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宝城期货品种套利数据日报(2025年11月26日)-20251126
Bao Cheng Qi Huo· 2025-11-26 01:38
投资咨询业务资格:证监许可【2011】1778 号 期货研究报告 宝城期货品种套利数据日报(2025 年 11 月 26 日) 一、动力煤 | 商品 | | | 动力煤 | | (元/吨) | | | | | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | | 日期 | 基差 | | 5月-1月 | | | 9月-1月 | | 9月-5月 | | 2025/11/25 | 21 . | 6 | 0 | 0 . | 0 | 0 . | 0 | 0 . | | 2025/11/24 | 32 . | 6 | 0 | 0 . | 0 | 0 . | 0 | 0 . | | 2025/11/21 | 32 . | 6 | 0 | 0 . | 0 | 0 . | 0 | 0 . | | 2025/11/20 | 32 . | 6 | 0 | 0 . | 0 | 0 . | 0 | 0 . | | 2025/11/19 | 32 . | 6 | 0 0 . | | 0 | 0 . | 0 | 0 . | www.bcqhgs.com 1 杭州市求是路8号公元大厦 ...
西南期货早间评论-20251125
Xi Nan Qi Huo· 2025-11-25 07:17
2025 年 11 月 25 日星期二 重庆市江北区金沙门路 32 号 23 层; 023-63638617 上海市浦东新区世纪大道 210 号 10 楼 1001; 1 市场有风险 投资需谨慎 地址: 电话: | | | | 铅: | | 15 | | --- | --- | --- | | 锡: | | 15 | | 镍: | | 16 | | 豆油、豆粕: | | 16 | | 棕榈油: | | 17 | | 菜粕、菜油: | | 17 | | 棉花: | | 18 | | 白糖: | | 19 | | 苹果: | | 20 | | 生猪: | | 20 | | 鸡蛋: | | 21 | | 玉米&淀粉: | | 22 | | 免责声明 | | 24 | 国债: 上一交易日,国债期货收盘多数下跌,30 年期主力合约跌 0.31%报 115.570 元, 10 年期主力合约跌 0.04%报 108.430 元,5 年期主力合约跌 0.06%报 105.855 元,2 年 期主力合约持平于 102.460 元。 公开市场方面,央行公告称,11 月 21 日以固定利率、数量招标方式开展了 3750 亿元 7 ...
一、动力煤:宝城期货品种套利数据日报(2025年11月25日)-20251125
Bao Cheng Qi Huo· 2025-11-25 02:32
Report Industry Investment Rating - No information provided in the report Core Viewpoint - The report presents the daily arbitrage data of various futures varieties on November 25, 2025, including basis, inter - period spreads, and inter - commodity spreads for different sectors such as thermal coal, energy chemicals, black metals, non - ferrous metals, agricultural products, and stock index futures [1][5][21][27][38][48] Summary by Directory 1. Thermal Coal - The basis of thermal coal from November 18 to November 24, 2025, was 32.6 yuan/ton, and the spreads of 5 - month minus 1 - month, 9 - month minus 1 - month, and 9 - month minus 5 - month were all 0 [2] 2. Energy Chemicals (1) Energy Commodities - The basis, price ratio, and other data of fuel oil, crude oil, asphalt, and INE crude oil from November 18 to November 24, 2025, are presented, such as the basis of INE crude oil on November 24 was - 8.81 yuan/ton [7] (2) Chemical Commodities - **Inter - period spreads**: For rubber, methanol, PTA, LLDPE, PVC, PP, and ethylene glycol, the inter - period spreads of 5 - month minus 1 - month, 9 - month minus 1 - month, and 9 - month minus 5 - month are provided. For example, the 5 - month minus 1 - month spread of rubber was 75 yuan/ton [9] - **Inter - commodity spreads**: The inter - commodity spreads of LLDPE - PVC, LLDPE - PP, PP - PVC, and PP - 3 * methanol from November 18 to November 24, 2025, are given. For instance, on November 24, the LLDPE - PVC spread was 2297 yuan/ton [9] - **Basis**: The basis data of rubber, methanol, PTA, LLDPE, PVC, PP, and ethylene glycol from November 18 to November 24, 2025, are shown. For example, the basis of rubber on November 24 was - 370 yuan/ton [10] 3. Black Metals - **Inter - period spreads**: For rebar, iron ore, coke, and coking