农产品日报 | 2025-11-26 糖价止跌企稳，郑棉延续反弹 棉花观点 市场要闻与重要数据 期货方面，昨日收盘棉花2601合约13645元/吨，较前一日变动+60元/吨，幅度+0.44%。现货方面，3128B棉新疆到 厂价14599元/吨，较前一日变动+25元/吨，现货基差CF01+954，较前一日变动-35；3128B棉全国均价14832元/吨， 较前一日变动+39元/吨，现货基差CF01+1187，较前一日变动-21。 近期市场资讯，据美国农业部，至11月23日全美棉花采摘进度79%，较去年同期落后4个百分点，较近五年均值落 后1个百分点。其中主产棉区得州采摘进度70%，较去年同期落后9个百分点，较近五年平均进度落后4个百分点。 市场分析 昨日郑棉期价延续反弹。国际方面，USDA报告大幅上调2025/26年度全球棉花产量，其中包括美国、中国和巴西 在内的主产国产量均有所调增；而全球棉花消费量仅微幅上调，使得全球棉花期末库存较9月显著上升，并且由去 库再度转为累库。就美棉而言，因单产明显提高，USDA将美棉产量大幅上调，而出口仅上调4万吨，调整后美棉 销售压力显著提升。总体而言，11月USDA报告调整对 ...

纸浆早报 研究中心能化团队 2025/11/26 SP主力合约收盘价： 5212.00 | 日期 | 2025/11/25 | 2025/11/24 | 2025/11/21 | 2025/11/20 | 2025/11/19 | | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | | 主力合约收盘价 | 5212.00 | 5220.00 | 5228.00 | 5298.00 | 5396.00 | | 折美元价 | 641.40 | 641.40 | 641.97 | 650.10 | 662.95 | | 距上一日涨跌 | -0.15326% | -0.15302% | -1.32125% | -1.81616% | -0.22189% | | 山东银星基差 | 253 | 270 | 262 | 212 | 154 | | 江浙沪银星基差 | 238 | 280 | 272 | 212 | 144 | 以13%增值税计算 | 产地 | 品牌 | 价格说明 | 港口美元价格 | 山东地区人民币价格 | 进口利润 | | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | ...

金信期货日刊 本刊由金信期货研究院撰写 2025/11/26 GOLDTRUST FUTURES CO.，LTD 看多玻璃次主力合约的3大可能性分析 ibaotu.com 热点聚焦 当前玻璃期货次主力合约处于"弱现实"与"强预期"的博弈中，从成本、供应、库存、政策及盘面资金等维 度看，存在诸多支撑因素，长期具备抄底价值，以下五大理由为看多逻辑提供核心支撑。 感谢您下载包图网平台上提供的PPT作品，为了您和包图网以及原创作者的利益，请勿复制、传播、销售，否则将承担法律责任！包图网将对作品进行维权，按照传播下载次数进行十倍的索取赔偿！ 一，成本端形成强力托底，下跌空间受限 行业盈亏平衡点约980 - 1000元/吨，而玻璃次主力合约11月21日报1113元/吨，虽当前部分企业仍能承压， 但价格若进一步下探，将触发更多企业限产停产，成本硬约束下，合约价格下跌空间已十分有限。 二，供应收缩持续加码，供需格局逐步优化 供应端收缩动作不断落地，沙河地区4条燃煤生产线已集中停产冷修，合计日熔量达2650吨，直接带动全国浮 法玻璃日产量环比下降1.33%。此外广东有企业公示平板玻璃生产线产能出让方案，进一步减少市场供应。 三 ...

农产品日报 | 2025-11-25 郑棉期价震荡反弹，纸浆走势依旧承压 风险 宏观及政策风险、主产国天气 白糖观点 棉花观点 市场要闻与重要数据 期货方面，昨日收盘棉花2601合约13585元/吨，较前一日变动+125元/吨，幅度+0.93%。现货方面，3128B棉新疆 到厂价14574元/吨，较前一日变动+3元/吨，现货基差CF01+989，较前一日变动-122；3128B棉全国均价14793元/ 吨，较前一日变动-3元/吨，现货基差CF01+1208，较前一日变动-128。 近期市场资讯，据美国农业部（USDA）报告，11月14日至11月20日，美国2025/26年度棉花分级检验27.02吨，84.6% 的皮棉达到ICE期棉交割要求。其中陆地棉检验量为26.31万吨，皮马棉为0.70万吨。至同期，累计分级检验150.66 万吨，81.4%的皮棉达到ICE期棉交割要求。其中陆地棉检验量为147.82万吨，皮马棉为2.84万吨。 市场分析 昨日郑棉期价震荡反弹。国际方面，USDA报告大幅上调2025/26年度全球棉花产量，其中包括美国、中国和巴西 在内的主产国产量均有所调增；而全球棉花消费量仅微幅上调，使得 ...

