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国际油价短线走低,WTI原油跌近5%,报65美元/桶;布伦特原油跌破67美元/桶,报66.98美元/桶。
news flash· 2025-06-24 13:32
Core Viewpoint - International oil prices have declined sharply, with WTI crude oil dropping nearly 5% to $65 per barrel, and Brent crude oil falling below $67 per barrel, currently at $66.98 per barrel [1] Group 1 - WTI crude oil price decreased by nearly 5% [1] - Current price of WTI crude oil is $65 per barrel [1] - Brent crude oil price has fallen below $67 per barrel, currently at $66.98 per barrel [1]
国际油价短线波动不大,据报道,伊朗否认在停火后向以色列发射导弹。
news flash· 2025-06-24 08:33
国际油价短线波动不大,据报道,伊朗否认在停火后向以色列发射导弹。 ...
以色列国防部长:已指示以色列国防军对伊朗做出强力回应
news flash· 2025-06-24 07:57
国际油价跌幅持续收窄,WTI现跌2.5%,稍早一度跌超5%。以色列国防部长就伊朗发射导弹一事称, 已指示以色列国防军对伊朗做出强力回应。 ...
美元指数、国际油价短线小幅走高,以色列国防军称,发现从伊朗向以色列发射的导弹,以色列北部地区拉响警报。
news flash· 2025-06-24 07:37
美元指数、国际油价短线小幅走高,以色列国防军称,发现从伊朗向以色列发射的导弹,以色列北部地 区拉响警报。 ...
国际油价维持日内逾2%的跌幅,特朗普在社交媒体上称,美国此前对伊朗的“完美一击”促成了伊以协议。
news flash· 2025-06-24 04:05
国际油价维持日内逾2%的跌幅,特朗普在社交媒体上称,美国此前对伊朗的"完美一击"促成了伊以协 议。 ...
甲醇:地缘缓解,偏弱运行
Guo Tai Jun An Qi Huo· 2025-06-24 02:09
2025 年 06 月 24 日 甲醇:地缘缓解,偏弱运行 | 黄天圆 | 投资咨询从业资格号:Z0018016 | Huangtianyuan022594@gtjas.com | | --- | --- | --- | | 杨鈜汉 | 投资咨询从业资格号:Z0021541 | yanghonghan025588@gtjas.com | 【基本面跟踪】 甲醇基本面数据 | 项 | 目 | 项目名称 | | 昨日数据 | 前日数据 | 变动幅度 | | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | | 期货市场 | 甲醇主力 (09合约) | 收盘价 | (元/吨) | 2,504 | 2,529 | -25 493868 | | | | 结算价 | (元/吨) | 2,512 | 2,538 | -26 | | | | 成交量 | (手) | 2,496,954 | 2,003,086 | | | | | 持仓量 | (手) | 993,459 | 884,704 | 108755 | | | | 仓单数量 | (吨) | 7,867 | 7,925 | -58 | | ...
国际油价持续走低,美油日内下跌5%
news flash· 2025-06-23 17:30
国际油价持续走低,美油日内下跌5% 金十数据6月24日讯,WTI原油日内大跌5.00%,跌破70美元/桶,现报69.96美元/桶。布伦特原油日内下 跌4.6%,现报72.2美元/桶。 WTI原油 布伦特原油 ...
【国际油价日内再度回升】6月23日讯,WTI原油收复此前1.7%的跌幅,现报75.97美元/盎司,盘初一度涨至77.79美元/桶。
news flash· 2025-06-23 15:58
国际油价日内再度回升 WTI原油 金十数据6月23日讯,WTI原油收复此前1.7%的跌幅,现报75.97美元/盎司,盘初一度涨至77.79美元/ 桶。 ...
国际油价短线走低,美国总统特朗普发文:所有人,把油价压下来。我在看着!
news flash· 2025-06-23 13:41
国际油价短线走低,美国总统特朗普发文:所有人,把油价压下来。我在看着! ...