coal, the inter - period spreads of 5 - month minus 1 - month, 9 - month (10) minus 1 - month, and 9 - month (10) minus 5 - month are provided. For example, the 5 - month minus 1 - month spread of rebar was 29 yuan/ton [20] - **Inter - commodity spreads**: The inter - commodity spreads of rebar/iron ore, rebar/coke, coke/coking coal, and rebar - hot - rolled coil from November 18 to November 24, 2025, are given. For instance, on November 24, the rebar/iron ore ratio was 3.90 [20] - **Basis**: The basis data of rebar, iron ore, coke, and coking coal from November 18 to November 24, 2025, are shown. For example, the basis of rebar on November 24 was 161.0 yuan/ton [21] 4. Non - Ferrous Metals (1) Domestic Market - The domestic basis data of copper, aluminum, zinc, lead, nickel, and tin from November 18 to November 24, 2025, are presented. For example, the basis of copper on November 24 was 90 yuan/ton [30] (2) London Market - On November 24, 2025, for LME non - ferrous metals, the LME premium/discount, Shanghai - London ratio, CIF price, domestic spot price, and import profit/loss of copper, aluminum, zinc, lead, nickel, and tin are provided. For example, the LME premium of copper was 24.88 [33] 5. Agricultural Products - **Basis**: The basis data of soybeans No.1, soybeans No.2, soybean meal, soybean oil, corn, etc., from November 18 to November 24, 2025, are shown. For example, the basis of soybeans No.1 on November 24 was - 130 yuan/ton [38] - **Inter - period spreads**: The inter - period spreads of various agricultural products such as soybeans No.1, soybeans No.2, soybean meal, soybean oil, rapeseed meal, etc., are provided. For example, the 5 - month minus 1 - month spread of soybeans No.1 was 49 yuan/ton [38] - **Inter - commodity spreads**: The inter - commodity spreads of soybeans No.1/corn, soybeans No.2/corn, soybean oil/soybean meal, etc., from November 18 to November 24, 2025, are given. For instance, on November 24, the soybeans No.1/corn ratio was 1.88 [38] 6. Stock Index Futures - **Basis**: The basis data of CSI 300, SSE 50, CSI 500, and CSI 1000 from November 18 to November 24, 2025, are presented. For example, the basis of CSI 300 on November 24 was 12.85 [49] - **Inter - period spreads**: The inter - period spreads of the next - month minus the current - month and the next - quarter minus the current - quarter for CSI 300, SSE 50, CSI 500, and CSI 1000 are provided. For example, the next - month minus the current - month spread of CSI 300 was - 156 [49]
大越期货燃料油早报-20251125
Da Yue Qi Huo· 2025-11-25 02:24
交易咨询业务资格:证监许可【2012】1091号 2025-11-25燃料油早报 大越期货投资咨询部 金泽彬 从业资格证号:F3048432 投资咨询证号: Z0015557 联系方式:0575-85226759 重要提示:本报告非期货交易咨询业务项下服务,其中的观点和信息仅作参考之用,不构成对任何人的投 资建议。 我司不会因为关注、收到或阅读本报告内容而视相关人员为客户;市场有风险,投资需谨慎。 CONTENTS 目 录 1 每日提示 2 多空关注 3 基本面数据 4 5 价差数据 库存数据 近期多空分析 利多: 1. 俄罗斯燃油出口限制 2. 美俄会谈取消,对俄石油相关企业发起制裁 利空: 行情驱动:供应端受地缘风险影响与需求中性共振 风险点:OPEC+内部团结破坏;战争风险升级 1.需求端乐观仍待验证 2.上游端原油承压受挫 燃料油: 1、基本面:船燃供应商表示,高硫燃料油的现货需求大多疲软,仅获得部分定期合约提货的支撑,不过即期提 货的报价较为激进,以争取询盘。同一批供应商表示,高硫燃料油稳定的套利货流入可能在11月剩余时间内保持 新加坡供应充足,而充足的库存给11月末和12月码头交货船货的估值带来了 ...
