多种工具协同维护市场稳定 现阶段处于政府债券持续发行高峰期，同时监管层也在引导金融机构加大货币信贷投放力度。央行持续注入中期流动性，体现了货币政策与财政政策之间的 协调配合，有助于推动宽信用进程，更好满足企业和居民的融资需求。受市场预期变化以及股市走强等因素影响，近期中长端市场利率普遍上行，银行体系 流动性有所收紧，央行通过MLF等政策工具加大资金投放，有助于稳定市场预期，保持市场流动性充裕。 8月以来，央行在流动性管理方面展现出明显的呵护意图。数据显示，本周公开市场将有20770亿元逆回购到期，同时还有3000亿元中期借贷便利以及9000亿 元买断式逆回购到期。央行通过两次开展买断式逆回购操作，连续多次开展逆回购操作实现净投放，并开展MLF操作，以保持银行体系流动性充裕。 加量续做MLF释放政策信号 8月25日至29日分别有2665亿元、5803亿元、6160亿元、2530亿元、3612亿元逆回购到期。本周还将有3000亿元MLF、5000亿元6个月期买断式逆回购、 4000亿元3个月期买断式逆回购到期。为保持流动性充裕，央行8月22日公告，8月25日开展6000亿元MLF操作。此次操作将净投放3000亿元 ...

北京商报讯（记者 廖蒙）8月中国人民银行中期借贷便利（MLF）操作再度加量。根据人民银行官网，为保持银行体系流动性充裕，2025年8月25日人民银 行将以固定数量、利率招标、多重价位中标方式开展6000亿元MLF操作，期限为1年期。 期。 除了通过MLF投放中期流动性外，人民银行在8月8日、8月15日分别开展了7000亿元、5000亿元买断式逆回购操作。截至8月22日，当月买断式逆回购实现 北京商报记者进一步对比发现，在5月降准释放长期流动性约10000亿元之后，近三个月公开市场中期流动性持续处于净投放状态，且8月净投放规模显著扩 大。 另据Wind数据，在8月25日—29日的一周里，人民银行公开市场将有20770亿元逆回购到期、3000亿元MLF到期，以及5000亿元6个月期、4000亿元3个月期 买断式逆回购到期。按照对应数据计算，本月MLF操作实现净投放3000亿元。自2025年3月开始，人民银行连续第六个月加量续作MLF，整体符合市场预 东方金诚首席宏观分析师王青从三方面分析了原因。王青指出，现阶段处于政府债券持续发行高峰期，同时监管层也在引导金融机构加大货币信贷投放力 度。人民银行持续注入中期流动性 ...

央行下周将开展6000亿元中期借贷便利（MLF）操作，8月MLF净投放将达3000亿元，为连续6个月"加 量续作"。叠加3000亿元买断式逆回购，8月中期流动性净投放总规模已达6000亿元，为今年2月以来的 单月新高。业内人士表示，此举释放出货币政策操作继续维持宽松、呵护信贷和市场预期的信号。展望 后市，年内降准空间有限，政策重心或转向"落实落细"，在保持流动性充裕的同时，更注重灵活落地与 精准传导。（上证报） ...

东方金诚首席宏观分析师王青对《证券日报》记者表示，在5月份降准释放长期流动性约1万亿元之后， 近3个月中期流动性持续处于净投放状态，且8月份净投放规模显著扩大，主要有三方面原因：一是现阶 段处于政府债券持续发行高峰期，同时监管层也在引导金融机构加大货币信贷投放力度，央行持续注入 中期流动性，体现了货币政策与财政政策之间的协调配合，有助于推动宽信用进程，更好满足企业和居 民的融资需求；二是近期中长端市场利率普遍上行，银行体系流动性有所收紧，央行通过MLF等政策 工具加大资金投放，有助于稳定市场预期，保持市场流动性充裕；三是央行持续实施中期流动性净投 放，也在释放数量型货币政策工具持续加力的政策信号，这表明货币政策仍在延续支持性立场。 8月22日，中国人民银行（以下简称"央行"）发布的2025年8月中期借贷便利招标公告显示，为保持银行 体系流动性充裕，2025年8月25日（周一），央行将以固定数量、利率招标、多重价位中标方式开展 6000亿元MLF操作，期限为1年期。 鉴于本月MLF到期量为3000亿元，故本月MLF净投放3000亿元，这也是央行连续第六个月加量续做 MLF。值得一提的是，央行在8月8日和8月15 ...

