1. Report Industry Investment Rating - The report does not mention the industry investment rating [1][2][3] 2. Core View of the Report - The net value of bond ETFs has recovered, but there has been a capital outflow. The net inflow and outflow of different types of bond ETFs vary, and the net value of various bond ETF products has generally increased [1][5][6] 3. Summary by Relevant Catalogs 3.1 Funds Flow - As of January 23, 2026, bond - type ETFs had a total net outflow of 13.381 billion yuan in the past week. Interest - rate, credit, and convertible - bond ETFs had net outflows of 5.763 billion yuan, 11.944 billion yuan, and a net inflow of 4.326 billion yuan respectively. Among credit - type ETFs, short - term financing, corporate bonds, and urban investment bonds had net inflows of 0.327 billion yuan, 0.048 billion yuan, and 0.048 billion yuan respectively, while market - making credit bonds and science - innovation bonds had net outflows of 5.011 billion yuan and 7.356 billion yuan respectively. Since 2025, interest - rate, credit, and convertible - bond ETFs have had cumulative net inflows of 54.852 billion yuan, 475.079 billion yuan, and 30.291 billion yuan respectively, totaling 560.222 billion yuan [5] 3.2 Net Value Performance - Throughout the week, the net values of various types of bond ETF products generally rose. As of January 23, 2026, the 30 - year Treasury Bond ETF Boshi performed well, rising 1.26% for the week, the Treasury Bond ETF Huaxia rose 0.45%, and the Ten - year Treasury Bond ETF rose 0.16%. The Convertible Bond ETF and the Shanghai Stock Exchange Convertible Bond ETF rose 2.88% and 2.40% respectively last week [6] 3.3 Performance of Credit Bond ETFs and Science - Innovation Bond ETFs - As of January 23, 2026, the median unit net values of credit bond ETFs and science - innovation bond ETFs were 1.0141 and 1.0020 respectively, rising 0.13% and 0.10% for the week. Among credit bond ETFs, the Credit Bond ETF Haifutong performed relatively well, rising 0.14% for the week. Among science - innovation bond ETFs, the Science - Innovation Bond ETF Huatai Bairui and the Science - Innovation Bond ETF Invesco performed relatively well. As of January 23, 2026, the median discount rate of credit bond ETFs was 25BP, and that of science - innovation bond ETFs was 24BP [7] 3.4 Credit - Type ETF Duration Tracking - As of January 23, 2026, the holding durations of short - term financing ETFs, corporate bond ETFs, and urban investment bond ETFs were 0.35 years, 1.93 years, and 2.10 years respectively. Among market - making credit bond ETFs, the median holding durations of products tracking the Shanghai Market - Making Corporate Bond and Shenzhen Market - Making Corporate Bond indexes were 3.61 years and 2.78 years respectively. Among science - innovation bond ETFs, the median holding durations of products tracking the AAA Science - Innovation Bond, Shanghai AAA Science - Innovation Bond, and Shenzhen AAA Science - Innovation Bond indexes were 3.32 years, 3.21 years, and 3.18 years respectively [10] 3.5 Report Summary - Last week, the ChinaBond New Composite Index rose 0.26% for the week; short - term pure - bond and medium - and long - term pure - bond funds rose 0.04% and 0.08% respectively; the CSI AAA Science - Innovation Bond Index and the Shanghai Stock Exchange Benchmark Market - Making Corporate Bond Index rose 0.16% and 0.17% respectively [9]

