当一位曾在童年经历过真实第三世界贫困、家中没有冲水厕所的外交官，用平和而坚定的声 音说出"西方不能再主宰地球"时，我们听到的不仅是一个判断，更是一部跨越两个世纪的文明叙 事正在翻页的声响。 这是第一财经主持人尹凡与新加坡驻联合国前大使、《中国的选择》《亚洲的21世纪》作者 马凯硕之间，一场关于世界秩序命运的思想对谈。它不满足于表象分析，而是直指时代变革的底 层逻辑与精神内核。马凯硕，这位被西方世界倾听却屡屡发出"逆耳忠言"的亚洲智者，将以其独 特的"双重视野"——既深植东方草根现实，又贯通全球权力顶层——为我们剖解眼前这个纷乱时 代的源代码。 战略定力与文明韧性 超越博弈： 谈及中美之争，马凯硕揭示了远比"竞争"更深刻的维度。他引用基辛格的洞察指出，问题的核心在 于"战略思维的有无"：中国拥有管理长期竞争的"全面战略"，而美国缺乏长期战略。这种差异，在贸易战 中体现得淋漓尽致——中国从最初的"措手不及"到如今成为"唯一能说不"的力量，背后是长达数十年系统 性经营周边、编织合作网络的战略定力。在马凯硕看来，这不仅是政策的胜利，更是一种文明在面对压力 时，所展现出的深层耐心与智慧。这种东渐之势，因此不能被简单视为 ...

F 第一财经主持 粤凯硕 两说 Business Insights 新加坡驻联合国前大使马凯硕以跨越东西方的独特视角，向我们揭示了一个正在剧变的世界图景： 亚洲世纪即将到来，西方主导的旧秩序正被多元文明共生的新格局所取代。在这场深度对话中，他不仅 剖析了中美战略博弈的本质——一方谋划长远，一方困于短视，更预言了亚洲世纪的真正内涵：这不是 单一国家的崛起，而是整个文明板块的复兴。当人类首次共同置身于"地球方舟"之上，我们能否超越零 和博弈，学会在竞争中共存？这不仅关乎大国角力，更考验着整个人类文明的智慧。一场关于未来世界 秩序的深刻思考，即将展开。 更多精彩内容，敬请关注12月10日周三晚22:30 东方卫视 《两说》节目， 第一财经 12月13日周六晚22:00 播出。 Business Insights 12\10 22:30 12\13 22:00 东方卫视首播 第一财经播出 新加坡驻联合国前大使 《中国的选择》《亚洲的21世纪》作者 ...

Core Points - The article discusses India's shift in diplomatic stance towards China following the imposition of high tariffs by the United States, which has forced India to reconsider its position and seek cooperation with China [1][3][9] - The visit of Chinese Foreign Minister Wang Yi to India is seen as a significant turning point, bringing essential supplies that India desperately needs, such as fertilizers and rare earth materials [11][25] - The article highlights the dual standards in U.S. foreign policy, which has left India feeling vulnerable and compelled to mend ties with China [7][9][41] Summary by Sections Economic Impact - The U.S. has imposed an additional 25% tariff on Indian goods, leading to a total tariff burden of up to 50%, which poses a severe threat to India's export-dependent economy [5][9] - India's reliance on exports makes the high tariffs particularly damaging, pushing the country into a corner where it feels pressured to seek alternatives [5][25] Diplomatic Shift - India's foreign policy has shifted dramatically from mocking China to extending an olive branch, indicating a pragmatic approach to international relations [3][13] - The Indian government has publicly acknowledged Taiwan as part of China, reversing its previous stance, which signifies a significant diplomatic recalibration [15][19] Bilateral Cooperation - India has proposed to resume border trade with China, which had been suspended for five years, indicating a desire to improve economic ties and stabilize relations [17][19] - The establishment of new communication mechanisms, including a boundary expert group and a general-level dialogue, aims to enhance cooperation and reduce the risk of military misunderstandings [21][23] Strategic Calculations - The Modi government recognizes the unsustainable nature of prolonged military expenditure and the need for economic cooperation with China to support domestic growth [25][29] - The article emphasizes that the relationship between India and China is evolving from crisis management to proactive cooperation, which could redefine regional dynamics [35][39] Future Outlook - The article suggests that the improvement in Sino-Indian relations could lead to greater stability and prosperity in Asia, benefiting both nations and countering external forces that seek to create division [41][43] - The shift towards cooperation based on mutual interests rather than ideological alignment is seen as a hallmark of future international relations [47]

Core Points - The meeting between Indian Prime Minister Modi and Chinese official Wang Yi emphasizes the importance of cooperation between India and China, highlighting their historical ties and mutual benefits in addressing global challenges [2][4]. Group 1: Bilateral Relations - Modi expressed anticipation for the upcoming Shanghai Cooperation Organization summit in Tianjin and reiterated India's support for China's presidency of the organization [2][4]. - Both leaders acknowledged the significance of the October meeting in Kazan as a turning point for improving bilateral relations, emphasizing that India and China are partners rather than rivals [2][4]. - The year 2025 marks the 75th anniversary of diplomatic relations between India and China, which both leaders view as a foundation for future cooperation [2][4]. Group 2: Border Issues - The 24th meeting of the Special Representatives on the India-China border issue resulted in a 10-point consensus aimed at maintaining peace and stability in border areas [6][8]. - Both sides agreed to establish a boundary expert group and a working group under the framework of the WMCC to facilitate boundary negotiations and effective border management [8][9]. - The discussions included plans to reopen traditional border trade markets and enhance cooperation on cross-border river management [8][9]. Group 3: Diplomatic Engagements - The meeting between Wang Yi and Indian Foreign Minister Jaishankar resulted in 10 outcomes, including mutual support for upcoming diplomatic events and the importance of leadership in guiding bilateral relations [9][11]. - Both countries agreed to facilitate direct flights and improve visa processes for travelers, enhancing people-to-people connections [11]. - The leaders committed to promoting multilateralism and addressing global issues collaboratively, reinforcing their roles in international trade and development [11].

