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债券ETF跟踪:债券ETF净值修复,资金流出
ZHONGTAI SECURITIES· 2026-01-26 13:28
1. Report Industry Investment Rating - The report does not mention the industry investment rating [1][2][3] 2. Core View of the Report - The net value of bond ETFs has recovered, but there has been a capital outflow. The net inflow and outflow of different types of bond ETFs vary, and the net value of various bond ETF products has generally increased [1][5][6] 3. Summary by Relevant Catalogs 3.1 Funds Flow - As of January 23, 2026, bond - type ETFs had a total net outflow of 13.381 billion yuan in the past week. Interest - rate, credit, and convertible - bond ETFs had net outflows of 5.763 billion yuan, 11.944 billion yuan, and a net inflow of 4.326 billion yuan respectively. Among credit - type ETFs, short - term financing, corporate bonds, and urban investment bonds had net inflows of 0.327 billion yuan, 0.048 billion yuan, and 0.048 billion yuan respectively, while market - making credit bonds and science - innovation bonds had net outflows of 5.011 billion yuan and 7.356 billion yuan respectively. Since 2025, interest - rate, credit, and convertible - bond ETFs have had cumulative net inflows of 54.852 billion yuan, 475.079 billion yuan, and 30.291 billion yuan respectively, totaling 560.222 billion yuan [5] 3.2 Net Value Performance - Throughout the week, the net values of various types of bond ETF products generally rose. As of January 23, 2026, the 30 - year Treasury Bond ETF Boshi performed well, rising 1.26% for the week, the Treasury Bond ETF Huaxia rose 0.45%, and the Ten - year Treasury Bond ETF rose 0.16%. The Convertible Bond ETF and the Shanghai Stock Exchange Convertible Bond ETF rose 2.88% and 2.40% respectively last week [6] 3.3 Performance of Credit Bond ETFs and Science - Innovation Bond ETFs - As of January 23, 2026, the median unit net values of credit bond ETFs and science - innovation bond ETFs were 1.0141 and 1.0020 respectively, rising 0.13% and 0.10% for the week. Among credit bond ETFs, the Credit Bond ETF Haifutong performed relatively well, rising 0.14% for the week. Among science - innovation bond ETFs, the Science - Innovation Bond ETF Huatai Bairui and the Science - Innovation Bond ETF Invesco performed relatively well. As of January 23, 2026, the median discount rate of credit bond ETFs was 25BP, and that of science - innovation bond ETFs was 24BP [7] 3.4 Credit - Type ETF Duration Tracking - As of January 23, 2026, the holding durations of short - term financing ETFs, corporate bond ETFs, and urban investment bond ETFs were 0.35 years, 1.93 years, and 2.10 years respectively. Among market - making credit bond ETFs, the median holding durations of products tracking the Shanghai Market - Making Corporate Bond and Shenzhen Market - Making Corporate Bond indexes were 3.61 years and 2.78 years respectively. Among science - innovation bond ETFs, the median holding durations of products tracking the AAA Science - Innovation Bond, Shanghai AAA Science - Innovation Bond, and Shenzhen AAA Science - Innovation Bond indexes were 3.32 years, 3.21 years, and 3.18 years respectively [10] 3.5 Report Summary - Last week, the ChinaBond New Composite Index rose 0.26% for the week; short - term pure - bond and medium - and long - term pure - bond funds rose 0.04% and 0.08% respectively; the CSI AAA Science - Innovation Bond Index and the Shanghai Stock Exchange Benchmark Market - Making Corporate Bond Index rose 0.16% and 0.17% respectively [9]
债券ETF跟踪:债券ETF资金持续流出
ZHONGTAI SECURITIES· 2026-01-19 09:27