Group 1: Report Summary - The ChinaBond New Composite Index rose 0.18% last week; short - term and medium - long - term pure bond funds rose 0.02% and 0.05% respectively; the CSI AAA Sci - tech Innovation Bond Index and the SSE Benchmark Market - making Corporate Bond Index rose 0.11% each [2] Group 2: Capital Flows - As of January 16, 2026, bond - type ETFs had a net outflow of 16.512 billion yuan in the past week. Interest - rate, credit, and convertible - bond ETFs had net outflows of 5.307 billion yuan, 14.018 billion yuan, and a net inflow of 2.814 billion yuan respectively [4] - Among credit - type ETFs, short - term financing, corporate bonds, and urban investment bonds had net inflows of 0.274 billion yuan, 0.113 billion yuan, and 0.05 billion yuan respectively. Market - making credit bonds had a net outflow of 5.776 billion yuan, and sci - tech innovation bonds had a net outflow of 8.679 billion yuan [4] - As of January 16, 2026, interest - rate, credit, and convertible - bond ETFs had cumulative net inflows of 60.615 billion yuan, 487.023 billion yuan, and 25.964 billion yuan respectively since 2025, totaling 573.603 billion yuan [4] Group 3: Net Value Performance - Overall, the net values of various types of bond ETF products generally rose last week. As of January 16, 2026, Boshi 30 - year Treasury Bond ETF performed well, rising 0.37% for the week. Huaxia Treasury Bond ETF rose 0.31%, and the 10 - year Treasury Bond ETF rose 0.36%. Convertible Bond ETF and SSE Convertible Bond ETF rose 1.05% and 0.68% respectively last week [5] Group 4: Credit Bond ETF and Sci - tech Innovation Bond ETF Performance - As of January 16, 2026, the median unit net values of credit bond ETFs and sci - tech innovation bond ETFs were 1.0128 and 1.0010 respectively, rising 0.09% and 0.07% for the week. Among credit bond ETFs, Dacheng Credit Bond ETF performed relatively well, rising 0.10% for the week. Among sci - tech innovation bond ETFs, Invesco and Wanjia Sci - tech Innovation Bond ETFs performed relatively well [6] - As of January 16, 2026, the median discount rate of credit bond ETFs was 21BP, and that of sci - tech innovation bond ETFs was 24BP [6] Group 5: Credit - type ETF Duration Tracking - As of January 16, 2026, the holding durations of short - term financing ETFs, corporate bond ETFs, and urban investment bond ETFs were 0.34 years, 1.56 years, and 2.13 years respectively. Among market - making credit bond ETFs, the median holding durations of products tracking the Shanghai Market - making Corporate Bond and Shenzhen Market - making Corporate Bond indexes were 3.58 years and 2.80 years respectively [7] - Among sci - tech innovation bond ETFs, the median holding durations of products tracking the AAA Sci - tech Innovation Bond, Shanghai AAA Sci - tech Innovation Bond, and Shenzhen AAA Sci - tech Innovation Bond indexes were 3.31 years, 3.24 years, and 3.16 years respectively [7]

Core Viewpoint - The issuance of the Lianrui convertible bond marks the beginning of a potential acceleration in the convertible bond market, driven by seasonal capital inflows, policy expectations, and industry trends [1][2][4] Market Performance - On January 8, the Lianrui convertible bond was launched with a total issuance of 695 million yuan, aimed at funding high-performance materials projects and enhancing production capacity [1] - The China Convertible Bond Index rose by 0.39% to 509.26, reaching a new high since 2016, while the Bosera and Shanghai Stock Exchange convertible bond ETFs also hit historical highs [1][3] - As of January 8, the total outstanding convertible bonds in the market was 5,561.39 billion yuan, with 411 bonds currently in circulation [2] Supply and Demand Dynamics - The convertible bond market is expected to continue facing a contraction in scale due to an imbalance between supply and demand, with an estimated exit scale of around 1,600 billion yuan for 2026 [3] - Six companies have received approval for convertible bond issuance totaling 7.338 billion yuan, while five others are expected to issue bonds worth 2.911 billion yuan [2] Market Trends and Future Outlook - The recent rise in convertible bonds is significantly driven by the performance of underlying stocks, with notable gains in sectors such as aerospace, AI computing, and robotics [4] - Analysts predict that convertible bonds may experience strong performance due to the positive influence of underlying stocks and returning capital, with institutional investors likely to seek allocations at the beginning of the year [4]

