交易咨询业务资格：证监许可【2012】1091号 2025-06-19燃料油早报 大越期货投资咨询部 金泽彬 从业资格证号：F3048432 投资咨询证号： Z0015557 联系方式：0575-85226759 重要提示：本报告非期货交易咨询业务项下服务，其中的观点和信息仅作参考之用，不构成对任何人的投 资建议。 我司不会因为关注、收到或阅读本报告内容而视相关人员为客户；市场有风险，投资需谨慎。 CONTENTS 目 录 1 每日提示 2 多空关注 3 基本面数据 4 5 价差数据 库存数据 1、基本面：由于全球最大船燃加注中心新加坡周边下游船加油市场供需趋于平衡，亚洲低硫燃 料油市场短期内预计维持稳定；随着中东夏季用油高峰临近，科威特国内消费增加，预计其燃料 油出口量将减少；中性 2、基差：新加坡高硫燃料油为486.19美元/吨，基差为250元/吨，新加坡低硫燃料油为547.5美元 /吨，基差为103元/吨，现货升水期货；偏多 3、库存：新加坡燃料油6月11日当周库存为2311.9万桶，增加171万桶；偏空 4、盘面：价格在20日线上方，20日线偏上；偏多 5、主力持仓：高硫主力持仓多单，多减，偏多；低硫 ...

Report Summary 1) Report Industry Investment Rating - High - sulfur fuel oil: Oscillation [3] - Low - sulfur fuel oil: Oscillation [3] 2) Core Viewpoints - The main contract of SHFE fuel oil futures closed down 0.07% at 2,912 yuan/ton while the main contract of INE low - sulfur fuel oil futures closed up 0.17% at 3,563 yuan/ton [1] - Crude oil prices showed a volatile and strong trend after the OPEC meeting. Short - term fundamentals are okay with some market support, but there is pressure on the balance sheet to turn into surplus in the medium term, so there is resistance above after continuous rebounds [1] - The overall market contradiction of fuel oil is limited. High - sulfur fuel oil cracking spreads have continuously declined recently. With summer approaching, power generation demand in the Middle East and Egypt is rising, and Egypt's fuel oil imports continue to grow. However, high cracking spreads have suppressed refinery demand, and the market will face pressure after power generation demand falls [2] - Low - sulfur fuel oil has limited short - term supply pressure with low bonded port inventories. But after the domestic refinery maintenance season ends, domestic production is expected to rise, and the volume of arbitrage cargoes from the West in June is also expected to increase. In the medium term, it still faces the contradiction of being replaced in the ship - fuel demand share [2] 3) Strategy Summary - High - sulfur: Oscillation [3] - Low - sulfur: Oscillation [3] - Cross - variety: Pay attention to the opportunity of shorting FU cracking spreads (FU - SC or FU - Brent) on rallies. Short - term support is strong, so try to short at high levels [3] - Cross - period: None [3] - Spot - futures: None [3] - Options: None [3]

CONTENTS 目 录 1 每日提示 2 多空关注 3 基本面数据 4 5 价差数据 库存数据 交易咨询业务资格：证监许可【2012】1091号 2025-06-10燃料油早报 大越期货投资咨询部 金泽彬 从业资格证号：F3048432 投资咨询证号： Z0015557 联系方式：0575-85226759 重要提示：本报告非期货交易咨询业务项下服务，其中的观点和信息仅作参考之用，不构成对任何人的投 资建议。 我司不会因为关注、收到或阅读本报告内容而视相关人员为客户；市场有风险，投资需谨慎。 燃料油： 1、基本面：亚洲低硫燃料油市场结构维持稳定，不过，含硫0.5%船用燃料油现货溢价因买兴疲 软而周环比下跌9.4%；亚洲高硫燃料油市场预计短期内将受到稳定的船货需求、强劲的下游船燃 活动以及南亚和中东夏季发电需求的支撑；中性 2、基差：新加坡高硫燃料油为431.07美元/吨，基差为258元/吨，新加坡低硫燃料油为498.5美元 /吨，基差为156元/吨，现货升水期货；偏多 3、库存：新加坡燃料油6月4日当周库存为2140.9万桶，减少61万桶；偏多 4、盘面：价格在20日线上方，20日线偏平；中性 5、主力持仓 ...