股指期货将偏强震荡黄金、白银期货将偏强震荡碳酸锂期货将震荡偏弱纯碱、原油、豆粕期货将偏弱震荡:期货行情前瞻研究
Guo Tai Jun An Qi Huo· 2025-11-24 05:22
1. Report Industry Investment Rating No relevant content provided. 2. Core Viewpoints of the Report Through macro - fundamental analysis and technical analysis, the report predicts the trend of various futures on November 24, 2025. Index futures, gold, silver, copper, alumina, nickel, tin, rebar, methanol futures are likely to oscillate strongly; ten - year Treasury bond futures will probably oscillate widely; aluminum, hot - rolled coil, iron ore, PVC, and glass futures are expected to oscillate and consolidate; thirty - year Treasury bond futures, coking coal, soda ash, crude oil, fuel oil, PTA, soybean meal, soybean oil, palm oil, and natural rubber futures are likely to oscillate weakly; lithium carbonate futures will probably oscillate weakly [2][3][4]. 3. Summary by Relevant Catalogs 3.1 Futures Market Outlook - **Index Futures**: On November 24, 2025, index futures are likely to oscillate strongly. For IF2512, resistance levels are 4457 and 4511 points, and support levels are 4400 and 4369 points; for IH2512, resistance levels are 2968 and 2994 points, and support levels are 2979 and 2963 points; for IC2512, resistance levels are 6872 and 6970 points, and support levels are 6700 and 6622 points; for IM2512, resistance levels are 7116 and 7211 points, and support levels are 6956 and 6900 points [2]. - **Treasury Bond Futures**: The ten - year Treasury bond futures main contract T2512 is likely to oscillate widely on November 24, 2025, with support levels at 108.36 and 108.31 yuan, and resistance levels at 108.54 and 108.59 yuan. The thirty - year Treasury bond futures main contract TL2512 is likely to oscillate weakly, with support levels at 115.4 and 115.2 yuan, and resistance levels at 116.0 and 116.1 yuan [2][3]. - **Precious Metal Futures**: On November 24, 2025, the gold futures main contract AU2602 is likely to oscillate strongly and attack resistance levels of 939.6 and 945.5 yuan/gram, with support levels at 930.0 and 926.9 yuan/gram. The silver futures main contract AG2602 is likely to oscillate strongly and attack resistance levels of 1244 and 12163 yuan/kg, with support levels at 11680 and 11649 yuan/kg [2][3]. - **Base Metal Futures**: Copper, alumina, nickel, and tin futures are likely to oscillate strongly; aluminum futures are likely to oscillate and consolidate. For example, the copper futures main contract CU2601 is likely to oscillate strongly and attack resistance levels of 86500 and 86800 yuan/ton, with support levels at 85600 and 85200 yuan/ton [3]. - **Energy and Chemical Futures**: Crude oil, soda ash, fuel oil, PTA futures are likely to oscillate weakly; lithium carbonate futures are likely to oscillate weakly. For example, the crude oil futures main contract SC2601 is likely to oscillate weakly and test support levels of 441 and 433 yuan/barrel, with resistance levels at 450 and 453 yuan/barrel [3][4]. - **Agricultural Futures**: Soybean meal, soybean oil, palm oil futures are likely to oscillate weakly [4][6]. 