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2026货币政策定调适度宽松,强调灵活高效降准降息
Sou Hu Cai Jing· 2025-12-13 00:53
来源:热点解码局 2026年货币政策定调"适度宽松"引热议,首次强调"灵活高效运用降准降息"和"物价合理回升",政策重 点从规模扩张转向精准调控与结构优化。 一、政策基调:延续"适度宽松",强调灵活性与协同性 核心目标调整 物价回升路径 工具创新与协同 提出"灵活高效运用降准降息等工具",预计2026年或实施1-2次降准降息操作,政策利率可能下调10-50 个基点。更强调政策协同: 财政配合:与"更加积极的财政政策"联动,扩大特别国债、专项债规模(或达1.6万亿); 结构性引导:通过再贷款等定向工具,推动资金流向科技创新、中小微企业及绿色产业。 二、新动向:破解"低物价"成政策焦点 央行操作逻辑转变 不同于传统"降息促通胀"思路,央行认为单纯放水可能加剧产能过剩。转而通过: 供给侧改革:清理"内卷式竞争",削减低效产能(如全国统一大市场建设); 需求端激活:配合财政增收计划、消费券发放及服务消费补贴,提升居民消费能力。 货币政策首次将"促进物价合理回升"与"经济稳定增长"并列为核心任务,旨在缓解当前"供强需弱"的结 构性矛盾。同时要求"保持流动性充裕",但明确拒绝"大水漫灌",注重平衡短期刺激与长期风险防范。 ...
以变革应对变局 以转型谋求发展
Sou Hu Cai Jing· 2025-12-04 19:03
Core Insights - The "2025 Chengdu International Forum" concluded in Guangzhou, focusing on the theme of "World Economic Development Trends under Trade and Tariff Conflicts" [7] - Participants emphasized the importance of managing risks associated with the "technology gap" and integrating into the digital age, alongside addressing traditional economic risks [9] Group 1: Economic Risks and Trade Policies - Romano Prodi, former Prime Minister of Italy, noted that many trade policies are driven by internal political demands rather than economic logic, increasing unpredictability in global supply chains [8] - Kim Campbell, former Prime Minister of Canada, highlighted the negative impact of tariff policies on global supply chains and free trade, stressing the need for better information sharing among nations [8] - Several attendees agreed that the ability to manage risks is directly linked to the stability and sustainability of development [9] Group 2: Development Paradigm Shift - The forum discussed the need for a transformation in development paradigms, moving away from merely pursuing growth speed and scale towards sustainable development that emphasizes endogenous motivation and shared welfare [10] - María Fernanda Espinosa, former Foreign Minister of Ecuador, called for reforms in economic governance institutions to ensure fair resource distribution and amplify the voices of developing countries [10] - Michelle Bachelet, former President of Chile, emphasized the necessity of systemic approaches to address global risks like climate change and financial crises, advocating for cooperation over confrontation [10][11] Group 3: Technological Integration and Opportunities - Jorge Quiroga, former President of Bolivia, warned that developing countries risk marginalization in the new technology wave, particularly in AI and digital economy sectors [9] - Xue Lan, a senior professor at Tsinghua University, pointed out that China's open-source model could help smaller countries leverage AI advancements at lower costs [9] - The forum highlighted the potential for China to lead in global development trends by investing in long-term development and technology transfer to assist developing nations [9] Group 4: International Cooperation and Globalization - Prodi emphasized the importance of China-EU cooperation in stabilizing the global economy amidst rising political tensions and trade conflicts [12] - Li Cheng, a professor at the University of Hong Kong, discussed the rise of unilateralism and its implications for global trade, arguing that the U.S. approach to tariffs has backfired [14] - Espinosa noted that globalization is not over but is entering a "recalibration" phase, requiring nations to reassess their interdependence and governance strategies [16]
ManJu蔓殊平衡油,开启东方人的智慧
Zhong Guo Shi Pin Wang· 2025-06-19 07:24
Core Viewpoint - The article emphasizes the importance of balance in health and nutrition, presenting ManJu's unique oil products as a solution for achieving this balance through scientifically formulated ingredients and innovative production methods [1][3]. Group 1: Product Features - ManJu's oil features a precise balance of Omega 3/6/9 in a golden ratio of 2:1:1, catering to the body's nutritional needs [3]. - The oil contains Super Omega 9 from the oil of the Camellia oleifera, which aids in repairing damaged brain nerve pathways and promotes nerve cell regeneration, with each 5ml serving providing approximately 45mg of this beneficial compound [3]. - Additional components like lignans and phytosterols help regulate hormone balance and provide antioxidant benefits, along with Vitamin E for skin health [3]. Group 2: Nutritional Preservation Technology - ManJu employs three preservation technologies to maintain nutritional integrity: 1. Low-temperature cold pressing at 40°C, preserving 99% of active ingredients, significantly higher than the industry average of 80°C [6]. 2. Nitrogen packaging technology that prevents oxidation by injecting low-temperature pure nitrogen into the bottle [6]. 3. High-precision physical filtration that avoids nutrient destruction from industrial refining processes [6][11]. Group 3: Skincare Benefits - ManJu promotes a skincare philosophy that emphasizes oil-based nourishment, addressing common skin issues such as acne and sensitivity through natural ingredients [8][9]. - The product line aims to enhance skin quality by inhibiting melanin production and improving blood circulation, resulting in a healthier complexion [10]. - The combination of antioxidants in the oil helps improve skin elasticity and reduce dullness, promoting a natural glow [10]. Group 4: Consumption Experience - The product is designed for a pleasant consumption experience, featuring small cup packaging that encourages self-discipline and enjoyment [12]. - The "health currency" concept allows users to engage in a playful and stress-relieving manner while consuming the oil, enhancing emotional well-being [13]. - ManJu's oil is positioned as a companion for modern women, promoting a healthy lifestyle through innovative consumption methods [15][16]. Group 5: Market Insights - According to a report by iResearch, urban women have evolving expectations for oils, seeking benefits beyond basic nutrition, such as anti-inflammatory and anti-aging properties [17]. - The product is marketed for various uses, including low-temperature cooking, as a nutritional companion for beverages, and as part of a beauty regimen [18].