Workflow
全球经济恢复
icon
Search documents
10月全球制造业PMI为49.7% 恢复态势相对平稳
Zhong Guo Xin Wen Wang· 2025-11-06 07:53
Core Insights - The global manufacturing Purchasing Managers' Index (PMI) for October stands at 49.7%, remaining unchanged from the previous month and indicating a continuous trend within the 49% to 50% range for the past eight months [1][2] Regional Analysis - The manufacturing PMI for the Americas is at 48.8%, showing a slight decline from the previous month and indicating that the manufacturing sector in this region has been in contraction for eight consecutive months, with a relatively weak recovery [1] - Europe's manufacturing PMI has risen to 49.6%, reflecting an improvement in recovery compared to the previous month, yet still below the 50% threshold, suggesting that overall economic recovery in Europe requires further strengthening [1] - Africa's manufacturing PMI is at 50.8%, maintaining a position above 50% for four consecutive months, indicating a stable expansion in the manufacturing sector [1] - Asia's manufacturing PMI is at 50.7%, experiencing a slight decrease of 0.2 percentage points from the previous month, but has remained above 50% for six months, indicating continued stable expansion and resilience in the region [1] Year-to-Date Performance - The average global manufacturing PMI for the first ten months of the year is 49.6%, which is an increase of 0.3 percentage points compared to the same period last year, yet still below the levels seen in 2019 [2] - The analysis suggests that while the global manufacturing sector remains stable within a certain range, the recovery pace is slightly better than last year but still below pre-pandemic levels, indicating a slow recovery trend in the global economy [2] - Ongoing geopolitical conflicts and trade tensions are identified as persistent uncertainties that inevitably disrupt the global economy, highlighting the need for deeper economic cooperation among countries as a primary goal for economic development [2]
10月份全球制造业PMI为49.7%,全球经济延续缓慢恢复态势
Sou Hu Cai Jing· 2025-11-06 02:07
Core Insights - The global manufacturing Purchasing Managers' Index (PMI) for October remains stable at 49.7%, indicating a slow recovery in the global economy [1] - The average PMI for January to October is 49.6%, which is a 0.3 percentage point increase compared to the same period last year, but still below the levels seen in 2019 [1] - The ongoing geopolitical conflicts and trade tensions contribute to uncertainties that affect global economic stability, although there is a recognition of the need for deeper economic cooperation among countries [1] Manufacturing Sector Analysis - The global manufacturing PMI has been within the range of 49% to 50% for eight consecutive months, reflecting a steady but slow recovery [1] - The recovery momentum in 2023 is slightly better than in the previous year, yet it remains below pre-pandemic levels [1] - Experts highlight that while the global economy maintains stability within a certain range, there is insufficient acceleration in upward momentum [1]
中国物流与采购联合会:10月份全球制造业PMI为49.7% 全球经济延续缓慢恢复态势
智通财经网· 2025-11-06 01:53
Core Insights - The global manufacturing PMI for October 2025 is reported at 49.7%, remaining stable and within the 49%-50% range for eight consecutive months, indicating a slow recovery in the global economy [1][2] - The average global manufacturing PMI for January to October 2025 is 49.6%, which is an increase of 0.3 percentage points compared to the same period last year, but still below the levels seen in 2019 [2] - Regional analysis shows that Asian and African manufacturing PMIs have slightly decreased but remain above 50%, while European manufacturing PMI has increased slightly but remains below 50%, and the Americas' PMI has decreased, indicating ongoing challenges in recovery [2][4] Global Manufacturing Overview - The global manufacturing sector continues to stabilize within a certain range, with a recovery pace slightly better than the previous year but still below pre-pandemic levels [2] - The International Monetary Fund (IMF) projects a global economic growth rate of 3.2% for 2025, which is an upward revision of 0.2 percentage points from July but still below the pre-pandemic average of 3.7% [4] Regional Manufacturing Insights Americas - The manufacturing PMI for the Americas in October 2025 is 48.8%, a slight decrease of 0.1 percentage points, indicating continued contraction in the region [5] - Major countries like the U.S. and Mexico show declines in their manufacturing PMIs, while Canada and Brazil have seen slight increases, but all remain below the 50% threshold [5] Europe - The European manufacturing PMI for October 2025 is 49.6%, an increase of 0.6 percentage points, indicating a slight improvement in recovery efforts [8] - Key countries such as Germany, the UK, France, and Italy show small increases in their PMIs, but all remain below 50%, suggesting that overall recovery in Europe is still weak [8] Africa - The manufacturing PMI for Africa is reported at 50.8%, a decrease of 0.6 percentage points, indicating a slowdown in growth [9] - Nigeria's manufacturing PMI has increased, while South Africa's has decreased below 50%, highlighting disparities in regional performance [9] Asia - The manufacturing PMI for Asia is 50.7%, a slight decrease of 0.2 percentage points, indicating continued but slowing expansion [10] - Countries like India show an increase in their PMIs, while China, Japan, and South Korea have seen declines, reflecting mixed performance across the region [10]
9月全球制造业PMI为49.7% 较上月小幅下降
Sou Hu Cai Jing· 2025-10-06 10:53
Core Insights - The global manufacturing Purchasing Managers' Index (PMI) for September is reported at 49.7%, indicating a slight decrease of 0.2 percentage points from the previous month, reflecting a relatively stable recovery in the global economy [1][2] Regional Summaries - In the Americas, the manufacturing PMI stands at 48.9%, remaining in the contraction zone. The average PMI for the third quarter is 48.6%, showing a slight increase compared to the second quarter, indicating a continuation of the weak recovery trend [1] - The European manufacturing PMI for September is 49%, which marks a decline from the previous month, ending an eight-month upward trend. The average PMI for the third quarter is 49.3%, which is an improvement over the second quarter, suggesting a better overall recovery in European manufacturing [1] - The Asian manufacturing PMI remains stable at 50.9% for September, maintaining above 50 for five consecutive months, indicating steady expansion. The average PMI for the third quarter is 50.8%, up by 0.4 percentage points from the second quarter [1] - In Africa, the manufacturing PMI is reported at 51.4%, remaining above 50 for three months, indicating ongoing expansion in the region. The third quarter PMI also reflects sustained growth [1] Overall Economic Analysis - The global manufacturing PMI remains below 50 but within a stable range, suggesting a relatively steady recovery in the global economy. The average global manufacturing PMI for the third quarter is 49.6%, which is an increase of 0.3 percentage points from the second quarter, indicating an improvement in recovery momentum [2] - Despite ongoing trade tensions and geopolitical conflicts, the global economic recovery remains stable within a certain range, although market demand growth is still weak. Emphasizing technological innovation, enhancing supply chain resilience, and strengthening regional economic cooperation are crucial for stabilizing the recovery [2]
项目总投资不超过140亿元,宁德时代洛阳基地二期项目正式投产;嫦娥六号最新发现:月球背面月幔相比正面更“冷”丨智能制造日报
创业邦· 2025-10-06 03:39
Group 1 - The global manufacturing PMI for September 2025 is reported at 49.7%, a slight decrease of 0.2 percentage points from the previous month, remaining within the 49%-50% range for seven consecutive months [2] - In Q3, the average global manufacturing PMI was 49.6%, which is an increase of 0.3 percentage points compared to Q2 [2] - Asian manufacturing PMI remained stable, holding above 50% for five consecutive months, while African PMI increased and stayed above 50% for three months [2] Group 2 - The Chang'e 6 mission revealed that the lunar mantle on the far side of the moon is cooler than that on the near side, enhancing understanding of the moon's "bipolarity" [3] - The findings provide critical geological and geochemical data for studying the temperature differences between the moon's two sides, contributing to lunar evolution research [3] Group 3 - CATL's second phase project in Luoyang officially commenced production, with a total investment not exceeding 14 billion yuan [3] - The Luoyang base is part of CATL's global production layout and has already achieved a cumulative output value exceeding 10 billion yuan since the first phase began production in November 2024 [3] - The project covers an area of 1,700 acres and is designed to meet "lighthouse factory + zero-carbon factory" standards [3]
中国物流与采购联合会:9月全球制造业PMI为49.7% 全球经济恢复态势相对平稳
智通财经网· 2025-10-06 01:45