3.2 Macro News and Trading Tips - **International Events**: The 20th G20 Leaders' Summit was held in Johannesburg, South Africa. China announced relevant initiatives, and leaders had bilateral meetings. The US is promoting a peace plan for the Russia - Ukraine conflict, but negotiations have not reached an agreement [8][9][13]. - **Domestic Economic Data**: From January to October, the actual use of foreign capital in China was 621.93 billion yuan, a year - on - year decrease of 10.3%. In October, the total social electricity consumption was 857.2 billion kWh, a year - on - year increase of 10.4% [10][12]. - **Domestic Policies**: The State - owned Assets Supervision and Administration Commission will support enterprises in Xiongan New Area. The Ministry of Housing and Urban - Rural Development promotes urban renewal and urban management in communities. The Ministry of Industry and Information Technology conducts typical case collection [10]. 3.3 Futures Market Analysis and Outlook - **Index Futures**: On November 21, 2025, index futures showed a weak downward trend. Multiple factors such as the decline in the Fed's interest - rate cut expectations and concerns about the AI bubble led to the recent market correction, but Chinese assets are still expected to have a "slow bull" [18][20][21]. - **Treasury Bond Futures**: On November 21, 2025, most Treasury bond futures closed down. The central bank conducted reverse - repurchase operations, and the short - term downward pressure on the ten - year Treasury bond futures slightly increased [43]. - **Precious Metal Futures**: On November 21, 2025, gold and silver futures showed a downward trend. The short - term downward pressure increased, but in November, they are expected to oscillate strongly [49][55]. - **Base Metal Futures**: Most base metal futures showed a downward trend on November 21, 2025, with different degrees of short - term downward pressure [60][64][72]. - **Energy and Chemical Futures**: Energy and chemical futures showed different trends on November 21, 2025. For example, lithium carbonate futures dropped significantly, and the short - term downward pressure increased [80]. - **Agricultural Futures**: Agricultural futures showed a weak downward trend on November 21, 2025, with different degrees of short - term downward pressure [125][127][130].
宝城期货品种套利数据日报(2025年11月24日):宝城期货品种套利数据日报-20251124
Bao Cheng Qi Huo· 2025-11-24 03:22
1. Report Industry Investment Rating - There is no information about the industry investment rating in the provided report. 2. Core Viewpoints of the Report - The report presents a daily update on futures arbitrage data for various commodities on November 24, 2025, including power coal, energy chemicals, black metals, non - ferrous metals, agricultural products, and stock index futures [1][5][21][27][39][52]. 3. Summary by Relevant Catalogs Power Coal - The report shows the basis and spreads (5 - 1 month, 9 - 1 month, 9 - 5 month) of power coal from November 17 to 21, 2025. The basis remained at 32.6 yuan/ton during this period, and all spreads were 0 [2]. Energy Chemicals Energy Commodities - The basis data of fuel oil, INE crude oil, and the ratio of crude oil to asphalt from November 17 to 21, 2025 are provided, along with price changes such as - 8.81, - 14.21, etc [7]. Chemical Commodities - **Basis**: The basis data of rubber, methanol, PTA, LLDPE, V, and PP from November 17 to 21, 2025 are presented. For example, the basis of rubber on November 21 was - 490 yuan/ton [9]. - **Inter - period Spreads**: The 5 - 1 month, 9 - 1 month, and 9 - 5 month spreads of rubber, methanol, PTA, LLDPE, PVC, PP, and ethylene glycol are given. For instance, the 5 - 1 month spread of rubber was 65 yuan/ton [10]. - **Inter - commodity Spreads**: The spreads of LLDPE - PVC, LLDPE - PP, PP - PVC, and PP - 3 * methanol from November 17 to 21, 2025 are shown. On November 21, the