Core Insights - The concept of "Asian Century" has evolved, with Asia expected to contribute nearly 55% of global GDP by 2024, surpassing earlier predictions [1] - The narrative of Asia's rise is shifting from dominance to balance, focusing on local adaptation and inclusive growth [1] - The re-evaluation of the "Galapagos Syndrome" highlights the importance of localized innovations, which are now seen as advantages rather than limitations [1] Group 1: Localized Innovations - The model of "localized innovation" is thriving across Asia, with mobile-centric platform designs and inclusive fintech infrastructure [2] - Super apps, such as WeChat and Alipay, are emerging as ecosystems that integrate various functions and are being emulated in regions like Africa and Latin America [2] Group 2: Financial Services and Digital Infrastructure - Asia is reshaping global perceptions of "scale, innovation, and inclusivity" in financial services and public digital infrastructure [3] - India's Unified Payments Interface is a global benchmark in digital payments, processing billions of low-cost, secure transactions monthly [3] - Southeast Asia's QR code payment networks are inspiring developments in the U.S. and Europe due to their compatibility and rapid adoption [3] Group 3: Diverse Economic Landscape - Asia's transition from "technology adopters" to "innovation sources" is complex, characterized by diverse economic conditions and challenges [3] - Japan's use of robotics and AI to address labor shortages in healthcare and eldercare serves as a model for other nations facing similar issues [3] - Challenges in Asia often act as catalysts for innovation rather than obstacles [3] Group 4: Global Perspective Shift - The focus has shifted from whether Asia can "Westernize" to what the next adoptable Asian model will be, indicating the true arrival of the Asian Century [4]

Core Viewpoint - Asia is facing numerous risks and challenges but also holds vast opportunities for growth and development, as emphasized by Vietnamese Prime Minister Pham Minh Chinh during the World Economic Forum 2025 [1][2] Group 1: Risks and Challenges - Asia is confronted with rising protectionism, economic slowdown, climate change, and resource scarcity [1] - Despite these challenges, the region has seen a decline in poverty rates and improvements in infrastructure and public services [1] Group 2: Opportunities and Strengths - Asia possesses significant advantages in geopolitical strategy, market size, and economic growth potential [1] - The region has a strong political, economic, cultural, and social foundation, which provides resilience and valuable experience to tackle difficulties [1] Group 3: Initiatives for Development - Five initiatives were proposed to foster a prosperous and sustainable "Asian Century": 1. Maintain a peaceful and stable development environment while expanding cooperation [1] 2. Lead in technological innovation and promote digital and green transformations [1] 3. Strengthen integration with global value chains [1] 4. Encourage entrepreneurship and innovation to create opportunities for SMEs and youth [1] 5. Enhance cultural and social connections to promote consensus and reduce differences [1] Group 4: Innovation Network - The establishment of an "Asian Innovation Network" is suggested, leveraging major countries like China to integrate resources from research institutions, universities, and enterprises [2] - The creation of an "Asian Innovation Information Portal" aims to provide substantial support for SMEs and startups [2]

Core Viewpoint - The European Union (EU) is increasingly focusing on the Asia-Pacific region to strengthen economic cooperation and mitigate internal and external risks amid changing transatlantic relations and U.S. tariff pressures [1][2]. Group 1: Economic Cooperation and Strategic Shift - The EU has historically prioritized economic cooperation with the Asia-Pacific region, as evidenced by official documents dating back to 1994 and subsequent strategies emphasizing connectivity and trade agreements [2][3]. - The EU's renewed focus on Asia is driven by the need to seek opportunities and mitigate risks in a volatile geopolitical landscape [2][3]. Group 2: Economic Potential of the Asia-Pacific Region - The Asia-Pacific region accounts for approximately 30% of global GDP, making it a highly attractive market due to its economic vitality and potential for growth [3]. - The International Monetary Fund (IMF) projects that Asia's GDP will grow by 4.6% in 2024, with growth rates of 3.9% and 4% expected in 2025 and 2026, respectively, significantly outpacing global averages [3]. - The region's trade dynamics are also robust, with actual export and import growth rates of 3.4% and 3.6% in 2024, compared to global rates of 1.8% and 2.2% [3]. Group 3: Current Trade Relations and Challenges - The EU's presence in the Asia-Pacific trade landscape is limited, accounting for only 8% of ASEAN's external trade, indicating a relative withdrawal over the past two decades [4]. - The rise of U.S. protectionism has increased the need for the EU and Asia-Pacific countries to strengthen their economic ties and diversify partnerships [4]. - Strengthening cooperation between the EU and Asia-Pacific can reinforce the traditional consensus on supporting a multilateral trade system and enhance joint efforts in reforming international trade rules [4]. Group 4: Existing Agreements and Future Prospects - The EU has established free trade agreements with several Asia-Pacific countries and has reached digital partnership agreements with Japan and Singapore, indicating a foundation for deeper cooperation [5]. - A pragmatic approach to economic development and addressing mutual concerns in regulatory standards and market access could accelerate the EU's vision of connecting Europe and Asia [5].