金信期货日刊 本刊由金信期货研究院撰写 2025/11/25 GOLDTRUST FUTURES CO.，LTD 看多玻璃次主力合约的3大可能性分析 ibaotu.com 热点聚焦 当前玻璃期货次主力合约处于"弱现实"与"强预期"的博弈中，从成本、供应、库存、政策及盘面资金 等维度看，存在诸多支撑因素，长期具备抄底价值，以下五大理由为看多逻辑提供核心支撑。 感谢您下载包图网平台上提供的PPT作品，为了您和包图网以及原创作者的利益，请勿复制、传播、销售，否则将承担法律责任！包图网将对作品进行维权，按照传播下载次数进行十倍的索取赔偿！ 一，成本端形成强力托底，下跌空间受限 行业盈亏平衡点约980 - 1000元/吨，而玻璃次主力合约11月21日报1113元/吨，虽当前部分企业仍能承 压，但价格若进一步下探，将触发更多企业限产停产，成本硬约束下，合约价格下跌空间已十分有限。 二，供应收缩持续加码，供需格局逐步优化 供应端收缩动作不断落地，沙河地区4条燃煤生产线已集中停产冷修，合计日熔量达2650吨，直接带动全 国浮法玻璃日产量环比下降1.33%。此外广东有企业公示平板玻璃生产线产能出让方案，进一步减少市场 供应。 ...

Report Overview - Report Name: Jinxin Futures Paper Industry Daily - Date: November 24, 2025 - Author: Jinxin Futures Research Institute Industry Investment Rating - No industry investment rating is provided in the report. Core Viewpoints - Pulp futures are expected to continue their weak performance due to factors such as price decline, inventory accumulation, increased imports, and cautious downstream procurement [4]. - Double - offset paper futures are likely to fluctuate in a low - level range in the short term, and the spot price is unlikely to rise substantially, maintaining a "stable price and weak volume" stalemate due to cost, supply, and demand factors [12]. - Both pulp and double - offset paper are negatively affected by the increase in short - selling positions of major players [18]. Summary by Directory Pulp Futures Fundamental Analysis Basic Situation - In Shandong, the price of softwood pulp decreased by 50 yuan. On Thursday, port inventory increased by 102,000 tons, a 5.1% month - on - month increase. In October, softwood pulp imports continued to rise, with a cumulative annual import of 7.122 million tons, a 2.7% year - on - year increase. The supply - demand fundamentals have not changed significantly, port de - stocking is lower than expected, and downstream procurement is cautious [4]. Double - offset Paper Futures Fundamental Analysis Basic Situation - In Shandong, the price of double - offset paper remained stable, and the spot market price was temporarily stable with little fluctuation in the quotes of leading paper enterprises. The sharp decline in the upstream pulp futures price has invalidated cost support, and negative sentiment has continued to spread. In Guangdong, some spot prices have weakened, and local publishing tender prices are low, increasing market wait - and - see sentiment. The supply side has an over - capacity situation, with new capacity to be added, while the operating rate has been hovering at a low level and inventory digestion is difficult. On the demand side, although publishing tenders support rigid demand, non - rigid demand orders have shown little improvement, and long - term factors such as digitization and birth rate are dragging down demand growth [12]. Main Force Trends - For pulp, short - selling major players have increased their positions, which is bearish [18]. - For double - offset paper, short - selling major players have increased their positions, which is bearish [18].

