63.7%. In Manitoba, rapeseed was at different growth stages [12]. - The soybean crushing profit in Mato Grosso, Brazil from July 7 to July 11 was 443.58 reais per ton [13]. - As of July 13, the EU's 2025/26 palm oil, soybean, soybean meal, and rapeseed import volumes were all lower than the same period last year [13]. - The 2025/26 Ukrainian rapeseed production was expected to remain at 3.25 million tons, and the Ukrainian parliament passed a bill to impose a 10% export tariff on rapeseed and soybeans [14]. - The U.S. renewable fuel blending credit limit in June increased compared with May. The ethanol (D6) blending credit limit was about 1.25 billion gallons, and the biodiesel (D4) blending credit limit increased from 602 million gallons last month to 629 million gallons in June [14]. - The Rosario Grain Exchange in Argentina raised the 2024/25 soybean production forecast to 49.5 million tons [15]. Relevant Charts The report includes 28 charts, covering the trends of U.S. soybean continuous contracts, Brazilian soybean CNF arrival prices, freight rates, RMB spot exchange rates, management fund CBOT net positions, soybean meal contract trends, spot prices in different regions, and various inventory and trading volume data trends [16][17][18][19][20][21][23][25][27][29][31][35][38][39][41][43][48][49]