Group 1 - The convertible bond market is currently experiencing high volatility, with the median market price fluctuating between 129 and 135 yuan since mid-August 2025, indicating that 130 yuan is likely the upper limit for the market price median due to strong redemption clauses in most public convertible bonds [1][11][19] - There are signs of smart money flowing out of the market, as major institutional funds, including primary and secondary bond funds, have reduced their positions in convertible bonds, leading to a decrease in the AUM of convertible bond ETFs since mid-September [2][21][26] - The overall turnover rate in the market has dropped significantly to around 9% from 15% at the end of August, suggesting increased trading difficulty and a potential outflow of smart money [2][30] Group 2 - The convertible bond market is expected to continue contracting, with the number of outstanding bonds projected to decrease to around 300 by the end of 2026 and to about 250 by the end of 2027, alongside a reduction in bond balance to approximately 480 billion yuan and 350 billion yuan respectively [3][39] - The market's valuation is anticipated to remain high despite the contraction, driven by the persistent demand from fixed income and fixed income+ funds, which still maintain a high scale of around 2.3 trillion yuan [3][40][44] - The trading focus is shifting towards high-priced bonds, newly issued bonds, and bonds with short remaining maturities, with high-priced bonds above 160 yuan contributing 55% of the total market turnover [3][56][64] Group 3 - The report outlines specific trading strategies for 2026, including an index component adjustment arbitrage strategy, which has shown significant returns when applied to newly listed bonds [4][66][74] - A focus on three investment combinations has been established: high-priced equity-oriented bonds, low-priced speculative bonds, and alternative allocation options, highlighting 35 specific bonds for attention [4][82][84] - The report emphasizes the importance of the convertible bond ETFs, which have a significant market presence, and their role in influencing market dynamics through passive index tracking [4][66][70]

Report Summary 1. Report Industry Investment Rating No relevant content provided. 2. Report Core View - In the week ending December 26, 2025, the net inflow of bond - type ETFs totaled 61.982 billion yuan, and the cumulative net inflow for the year reached 630.534 billion yuan. The performance of various bond ETF products' net worth has recovered, and different types of bond ETFs have different performance in terms of net inflow and net worth changes [4][5]. 3. Summary by Related Catalogs 3.1 Funds Flow - As of December 26, 2025, bond - type ETFs had a total net inflow of 61.982 billion yuan in the past week. Interest - rate, credit, and convertible - bond ETFs had net inflows of 1.586 billion yuan, 63.164 billion yuan, and a net outflow of 2.768 billion yuan respectively. Among credit - type ETFs, short - term financing had a net outflow of 5.219 billion yuan, corporate bonds had a net inflow of 4.419 billion yuan, urban investment bonds had a net inflow of 0.008 billion yuan, market - making credit bonds had a net inflow of 7.262 billion yuan, and science - innovation bonds had a net inflow of 56.694 billion yuan. The cumulative net inflows of interest - rate, credit, and convertible - bond ETFs for the year were 76.305 billion yuan, 536.450 billion yuan, and 17.780 billion yuan respectively [4]. 3.2 Net Worth Performance - As of December 26, 2025, the 30 - year Treasury Bond ETF Boshi performed well, rising 0.17% for the week, and the 10 - year local government bond ETF rose 0.16%. Convertible - bond ETF and Shanghai Stock Exchange Convertible Bond ETF rose 1.56% and 1.23% respectively last week [5]. 3.3 Performance of Credit - Bond ETFs and Science - Innovation Bond ETFs - As of December 26, 2025, the median net asset values per unit of credit - bond ETFs and science - innovation bond ETFs were 1.0119 and 1.0002 respectively, rising 0.12% and 0.13% for the week. Among credit - bond ETFs, E Fund Corporate Bond ETF and Credit - Bond ETF performed relatively well, rising 0.16% and 0.14% respectively for the week. Among science - innovation bond ETFs, Taikang Science - Innovation Bond ETF performed relatively well. The median discount rate of credit - bond ETFs was 20BP, and the median premium rate of science - innovation bond ETFs was 2BP [6]. 3.4 Credit - Type ETF Duration Tracking - As of December 26, 2025, the holding durations of short - term financing ETF, corporate bond ETF, and urban investment bond ETF were 0.38 years, 1.79 years, and 2.17 years respectively. Among market - making credit - bond ETFs, the median holding durations of products tracking the Shanghai Market - Making Corporate Bond and Shenzhen Market - Making Corporate Bond indexes were 3.77 years and 2.84 years respectively. Among science - innovation bond ETFs, the median holding durations of products tracking the AAA Science - Innovation Bond, Shanghai AAA Science - Innovation Bond, and Shenzhen AAA Science - Innovation Bond indexes were 3.42 years, 3.31 years, and 3.22 years respectively [9]. 3.5 Report Abstract - Last week, the ChinaBond New Composite Index rose 0.14% for the week; short - term pure - bond and medium - and long - term pure - bond funds rose 0.03% and 0.04% respectively; the ChinaBond AAA Science - Innovation Bond Index and the Shanghai Stock Exchange Benchmark Market - Making Corporate Bond Index rose 0.13% and 0.13% respectively [8].