Report Information - The report is written by the Agricultural Products Team of Fangzheng Futures, including Hou Zhifang, Song Congzhi, Wang Liangliang, and Tang Binghua, and was completed on November 22, 2025 [1] Industry Investment Rating - No investment rating information is provided in the report Core Views - **Sugar**: Indian sugar mills are increasing their production, and new sugar is being listed in China, causing sugar prices to decline. It is recommended to hold short positions and consider selling call options [3] - **Pulp**: The pulp market has shifted from rising to falling. Although the cost of warehouse receipts provides some support, the overall improvement in fundamentals is limited. It is advisable to reduce short positions when approaching the support level [4] - **Double - offset paper**: The spot price is stable, and the seasonal demand improvement is insufficient to significantly improve the fundamentals. It is recommended to take short positions on rebounds [5] - **Cotton**: Globally and in the US, there is an expectation of a slight inventory build - up. In the domestic market, production is increasing, and demand is weak. It is recommended to reduce short positions on dips [8] - **Apples**: The peak of apple storage is lower than expected, and the yield and high - quality fruit rate are decreasing year - on - year. It is recommended to hold long positions in the May contract cautiously [9] - **Jujubes**: In November, the futures - spot price difference has returned, and the supply - demand is shifting to a double - strong situation. Aggressive investors can consider reverse arbitrage or long positions with protective put options [10] Summary by Directory Part I: Sector Strategy Recommendations - **Fresh Fruit Futures**: For Apple 2605, hold long positions cautiously; for Jujube 2601, short on rebounds [18] - **Soft Commodity Futures**: For Sugar 2601, hold short positions; for Pulp 2601, wait and see; for Double - offset paper 2601, short on rebounds; for Cotton 2601, hold short positions cautiously [18] Part II: Sector Weekly Market Review I. Futures Market Review | Variety | Closing Price | Weekly Change | Weekly Change Rate | | --- | --- | --- | --- | | Apple 2601 | 9570 | 530 | 5.86% | | Jujube 2601 | 9190 | - 400 | - 4.17% | | Sugar 2601 | 5470 | 13 | 0.24% | | Pulp 2511 | 4900 | 28 | 0.57% | | Double - offset paper 2601 | 4264 | 8 | 0.19% | | Cotton 2601 | 13450 | - 130 | - 0.96% | [19] II. Spot Market Review | Variety | Spot Price | Month - on - Month Change | Year - on - Year Change | | --- | --- | --- | --- | | Apple (yuan/jin) | 4.00 | 0.00 | - 0.25 | | Jujube (yuan/kg) | 9.40 | - 0.10 | - 5.30 | | Sugar (yuan/ton) | 5760 | 10 | - 560 | | Pulp (Shandong Yinxing) | 5550 | 0 | - 730 | | Cotton (yuan/ton) | 14371 | - 420 | - 912 | [23] Part III: Sector Basis Situation - The report provides basis data charts for Apple, Jujube, Sugar, Pulp, and Cotton, but does not provide specific numerical analysis [35] Part IV: Inter - month Spread Situation - The report provides inter - month spread data charts for Apple, Jujube, Sugar, and Cotton, but does not provide specific numerical analysis [41] Part V: Futures Warehouse Receipt Situation | Variety | Warehouse Receipt Quantity | Month - on - Month Change | Year - on - Year Change | | --- | --- | --- | --- | | Apple | 0 | 0 | 0 | | Jujube | 0 | 0 | 0 | | Sugar | 7971 | - 11 | - 3109 | | Pulp | 210549 | 991 | - 165471 | | Cotton | 2244 | - 1259 | 1964 | | Cotton Yarn | 17 | - 10 | 17 | [48] Part VI: Option - related Data | Variety | Market Logic | Option Strategy | | --- | --- | --- | | Apple 2605 | The peak of storage is lower than expected, and the futures price is supported | Sell out - of - the - money put options | | Jujube 2601 | New jujube production increases and is listed intensively | Sell deep out - of - the - money call options | | Sugar 2601 | Supply increases, and it is hard to rise | Sell out - of - the - money call options | | Cotton 2601 | There is still pressure from phased supply, and the price is expected to remain low | Sell out - of - the - money call options | | Pulp 2601 | Cost support exists, but the upward driving force of fundamentals is weak | Sell put options with an exercise price of 4900 and call options with an exercise price of 5300 | [50] Part VII: Sector Futures Fundamental Situation I. Apple - **Weather in Producing Areas**: Provide temperature and precipitation data charts for Shandong and Shaanxi [67] - **Export Situation**: Provide charts of monthly apple export volume [71] - **Inventory Situation**: Provide charts of weekly apple storage inventory in China, Shandong, and Shaanxi [73] II. Jujube - Provide charts of weekly jujube trading volume in Henan and Hebei, and daily jujube arrival volume in Guangdong Ruyifang Market [77] III. Sugar - Provide charts of national sugar industrial inventory, monthly sugar import volume, and sugar spot - futures spread [78] IV. Pulp - Provide charts of domestic pulp inventory in four ports, global pulp producer inventory days, and production volume of various paper products [83] V. Double - offset paper - Provide charts of double - offset paper capacity utilization, production volume, enterprise inventory, and apparent consumption [95] VI. Cotton - Provide charts of clothing retail sales and inventory data in the US, UK, and Japan, as well as domestic cotton industrial and commercial inventory, import volume, and textile industry data [100]