Group 1: Report Summary - The ChinaBond New Composite Index rose 0.18% last week; short - term and medium - long - term pure bond funds rose 0.02% and 0.05% respectively; the CSI AAA Sci - tech Innovation Bond Index and the SSE Benchmark Market - making Corporate Bond Index rose 0.11% each [2] Group 2: Capital Flows - As of January 16, 2026, bond - type ETFs had a net outflow of 16.512 billion yuan in the past week. Interest - rate, credit, and convertible - bond ETFs had net outflows of 5.307 billion yuan, 14.018 billion yuan, and a net inflow of 2.814 billion yuan respectively [4] - Among credit - type ETFs, short - term financing, corporate bonds, and urban investment bonds had net inflows of 0.274 billion yuan, 0.113 billion yuan, and 0.05 billion yuan respectively. Market - making credit bonds had a net outflow of 5.776 billion yuan, and sci - tech innovation bonds had a net outflow of 8.679 billion yuan [4] - As of January 16, 2026, interest - rate, credit, and convertible - bond ETFs had cumulative net inflows of 60.615 billion yuan, 487.023 billion yuan, and 25.964 billion yuan respectively since 2025, totaling 573.603 billion yuan [4] Group 3: Net Value Performance - Overall, the net values of various types of bond ETF products generally rose last week. As of January 16, 2026, Boshi 30 - year Treasury Bond ETF performed well, rising 0.37% for the week. Huaxia Treasury Bond ETF rose 0.31%, and the 10 - year Treasury Bond ETF rose 0.36%. Convertible Bond ETF and SSE Convertible Bond ETF rose 1.05% and 0.68% respectively last week [5] Group 4: Credit Bond ETF and Sci - tech Innovation Bond ETF Performance - As of January 16, 2026, the median unit net values of credit bond ETFs and sci - tech innovation bond ETFs were 1.0128 and 1.0010 respectively, rising 0.09% and 0.07% for the week. Among credit bond ETFs, Dacheng Credit Bond ETF performed relatively well, rising 0.10% for the week. Among sci - tech innovation bond ETFs, Invesco and Wanjia Sci - tech Innovation Bond ETFs performed relatively well [6] - As of January 16, 2026, the median discount rate of credit bond ETFs was 21BP, and that of sci - tech innovation bond ETFs was 24BP [6] Group 5: Credit - type ETF Duration Tracking - As of January 16, 2026, the holding durations of short - term financing ETFs, corporate bond ETFs, and urban investment bond ETFs were 0.34 years, 1.56 years, and 2.13 years respectively. Among market - making credit bond ETFs, the median holding durations of products tracking the Shanghai Market - making Corporate Bond and Shenzhen Market - making Corporate Bond indexes were 3.58 years and 2.80 years respectively [7] - Among sci - tech innovation bond ETFs, the median holding durations of products tracking the AAA Sci - tech Innovation Bond, Shanghai AAA Sci - tech Innovation Bond, and Shenzhen AAA Sci - tech Innovation Bond indexes were 3.31 years, 3.24 years, and 3.16 years respectively [7]
债券ETF跟踪:信用型ETF资金流出,久期下降
ZHONGTAI SECURITIES· 2026-01-12 12:20
Group 1: Investment Rating - The industry investment rating is not provided in the report. Group 2: Core Viewpoints - The report tracks the bond ETFs, focusing on the capital outflow and duration decline of credit - type ETFs. It analyzes the capital flow, net value performance, and duration of different types of bond ETFs [1][5][6]. Group 3: Summary by Directory Capital Flow - As of January 9, 2026, bond - type ETFs had a total net outflow of 64.352 billion yuan in the past week. Interest - rate, credit - type, and convertible - bond - type ETFs had a net outflow of 10.454 billion yuan, 59.224 billion yuan, and a net inflow of 5.325 billion yuan respectively. Among credit - type ETFs, short - term financing bonds, corporate bonds, and urban investment bonds had a net outflow of 8.394 billion yuan, a net inflow of 0.242 billion yuan, and a net outflow of 0.006 billion yuan respectively. Market - making credit bonds and science and technology innovation bonds had a net outflow of 7.071 billion yuan and 43.995 billion yuan respectively. Since 2025, interest - rate, credit - type, and convertible - bond ETFs had cumulative net inflows of 65.923 billion yuan, 501.041 billion yuan, and 23.151 billion yuan respectively, with a total of 590.115 billion yuan [5]. Net Value Performance - Throughout the week, the net value trends of different types of bond ETF products were divergent. As of January 9, 2026, the 30 - year Treasury Bond ETF Boshi performed weakly, with