LLDPE - PVC spread was 2330 yuan/ton [10]. Black Metals - **Basis**: The basis data of rebar, iron ore, coke, and coking coal from November 17 to 21, 2025 are provided. For example, the basis of rebar on November 21 was 173.0 yuan/ton [21]. - **Inter - period Spreads**: The 5 - 1 month, 9(10) - 1 month, and 9(10) - 5 month spreads of rebar, iron ore, coke, and coking coal are presented. The 5 - 1 month spread of rebar was 42.0 yuan/ton [20]. - **Inter - commodity Spreads**: The ratios of rebar to iron ore, rebar to coke, coke to coking coal, and the spread of rebar - hot rolled coil from November 17 to 21, 2025 are given. On November 21, the rebar/iron ore ratio was 3.89 [20]. Non - ferrous Metals Domestic Market - The domestic basis data of copper, aluminum, zinc, lead, nickel, and tin from November 17 to 21, 2025 are provided. For example, the basis of copper on November 21 was 20 yuan/ton [31]. London Market - On November 21, 2025, the LME spreads, Shanghai - London ratios, CIF prices, domestic spot prices, and import profit and loss data of LME non - ferrous metals (copper, aluminum, zinc, lead, nickel, tin) are presented. For example, the LME spread of copper was 1.06 [34]. Agricultural Products - **Basis**: The basis data of soybeans No.1, soybeans No.2, soybean meal, soybean oil, and corn from November 17 to 21, 2025 are provided. For example, the basis of soybeans No.1 on November 21 was - 89 yuan/ton [39]. - **Inter - period Spreads**: The 5 - 1 month, 9 - 1 month, and 9 - 5 month spreads of various agricultural products are given, including soybeans No.1, soybeans No.2, soybean meal, soybean oil, rapeseed meal, etc. For example, the 5 - 1 month spread of soybeans No.1 was 42 yuan/ton [39]. - **Inter - commodity Spreads**: The ratios and spreads such as soybeans No.1/corn, soybeans No.2/corn, soybean oil/soybean meal, etc. on November 21, 2025 are presented. For example, the soybeans No.1/corn ratio was 1.88 [39]. Stock Index Futures - **Basis**: The basis data of CSI 300, SSE 50, CSI 500, and CSI 1000 from November 17 to 21, 2025 are provided. For example, the basis of CSI 300 on November 21 was 71.22 [52]. - **Inter - period Spreads**: The 5 - 1 month, 9 - 1 month, and 9 - 5 month spreads of CSI 300, SSE 50, CSI 500, and CSI 1000 are presented. For example, the 5 - 1 month spread of CSI 300 was - 408 [50].
西南期货早间评论-20251121
Xi Nan Qi Huo· 2025-11-21 03:01
2025 年 11 月 21 日星期五 重庆市江北区金沙门路 32 号 23 层; 023-63638617 上海市浦东新区世纪大道 210 号 10 楼 1001; 1 市场有风险 投资需谨慎 地址: 电话: | | | | 铅: | | 15 | | --- | --- | --- | | 锡: | | 15 | | 镍: | | 16 | | 豆油、豆粕: | | 16 | | 棕榈油: | | 17 | | 菜粕、菜油: | | 17 | | 棉花: | | 18 | | 白糖: | | 19 | | 苹果: | | 20 | | 生猪: | | 20 | | 鸡蛋: | | 21 | | 玉米&淀粉: | | 22 | | 免责声明 | | 23 | 国债: 上一交易日,国债期货收盘多数上涨,30 年期主力合约跌 0.21%报 115.870 元, 10 年期主力合约涨 0.06%报 108.485 元,5 年期主力合约涨 0.06%报 105.935 元,2 年 期主力合约持平于 102.462 元。 公开市场方面,央行公告称,11 月 20 日以固定利率、数量招标方式开展了 3000 亿元 7 ...
燃料油日报:阿祖尔炼厂装置有望在近期重启-20251121
Hua Tai Qi Huo· 2025-11-21 01:59
燃料油日报 | 2025-11-21 阿祖尔炼厂装置有望在近期重启 市场分析 上期所燃料油期货主力合约夜盘收涨2.45%,报2553元/吨;INE低硫燃料油期货主力合约夜盘收跌0.06%,报3153 元/吨。 原油价格延续弱势震荡态势,虽然短期有地缘与宏观因素的扰动,但中期油市供过于求的预期在逐步兑现,对燃 料油单边价格存在一定压制。就燃料油自身基本面而言,近期低硫表现强于高硫,但昨日再度出现逆转。一方面, 低硫燃料油市场不具备持续性走强的驱动,由于故障检修的阿祖尔炼厂部分装置有望在11月29日左右重启,科威 特11月低硫燃料油发货量截至目前为0,装置重启后将恢复供应。另一方面,高硫燃料油市场支撑因素仍存,尤其 乌克兰无人机持续袭击俄罗斯炼厂,导致其开工率下滑,近期燃料油发货量偏低,且美国制裁的影响可能还会进 一步兑现。 策略 高硫方面:短期中性,中期偏空 低硫方面:短期中性,中期偏空 跨品种:无 跨期:无 期现:无 期权:无 风险 宏观风险、关税风险、制裁风险、原油价格大幅波动等、发电端需求超预期、欧佩克增产幅度不及预期、船燃需 求超预期 2025年期货市场研究报告 第1页 请仔细阅读本报告最后一页的免责声 ...