Global Manufacturing PMI Overview - In September 2025, the global manufacturing PMI was 49.7%, a slight decrease of 0.2 percentage points from the previous month, remaining within the 49%-50% range for seven consecutive months [1] - The average global manufacturing PMI for Q3 was 49.6%, an increase of 0.3 percentage points compared to Q2 [1] - The stability in the global manufacturing PMI indicates a relatively steady recovery in the global economy, with Q3 showing improved recovery strength compared to Q2 [1] Regional Manufacturing Performance Asia - The manufacturing PMI in Asia remained stable at 50.9% in September, unchanged from the previous month, and has been above 50% for five consecutive months [9] - The average PMI for Q3 in Asia was 50.8%, up 0.4 percentage points from Q2 [9] - Strong policy support for economic recovery and the Regional Comprehensive Economic Partnership (RCEP) are key factors contributing to Asia's robust economic recovery [9] Africa - Africa's manufacturing PMI rose to 51.4% in September, an increase of 0.6 percentage points, marking three consecutive months above 50% [8] - The average PMI for Q3 in Africa was 51.1%, up 1.8 percentage points from Q2 [8] - The growth in Africa's manufacturing sector is supported by demographic advantages, natural resources, and urbanization potential [8] Europe - Europe's manufacturing PMI decreased to 49% in September, down 0.8 percentage points, ending an eight-month upward trend [7] - The average PMI for Q3 in Europe was 49.3%, an increase of 0.7 percentage points from Q2 [7] - The stability of Europe's economic recovery remains uncertain, with major economies still in contraction [7] Americas - The manufacturing PMI in the Americas was 48.9% in September, a slight increase of 0.1 percentage points, but still in the contraction zone [4] - The average PMI for Q3 in the Americas was 48.6%, showing a marginal increase of 0.1 percentage points from Q2 [4] - The U.S. manufacturing PMI was 49.1% in September, up 0.4 percentage points, but still below 50% [4][5] Economic Growth Projections - The OECD raised its global economic growth forecast for 2025 from 2.9% to 3.2%, while maintaining a 2.9% growth forecast for 2026 [3] - Despite the upward revision, the long-term outlook remains cautious due to ongoing trade tensions and geopolitical conflicts affecting global demand [3] - Strengthening regional economic cooperation is highlighted as crucial for stabilizing economic recovery, particularly in Asia and Africa [3]
8月外贸数据点评:出口动能边际下降
LIANCHU SECURITIES· 2025-09-10 07:47
Export Data - In August, exports grew by 4.4% year-on-year, down 2.8 percentage points from the previous month, and below the Wind consensus expectation of 5.9%[3] - Month-on-month, exports were flat with a 0.1% increase, indicating a stagnation in export value compared to the previous month[3] - The decline in export momentum is attributed to a high base effect from the previous year and signs of demand exhaustion from earlier periods[3] Trade with the US and Other Regions - Exports to the US fell by 33.1% year-on-year, a further decline of 11.4 percentage points from the previous month, with a month-on-month decrease of 11.8%[4] - The share of exports to the US has decreased from 12% to 10% in the second half of the year[4] - Exports to non-US regions showed significant growth, with the EU growing by 10.4% and ASEAN by 22.5% in August[4] Product Categories - Labor-intensive product exports saw a significant decline, with categories like bags, clothing, and footwear experiencing drops of -14.9%, -10.1%, and -17.1% respectively, collectively dragging down overall export growth by 1.2 percentage points[5] - In contrast, electromechanical products grew by 7.6%, contributing 4.5 percentage points to export growth, while high-tech products increased by 8.9%, adding 2.1 percentage points[5] Import Data - Imports grew by only 1.3% year-on-year in August, a decrease of 2.8 percentage points from the previous month, primarily due to low prices of bulk commodities[6] - Energy imports continued to decline, with coal, crude oil, and natural gas imports down by -35.9%, -15.1%, and -8.4% respectively[6] - Agricultural imports turned negative again, with a decline driven by reduced volumes and prices of grains and soybeans[6] Future Outlook - Export momentum may weaken further due to high base effects in Q4, but there are supportive factors such as improved global economic recovery, particularly in the EU and ASEAN regions, which together account for 33% of China's total exports[8] - Exports to Africa have been strong, with a cumulative growth rate reaching 24.6% in August, increasing its share of total exports to 6%[8]
全球经济恢复力度有所增强,8月份全球制造业采购经理指数公布
Sou Hu Cai Jing· 2025-09-06 03:08