纸浆早报 SP主力合约收盘价： 5298.00 | 日期 | 2025/11/20 | 2025/11/19 | 2025/11/18 | 2025/11/17 | 2025/11/14 | | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | | 主力合约收盘价 | 5298.00 | 5396.00 | 5408.00 | 5474.00 | 5480.00 | | 折美元价 | 662.95 | 662.95 | 664.17 | 673.11 | 674.24 | | 距上一日涨跌 | -1.81616% | -0.22189% | -1.20570% | -0.10949% | -0.97579% | | 山东银星基差 | 212 | 154 | 142 | 76 | 70 | | 江浙沪银星基差 | 212 | 144 | 132 | 76 | 70 | 以13%增值税计算 | 产地 | 品牌 | 价格说明 | 港口美元价格 | 山东地区人民币价格 | 进口利润 | | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | | | 金狮 | CFR | 78 ...

农产品日报 | 2025-11-21 期货方面，昨日收盘棉花2601合约13465元/吨，较前一日变动-20元/吨，幅度-0.15%。现货方面，3128B棉新疆到 厂价14563元/吨，较前一日变动+6元/吨，现货基差CF01+1098，较前一日变动+26；3128B棉全国均价14791元/吨， 较前一日变动+12元/吨，现货基差CF01+1326，较前一日变动+32。 近期市场资讯，据商务部数据显示，印度2025年10月的服装出口额为10.69亿美元，同比减少12.88%，环比增加 7.11%。据棉花信息网最新调研数据显示，截至2025年11月17日，全疆棉花采摘进度约99.7%，环比增加1.2个百分 点，较去年同期慢0.3个百分点。 市场分析 昨日郑棉期价震荡收跌。国际方面，USDA11月月报重启发布，此次报告大幅上调美棉产量，2025/26年度全球棉 花产量、消费量以及期末库存较9月份均增加，整体调整方向偏空，数据发布后美棉期价应声下跌。由于当前北半 球新棉集中上市，阶段性供应压力仍在释放，而全球纺织终端消费仍疲软，产业端仍然缺乏明显的上行驱动，短 期外盘预计仍将承压运行，关注后期美棉出口目标的实现情况 ...

GOLDTRUST FUTURES CO.，LTD 金信期货日刊 本刊由金信期货研究院撰写 2025/11/21 GOLDTRUST FUTURES CO.，LTD 鸡蛋期货2601上涨后，后市震荡偏多博弈为主 ibaotu.com 热点聚焦 11月20日，鸡蛋期货2601合约震荡上行，盘中最高触及3248元，收盘涨2.05%报3240元，结束此前连续 回调态势。 感谢您下载包图网平台上提供的PPT作品，为了您和包图网以及原创作者的利益，请勿复制、传播、销售，否则将承担法律责任！包图网将对作品进行维权，按照传播下载次数进行十倍的索取赔偿！ 此次上涨主要受短期情绪修复与节日预期支撑，北方灌肠、南方腌腊等消费场景逐步启动，市场对12月备 货需求有所期待。 但中长期来看，供需矛盾未根本缓解。供应端，在产蛋鸡存栏仍处13亿只以上历史高位，后续3个月新增产 能将集中释放，供应压力难快速消解。需求端虽有旺季预期，但猪肉、鸡肉等替代蛋白价格低位运行，一 定程度挤压鸡蛋消费空间。 后市大概率呈现"短期震荡偏多、中期看产能去化"格局。 短期价格或区间波动，需关注存栏数据与降温对消费的拉动效果； 中长期若养殖端加速淘汰老鸡，轻仓 ...