突破3500美元关口 国际金价迎来五连涨 中新网北京9月1日电(记者 左雨晴) 在前一个交易日突破3500美元关口后，国际金价在9月1日继续上涨 势头。截至17:00，COMEX黄金最高触及3557.1美元/盎司，最高涨幅1.17%；伦敦现货黄金最高触及 3489.852美元/盎司，涨幅约1.25%。 值得一提的是，今年以来涨幅远超黄金的白银也站上了历史高位。9月1日，现货白银突破40美元/盎司 整数关口，刷新了2011年以来的新高。 "白银是重要的工业生产原料，特别是在新能源汽车、光伏等新兴领域的需求增长较快，导致供需缺口 不断放大，推动银价以更快速度上涨。"王有鑫指出，与黄金相比，白银价格上涨除了受流动性和避险 情绪影响，还受工业生产需求增多等因素影响。同时在贵金属价格同步上涨背景下，由于白银市场规模 远低于黄金市场，因此更容易被投机资金炒作。(完) 来源：中国新闻网 编辑：王永乐 广告等商务合作，请点击这里 本文为转载内容，授权事宜请联系原著作权人 受国际金价上涨影响，国内金饰价格跟涨。9月1日，周大福、周大生、潮宏基足金首饰价格上涨至1027 元/克，较前一日每克上涨12元，较上周每克上涨18元。 记 ...

来源：黄金分析师张津镭 张津镭：美决议倒计时！鲍威尔讲话成黄金破局关键 今日重点关注的财经数据与事件：2025年7月30日周三 20:15美国7月ADP就业人数 20:30美国第二季度实际GDP年化季率初值 昨日金价走了一个小区间震荡行情，亚盘开盘有所反弹，欧盘反弹3325附近进场空单，随后金价回落， 跌至3315附近小赚几美金手动离场，美盘后续事件基本就是在3320-30上下10美金徘徊了。最终金价是 收盘于3326美元，日线收于一根小阳线。 周三（7月30日）昨日黄金虽然波动幅度不大，但是上下幅度次数却是不少，显示出市场情绪的快速切 换。这种剧烈波动背后，是多重关键因素的角力：美联储利率决议在即、中美贸易谈判进入关键阶段、 全球避险情绪起伏不定。 当地时间周三（7月30日）下午2:00（北京时间周四凌晨2:00），美联储即将公布最新利率决议，会议 过程可能出现的罕见反对票，表现出白宫与央行的持续角力，同时官员们对经济与政策路径的分歧，都 让这场会议成为市场焦点，充满悬念。 鲍威尔可能在新闻发布会上暗示9月降息可能性，但强调需等待更多就业和通胀数据验证。特朗普施压 可能被提及，但美联储大概率重申政策独立性。 ...

此外，本交易日还需关注日本央行利率决议和加拿大央行利率决议、美国二季度GDP系列数据和美国7 月ADP就业数据，德国和欧元区二季度GDP数据也需要予以留意。 风险方面需警惕：美国企业财报季表现（如Meta、微软等科技巨头）、周五非农就业数据（预期增加 11万）、以及欧盟内部对美欧贸易协议的反对声音（德法领导人已表达不满）。这些因素都可能加剧市 场波动，黄金投资者应保持灵活仓位，避免在重大风险事件前过度押注。 技术面：当前盘面来看，昨日黄金日线小阳线，今日关注继续反弹以及冲高回落；上方短期昨日高点 3334适当关注，3345-3350区域是重点，多空分水岭位置；多头受压随时下跌继续测试3300大关以及 3280-3285区域；向上突破，则反弹进一步延伸，关注冲击3380-3375乃至3400大关两档重点阻力位。不 过，我们依然认为一切的拉升都是出货和布局空头的机会。日内支撑3320区域短期重点，下方多空强弱 分界线，然后是3310区域。今天短线继续低多，重点拉高空；首次触及3345-3350区域布局空，这里失 败，则拉高以3380-3375压制以及3400大关及上方继续布局空头。 短线思路：建议3320附近多， ...

当前黄金市场正处于关键转折点。技术面上，3300美元关口形成强劲支撑，而3350美元区域构成短期阻 力。基本面的多空因素激烈博弈：一方面，全球贸易紧张缓和压制避险需求；另一方面，美债收益率下 行、美联储可能转向的预期又形成支撑。特别需要关注的是通胀前景的变化。IMF最新报告指出，美国 实际关税税率已从24.4%降至17.3%，但关税转嫁效应可能导致下半年美国通胀维持高位。这种"滞胀"风 险可能迫使美联储在经济增长放缓时仍保持警惕，为黄金提供独特支撑。对于投资者而言，未来24小时 需要重点关注：美联储政策声明对9月降息可能性的暗示、鲍威尔记者会对经济前景的评估、中美贸易 谈判后续进展。特别是若美联储释放明确鸽派信号，可能推动金价突破3350阻力位；反之若态度强硬， 则可能再次测试3300支撑。 美联储政策会议：鸽派转向的信号？市场普遍预期美联储将在周三结束的会议上维持利率在 4.25%-4.50%区间不变，但真正的看点在于政策声明中可能释放的鸽派信号。近期经济数据呈现复杂图 景：一方面，6月职位空缺减少27.5万个至743.7万个，招聘人数下降26.1万人，劳动力市场显现疲软迹 象；另一方面，7月消费者信心指数 ...

