消费者支出
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美国就业数据公司“挑战者”总裁:关税,削减资金,消费者支出,经济悲观主义给劳动力市场带来巨大压力。
news flash· 2025-06-05 11:36
Group 1 - The president of the employment data company "Challenger" highlighted that tariffs, funding cuts, consumer spending, and economic pessimism are putting significant pressure on the labor market [1]
经济学家:日本修正后的GDP数据或证实一季度经济萎缩
news flash· 2025-06-02 05:45
Core Viewpoint - Economists suggest that the revised GDP data for Japan, set to be released next week, may confirm an economic contraction in the first quarter of 2025 [1] Group 1: Economic Performance - Preliminary data released in mid-May indicated that Japan's actual GDP contracted at an annualized rate of 0.7% for the January-March quarter [1] - Economists from Norinchukin Research Institute predict that the economy may experience a second consecutive quarter of contraction from April to June due to stagnant wage growth not keeping pace with rising food prices, including rice [1] Group 2: Consumer Behavior and Investment - Consumer spending is expected to remain sluggish, influenced by ongoing inflationary pressures on essential goods [1] - The anticipated continuation of tariffs imposed by former President Trump is expected to exert pressure on exports and capital investment [1]
消费者支出疲软+贸易动荡 美国Q1经济萎缩0.2%
智通财经网· 2025-05-29 13:34
Economic Overview - The U.S. economy experienced a contraction at the beginning of the year, with the first quarter GDP annualized rate revised to -0.2%, slightly better than the initial estimate of -0.3% [1] - Consumer spending, a key driver of economic growth, increased by only 1.2%, down from the initial estimate of 1.8%, marking the lowest growth rate in nearly two years [1][2] - Net exports negatively impacted GDP by nearly 5 percentage points, slightly worse than initial predictions [1] Consumer Spending and Business Investment - The downward revision in consumer spending was primarily due to weakened demand for automobiles and reduced spending on services, including healthcare and insurance [4] - Business investment showed stronger performance, increasing by 10.3%, up from a prior estimate of 9.8% [2] Trade and Tariff Impact - A surge in imports, driven by businesses trying to stock up before tariffs imposed by the Trump administration, contributed to the economic slowdown [2] - The White House has since rescinded or delayed some punitive tariffs, which has alleviated some economic concerns, although tariff rates remain higher than pre-Trump levels [2] Future Economic Outlook - Economists expect a rebound in GDP for the second quarter due to reduced tariffs and the accumulation of imported goods into larger inventories, which may stimulate economic growth [3] - The overall demand in the economy was weaker than initially anticipated, with final sales to domestic private buyers growing by only 2.5%, the lowest level in nearly two years [3]
美国一季度GDP修正值速评
news flash· 2025-05-29 13:05
Core Viewpoint - The U.S. GDP growth rate for the first quarter has been revised to -0.2%, up from an initial estimate of -0.3%, indicating a contraction in the economy for the first time since 2022 due to weak consumer spending and higher-than-expected import growth [1] Economic Indicators - The final GDP data is expected to be released next month, with the initial report indicating a contraction [1] - Consumer spending, a key driver of economic growth, increased by 1.2%, revised down from an initial estimate of 1.8% [1]
每日机构分析:5月23日
Xin Hua Cai Jing· 2025-05-23 15:07
星展集团:新加坡核心通货膨胀将在今年剩余时间保持温和 美国银行:美国消费者信用卡支出在5月初出现放缓 澳新银行预测显示,截至2025年底,印度央行预计将会实施三次降息操作;鉴于目前印度的通胀压力并 不显著,而经济增长却显得疲软,这可能会推动印度央行持续采取宽松的货币政策以刺激经济。倘若 2025年第一季度的GDP数据未能达到预期,印度央行可能不得不下调本财年6.5%的经济增长预期。 美国银行指出,美国消费者信用卡支出从3月同比增长1.1%放缓至4月下半月的同比增长1%。5月前两 周,支出增长持平,没有同比增长;鉴于征收关税和相应的价格上涨导致经济不确定性依然很高,分析 师继续密切关注消费者的反应。 万神殿宏观经济公司认为,美国消费增长的减缓可能引发经济步入"停滞"阶段,尽管衰退或许可以避 免。企业界预期消费者需求将会减弱,并已经开始减少招聘人数。 预计裁员的步伐将加快,新的招聘活动也将减少,特别是在关税导致的价格上涨开始生效之后,消费者 支出从高于平均水平转向低于平均水平。 阿波罗全球管理公司首席经济学家认为,美国消费疲软是影响美国经济前景的主要风险,物价上涨可能 导致美联储在更长时间内维持较高利率;如果美国 ...
美国零售商财报将揭关税影响,消费者支出隐现裂痕
Huan Qiu Wang· 2025-05-21 05:49
【环球网财经综合报道】随着"关税""不确定性""衰退"等词在一季度财报电话会议中高频出现,本周将公布财报的一批美 国零售企业,将进一步揭示关税背景变化对经济的影响。 此前,中美经贸高层会谈在瑞士日内瓦取得重要成果,缓解了外界对特朗普关税致经济衰退的担忧。然而,特朗普与沃尔 玛在涨价问题上交锋后,零售商处境更受关注。 消费者支出作为美国经济活动重要晴雨表,出现放缓迹象。最新数据显示,因关税担忧提前购买的提振作用减弱,美国4月 零售销售增长大幅放缓至0.1%,远低于3月1.7%的两年最快涨幅。华尔街认为,贸易战平息前,消费者支出或持续不稳, 增加经济滞涨甚至衰退风险。4月支出放缓表明,美国家庭面对关税影响价格与经济时态度谨慎。券商Raymond James首席 经济学家阿尔曼称,消费者愈发挑剔,谨慎选择消费与削减开支。 行业统计显示,美国关税仍高于数十年水平,更贵的进口价格或使买家却步。经纪商Global X投资策略主管Scott Helfstein 表示,消费者仍在消费,但难比去年盛况。密歇根大学最新调查显示,美国消费者信心指数连续第五个月下跌,从上月 52.2降至50.8。分项指标显示,因担心收入下降,个人财 ...
美国零售商财报集中来袭:沃尔玛被“点名”,涨价还能提吗
Di Yi Cai Jing· 2025-05-19 23:07
商家如何应对成本压力? 随着"关税""不确定性"和"衰退"等术语在一季度财报电话会议上越来越频繁地出现,一批美国零售企业 将于本周公布的财报将进一步揭示关税背景变化对经济的影响。 在此之前,中美经贸高层会谈在瑞士日内瓦取得重要成果,外界对美国总统特朗普的关税将使经济陷入 衰退的担忧有所减轻,然而在特朗普与沃尔玛在涨价问题上针锋相对后,零售商的处境受到了更多关 注。 过去一周,沃尔玛的财报引发广泛关注。这家全美最大商超警告,消费者应该为更高的价格做好准备。 随后特朗普在社交媒体平台上发帖称,沃尔玛应该"吃下关税",而不是转嫁因提高关税而产生的成本。 特朗普政府降低关税的新举措可能会缓解人们的担忧。目前尚不清楚消费者支出是否会改善,尤其是在 商品消费领域。行业统计显示,目前美国的关税仍高于几十年来的水平,更昂贵的进口价格可能会让买 家望而却步。经纪商Global X投资策略主管Scott Helfstein表示:"消费者仍在消费,但无法与去年那种 盛宴相比。" 值得注意的是,密歇根大学发布的最新调查显示,美国消费者信心指数从上个月的52.2降至50.8,连续 第五个月下跌。 分项指标显示,由于担心收入下降,个人财 ...