股指期货将震荡整理,黄金、白银期货将偏强震荡,碳酸锂期货将震荡偏强,原油、燃料油期货将震荡偏弱
Guo Tai Jun An Qi Huo· 2025-11-20 10:03
2025 年 11 月 20 日 股指期货将震荡整理 黄金、白银期货将偏强震荡 碳酸锂期 货将震荡偏强 原油、燃料油期货将震荡偏弱 陶金峰 期货投资咨询从业资格号:Z0000372 邮箱:taojinfeng@gtht.com 【正文】 【声明】 本报告的观点和信息仅供风险承受能力合适的投资者参考。本报告难以设置访问权限,若给您造成不 便,敬请谅解。若您并非风险承受能力合适的投资者,请勿阅读、订阅或接收任何相关信息。本报告不构 成具体业务或产品的推介,亦不应被视为相应金融衍生品的投资建议。请您根据自身的风险承受能力自行 作出投资决定并自主承担投资风险,不应凭借本内容进行具体操作。 【期货行情前瞻要点】 通过宏观基本面分析和黄金分割线、水平线、日均线等技术面分析,预期今日期货主力合约行情走势大概率如 下: 股指期货大概率将震荡整理:IF2512 阻力位 4592 和 4611 点,支撑位 4530 和 4520 点;IH2512 阻力位 3030 和 3041 点,支撑位 2998 和 2979 点;IC2512 阻力位 7100 和 7129 点,支撑位 7006 和 6948 点;IM2512 阻 力位 7 ...
西南期货早间评论-20251120
Xi Nan Qi Huo· 2025-11-20 02:52
Report Industry Investment Ratings No specific industry investment ratings are provided in the report. Core Views - The macro - economic recovery momentum needs to be strengthened, and the monetary policy is expected to remain loose. Different commodities have different market trends and investment suggestions due to their own supply - demand relationships, cost factors, and external market environments [5]. Summary by Commodity Categories Fixed - Income - **Treasury Bonds**: The previous trading day saw a decline in treasury bond futures. With the current macro - economic situation and market conditions, there is still some pressure on treasury bond futures, and caution is advised [5]. - **Stock Index Futures**: The previous trading day showed mixed performance. Given the current domestic economic situation, market sentiment, and external factors, the risk of a significant decline is low, and investors can choose the right time to go long [7][8]. Precious Metals - **Gold and Silver**: The previous trading day witnessed price increases. Considering the global trade and financial environment, central bank actions, and the current price level, it is advisable to wait and see for a long - position opportunity [10]. Base Metals - **Copper**: The previous trading day had a slight increase. Affected by macro - economic factors and supply - demand relationships, copper prices are expected to fluctuate at a high level [47]. - **Aluminum**: The previous trading day had a slight decline. Alumina supply is relatively loose, and aluminum needs to beware of seasonal consumption pressure and profit - taking, with a possible phased correction [49]. - **Zinc**: The previous trading day remained flat. With tight supply of zinc concentrates and weak downstream demand, zinc prices are expected to fluctuate within a range [52]. - **Lead**: The previous trading day had a slight increase. Due to supply and demand factors, lead prices are expected to operate within a range [54]. - **Tin**: The previous trading day had a slight decline. With tight supply and certain demand support, tin prices are expected to fluctuate strongly [56]. - **Nickel**: The previous trading day had an increase. Facing supply - demand contradictions, nickel prices are expected to fluctuate [58]. Ferrous Metals - **Rebar and Hot - Rolled Coil**: The previous trading day had a slight decline. Considering supply - demand relationships and technical aspects, prices are expected to be weak in the medium - term, and investors can focus on short - selling opportunities at high levels during rebounds [12]. - **Iron Ore**: The previous trading day had a slight rebound. With a weak supply - demand pattern and technical resistance, investors can focus on short - selling opportunities at high levels [14]. - **Coking Coal and Coke**: The previous trading day had a significant decline. Based on supply - demand changes and technical analysis, there may be a short - term correction, and investors can focus on buying opportunities during the correction [16]. - **Ferroalloys**: The previous trading day had a decline. With high - level production decline, weak demand recovery, and cost support, investors can consider long - position opportunities at low levels [18]. Energy - **Crude Oil**: The previous trading day had an upward trend. Considering supply - demand factors and market news, there are concerns about supply surplus, and