Report Summary 1. Report Industry Investment Rating - Not provided in the given content 2. Core View of the Report - After a period of oscillation, index futures still have support for a rebound [3] 3. Summary by Related Catalogs 3.1 Index Futures Data Tracking - **Price and Change**: On August 14, the closing prices of major indexes were as follows: CSI 300 at 4173.31 (down 0.08%), SSE 50 at 2829.47 (up 0.59%), CSI 500 at 6429.85 (down 1.20%), and CSI 1000 at 6976.49 (down 1.24%). The corresponding futures contracts showed mixed trends, with IF down 0.07%, IH up 0.46%, IC down 1.11%, and IM down 1.02% [1] - **Trading Volume and Open Interest**: On the trading day, the total trading volume of index futures rebounded, indicating increased trading enthusiasm among investors. Specifically, the total trading volume of IF increased by 26,975 lots, IH by 20,405 lots, IC by 5,277 lots, and IM by 36,064 lots. In terms of open interest, IF increased by 5,578 lots, IH by 3,248 lots, IC decreased by 9,652 lots, and IM decreased by 6,229 lots [2] 3.2 Index Futures Base Spread - The base spreads of IF, IH, IC, and IM showed different trends over a certain period, as shown in the corresponding base spread charts [4] 3.3 Top 20 Member Positions in Index Futures - For different index futures contracts (IF, IH, IC, IM), the top 20 members' long and short positions had various changes, including increases and decreases in different contracts [5] 3.4 Trend Intensity and Important Drivers - **Trend Intensity**: The trend intensity of IF and IH is 1, and that of IC and IM is also 1, with the range of trend intensity being integers in the [-2, 2] interval [6] - **Important Drivers**: The central bank plans to conduct a 500 - billion - yuan 6 - month (182 - day) outright reverse repurchase operation on August 15, and the total outright reverse repurchase in August has exceeded the roll - over amount by 30 billion yuan. The market expects the central bank to increase the roll - over amount after the 300 - billion - yuan MLF matures this month. The Fed's September rate - cut expectation was frustrated as the US July PPI soared year - on - year and环比, and some Fed officials opposed a large - scale rate cut [6] - **Stock Market Performance**: The Shanghai Composite Index closed down 0.46% at 3666.44 after breaking through 3700 points. The Shenzhen Component Index fell 0.87%, and the ChiNext Index fell 1.08%. A - share trading volume reached 2.31 trillion yuan, up from 2.18 trillion yuan the previous day. Most stocks fell, and certain sectors showed different performance trends [6]

央行公告，为保持银行体系流动性充裕，2025年8月15日，中国人民银行将以固定数量、利率招标、多重 价位中标方式开展5000亿元买断式逆回购操作，期限为6个月（182天）。 来源：央行 责编： 汪云鹏 校对： 冉燕青 百万用户都在看 突发！超10万人爆仓，发生了什么？ 重磅发布！刚刚，利好来袭！ 最新！中美再次暂停实施24%关税90天 沸腾！暴涨近170%！中国，创造历史！ 解散！马斯克，突发！ 违法和不良信息举报电话：0755-83514034 邮箱：bwb@stcn.com ...