黄金走势分析： 现在的你是不是还在迷茫中，无论行情暴涨，暴跌，单边还是震荡，你是不是总是没把握住？就是所谓的一买 就跌，一跌就割，一割就涨，一涨就追，一追又套，一套再割。到处看文章做，看小周期做，来回追，来回 损。总是重仓做单而且总是看反，看对的时候，赚一点小钱就出了，看错的时候，就抗单或者锁单，总是操作 成反方向，进在最低点或者最高点，最后砍在最高点或者最低点。看各个老师的分析，自己综合着做单。看对 了的，自己因为没有信心进场，找不到方向感，对的单子拿不住，错的单子死抗，如果你做单不顺或投资经常 资金缩水，那么可以和德盛聊聊。 消息面： 周三（7月30日）亚市早盘，现货黄金窄幅震荡，目前交投于3327.35美元/盎司附近。周二金价震荡反弹，现货 黄金盘中最高触及3333.93美元/盎司，最终收报3326.35美元/盎司，涨幅约0.36%。这一反弹行情发生在周一金 价暴跌至3302美元附近（7月9日以来最低点）之后，显示出市场情绪的快速切换。这种剧烈波动背后，是多重 关键因素的角力：美联储利率决议在即、中美贸易谈判进入关键阶段、全球避险情绪起伏不定。 日内将可关注美国7月ADP就业人数(万人)、美国第二季度实 ...

1. Report Industry Investment Ratings - Not provided in the given content 2. Core Views of the Report - Gold: Adjustment for long - term strategic allocation due to potential dollar weakness, monetary policy easing, and continued gold purchases by countries, despite short - term uncertainties from geopolitics and trade negotiations [1] - Silver: Follow gold and copper adjustments, with long - term upward trend intact due to economic demand and fiscal stimulus, short - term adjustment to focus on support around 9050 [1] - Copper: Short - term struggle at the 79,000 psychological level, recommend dip - buying, long - term bullish due to global copper mine tightness [1][7] - Zinc: Short - term wait - and - see due to uncertain sentiment, long - term supply - increase and demand - decrease, look for short - selling opportunities on rallies [1][10] - Lead: Price rebound is under pressure due to inventory accumulation and weak downstream consumption [1] - Tin: Price rebound is under pressure due to slow复产 in Myanmar, weak supply - demand, and inventory accumulation [1] - Aluminum: Price rebound is under pressure due to high - level imports of bauxite and inventory accumulation in the off - season [1][12] - Nickel: Price rebound is under pressure due to weak demand and inventory accumulation [1][13] - Industrial Silicon: Likely to remain at a high level despite supply increase and demand drag [1] - Polysilicon: Likely to remain at a high level with strong cost support but limited spot trading [1] - Lithium Carbonate: Wide - range oscillation with supply - side risks, focus on 69,000 support [1][15] 3. Summaries by Related Catalogs Gold and Silver - **行情回顾**: Gold and silver prices oscillated at high levels due to the uncertain cease - fire in Russia - Ukraine and weak US data [2] - **基本逻辑**: Short - term tariff risks receded, but long - term gold bullish logic remains due to Fed rate - cut expectations, debt issuance acceleration, central bank gold purchases, and global order reshaping [3] - **策略推荐**: Focus on support around 760 for gold and 9100 for silver, maintain long - term views [4] Copper - **行情回顾**: Shanghai copper stopped falling and rebounded, back to the 79,000 level [6] - **产业逻辑**: Tight copper concentrate supply, increasing electrolytic copper production, weakening rod - making开工率, and potential impact of US tariff policies on exports [6] - **策略推荐**: Short - term dip - buying on copper, long - term bullish, focus on Shanghai copper range [78,000, 80,000] and London copper range [9700, 9900] [7] Zinc - **行情回顾**: Shanghai zinc stopped falling and oscillated narrowly [9] - **产业逻辑**: Abundant zinc concentrate supply in 2025, increasing refined zinc production, weak demand in the off - season [9] - **策略推荐**: Short - term wait - and - see, long - term short - selling on rallies, focus on Shanghai zinc range [22,400, 22,800] and London zinc range [2650, 2850] [10] Aluminum - **行情回顾**: Aluminum prices were under pressure, while alumina prices rebounded [11] - **产业逻辑**: High - level aluminum ingot and bar inventory in the off - season, weakening downstream开工率, and abundant alumina supply [12] - **策略推荐**: Short - term short - selling on aluminum rallies, focus on the range [20,000, 20,800] [12] Nickel - **行情回顾**: Nickel prices faced pressure on rebounds, while stainless steel prices rebounded slightly [13] - **产业逻辑**: Weak nickel supply - demand, inventory accumulation, and over - supply in the stainless steel market during the off - season [13] - **策略推荐**: Short - selling on nickel and stainless steel rallies, focus on the nickel range [120,000, 123,000] [13] Lithium Carbonate - **行情回顾**: The main contract LC2509 significantly reduced positions with a 6% decline [14] - **产业逻辑**: Inventory accumulation, production increase despite some corporate cut - offs, and potential impact of mining license risks [15] - **策略推荐**: Wait - and - see, focus on the 69,000 support level [15]

