文 | 银行螺丝钉 （转载请注明出处） 大中小盘股下跌，中小盘股下跌稍多。 价值风格整体下跌； 成长风格中，创业板指略微上涨。 市场还是风格轮动的。 10-11月，成长风格下跌超15%，价值风格下跌约5%上下。 到了12月，成长风格这几天比较强势，价值风格低迷。 风水轮流转。 港股今天也下跌。 波动比A股还大一些。 今天下跌后，港股科技、恒生科技也重新回到低估。 今天大盘整体下跌，截止到收盘，还在4.2星。 目前处在刚进入低估的位置。 1. [大吉大利，今天吃基] 第393期的螺丝钉定投实盘来啦。 时间：2025年12月9日 方案：定投买入 品种： 指数增强投顾组合： 回到正常估值，暂停定投，继续持有。后面回到低估后继续。 主动优选投顾组合：9553元 月薪宝投顾组合：10000元 最近市场上涨，本周发车金额有所降低 。 本周： · 指数增强组合回到正常估值，暂停定投，继续持有。后面回到低估后继续。 · 主动优选组合正常定投。不过主动优选距离正常估值也不远。 · 增加月薪宝组合投资，月薪宝底层是40%的股票+60%的债券。 月薪宝本身自带「低买高卖」的股债再平衡策略，自带止盈。本身波动风险小，比较稳健的参与市 ...

Core Viewpoint - The article emphasizes the importance of strategic asset allocation for high-net-worth families, highlighting the need for a diversified investment approach to optimize returns and manage risks effectively [1]. Group 1: Industry Insights - The current market environment presents both challenges and opportunities for investors, particularly in sectors such as technology and healthcare, which are expected to drive growth in the coming years [1]. - Interest rates and inflation trends are critical factors influencing investment decisions, with a projected increase in interest rates impacting borrowing costs and investment strategies [1]. Group 2: Company Analysis - Companies that adapt to changing market conditions and consumer preferences are likely to outperform their peers, particularly those investing in innovation and sustainability [1]. - Financial performance metrics, such as revenue growth and profit margins, are essential indicators for assessing company health and potential investment opportunities [1].

Group 1 - The article emphasizes the importance of diversifying investments across different asset classes, including both RMB and foreign currency assets, as well as stocks and bonds, with a focus on US dollar bonds as a significant component [2] - It suggests that acquiring assets at a low price is crucial for protecting investments, highlighting the formula of good quality assets plus good prices plus long-term holding equals good returns [5] - The article warns that even the best assets can pose risks if purchased at high prices, using historical examples from bull markets in 2007 and 2015 to illustrate the potential for losses when buying at peak prices [6] Group 2 - It discusses the advantages of investing during bear markets, citing the example of purchasing stock funds at the end of the A-share bear market in 2018, which likely resulted in favorable long-term returns [6] - The article notes that market irrationality can lead to price deviations from intrinsic value, creating opportunities for undervalued investments [6] - It recommends using tools like the "screw star rating and valuation table" to assess whether an asset is currently undervalued [6]

Core Viewpoint - The article discusses the concept of "missing out" on market gains, emphasizing that for ordinary investors, missing out is not a risk, while losing money is the real concern [2][10]. Group 1: Fund Managers' Perspective - For fund managers, missing out on market gains poses a significant risk, as it can lead to underperformance compared to the market, resulting in investor dissatisfaction and a substantial decrease in fund size [4][6]. - A decline in fund size directly impacts the management fees collected by fund companies, leading to reduced revenue [5]. - To mitigate this risk, many fund managers opt to maintain a high stock allocation consistently, aiming for excess returns through careful stock selection [7][8]. Group 2: Ordinary Investors' Perspective - Ordinary investors face different circumstances; they do not receive rewards for taking on greater risks, and aggressive investment strategies do not guarantee higher returns [11][14]. - Ordinary investors often need to liquidate assets for cash flow to meet living expenses, which can be problematic during market downturns [15][16]. - Unlike fund managers, who focus on relative performance against other funds, ordinary investors should prioritize absolute returns to ensure each investment is profitable and does not negatively impact their purchasing power [20][17]. Group 3: Investment Strategy - The article emphasizes the importance of investing during undervalued market phases to minimize potential losses [21][23]. - It highlights that purchasing high-quality assets at lower valuations can lead to higher long-term returns while reducing risk [22][23]. - As of August 12, 2025, the market is still considered relatively cheap, presenting an opportunity for investors to accumulate quality assets [26].

Core Viewpoint - The article discusses the performance of various stock indices, particularly focusing on dividend indices and their investment strategies, highlighting the importance of valuation and market conditions in investment decisions. Group 1: Market Performance - The overall market opened lower but rebounded slightly by the close, with the CSI All Share Index showing a minor decline, maintaining a rating of 4.6 stars [1] - Large-cap stocks experienced slight gains, while small-cap stocks saw minor declines [2] - Dividend and value styles showed slight increases, whereas growth styles like the ChiNext Index experienced minor declines [3][4] Group 2: Dividend Indices - The article emphasizes that dividend indices are strategy-based indices that select stocks according to specific criteria [11] - Historical examples illustrate how certain sectors, like banking and real estate, have been included in dividend indices based on their high dividend yields during specific market conditions [13][16] - The mechanism of indices allows for a natural turnover, removing stocks that no longer meet the criteria, as seen in past market cycles [21][23] Group 3: Investment Strategies - Investors are encouraged to consider undervalued investments in dividend indices, as these tend to have lower volatility compared to the overall market, approximately 70% of the market's volatility [25] - Investing during undervalued periods can enhance future cash flow returns and reduce downside risk, making dividend indices suitable for such strategies [30][32] - The article provides a valuation table for various dividend indices, including metrics like earnings yield, P/E ratio, and dividend yield, to assist investors in making informed decisions [34] Group 4: Fund Performance - A summary of various funds tracking dividend indices is provided, detailing their performance metrics such as average annual dividends and tracking indices [36] - The article mentions the availability of updated valuation data for dividend indices through a mini-program, allowing investors to access real-time information [37] Group 5: Upcoming Events - A live session is scheduled to discuss the characteristics of the Free Cash Flow Index and its relationship with dividend and value indices, indicating ongoing educational efforts for investors [38]

Group 1 - The article emphasizes the importance of long-term investment strategies over short-term gains, highlighting that true wealth growth comes from sustained investment approaches [2][10] - The author discusses the concept of undervaluation, distinguishing between relative undervaluation, which involves predictive factors and growth, and absolute undervaluation, which is an objective reality [7][8] - The article illustrates that even seemingly unattractive investments can yield significant returns if they are in industries with long-term potential, as demonstrated by the example of a dental hospital company that saw substantial growth despite initial skepticism [7][8] Group 2 - The article notes that external investors may prioritize long-term growth potential over immediate profits, as seen in their willingness to overlook short-term losses for future stability [5] - It is mentioned that market movements tend to oscillate between extremes, and that a return to undervaluation is a high-probability event, suggesting that understanding market cycles can benefit investors [8] - The author argues that mastering either undervaluation or growth can lead to long-term profitability for ordinary investors, making it essential to recognize market opportunities [8]