银河期货纸浆期货周报(2025年06月第3周)-20250623
Yin He Qi Huo· 2025-06-23 03:29
1. Report Industry Investment Rating No relevant content provided. 2. Core Viewpoints of the Report - Since January 20th when Trump took office, the ratio of SP contract price to NR contract price has strengthened from 0.39 to 0.43. Pulp's resistance to decline and the opportunity to stabilize after negative factors are realized are worth attention [66]. - The weak macro - environment suppresses both the upstream import and downstream export of pulp, resulting in relatively less negative impact on pulp in a weak pattern [66]. - The impact of the temporary shutdown of Finnpulp's Joutseno plant is limited. The long - fiber import volume has increased compared to the same period last year, which will offset the impact of the shutdown [71]. - The import, inventory, and consumption data of hardwood pulp show a trend of tightening balance, but hardwood pulp is still weak. It is advisable to wait and see the hardwood - softwood pulp spread [71]. - The operating conditions of the domestic papermaking industry have an increasing influence on pulp prices, but the current domestic data is not consistently bearish or bullish [71]. 3. Summary by Relevant Catalogs 3.1 Technical Analysis - Pulp - Rubber Spread and Commodity Turnover Rate - Since June, the communication between Chinese and US leaders and high - level consultations in London have eased trade relations, reducing negative factors for commodities. However, the reduction of negative factors for pulp is relatively small, and there is still an opportunity to enter the market when the spread reaches the previous low [6]. - Israel's full - scale attack on Iran this week led to a sharp rise in crude oil prices. The commodity turnover rate on June 13th verified that the 84% correlation between pulp and crude oil comes from consistent downstream consumption expectations. When crude oil price changes are due to supply, the impact on pulp is small; when due to consumption, the guidance for pulp price is strong [6]. 3.2 SP Single - Side - US Policy and International Oil Price - From June to now, the US economic policy uncertainty index has declined for the second consecutive month, reaching 432.6 points. Its 12 - month average increased by 77.1% year - on - year, hitting a new high since April 2021, with 12 consecutive months of expanding growth, which is negative for SP single - side [13]. - In May, international oil prices decreased month - on - month, reaching $62.8 per barrel. Its 3 - month average decreased by 23.9% year - on - year, with 4 consecutive months of expanding decline, which is negative for SP single - side [13]. 3.3 SP Single - Side - International Trade & Dollar Index - In May, China's total import and export volume decreased month - on - month, reaching $529 billion. Its 6 - month cumulative value increased by 2.1% year - on - year, with 2 consecutive months of narrowing growth, which is positive for SP valuation [19]. - In May, the real broad - based dollar index decreased for the fourth consecutive month, reaching 116.6 points. Its 9 - month average increased by 5.2% year - on - year, with 15 consecutive months of marginal increase. The general cycle of the dollar index is 23 months, which is negative for SP single - side [19]. 3.4 SP Single - Side - Canadian Trade and Global Stock Market - In April, Canada's total import and export volume decreased month - on - month, reaching 128 billion Canadian dollars, a year - on - year decrease of 1.7%. It lags behind pulp prices and the negative impact has been fully realized [26]. - In April, the global stock market capitalization increased slightly month - on - month, reaching $119.9 trillion. Its 12 - month cumulative value increased by 7.5% year - on - year, with 3 consecutive months of narrowing growth [26]. 3.5 SP Single - Side - Softwood Data - The Joutseno softwood pulp mill of Finnpulp has temporarily shut down. In May, the inventory of European bleached softwood pulp decreased month - on - month to 238,000 tons, and consumption increased by 269,000 tons. The inventory - to - sales ratio was 0.89 times. The 12 - month average inventory increased by 4.7% year - on - year, with 6 consecutive months of marginal inventory increase, which is negative for SP single - side but with limited amplitude [32]. - In April, domestic softwood chip imports remained flat at 9,000 tons, and softwood pulp imports decreased month - on - month to 838,000 tons. The total long - fiber import was 843,000 tons. The 6 - month cumulative value decreased by 8.2% year - on - year, with 6 consecutive months of narrowing decline, which is negative for SP single - side but with limited amplitude [32]. 3.6 Inventory - SP Single - Side & Hardwood - Softwood Spread - In May, the social inventory of pulp in ports including Qingdao, Changshu, Gaolan, and Tianjin increased month - on - month to 2.159 million tons. The SP inventory decreased month - on - month to 275,200 tons. The total of social and futures inventory was 2.434 million tons, a year - on - year increase of 7.9%, which is negative for SP single - side and has been fully realized [39]. - In May, the ratio of social inventory to futures inventory was 7.84 times. Its 6 - month average increased by 35.4% year - on - year, which is negative for the hardwood - softwood pulp spread but with limited amplitude [39]. 3.7 SP Single - Side - Import and Export - In May, the domestic pulp import value increased month - on - month to $1.906 billion. In April, the US pulp import value decreased month - on - month to $308 million. The combined value (with a one - month lag) was $2.214 billion. Its 3 - month cumulative value decreased by 3.6% year - on - year, with 2 consecutive months of expanding decline, which is negative for SP single - side but with limited amplitude [46]. - In May, the total export value of paper products from Japan, South Korea, and Brazil was $565 million. Its 3 - month cumulative value decreased by 5.4% year - on - year, with 2 consecutive months of expanding decline [46]. 3.8 SP Single - Side - Domestic Papermaking Output and Inventory - In April, the electricity consumption of the domestic papermaking industry decreased month - on - month to 838 million kWh. The 12 - month cumulative electricity consumption increased by 0.6% year - on - year, with 9 consecutive months of narrowing growth, which is negative for SP single - side [53]. - In April, the finished product inventory of the domestic papermaking industry increased for the fourth consecutive month, reaching 77.57 billion yuan. The 12 - month average inventory increased by 5.6% year - on - year, with 13 consecutive months of marginal inventory increase [53]. 3.9 Hardwood - Softwood Pulp Spread - Import and Output - In April, the import of hardwood chips was 994,000 tons, the lowest since August 2023. The import of hardwood pulp decreased to 1.204 million tons, softwood chips remained flat at 9,000 tons, and softwood pulp decreased to 838,000 tons. The ratio of short - fiber to long - fiber import was 2.02 times. Its 12 - month average increased by 13.5% year - on - year, with 3 consecutive months of narrowing growth, which is positive for the hardwood - softwood pulp spread [59]. - In May, the consumption of hardwood pulp in domestic papermaking was 2.274 million tons, and that of softwood pulp was 534,000 tons. The consumption ratio was 4.26 times. Its 9 - month average increased by 7.1% year - on - year, with 7 consecutive months of expanding growth [59].