行业 国债日报 日期 2025 年 8 月 14 日 研究员：何卓乔(宏观贵金属) 18665641296 hezhuoqiao@ccb.ccbfutures.com 期货从业资格号：F3008762 研究员：黄雯昕(国债集运) | | 表1：国债期货8月13日交易数据汇总 | | | | | | | | | | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | | 合约 | 前结算价 | 开盘价 | 收盘价 | 结算价 | 涨跌 | 涨跌幅 （%） | 成交量 | 持仓量 | 仓差 | | TL2509 | 118.150 | 117.760 | 118.270 | 118.310 | 0.120 | 0.10 | 125564 | 81087 | -6429 | | TL2512 | 117.740 | 117.340 | 117.880 | 117.910 | 0.140 | 0.12 | 45667 | 66643 | 5785 | | TL2603 | 117.370 | 116.990 | 117.560 | 117.560 | ...

Core Viewpoint - The article discusses the current financial landscape, highlighting the negative growth in credit and its implications for the A-share market, drawing parallels to historical trends from 2005. Financial Market Overview - The Shanghai Composite Index has surpassed 3674 points, indicating a potential shift in market sentiment [5] - In July, new credit issuance was negative at -500 billion, marking a significant downturn [5] - The central bank conducted a 1185 billion yuan reverse repurchase operation, with a net withdrawal of 200 billion yuan, reflecting a balanced and slightly loose liquidity environment [3][5] Interest Rates and Bond Market - The overnight repo rates are stable, with DR001 around 1.32% and DR007 at 1.45% [3] - The weighted average rates for repos are as follows: R001 at 1.35%, R007 at 1.47%, and R014 at 1.51%, indicating slight fluctuations in the short-term funding costs [4] - The 10-year government bond yield opened at 1.7200%, with a peak of 1.7350% during the trading session [6] Historical Context and Market Sentiment - The article references the last occurrence of negative credit growth in July 2005, which preceded a substantial increase in the Shanghai Composite Index, suggesting a potential for similar outcomes in the current context [5] - Analysts express a cautious yet optimistic sentiment regarding the stock market, with a humorous exchange indicating a preference for technology and growth sectors over bonds [6]

Group 1 - The People's Bank of China (PBOC) will conduct a 700 billion yuan reverse repurchase operation on August 8, 2025, to maintain liquidity in the banking system [1] - The operation will have a term of 3 months (91 days) and is part of a broader strategy to ensure sufficient liquidity amid high government bond issuance [2] - Analysts expect that the total operation amount for August will exceed the 900 billion yuan of maturing reverse repos, indicating potential further liquidity injections [1][2] Group 2 - In July 2025, the PBOC conducted 1.4 trillion yuan in reverse repos, resulting in a net liquidity injection of 200 billion yuan [3] - The cumulative issuance of reverse repos reached 11.3 trillion yuan by the end of July, with 4.8 trillion yuan remaining outstanding [3] - The introduction of the buyout reverse repo tool is seen as a significant enhancement to China's monetary policy toolkit, potentially reducing the reliance on Medium-term Lending Facility (MLF) for liquidity management [3]

Core Viewpoint - The central bank has significantly increased the scale of reverse repurchase operations in June and July, indicating a proactive approach to maintain liquidity in the financial system [3]. Group 1: Liquidity Operations - In June and July, the central bank conducted reverse repurchase operations amounting to 14,000 billion yuan each month, achieving a net injection of 2,000 billion yuan [3]. - The operations in June included injections of 10,000 billion yuan at the beginning of the month and 4,000 billion yuan in the middle of the month, while July saw a 14,000 billion yuan injection in mid-month [3]. Group 2: Future Expectations - In August, 9,000 billion yuan of reverse repurchase agreements are set to mature, which exceeds the current injection volume, indicating potential liquidity tightening [3]. - Analyst Wang Qing anticipates that the central bank will conduct another 6-month reverse repurchase operation within August, alongside the expected rollover of 3,000 billion yuan in Medium-term Lending Facility (MLF) [3]. - The expectation is that the central bank will continue to inject medium-term liquidity through MLF and reverse repurchase operations to maintain ample liquidity in the banking system during the peak of government bond issuance [3].