Core Viewpoint - The stock ETF market has shown resilience by attracting over 10 billion yuan in net inflows for two consecutive trading days, despite the overall market decline below 4000 points [2][4]. Group 1: Market Performance - As of November 17, the Shanghai Composite Index closed at 3972.03 points, down 0.46%, with total trading volume shrinking to 1.93 trillion yuan [4]. - The total scale of all stock ETFs (including cross-border ETFs) reached 4.39 trillion yuan, with a net inflow of 109.80 billion yuan on the same day [4][6]. Group 2: ETF Inflows - The leading categories for net inflows were industry themes and Hong Kong stock ETFs, with inflows of 38.7 billion yuan and 32.88 billion yuan, respectively [6]. - Major fund companies like E Fund and Huaxia Fund reported significant inflows, with E Fund's ETFs reaching a scale of 8160.6 billion yuan and a net inflow of 17.7 billion yuan [6][7]. Group 3: Specific ETF Performance - The top-performing ETFs on November 17 included the CSI 300 ETF with a net inflow of 16.58 billion yuan and the SSE 50 ETF with 11.6 billion yuan [10]. - The Southern Innovation ETF saw a net inflow of 9 billion yuan, driven by interest in AI-related sectors [11]. Group 4: Gold ETFs - Gold ETFs also attracted significant investment, with the Huaan Gold ETF receiving 7.6 billion yuan in net inflows, reflecting a trend towards safe-haven assets [11]. - The Guangfa Shanghai Gold ETF has shown a year-to-date increase of 49.71%, indicating strong demand for gold as a hedge against economic uncertainty [11][12]. Group 5: Outflows from Certain ETFs - Recent profit-taking has led to net outflows from cyclical ETFs such as chemical, coal, and non-ferrous metal ETFs, indicating a shift in investor sentiment [14].

Group 1 - The Shanghai Convertible Bond ETF (511180.SH) experienced a decline of 0.35% on October 14, 2025 [1] - The net outflow of main funds (transactions over 1 million yuan) reached 142 million yuan, ranking first in the market [1] - The latest trading volume of the fund was 191 million units, with a total transaction amount of 2.398 billion yuan, indicating that the net outflow accounted for 5.93% of the total transaction amount [1]