Core Viewpoint - The global manufacturing Purchasing Managers' Index (PMI) for August shows a slight recovery, indicating an improvement in the global manufacturing sector, although it remains below the neutral level of 50% for the sixth consecutive month [1] Summary by Category Global Manufacturing PMI - The global manufacturing PMI for August is reported at 49.9%, an increase of 0.6 percentage points from the previous month [1] - The index has been below 50% for six months, indicating a weak recovery trend in global manufacturing [1] Regional Performance - Asian manufacturing continues to stabilize in the expansion zone, contributing significantly to global economic growth [1] - Specific country PMIs for August include: - United States: 48.7 (up 0.7 from July) - Japan: 49.7 (up 0.8 from July) - Germany: 49.8 (up 0.7 from July) - France: 50.4 (up 2.2 from July) - Italy: 50.4 (up 0.6 from July) - Netherlands: 51.9 (unchanged) - Ireland: 51.6 (down 1.6 from July) - Greece: 54.5 (up 2.8 from July) - Spain: 54.3 (up 2.4 from July) - India: 59.8 (up 0.7 from July) - Indonesia: 51.5 (up 2.3 from July) [1]
8月份全球制造业PMI为49.9% 全球经济恢复力度有所回升
Zheng Quan Ri Bao Wang· 2025-09-05 12:58
Group 1 - The global manufacturing PMI for August 2025 is reported at 49.9%, an increase of 0.6 percentage points from July, indicating a slight recovery in the manufacturing sector, although it remains below the neutral level of 50 [1] - In Asia, the manufacturing PMI stands at 50.9%, up 0.4 percentage points from July, marking four consecutive months above 50, while Africa's PMI is at 50.8%, down 0.3 percentage points, but still above 50 [1] - The analysis suggests that the economic foundations in China are strengthening, with India and ASEAN economies also showing positive signs, contributing to Asia's economic expansion, which outpaces other regions [1] Group 2 - Manufacturing PMIs in the Americas and Europe remain in contraction territory, with the Americas at 48.8% (up 0.8 points) and Europe at 49.8% (up 0.7 points), indicating a slow recovery despite being below 50 [2] - The data reflects a global manufacturing sector that, while not fully recovered, is showing signs of enhanced recovery, particularly in Asia, which supports global economic growth [2] - There is a call for countries to enhance policy coordination and optimize global supply chains to foster a stable economic recovery [2] Group 3 - The global economic recovery is characterized by slow progress amidst trade tensions and geopolitical conflicts, with a growing willingness among countries to explore new cooperative paths [3] - Since March, the global manufacturing PMI has remained above 49%, indicating resilience in recovery efforts despite not surpassing the neutral mark [3] - Strengthening economic policy coordination and reducing instability during the recovery process are essential for sustaining global economic recovery [3]
7月全球制造业:PMI为49.3% 继续弱势运行
Zhong Guo Xin Wen Wang· 2025-08-06 06:52
Group 1 - The global manufacturing Purchasing Managers' Index (PMI) for July is reported at 49.3%, a decrease of 0.2 percentage points from the previous month, marking the end of a two-month upward trend [1] - The global manufacturing PMI has remained below 50% for five consecutive months, indicating continued weakness in the global manufacturing sector, with a slight reduction in recovery momentum compared to the previous month [1] - In July, the Americas' manufacturing PMI is at 48%, down 0.6 percentage points from last month, remaining in contraction territory for five months, showing a decrease in recovery momentum [1] Group 2 - The European manufacturing PMI is reported at 49.1%, an increase of 0.3 percentage points from the previous month, indicating a slow recovery trend that has persisted for seven months [1] - Africa's manufacturing PMI stands at 51.1%, up 1.4 percentage points from last month, indicating a sustained improvement in recovery and entering the expansion zone [1] - Asia's manufacturing PMI is at 50.5%, a slight decrease of 0.2 percentage points from the previous month, but has remained above 50% for three consecutive months, indicating ongoing expansion and support for global economic recovery [1] Group 3 - The global economic recovery faces significant downward pressure, with ongoing geopolitical conflicts and insufficient effective demand in global markets [2] - The World Bank's latest Global Economic Outlook report predicts that global trade growth will slow from 3.4% in 2024 to 1.8% in 2025 [2] - Experts suggest that countries need to enhance communication and collaboration to explore new cooperation models and trade rules, gradually reducing uncertainty and strengthening economic resilience [2]