a weekly decline of 1.05%. The 0 - 4 Local Bond ETF rose 0.04%, and the 5 - year Local Bond ETF rose 0.01%. The Convertible Bond ETF and the Shanghai Stock Exchange Convertible Bond ETF rose 4.30% and 3.39% respectively last week [6]. Performance of Credit Bond ETF and Science and Technology Innovation Bond ETF - As of January 9, 2026, the median unit net values of credit bond ETF and science and technology innovation bond ETF were 1.0119 and 1.0003 respectively, with a weekly decline of 0.01% each. Among credit bond ETFs, the Haifutong Credit Bond ETF performed relatively well, with a weekly decline of 0.01%. Among science and technology innovation bond ETFs, the Science and Technology Innovation Bond ETF Yin Hua and the Science and Technology Innovation Bond ETF Wan Jia performed relatively well. The median discount rates of credit bond ETF and science and technology innovation bond ETF were 28BP and 22BP respectively [7]. Credit - type ETF Duration Tracking - As of January 9, 2026, the holding durations of short - term financing ETF, corporate bond ETF, and urban investment bond ETF were 0.36 years, 1.58 years, and 2.15 years respectively. Among market - making credit bond ETFs, the median holding durations of products tracking the Shanghai Market - making Corporate Bond Index and the Shenzhen Market - making Corporate Bond Index were 3.59 years and 2.81 years respectively. Among science and technology innovation bond ETFs, the median holding durations of products tracking the AAA Science and Technology Innovation Bond Index, the Shanghai AAA Science and Technology Innovation Bond Index, and the Shenzhen AAA Science and Technology Innovation Bond Index were 3.32 years, 3.26 years, and 3.17 years respectively [10].
债券ETF跟踪:科创债ETF规模大增
ZHONGTAI SECURITIES· 2025-12-22 11:22
1. Report Industry Investment Rating No relevant content provided. 2. Core View of the Report - Last week, the ChinaBond New Composite Index rose 0.06% for the whole week; short - term pure bond and medium - long - term pure bond funds rose 0.02% and 0.02% respectively; the CSI AAA Sci - tech Innovation Bond Index and the SSE Benchmark Market - making Corporate Bond Index rose 0.05% and 0.06% respectively [2]. - All types of bond ETF product net values recovered last week. As of December 19, 2025, the 30 - year Treasury Bond ETF performed well, rising 0.46% for the whole week, and the Policy - Financial Bond ETF rose 0.17%. The Convertible Bond ETF and the SSE Convertible Bond ETF rose 0.44% and 0.17% respectively [5]. 3. Summary by Relevant Catalogs 3.1 Funds Flow - As of December 19, 2025, bond - type ETFs had a total net inflow of 20.485 billion yuan in the past week. Interest - rate, credit, and convertible - bond ETFs had net inflows of 2.911 billion yuan, 18.993 billion yuan, and a net outflow of 1.42 billion yuan respectively. Among credit - type ETFs, short - term financing, corporate bonds, and urban investment bonds had net outflows of 2.775 billion yuan, a net inflow of 0.351 billion yuan, and a net outflow of 0.008 billion yuan respectively. Market - making credit bonds had a net inflow of 2.8 billion yuan, and sci - tech innovation bonds had a net inflow of 18.626 billion yuan. As of December 19, 2025, the cumulative net inflows of interest - rate, credit, and convertible - bond ETFs for the year were 74.719 billion yuan, 473.285 billion yuan, and 20.548 billion yuan respectively, with a total of 568.552 billion yuan [4]. 3.2 Net Value Performance - As of December 19, 2025, the 30 - year Treasury Bond ETF performed well, rising 0.46% for the whole week, and the Policy - Financial Bond ETF rose 0.17%. The Convertible Bond ETF and the SSE Convertible Bond ETF rose 0.44% and 0.17% respectively [5]. 