Report Industry Investment Rating No relevant content provided. Core View - The report presents basic economic data including fixed - asset investment cumulative year - on - year at 2.80, social retail sales total monthly year - on - year at 4.80, export monthly year - on - year at 5.90, and M2 at 8.30 [4] Summary by Relevant Categories Government Bond Net Financing - In the 30th week (7/21 - 7/27), government bond net financing was 3036 billion, and in the 31st week (7/28 - 8/3), it was 4025 billion. As of the 30th week, the cumulative amount was 8.7 trillion, exceeding the same period last year by 4.8 trillion [1][5] Treasury Bond Net Financing - In the 30th week (7/21 - 7/27), treasury bond net financing was 107 billion, and in the 31st week (7/28 - 8/3), it was 1600 billion. As of the 30th week, the cumulative amount was 3.8 trillion, with a progress of 57.7%, exceeding the average of the past five years [7] Local Bond Net Financing - In the 30th week (7/21 - 7/27), local bond net financing was 2929 billion, and in the 31st week (7/28 - 8/3), it was 2425 billion. As of the 30th week, the cumulative amount was 4.9 trillion, exceeding the same period last year by 3 trillion [1][9] New General Bond - In the 30th week (7/21 - 7/27), new general bond issuance was 233 billion, and in the 31st week (7/28 - 8/3), it was 209 billion. As of the 30th week, the cumulative amount was 5174 billion, with a progress of 64.7%, exceeding the same period last year [1][9] New Special Bond - In the 30th week (7/21 - 7/27), new special bond issuance was 2054 billion, and in the 31st week (7/28 - 8/3), it was 1832 billion. As of the 30th week, the cumulative amount was 2.6 trillion, with a progress of 59.0%, exceeding the same period last year [2][12] - Special new special bonds of 7769 billion have been issued, with 2878 billion issued in July, accounting for 47% of new special bonds. The 8000 - billion quota may be issued by the third quarter [12] - Land reserve special bonds of 2639 billion have been issued. As of July 27, 27 provinces and cities have announced relevant progress, covering 4658 plots of land with a total capital scale of 5181 billion [2][12] Special Refinancing Bond - In the 30th week (7/21 - 7/27), special refinancing bond issuance was 119 billion, and in the 31st week (7/28 - 8/3), it was 454 billion. As of the 30th week, the cumulative amount was 1.8 trillion, with a issuance progress of 92% [2][25] Urban Investment Bond - In the 30th week (7/21 - 7/27), urban investment bond net financing was - 306 billion, and in the 31st week (7/28 - 8/3), it is expected to be - 287 billion. As of this week, the balance of urban investment bonds is about 10.3 trillion [2][29]

Report Overview - Report Date: July 28, 2025 [1] - Research Team: Fixed Income Research Team [2] - Analysts: Chen Xi, Liu Rui [3] Investment Rating - The report does not mention the industry investment rating. Core Views - Credit bond issuance and net financing have recovered, and trading activity has increased [1][4] - The science and technology innovation bond market is in the second half, with room for spread compression [4] - Credit strategy focuses on balancing coupon and risk, increasing allocation to short - term high - coupon city investment bonds and 3Y/AAA - secondary capital bonds [6] Summary by Directory Policy and Market Trends - On July 18, 2025, the Shenzhen Stock Exchange issued a notice on pilot corporate bond re - issuance and asset - backed securities expansion business, aiming to enhance market depth and optimize financing efficiency [4] - The science and technology innovation bond market is in the second half. Driven by the expansion of underlying assets and policy guidance in the second half of the year, there is still room for spread compression [4] Primary Issuance - From July 21 - 25, the issuance amount of general credit bonds was 351 billion yuan, a week - on - week increase of 70.9 billion yuan; net financing was 128 billion yuan, a week - on - week increase of 83 billion yuan [4] - Among them, the issuance amount of urban investment bonds was 107.7 billion yuan, a week - on - week increase of 10.9 billion yuan; net financing was 29.8 billion yuan, a week - on - week increase of 27.5 billion yuan [4] - The issuance amount of industrial bonds was 243.2 billion yuan, a week - on - week increase of 60.1 billion yuan; net financing was 98.2 billion yuan, a week - on - week increase of 55.8 billion yuan [4] - The weighted issuance term of general credit bonds was 4.21 years, a week - on - week increase of 0.88 years; the weighted issuance interest rate was 1.75%, a week - on - week decrease of 0.09 pct [4] Secondary Trading - The turnover rates of general credit bonds with maturities of less than 1 year and 1 - 3 years increased, while those of other maturities decreased [5] - The turnover rate of bank Tier 2 and perpetual bonds increased overall, with a significant increase in the AAA - level, and a decrease in the AA+ and AA levels [5] Spread Tracking - As of July 25, the average yields of medium - and short - term notes, urban investment bonds, secondary capital bonds, and perpetual bonds with AAA ratings at various maturities were at historically low levels [5] - For urban investment bonds, most spreads widened, except for some 3 - year and 5 - year varieties [5] - For bank Tier 2 and perpetual bonds, the spreads of 3Y and 5Y levels widened, while the 1Y spread narrowed [5] - Regionally, most provincial urban investment bond spreads widened, with Heilongjiang having the largest widening amplitude of 11BP [5] - In the industrial bond sector, most industry spreads narrowed or remained flat, except for the AA - level chemical and AA - level building materials industries [6] Credit Strategy - Balance coupon and risk, and give priority to short - term high - rating varieties. Pay attention to liquidity premium opportunities at the ultra - long end and beware of policy and credit event disturbances [6] - Increase allocation to short - term high - coupon urban investment bonds and industrial bonds with a duration of less than 3 years [6] - Enter the ultra - long - term credit bond market after interest rate adjustments, and focus on the liquidity premium of insurance sub - debt and science and technology innovation bond ETF component bonds [6] - For bank Tier 2 and perpetual bonds, pay attention to changes in the capital market and the overall sentiment of the credit bond allocation end when considering sector games [6]