实习编辑:金怡杉 | 审核:李震 | 监审:古筝 【大河财立方消息】9月19日，央行开展3543亿元7天期逆回购操作，投标量3543亿元，中标量3543亿 元，操作利率为1.40%，与此前持平。因今日有2300亿元逆回购到期，当日实现净投放1243亿元人民 币。 【免责声明】本文仅代表作者本人观点，与和讯网无关。和讯网站对文中陈述、观点判断保持中立，不 对所包含内容的准确性、可靠性或完整性提供任何明示或暗示的保证。请读者仅作参考，并请自行承担 全部责任。邮箱：news_center@staff.hexun.com ...

Report Summary 1. Market Investment Ratings - No information provided regarding the report's industry investment rating. 2. Core Viewpoints - The stock index closed up with reduced volatility and shrinking trading volume. There is still upward potential for the stock index due to abundant domestic liquidity, high expectations of a Fed rate cut in September, and the potential marginal repair of PPI, which could improve A-share profitability. The strategy is to go long opportunistically and take advantage of the premium/discount of stock index futures to place long orders [6]. 3. Summary by Relevant Catalogs Money Market - DRO01 closed at 1.43 with a 1.12bp increase, DR007 at 1.48 with a -0.26bp decrease, GC001 at 1.54 with a -5.50bp decrease, and GC007 at 1.49 with a -3.50bp decrease. SHBOR 3M was at 1.55 with a 0.20bp increase, and LPR 5-year remained unchanged at 3.50 [4]. - The 1-year, 5-year, and 10-year Chinese treasury bonds closed at 1.41, 1.65, and 1.89 respectively, with increases of 1.56bp, 2.06bp, and 2.52bp. The 10-year US treasury bond closed at 4.08 with a 3.00bp increase [4]. - The central bank conducted 3040 billion yuan of 7-day reverse repurchase operations, with 2291 billion yuan of reverse repurchases maturing, resulting in a net injection of 749 billion yuan. This week, 10684 billion yuan of reverse repurchases will mature, and the central bank may restart treasury bond trading operations [4]. Stock Index Market - The CSI 300, SSE 50, CSI 500, and CSI 1000 closed at 4445, 2940, 6932, and 7230 respectively, with increases of 0.21%, 0.37%, 0.05%, and 0.06%. Industry sectors showed mixed performance, with the trading volume of the two markets at 19781 billion yuan, a decrease of 1404 billion yuan [5]. - IF, IH, IC, and IM contracts showed different price changes and volume/position changes. For example, IF volume increased by 7.4% to 130680, and its position increased by 2.7% to 275475 [5]. Futures Premium/Discount - IF, IH, IC, and IM contracts in different delivery months have different premium/discount rates. For example, the IF current-month contract has a premium rate of 11.83% [7].

金十数据8月4日讯，中国央行今日开展5448亿元7天期逆回购操作，因今日有4958亿元7天期逆回购到 期，当日实现净投放490亿元。看公开市场资金流向，到"数据库-中国央行数据"查看>> 中国央行逆回购操作当日实现净投放490亿元 ...

