金十数据6月21日讯，据贵金属网站Kitco调查，在地缘政治发展未能提振金价之后，华尔街的整体立场 回归中性。受访的16位华尔街分析师中，六人（占38%）预计未来一周金价将上涨，五人（占31%）预 计金价将下跌，另外五名分析师（占31%）预计下周金价将横盘整理。258人参与了线上调查，对金价 感到乐观的略占多数。138人（54%）预计下周金价将上涨，55人（21%）预计金价将下跌。其余65位 普通投资者（占25%）预计未来一周金价将盘整。 华尔街对金价看法回归中性 ...

Group 1 - The domestic gold market shows stability in jewelry gold prices, with slight declines in some stores. The highest price for gold jewelry at Chow Sang Sang is down by 3 yuan per gram, now at 1020 yuan per gram, aligning with most stores [1] - The price gap between major brand stores remains at 30 yuan per gram, slightly narrowing. The lowest market price is from Caibai at 990 yuan per gram [1] - Platinum prices are on the rise, with a small increase of 1 yuan per gram for platinum jewelry, now priced at 532 yuan per gram [1] Group 2 - The gold recovery price has decreased by 5 yuan per gram, with significant price differences among brands. The recovery price for gold is reported at 766.70 yuan per gram [2] - International gold prices experienced fluctuations, with a minimum drop to 3347.19 USD per ounce, closing at 3370.21 USD per ounce, reflecting a slight increase of 0.05% [4] - The Federal Reserve's emphasis on high inflation risks has weakened market expectations for short-term interest rate cuts, putting downward pressure on gold prices [4]

Economic Growth and Consumption - The core viewpoint is that consumption will play a more significant role in driving economic growth this year, with retail sales expected to exceed a 5% growth rate, compared to 3.5% last year [2][5] - In May, the total retail sales of consumer goods reached 41,326 billion yuan, marking a year-on-year increase of 6.4%, the highest growth rate since 2024 [4][5] - The "old-for-new" consumption policy has effectively boosted sales, contributing 1.1 trillion yuan in sales across five major categories in the first five months [5] Foreign Trade Performance - The total value of goods trade in the first five months was 17.94 trillion yuan, with a year-on-year growth of 2.5%, indicating better-than-expected foreign trade performance [10] - Exports to the EU and ASEAN increased significantly by 9.1% and 2.9%, respectively, while exports to the US decreased by 8.1% due to tariff increases [10] - The phenomenon of "export grabbing" has contributed to the positive foreign trade data, as companies rushed to export before anticipated tariff hikes [9][10] Service Consumption and Innovation - The shift in consumer demographics, particularly the rise of the post-95 and post-00 generations, is driving demand for emotional value and personalized consumption [6] - Service consumption can be categorized into survival, development, and experiential services, with a focus on promoting experiential services through innovative consumption scenarios [6] - Increasing public service investment and improving income distribution are essential for enhancing overall consumption [8] Policy Recommendations - To address weak price levels and stimulate consumption, targeted policy measures should include improving income distribution and increasing public consumption [8] - The government could consider expanding subsidies from durable goods to service consumption and providing direct consumption subsidies to low-income groups [5][8]

Economic Data Overview - In May, China's total retail sales of consumer goods reached 41,326 billion yuan, with a year-on-year growth of 6.4%, marking the highest growth rate since 2024 [1][2] - For the first five months, China's total import and export value of goods was 17.94 trillion yuan, showing a year-on-year increase of 2.5%, indicating a sustained growth trend [1][5] Consumer Spending Insights - The growth in consumer spending in May exceeded expectations, driven by policies such as "old-for-new" exchanges and emerging consumption trends like "self-indulgent consumption" [2][3] - The "old-for-new" policy significantly boosted sales, contributing 1.1 trillion yuan in sales across five major categories in the first five months [2][3] - The retail sales growth is expected to surpass 5% this year, compared to a 3.5% growth in the previous year, as consumption plays a more prominent role in economic growth [2][3] Trade Dynamics - The foreign trade performance in the first five months was better than expected, influenced by "export rushes" and a notable increase in exports to the EU and ASEAN, despite a decline in exports to the US due to tariffs [1][5][6] - Exports to ASEAN and the EU grew by 9.1% and 2.9% respectively, while exports to the US decreased by 8.1% [5] Policy Recommendations - Future consumption policies could expand from durable goods to service consumption and provide direct subsidies to low-income groups [2][3] - To enhance service consumption, there is a need for innovative and diversified consumption scenarios, integrating new business models and products [3] Inflation and Economic Balance - The consumer price index (CPI) rose by 0.1% year-on-year in the first five months, indicating a need for policies to promote economic balance and reasonable price recovery [4][5] - The weak price level is attributed to intense competition in investment-driven sectors, income distribution disparities, and underutilized public consumption [4][5] Gold Market Outlook - The outlook for gold prices is characterized by short-term volatility and long-term upward trends, influenced by interest rates, the dollar's performance, and geopolitical risks [8] - Recent trends show a significant increase in gold prices, with a rise of approximately 30% this year, supported by central banks' continued accumulation of gold reserves [8]

金十数据6月19日讯，澳新银行大宗商品策略师Soni Kumari表示，我们预计金价不会跌回3,000美元，因 为有很多的不确定因素。他指的是美国是否决定直接卷入伊以冲突。周四，伊朗导弹袭击了以色列一家 医院，与此同时，以色列袭击了伊朗各地的目标。与此同时，特朗普让全世界都在猜测，美国是否会加 入以色列的空袭行动，试图摧毁德黑兰的核设施。本周早些时候，花旗预测，黄金将在未来几个季度回 落至3000美元以下。 澳新银行：预计金价不会跌回3000美元 ...