3.3 Performance of Credit Bond ETFs and Sci - tech Innovation Bond ETFs - As of December 19, 2025, the median unit net values of credit bond ETFs and sci - tech innovation bond ETFs were 1.0107 and 0.9989 respectively, rising 0.05% and 0.04% for the whole week. Among credit bond ETFs, the E Fund Corporate Bond ETF and the Credit Bond ETF performed relatively well, rising 0.07% for the whole week. Among sci - tech innovation bond ETFs, the Taikang Sci - tech Innovation Bond ETF performed relatively well. As of December 19, 2025, the median discount rates of credit bond ETFs and sci - tech innovation bond ETFs were 30BP and 21BP respectively [6]. 3.4 Duration Tracking of Credit - type ETFs - As of December 19, 2025, the holding durations of short - term financing ETFs, corporate bond ETFs, and urban investment bond ETFs were 0.39 years, 1.82 years, and 2.16 years respectively. Among market - making credit bond ETFs, the median holding durations of products tracking the SSE Market - making Corporate Bond Index and the SZSE Market - making Corporate Bond Index were 3.80 years and 2.61 years respectively. Among sci - tech innovation bond ETFs, the median holding durations of products tracking the AAA Sci - tech Innovation Bond Index, the SSE AAA Sci - tech Innovation Bond Index, and the SZSE AAA Sci - tech Innovation Bond Index were 3.39 years, 3.42 years, and 3.26 years respectively [7].
债券ETF跟踪:利率型ETF资金净流出
ZHONGTAI SECURITIES· 2025-12-08 10:52
1. Report's Industry Investment Rating - The report does not provide an industry investment rating [25] 2. Core Viewpoints - Last week, the ChinaBond New Composite Index fell 0.21% for the whole week; short - term pure bond and medium - long - term pure bond funds were flat and fell 0.05% respectively; the CSI AAA Sci - tech Innovation Bond Index and the SSE Benchmark Market - making Corporate Bond Index fell 0.10% each [2] - As of December 5, 2025, bond - type ETFs had a net inflow of 612 million yuan in the recent week, with interest - rate, credit - type, and convertible - bond - type ETFs having a net outflow of 1.647 billion yuan, a net inflow of 2.529 billion yuan, and a net outflow of 269 million yuan respectively [4] - All types of bond ETF products' net values were adjusted last week. The Treasury Bond ETF Dongcai performed well, rising 0.05%, while the 30 - year Treasury Bond ETF adjusted significantly, falling 1.94% [5] 3. Summary by Relevant Catalogs 3.1 Funds Flow - As of December 5, 2025, bond - type ETFs had a net inflow of 612 million yuan in the recent week. Interest - rate, credit - type, and convertible - bond - type ETFs had a net outflow of 1.647 billion yuan, a net inflow of 2.529 billion yuan, and a net outflow of 269 million yuan respectively. Among credit - type ETFs, short - term financing bonds had a net outflow of 121 million yuan, corporate bonds had a net inflow of 856 million yuan, and urban investment bonds were flat. Market - making credit bonds had a net outflow of 1.521 billion yuan, and sci - tech innovation bonds had a net inflow of 3.313 billion yuan. The cumulative net inflows of interest - rate, credit - type, and convertible - bond ETFs for the year were 72.304 billion yuan, 447.357 billion yuan, and 23.349 billion yuan respectively, totaling 543.01 billion yuan [4] 3.2 Net Value Performance - As of December 5, 2025, last week, the Treasury Bond ETF Dongcai rose 0.05% for the whole week, while the 30 - year Treasury Bond ETF fell 1.94%. The circulating market values of the 30 - year Treasury Bond ETF and the 30 - year Treasury Bond ETF Boshi decreased by 1.859 billion yuan and 1.337 billion yuan respectively. The Convertible Bond ETF and the SSE Convertible Bond ETF rose 0.07% and 0.25% respectively last week [5] 3.3 Performance of Credit Bond ETFs and Sci - tech Innovation Bond ETFs - As of December 5, 2025, the median net asset values per unit of credit - bond ETFs and sci - tech innovation bond ETFs were 1.0098 and 0.9979 respectively, falling 0.11% each for the whole week. Among credit - bond ETFs, Credit - bond ETF GF, Credit - bond ETF Boshi, and Credit - bond ETF Tianhong performed relatively well, falling 0.08%. Among sci - tech innovation bond ETFs, Sci - tech Innovation Bond ETF Yongying, Sci - tech Innovation Bond ETF Huitianfu, and Sci - tech