Report Summary 1. Market Performance - On June 13, the four major A-share stock indices pulled back. The Shanghai Composite Index dropped 0.75% to 3377 points, the Shenzhen Component Index fell 1.1% to 10122.11 points, the ChiNext Index declined 1.13% to 2043.82 points, and the STAR 50 Index decreased 0.51% to 972.94 points. Market trading volume was 1.504 trillion yuan, an increase of 200.4 billion yuan from the previous day [2]. - In terms of industry sectors, petroleum and petrochemicals (+2.05%), national defense and military industry (+1.72%), and public utilities (+0.48%) led the gains, while beauty care (-4.12%), media (-2.53%), and food and beverages (-2.37%) led the losses [2]. - In terms of market strength, IH > IF > IC > IM. The numbers of rising, flat, and falling stocks were 847, 92, and 4474 respectively. In the Shanghai and Shenzhen stock markets, institutional, main, large - scale, and retail investors had net inflows of -15.7 billion, -22.2 billion, 3.2 billion, and 34.7 billion yuan respectively, with changes of -15.2 billion, -13.5 billion, +5 billion, and +23.6 billion yuan respectively [2]. 2. Stock Index Futures 2.1 Basis and Yield - The basis of the next - month contracts of IM, IC, IF, and IH were 117.01, 91.44, 51.18, and 50.43 points respectively, and the annualized basis yields were -18.43%, -15.32%, -12.74%, and -18.12% respectively. Their three - year historical quantiles were 7%, 7%, 1%, and 0% respectively [3]. 2.2 Trading Strategies - In the short - term, due to the deep discount of small - cap stock indices, which may be the result of the expansion of neutral product scale this year and the relatively high proportion of short positions in neutral products as the bond bull market has not restarted, the deep discount may continue, leading to market fluctuations. Short - cycle band strategies are recommended. - In the medium - to - long - term, a bullish view on the economy is maintained. It is recommended to allocate IF, IC, and IM forward contracts on dips. For near - month contracts, there is a risk of decline in micro - cap stocks, which may drag down the IC and IM indices, so caution is advised [3]. 3. Treasury Bond Futures 3.1 Market Performance - On June 13, most yields of treasury bond futures declined. Among the active contracts, the implied interest rate of the two - year bond was 1.334, down 0.66 bps from the previous day; the five - year bond was 1.46, down 0.36 bps; the ten - year bond was 1.578, unchanged; and the thirty - year bond was 1.933, up 0.04 bps [3]. 3.2 Cash Bonds - The current active contract is the 2509 contract. For the two - year treasury bond futures, the CTD bond is 250006.IB, with a yield change of -1.16 bps, a corresponding net basis of -0.086, and an IRR of 1.83%. For the five - year, ten - year, and thirty - year treasury bond futures, similar details are provided [4]. 3.3 Capital Situation - In open - market operations, the central bank injected 202.5 billion yuan and withdrew 135 billion yuan, resulting in a net injection of 67.5 billion yuan [4]. 3.4 Trading Strategies - The cash bond market currently shows a pattern of strong supply and weak demand, but this pattern is expected to change. In the futures market, with the roll - over of near - month contracts and strong long - end bullish forces, it is recommended to take short - term long positions and long - term short positions. Short - term, buy T and TL contracts on dips; medium - to - long - term, hedge T and TL contracts on rallies [5]. 4. Economic Data - High - frequency data shows that recent social activities and real estate market sentiment have contracted [12].

| 日期 + | 英别(主部)▼ | 重(亿) * | 期限 ◆ | 利率 = | | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | | 2025-06-16 | 逆回购到期 | 1738 | 7天 | | | 2025-06-16 | 逆回购 | 2420 | 7天 | 1.4 | | 2025-06-13 | 逆回购到期 | 1350 | 7天 | | | | 3 | | 第分享 | | | 订阅 | 生成长图 | | | | 中国央行逆回购操作当日实现净投放682亿元 金十数据6月16日讯，中国央行今日开展2420亿元7天期逆回购操作，因今日有1738亿元7天期逆回购到 期，当日实现净投放682亿元。看公开市场资金流向，到"数据库-中国央行数据"查看。 ...

Core Viewpoint - The People's Bank of China (PBOC) is actively engaging in liquidity management by conducting significant reverse repurchase operations to support the financial market during a critical liquidity assessment period in June [1] Group 1: Reverse Repo Operations - In early June, the PBOC announced a 1 trillion yuan (approximately 140 billion USD) three-month reverse repurchase operation [1] - On June 13, the PBOC announced an additional 400 billion yuan (approximately 56 billion USD) reverse repurchase operation with a six-month term [1] - A total of 1.2 trillion yuan (approximately 168 billion USD) in reverse repos is set to mature throughout June, indicating a net liquidity injection for the month [1] Group 2: Market Conditions - The liquidity demand from financial institutions is expected to be high in June due to the significant maturity of interbank certificates of deposit and the half-year liquidity assessment [1] - The PBOC's provision of medium-term funding support reflects its commitment to nurturing the market during this period [1]

金十数据5月8日讯，中国央行今日开展1586亿元7天期逆回购操作，因今日没有7天期逆回购到期，当日 实现净投放1586亿元。看公开市场资金流向，到"数据库-中国央行数据"查看 中国央行逆回购操作当日实现净投放1586亿元 ...