Core Viewpoint - Gold prices are attempting to rebound from a weekly low of $3,360 amid rising demand for the US dollar due to escalating tensions in the Middle East and a hawkish stance from the Federal Reserve [1][2]. Group 1: Market Dynamics - Reports suggest the US may attack Iran this weekend, increasing demand for the dollar and impacting gold prices [2]. - Gold prices broke the critical support level of $3,377 but found new buyers near the weekly low of $3,363 due to renewed interest in safe-haven assets amid geopolitical tensions [2][4]. - The Federal Reserve maintained its policy rate at 4.25%-4.5%, aligning with expectations, while keeping forecasts for two rate cuts this year unchanged [2][3]. Group 2: Technical Analysis - The bullish bias for gold remains intact, with the 14-day Relative Strength Index (RSI) above the midline, currently close to 55 [9]. - Gold needs to reclaim the $3,377 resistance level on a sustained basis to initiate a new upward trend, with the next significant resistance at $3,400 and static resistance at $3,440 [9]. - Immediate downside support is at the 21-day Simple Moving Average (SMA) of $3,348, with further support at the 50-day SMA of $3,308 [11][12]. Group 3: Future Outlook - The upcoming "June Festival" holiday in the US may lead to liquidity shortages, potentially exaggerating gold price volatility [5]. - Traders will closely monitor developments in the Middle East conflict for new trading signals regarding gold prices [6].

6月18日国内金价快报：国内品牌金店金价持稳，整体价格还是相当高。目前，最高价金店还是六福等 金店，不涨不跌，报1025元/克。菜百黄金也是不涨不跌，报价990元/克，为最低价金店。今日金店黄 金价差35元/克，价差不变。 具体各大品牌金店最新价格见下表格： 受紧张的中东局势影响，昨日现货黄金盘中不断震荡，最高涨至了3403.08美元/盎司，最低又跌至 3382.79美元/盎司。最终收报3387.58美元/盎司，涨幅0.09%。今日金价继续震荡，截至发稿，现货黄金 暂报3382.20美元/盎司，跌幅0.16%。 目前在中东局势上，昨日美国总统特朗普宣称已完全掌握伊朗领空。而伊朗在18日凌晨，用高超音速导 弹突破了以色列防空体系，宣称完全控制以色列领空，"意味着以军传奇防御终结的开始，以及以色列 混乱和毁灭的开始"。 另外，有"美联储传声筒"之称的Nick Timiraos表示，"若非关税对价格构成的风险，美联储本周原本将 准备降息"。而今晚就将公布美联储利率决议和经济预期摘要，市场正等待鲍威尔的货币政策新闻发布 会，试图探寻美联储降息策略。金价也受影响保持盘整状态。 总的来说，市场正保持观望中，金价暂时保持震 ...

不过，美国5月零售销售月率超预期降低，美国5月工业产出月率等也超预期的疲软，对金价产生一定利好支撑，以及伊朗和以色列的紧张局势仍在产生一 定的避险需求，内塔尼亚胡认为特朗普会在未来几天参与打击伊朗，美国药品关税即将到来，而令金价最终震荡微幅收涨。 张尧浠：美联储决议及鲍威尔来袭、金价仍有望走强 上交易日周二(6月17日)：国际黄金震荡十字收涨，仍处于中轨上方，且日内短周期有触底看反弹的信号，基本面也未有持续且较大的利空压力，故此， 本周后市则以震荡或看反弹为主的预期对待。 具体走势上，金价自亚市开于3386.23美元/盎司，日内整体处于连续的震荡下移的趋势发展，于亚盘初先行录得日内高点3403.10美元，于美盘初录得日内 低点3366.08美元，最后触底回升，多头有所转强，最终收于3388.46美元，日振幅37.02美元，收涨2.23美元，涨幅0.066%。 影响上，美国参议院通过稳定币法案，美元指数反弹收涨，特朗普称暂时不会采取行动除掉伊朗最高领袖，以及技术的回落压力，金价震荡走低； 展望今日周三(6月18日)：国际黄金开盘先行延续隔夜尾盘回升之力表现走强，但由于受到短线阻力压制，而早盘反弹动力有限，那么在 ...

Group 1 - Dow futures fell by 0.56%, S&P 500 futures dropped by 0.49%, and Nasdaq futures decreased by 0.50% [1] - Li Auto's pre-market shares fell over 2% after Meituan's CEO Wang Xing reduced his stake by 573,700 shares, cashing out over 600 million HKD, lowering his ownership from 20.94% to 20.61% [1] - Brain Regen Technologies saw a pre-market surge of over 40%, with a previous closing increase of 283%, reaching a record high of 60 USD per share, marking a year-to-date increase of over 50 times [1] - T-Mobile's pre-market shares dropped nearly 4% as SoftBank raised 4.8 billion JPY through the sale of T-Mobile shares [1] - A Boeing 787 aircraft operated by All Nippon Airways experienced a malfunction after landing, temporarily closing parts of the airport's runways and taxiways [1] Group 2 - Citigroup predicts gold prices will decline below 3,000 USD per ounce in the coming quarters due to weak demand and potential interest rate cuts by the Federal Reserve [2] - OpenAI is reportedly seeking new financial concessions from its major shareholder Microsoft, aiming for approximately 33% ownership in the restructured department in exchange for relinquishing future profit-sharing rights [2] - The International Energy Agency (IEA) forecasts that global oil supply growth will significantly outpace demand growth in the coming years, driven by a surge in electric vehicle sales, which are expected to reach a record 17 million units in 2024 and exceed 20 million in 2025 [2]

花旗称未来几个季度金价将回落至每盎司3000美元以下。 ...