Innovation Bond ETF Taikang performed relatively well. As of December 5, 2025, the median discount rates of credit - bond ETFs and sci - tech innovation bond ETFs were 27BP and 23BP respectively [6] 3.4 Duration Tracking of Credit - type ETFs - As of December 5, 2025, the holding durations of short - term financing ETFs, corporate - bond ETFs, and urban - investment - bond ETFs were 0.38 years, 1.85 years, and 2.20 years respectively. Among market - making credit - bond ETFs, the median holding durations of products tracking the Shanghai Market - making Corporate Bond Index and the Shenzhen Market - making Corporate Bond Index were 3.85 years and 2.88 years respectively. Among sci - tech innovation bond ETFs, the median holding durations of products tracking the AAA Sci - tech Innovation Bond Index, the Shanghai AAA Sci - tech Innovation Bond Index, and the Shenzhen AAA Sci - tech Innovation Bond Index were 3.50 years, 3.54 years, and 3.22 years respectively [7]
债券ETF跟踪:信用债类ETF赎回了吗?
ZHONGTAI SECURITIES· 2025-12-01 11:21
Report Summary - The market has recently worried about the redemption of credit bond ETFs. Data shows that the overall scale of credit bond ETFs has not declined significantly, but there is structural differentiation among products [4]. - Interest - rate products: Ultra - long bond products have seen obvious capital outflows. As of November 28, 2025, interest - rate ETFs had a net outflow of 249 million yuan in the past week. The Pengyang ChinaBond - 30 - year Treasury Bond ETF's net value dropped by 0.71% and its market capitalization decreased by 2.614 billion yuan, while the Huaxia Benchmark Treasury Bond ETF's net value dropped by 0.26% but its market capitalization increased by 2.914 billion yuan [4]. - Credit - type products: The scale of market - making credit bond ETFs has decreased significantly, while the scale of science and technology innovation bond ETFs has continued to grow, but there is significant structural differentiation among products. As of November 28, 2025, credit - type ETFs had a net outflow of 535 million yuan in the past week. Specifically, short - term financing, corporate bonds, and urban investment bonds had net inflows of 1.212 billion yuan, 111 million yuan, and a net outflow of 10 million yuan respectively. Market - making credit bonds had a large - scale net outflow of 2.952 billion yuan, and science and technology innovation bonds had a net inflow of 1.104 billion yuan [4]. - Specific products: In credit bond ETFs, the market capitalization of Huaxia Credit Bond ETF, Credit Bond ETF GF, and Credit Bond ETF Dacheng decreased by 1.355 billion yuan, 785 million yuan, and 731 million yuan respectively in the past week. In science and technology innovation bond ETFs, the scale of Science and Technology Innovation Bond ETF Southern, Science and Technology Innovation Bond ETF E Fund, Science and Technology Innovation Bond ETF China Merchants, and Science and Technology Innovation Bond ETF Industrial decreased by 1.767 billion yuan, 1.206 billion yuan, 729 million yuan, and 629 million yuan respectively. The scale of Science and Technology Innovation Bond ETF Fullgoal and Science and Technology Innovation Bond ETF Dacheng increased by 2.142 billion yuan and 2.417 billion yuan respectively [4]. - Overall bond - type ETFs: As of November 28, 2025, bond - type ETFs had a total net outflow of 2.303 billion yuan in the past week. Interest - rate, credit - type, and convertible - bond - type ETFs had net outflows of 249 million yuan, 535 million yuan, and 1.519 billion yuan respectively. The cumulative net inflows of interest - rate, credit - type, and convertible - bond ETFs for the year were 73.951 billion yuan, 444.828 billion yuan, and 23.619 billion yuan respectively, with a total of 542.398 billion yuan [4]. - Net value performance: All types of bond ETF products' net values have been adjusted. As of November 28, 2025, the Orient Fortune Treasury Bond ETF and the Guokai Bond ETF performed well, rising 0.02%. The 30 - year Treasury Bond ETF adjusted significantly, falling 0.71%. Convertible bond ETFs and Shanghai Stock Exchange Convertible Bond ETFs fell 0.28% and 0.77% respectively [4]. Credit Bond ETF and Science and Technology Innovation Bond ETF Performance - As of November 28, 2025, the median net asset values per unit of credit bond ETFs and science and technology innovation bond ETFs were 1.0109 and 0.9991 respectively, falling 0.16% and 0.17% for the week. Among credit bond ETFs, Bosera Credit Bond ETF performed relatively well, falling 0.10%. Among science and technology innovation bond ETFs, the Yongying Science and Technology Innovation Bond ETF and the Invesco Great Wall Science and Technology Innovation Bond ETF performed relatively well [2]. - As of November 28, 2025, the median discount rates of credit bond ETFs and science and technology innovation bond ETFs were 24BP and 13BP respectively [2]. Credit - Type ETF Duration Tracking - As of November 28, 2025, the holding durations of short - term financing ETFs, corporate bond ETFs, and urban investment bond ETFs were 0.37 years, 1.85 years, and 2.20 years respectively. Among market - making credit bond ETFs, the median holding durations of products tracking the Shanghai Market - Making Corporate Bond Index and the Shenzhen Market - Making Corporate Bond Index were 3.84 years and 2.87 years respectively. Among science and technology innovation bond ETFs, the median holding durations of products tracking the AAA Science and Technology Innovation Bond Index, Shanghai AAA Science and Technology Innovation Bond Index, and Shenzhen AAA Science and Technology Innovation Bond Index were 3.49 years, 3.56 years, and 3.24 years respectively [3][5]
中泰研究丨晨会聚焦银行戴志锋:“十五五”规划看金融行业:“科技金融”是重点:政策趋势、行业案例与投资机会-20251110
ZHONGTAI SECURITIES· 2025-11-10 12:54
Core Insights - The "14th Five-Year Plan" continues the previous positioning of the financial sector, emphasizing support for new productive forces and bottom-line thinking, with "technology finance" expected to be a key focus in the future [5][6][8] - The trend of technology finance policies includes a more precise allocation of financial resources towards "Artificial Intelligence+" and "new industrialization," guiding banks and insurance to establish comprehensive lifecycle service systems [5][7] - The impact of technology finance on the financial industry includes a higher proportion of technology-related services in brokerage firms, with a focus on leading firms with strong comprehensive service capabilities, while banks benefit from macroeconomic dividends from technological development [5][8] Summary by Sections Financial Industry Trends - The financial sector's support for technology has shifted from general principles to detailed execution, focusing on ecological construction and comprehensive lifecycle services [7] - The securities industry is seeing a broadening of financing channels through the full implementation of the registration system and enhanced support for the bond market [7] Policy Implications - The "Implementation Plan for High-Quality Development of Technology Finance in the Banking and Insurance Sector" serves as a roadmap for the next five years, emphasizing the need for financial resources to focus on cutting-edge technologies and critical areas [6][7] - Policies such as the "Eight Articles of the Sci-Tech Innovation Board" and "New Six Articles for Mergers and Acquisitions" aim to deepen capital market reforms and provide a more accommodating financing environment for "hard technology" enterprises [7][8] Investment Opportunities - In the banking sector, there is a focus on large banks with strong resource endowments and regional banks with distinct technology attributes, benefiting from stable returns and valuation recovery [8] - For brokerage firms, those with high technology content and strong comprehensive service capabilities are favored, while insurance companies are noted for their stable defensive attributes and good asset-liability matching [8]