investors can focus on short - selling opportunities in the short - term [20][21]. - **Fuel Oil**: The previous trading day had a weak performance. With mixed supply - demand factors, investors can focus on short - selling opportunities [23][24]. Chemicals - **Polyolefins**: The previous trading day had a weak performance. With improved downstream demand in some areas, investors can focus on long - position opportunities [26]. - **Synthetic Rubber**: The previous trading day had an increase. It is expected to operate in a volatile manner, and attention should be paid to raw material prices and supply changes [28]. - **Natural Rubber**: The previous trading day had an increase. With supply and demand factors, there is still room for short - term price increases, and investors can focus on long - position opportunities [31]. - **PVC**: The previous trading day had a decline. With an oversupply situation, attention should be paid to supply - side changes [33]. - **Urea**: The previous trading day had a slight increase. It is expected that the market will decline slightly in the next period, but the downside space is limited [35]. - **PX**: The previous trading day had an increase. With improved short - term supply - demand structure, it is expected to fluctuate and adjust, and investors can participate in the range [37]. - **PTA**: The previous trading day had an increase. With low processing fees, low inventory, and cost factors, it is expected to operate in a volatile manner, and caution is needed [39]. - **Ethylene Glycol**: The previous trading day had a decline. With increased supply and inventory, it is expected to be under pressure in the short - term, and attention should be paid to inventory and supply changes [40]. - **Short - Fiber**: The previous trading day had an increase. With high - level supply, stable demand, and enhanced cost - driving, it is expected to fluctuate with costs [43]. - **Bottle Chips**: The previous trading day had an increase. With raw material price support and stable supply and demand, it is expected to follow cost fluctuations [44]. - **Lithium Carbonate**: The previous trading day had a significant increase. With strong supply and demand, inventory is being depleted, and attention should be paid to consumption sustainability [45]. Agricultural Products - **Soybean Oil and Soybean Meal**: The previous trading day had different performances. With sufficient soybean supply and improved demand for soybean oil, investors can focus on long - position opportunities for soybean oil and consider exiting long positions for soybean meal [59]. - **Palm Oil**: The previous trading day had an increase. Affected by supply - demand factors, investors can consider long - position opportunities during corrections [61]. - **Rapeseed Meal and Rapeseed Oil**: The previous trading day had a decline. With supply - demand and external factors, investors can consider a long - position strategy for rapeseed oil [63]. - **Cotton**: The previous trading day had a slight rebound. With increased global and US production and inventory, and domestic supply and demand factors, cotton prices are expected to be weak [66]. - **Sugar**: The previous trading day had a decline. With global production expectations and domestic supply pressure, sugar prices are expected to fluctuate weakly [70]. - **Apples**: The previous trading day had a high - level volatile operation. With current inventory and market conditions, apple prices are expected to operate strongly [74]. - **Pigs**: The previous trading day had a price increase. With sufficient supply and uncertain demand, investors can consider short - selling opportunities during rebounds [77]. - **Eggs**: The previous trading day had a price decline. With high - level supply and weak demand, investors can consider closing short positions gradually [79]. - **Corn and Starch**: The previous trading day had an increase. With new - season corn supply pressure and inventory factors, it is advisable to wait and see for corn, and starch may follow the corn market [81].