交易咨询业务资格：证监许可【2012】1091号 2025-06-09燃料油早报 大越期货投资咨询部 金泽彬 从业资格证号：F3048432 投资咨询证号： Z0015557 联系方式：0575-85226759 重要提示：本报告非期货交易咨询业务项下服务，其中的观点和信息仅作参考之用，不构成对任何人的投 资建议。 我司不会因为关注、收到或阅读本报告内容而视相关人员为客户；市场有风险，投资需谨慎。 CONTENTS 目 录 1 每日提示 2 多空关注 3 基本面数据 4 5 价差数据 库存数据 燃料油： 1、基本面：新加坡一位交易商表示，低硫燃料油市场近期会处于区间波动状态，近月市场情绪 略显疲软。由于部分市场参与者面临储罐空间不足问题，不得不通过销售来释放库存，导致目前 码头交货市场走弱。不过，预计这些问题不会在整个6月持续压制市场；新加坡380CST高硫燃料 油现货升水升至9.21美元/吨，创下3月28日以来最高水平；中性 2、基差：新加坡高硫燃料油为434.42美元/吨，基差为260元/吨，新加坡低硫燃料油为498.5美元 /吨，基差为138元/吨，现货升水期货；偏多 3、库存：新加坡燃料油6月4日当周 ...

交易咨询业务资格：证监许可【2012】1091号 2025-06-05燃料油早报 大越期货投资咨询部 金泽彬 从业资格证号：F3048432 投资咨询证号： Z0015557 联系方式：0575-85226759 重要提示：本报告非期货交易咨询业务项下服务，其中的观点和信息仅作参考之用，不构成对任何人的投 资建议。 我司不会因为关注、收到或阅读本报告内容而视相关人员为客户；市场有风险，投资需谨慎。 CONTENTS 目 录 1 每日提示 2 多空关注 3 基本面数据 4 5 价差数据 库存数据 燃料油： 1、基本面：受6月市场供应相对紧张的预期支撑，亚洲低硫燃料油市场结构走强，不过含硫0.5%船用燃 料油现货溢价则因实物货物报价竞争加剧而持续下跌；中性 2、基差：新加坡高硫燃料油为423.25美元/吨，基差为205元/吨，新加坡低硫燃料油为496.5美元/吨，基 差为146元/吨，现货升水期货；偏多 6、预期：隔夜原油受沙特调价下挫，短期对燃油带来一定冲击，目前新加坡燃油市场行情相对宽松， 预计燃油跟随原油今日震荡回落。FU2507：2900-2950区间运行，LU2507：3450-3500区间运行 3、库 ...

交易咨询业务资格：证监许可【2012】1091号 2025-05-23燃料油早报 大越期货投资咨询部 金泽彬 从业资格证号：F3048432 投资咨询证号： Z0015557 联系方式：0575-85226759 重要提示：本报告非期货交易咨询业务项下服务，其中的观点和信息仅作参考之用，不构成对任何人的投 资建议。 我司不会因为关注、收到或阅读本报告内容而视相关人员为客户；市场有风险，投资需谨慎。 CONTENTS 目 录 1 每日提示 2 多空关注 3 基本面数据 4 5 价差数据 库存数据 燃料油： 6、预期：隔夜有消息称OPEC在7月考虑继续增产，对油价带来较大打击，燃油同步下挫，后续G7考虑降 低俄罗斯能源产品出口上限价格，为燃油提供部分支撑，价格略有企稳，短期预计低位震荡运行，等待 消息。FU2507：2980-3030区间运行，LU2507：3470-3520区间运行 1、基本面：受到季节性公用事业发电需求旺盛的支撑，亚洲高硫燃料油市场结构走强；贸易消息人士 称，部分区域供应增加以及近期来自南苏丹的Dar混合原油的装运增加了低硫燃料油的调和原料池，在 一定程度上对低硫燃料油市场基本面造成了压力；中 ...