Group 1 - The core viewpoint of the news highlights the performance and growth of the Shanghai Convertible Bond ETF (511180), which has seen significant net inflows and a notable increase in its scale [1] - As of August, the Shanghai Convertible Bond ETF has accumulated over 2.5 billion yuan in net inflows, with its latest scale surpassing 10.7 billion yuan [1] - The fund's net value growth rates are reported as 5.10% over the past six months, 9.61% over the past year, and 18.16% since its inception [1] Group 2 - The bond market is approaching an independent trend, with the Shanghai Composite Index reaching a ten-year high and bond yields experiencing fluctuations [1] - Long-term bond yields have increased, with the 10-year government bond rising to 1.79% (+4 basis points) and the 30-year government bond reaching 2.04% (+4.4 basis points) [1] - Short-term bond yields have also risen, with the 1-year government bond at 1.38% (+1.7 basis points) and the 3-year government bond at 1.44% (+2.5 basis points) [1] Group 3 - The Huaxi Macro Fixed Income Team anticipates that the bond market may benefit from expectations of interest rate cuts, particularly following dovish remarks from Powell at the Jackson Hole meeting [2] - The dovish stance has alleviated concerns regarding the Federal Reserve not cutting rates in September, leading to a significant drop in the US dollar index and an appreciation of the offshore RMB [2] - The easing of global interest rate pressures opens up space for domestic monetary policy adjustments, including potential reserve requirement ratio cuts and bond purchases by the central bank [2]

Group 1 - The core viewpoint of the news indicates that the Shanghai Convertible Bond ETF (511180) has seen a net financing inflow of 529.85 million yuan on July 29, 2025, with a total financing balance of 2,788.35 million yuan [1][2] - Over the past three trading days, the ETF has recorded a cumulative net inflow of 1,307.58 million yuan, and in the last 20 trading days, there have been net inflows on 14 occasions [1] - The total margin financing and securities lending balance reached 3,140.06 million yuan, reflecting a 20.3% increase compared to the previous day [3] Group 2 - The financing balance is defined as the difference between the amount of stocks bought on margin and the amount repaid, indicating a bullish market sentiment when it increases [4] - Conversely, the securities lending balance reflects the difference between the amount of securities sold and repaid, indicating market sentiment trends [4]

ETF Industry News - The three major indices showed mixed results, with the Shanghai Composite Index rising by 0.01%, while the Shenzhen Component Index and the ChiNext Index fell by 0.37% and 0.01% respectively. Several semiconductor sector ETFs saw increases, including the Sci-Tech Semiconductor ETF (588170.SH) which rose by 2.91% [1][2] - The total scale of bond ETFs in the Shanghai market has surpassed 400 billion yuan, reaching 402.7 billion yuan, which is an increase of over 160% since early 2025 and more than seven times the scale at the beginning of 2024. This growth is attributed to supportive policies, improved product mechanisms, and the popularization of passive investment concepts [1] Market Performance Overview - The A-share market and major overseas indices showed varied performance, with the Shanghai Index closing at 3582.3 points, marking a daily high of 3613.02 points. The Nikkei 225 and Hang Seng Index performed well, with daily increases of 3.51% and 1.62% respectively [2] - In terms of sector performance, non-bank financials, beauty care, and household appliances led the day with increases of 1.29%, 0.59%, and 0.58% respectively. Conversely, construction materials, defense, and machinery sectors lagged behind with declines of -2.27%, -1.6%, and -1.29% respectively [5] ETF Market Performance - The overall performance of ETFs varied by category, with cross-border ETFs showing the best average daily increase of 1.16%, while stock strategy index ETFs had the worst performance with an average decline of -0.30% [7] - The top-performing ETFs included the Sustainable Development ETF (515090.SH) with a daily increase of 3.27%, followed by the Sci-Tech Semiconductor Equipment ETF (588710.SH) at 3.01%, and the Sci-Tech Semiconductor ETF (588170.SH) at 2.91% [9][10] Trading Volume by ETF Category - The top three ETFs by trading volume in the stock category were the Sci-Tech 50 ETF (588000.SH) with a trading volume of 4.928 billion yuan, the CSI 300 ETF (510300.SH) at 4.188 billion yuan, and the Securities ETF (512880.SH) at 3.946 billion yuan [12][13]