Group 1 - The core viewpoint is that gold is experiencing a resurgence as a safe-haven asset amid global economic uncertainty, with current international gold prices surpassing $3,370 per ounce, marking the largest single-day increase of the year [1] - The domestic gold price in China has reached 774.42 yuan per gram, reflecting a daily increase of over 5 yuan, which translates to a 0.67% rise [1] - There is a slight discrepancy between domestic and international gold prices, with a difference of 0.24 yuan per gram, influenced by factors such as exchange rate fluctuations and import costs [1] Group 2 - Various banks have set different prices for gold bars, with Industrial and Commercial Bank of China offering the highest at 794.76 yuan per gram, while other banks range from 787 to 789 yuan per gram [2] - Gold jewelry prices in retail stores are significantly higher, with brands like Chow Sang Sang and Chow Tai Fook priced at 1,012 yuan and 1,008 yuan per gram respectively, indicating a premium due to craftsmanship and brand value [2] - The recent rise in gold prices is attributed to increased global risk aversion and fluctuations in the US dollar, leading to higher demand for gold as a store of value [4] Group 3 - Investors are advised to consider gradual purchases of gold to mitigate risk, rather than investing all funds at once, and to wait for price corrections to average out investment costs [4] - The optimal time to sell gold is when domestic and international prices rise simultaneously, particularly when there is a daily increase of 5-10 yuan per gram, to avoid losses [6] - The potential recovery price for gold at retail stores may be lower than the market price, emphasizing the importance of timing in selling gold assets [6]

Group 1: Market Reactions - The announcement of a potential ceasefire between Israel and Iran led to a significant drop in oil prices, with WTI and Brent crude oil falling nearly 9% and over 7% respectively [1] - In the Asia-Pacific market, WTI crude futures initially dropped over 5%, and as of the report, both WTI and ICE Brent crude were down over 2% [1] - Gold prices also saw a decline of 0.3% amid the easing geopolitical tensions [1] Group 2: Stock Performance - Hong Kong oil and gas stocks experienced sharp declines, with Baikin Oil Services plunging nearly 30%, Shandong Molong down over 18%, and Sinopec Oilfield Services falling over 14% [2][3] - In the A-share market, oil and gas service stocks also faced significant losses, with companies like Beiken Energy and Zhun Oil shares hitting the daily limit down [4] Group 3: Geopolitical Context - Trump's unilateral announcement of a ceasefire was met with skepticism, as both Israel and Iran did not confirm the agreement, with Iran's foreign minister stating no ceasefire "agreement" had been reached [6][8] - The ongoing conflict continued despite the announcement, with reports of missile attacks from Iran towards Israel [6] - The situation in the Strait of Hormuz, a critical oil shipping route, was highlighted, with previous threats from Iran to close it, which could have led to oil prices soaring to $120-$130 per barrel [11]

订阅期货大宗商品趋势 +订阅 相关链接 实时黄金订单流分析 全球避险情绪升温！黄金何时迎来明朗趋势？能否再度挑战高点？阿汤哥正在实时分析订单流，点击观 看 ...

国际金价一度飙升至3500美元以上，年内涨幅高达30%，本月涨幅近10%。 从今年4月8日开始，黄金价格仅用了两周时间从不到3000美元攀升至3500美元。在黄金价格大幅上涨的过程中， 也是美国关税政策开始摇摆不定的时间段。在全球金融市场剧烈波动的背后，却促使大量避险资金涌向了黄金市 场，黄金市场成为了关税政策摇摆不定的直接受益者。 从调整周期分析，黄金的调整周期并未有明显的规律性。 例如，从1981年开始调整之后，黄金价格期间经历了短暂反弹之后，继续步入深度调整的走势，并到2000年左 右，才完全结束这一轮的调整周期。2011年之后的黄金调整行情，则仅经历了4年左右的时间，2016年之后黄金市 场再次开启新一轮的上涨周期。 如果按照10年的上涨周期规律，那么2025年至2026年可能会是黄金市场的一个重要拐点。目前国际金价处于加速 上涨的阶段，这一轮上涨行情是否定义为加速冲顶的走势，仍然有待观察。 从2016年以来，黄金开启了新一轮的牛市行情。经历了9年时间的上涨，黄金价格从1100美元大幅攀升至3500美 元，9年时间黄金价格涨了几倍，它的表现并不逊色于同期美股市场的涨幅。 以美股市场为例，道琼斯指数从2 ...