1. Report Industry Investment Rating - Not provided in the given content 2. Core Viewpoints of the Report - The current market structure of fuel oil remains stable, with the short - term fundamentals of high - sulfur and low - sulfur fuel oil being acceptable. However, in the medium term, the contradiction of demand share substitution and surplus production capacity has not been reversed [2]. - The price of crude oil has been fluctuating recently, and its short - term direction is unclear, providing limited guidance for FU and LU prices [2]. - For high - sulfur fuel oil, as summer approaches, the demand from power plants in the Middle East and other regions is entering a seasonal growth stage, but the substitution demand for fuel oil may decline year - on - year this year [2]. 3. Summary According to Relevant Content Market Analysis - The main contract of SHFE fuel oil futures closed up 1.29% at 3,074 yuan/ton during the day session, and the main contract of INE low - sulfur fuel oil futures closed up 0.25% at 3,571 yuan/ton [1]. Strategy - High - sulfur fuel oil: Short - term trend is oscillating with a slight upward bias, but there is still pressure in the medium term [3]. - Low - sulfur fuel oil: Short - term trend is oscillating with a slight upward bias, but there is still pressure in the medium term [3]. - Cross - variety: No strategy provided [3]. - Cross - period: Pay attention to the opportunity of going long the spread between FU2507 and FU2509 at low levels (positive spread) [3]. - Futures - spot: No strategy provided [3]. - Options: No strategy provided [3].

近期多空分析 交易咨询业务资格：证监许可【2012】1091号 2025-05-19燃料油早报 大越期货投资咨询部 金泽彬 从业资格证号：F3048432 投资咨询证号： Z0015557 联系方式：0575-85226759 重要提示：本报告非期货交易咨询业务项下服务，其中的观点和信息仅作参考之用，不构成对任何人的投 资建议。 我司不会因为关注、收到或阅读本报告内容而视相关人员为客户；市场有风险，投资需谨慎。 CONTENTS 目 录 1 每日提示 2 多空关注 3 基本面数据 4 5 价差数据 库存数据 燃料油： 1、基本面：亚洲低硫燃料油市场结构走强，主要原因在于即期供应紧张。此外，含硫0.5%船用燃料油 现货溢价连续第六个交易日上涨，以及新加坡燃料油库存降至两个月低点都对市场形成支撑；受季节性 发电需求和下游船用燃料油市场看涨推动，亚洲高硫燃料油炼油利润近几周大幅上升；偏多 2、基差：新加坡高硫燃料油为426.03美元/吨，基差为171元/吨，新加坡低硫燃料油为516.5美元/吨，基 差为213元/吨，现货升水期货；偏多 3、库存：新加坡燃料油5月14日当周库存为2490.9万桶，增加78万桶；偏空 ...

交易咨询业务资格：证监许可【2012】1091号 2025-05-15燃料油早报 大越期货投资咨询部 金泽彬 从业资格证号：F3048432 投资咨询证号： Z0015557 联系方式：0575-85226759 重要提示：本报告非期货交易咨询业务项下服务，其中的观点和信息仅作参考之用，不构成对任何人的投 资建议。 我司不会因为关注、收到或阅读本报告内容而视相关人员为客户；市场有风险，投资需谨慎。 CONTENTS 目 录 1 每日提示 2 多空关注 3 基本面数据 4 5 价差数据 库存数据 3、库存：新加坡燃料油5月7日当周库存为2412.9万桶，增加40万桶；偏空 4、盘面：价格在20日线附近运行，20日线偏平；中性 5、主力持仓：高硫主力持仓多单，多增，偏多；低硫主力持仓空单，空增，偏空 6、预期：隔夜在消息面影响下油价走低，燃油预计跟随，短期高硫略强于低硫。FU2507：3030-3060区 间运行，LU2507：3610-3670区间运行 近期多空分析 利多： 利空： 燃料油： 1、基本面：新加坡一位贸易商表示，由于东西套利窗口持续关闭，6月之前低硫燃料油市场供应可能会 相当紧张，不过当前下游船燃 ...

1. Report Industry Investment Rating - Not provided in the given content 2. Core View of the Report - The Asian low - sulfur fuel oil market structure remains near the current level. The spot premium of marine fuel oil has risen due to increased buying interest in the spot market. The commercial fuel oil inventory in Singapore, the world's largest bunkering hub, has dropped to a seven - week low, and imports have declined for the second consecutive week. Crude oil price increases and the easing of Sino - US trade relations are short - term positives for crude - related prices, but there are still significant obstacles in the future, and preparations should be made for the short - term profit - taking. The expected operating ranges are 3010 - 3050 for FU2507 and 3520 - 3560 for LU2506 [3]. 3. Summary According to the Table of Contents 3.1 Daily Hints - **Fundamentals**: Asian low - sulfur fuel oil market structure is stable, spot premium of marine fuel oil rises, and Singapore's fuel oil inventory drops to a seven - week low with declining imports [3]. - **Basis**: Singapore high - sulfur fuel oil basis is 80 yuan/ton at 412.9 dollars/ton, and low - sulfur fuel oil basis is 185 yuan/ton at 499.5 dollars/ton, with spot premiums over futures [3]. - **Inventory**: Singapore fuel oil inventory on May 7 was 2412.9 million barrels, an increase of 40 million barrels [3]. - **Market**: Prices are near the 20 - day line, which is flat [3]. - **Main Positions**: High - sulfur main positions are long and increasing, while low - sulfur main positions are short and increasing [3]. - **Expectations**: Crude oil price increases and Sino - US trade relation easing are short - term positives, but long - term negotiation expectations remain. FU2507 is expected to operate in the 3010 - 3050 range, and LU2506 in the 3520 - 3560 range [3]. 3.2 Long and Short Concerns - **Long Factors**: OPEC+ additional production cuts continue (execution to be tracked), and China's import quotas are released [4]. - **Short Factors**: The optimism of demand side remains to be verified, and there is a possibility of relaxation of sanctions on Russia [4]. - **Market Drivers**: The resonance between the uncertain supply - side production cuts and neutral demand [4]. 3.3 Fundamental Data - **Futures Quotes**: The price of the FU main contract futures increased from 2923 to 2961, a rise of 38 (1.30%); the price of the LU main contract futures increased from 3464 to 3479, a rise of 15 (0.43%). The FU basis increased from 53 to 80, a rise of 27 (51.63%); the LU basis decreased from 190 to 185, a decline of 4 (- 2.28%) [5]. - **Spot Quotes**: The prices of Zhoushan high - sulfur and low - sulfur fuel oils remained unchanged. Singapore high - sulfur fuel oil price increased from 402.43 to 412.90, a rise of 10.47 (2.60%); low - sulfur fuel oil price increased from 493.50 to 499.50, a rise of 6.00 (1.22%); Middle - East high - sulfur fuel oil price increased from 380.39 to 390.86, a rise of 10.47 (2.75%); Singapore diesel price increased from 559.34 to 572.32, a rise of 12.98 (2.32%) [6]. 3.4 Spread Data - Not provided in the given content 3.5 Inventory Data - Singapore fuel oil inventory on May 7 was 2412.9 million barrels, an increase of 40 million barrels compared to the previous period. The inventory data from February 26 to May 7 shows fluctuations [8].