去中心化货币体系

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海通证券晨报-20250703
Haitong Securities· 2025-07-03 10:52
Group 1: Macro Trends and Innovations - The report discusses the potential transformation of the global monetary and financial systems due to the development of stablecoins and RWA (Real World Assets), suggesting that these innovations may create a parallel decentralized financial system alongside the existing centralized one [2][3] - It is anticipated that the changes brought by stablecoins and RWA could be as significant as the impact of AI on the global economy, indicating a major shift in how currencies and financial systems operate [2][3] Group 2: Steel Industry Insights - Recent data shows a slight decrease in steel demand, with total inventory shifting from a reduction to an increase, indicating a potential weakening in demand as the industry enters a traditional off-season [5][6] - The apparent consumption of five major steel products was 8.7985 million tons, down by 4.33 million tons week-on-week, while total inventory rose to 13.4003 million tons, marking a 1.14% increase [5][6] - The report forecasts that steel demand may stabilize gradually, with construction and manufacturing sectors expected to support demand, despite ongoing challenges in the real estate sector [6] Group 3: Cement and Building Materials - The cement industry is showing signs of stabilization after price adjustments, with competition and profitability continuing to improve [4] - The report notes that the national average cement price has seen a slight decline of 1.2%, with certain regions experiencing price increases due to demand fluctuations [8] - The building materials sector is expected to enter a low base period starting June 2024, which may improve demand metrics as previous high demand levels are compared against lower future figures [9] Group 4: Glass and Fiberglass Market - The domestic float glass market is experiencing a downturn, with average prices dropping to 1250.27 yuan per ton, reflecting a weak demand environment [8] - The fiberglass market is also facing challenges, with limited order growth and competitive pressures affecting pricing and profitability [8] Group 5: Investment Recommendations - The report recommends several steel companies that are expected to benefit from industry consolidation and high-quality development, including Baosteel and Hualing Steel [7] - In the cement sector, leading companies such as Anhui Conch Cement and Huaxin Cement are highlighted as strong investment opportunities due to their market positions [10] - For the glass industry, companies like Fuyao Glass and Xinyi Glass are recommended based on their competitive advantages and market resilience [10]
国泰海通|代币化:货币、金融的历史性变革——全球货币变局研究九
国泰海通证券研究· 2025-07-02 14:16
· 投资要点 · 也许5年以后、10年以后的全球货币体系和金金金融体系,会和现在的运行行行方方方式有很大大大不同。稳定币的发展, 或将在现有的"中心心心化"的货币体系之外,打造一一一个"平行行行"的、"去中心心心化"的货币体系;RWA的创新和发 展,体现了"万物皆可货币",或将在现有的"中心心心化"的金金金融体系之外,打造一一一个"平行行行"的、"去中心心心 化"的金金金融体系。中长长长期来看,稳定币和RWA将会给当前的全球货币和金金金融体系带来巨大大大的变革革革,而而而这种 变革革革或许不亚于AI发展对全球经济的改变。 一一一个"去中心心心化"的丰富的货币、金金金融体系,可能会和传统的"中心心心化"的体系并行行行、交织、融合。而而而这些改 变的过程,可能会给不少产业、机构、投资者带来机会,也会给各国监管和管理货币和金金金融体系带来新的 机遇与挑战。 我们在《全球货币变局》系列专题中已经有两篇专题探讨稳定币的问题。在本篇专题中,我们希望更深层 次的探讨稳定币和RWA,要理解这些货币和金金金融体系的创新和发展趋势,其实还是需要"返璞归真",回 到货币的本质这个起点。 风险提示 :全球地缘风风风险;美国政策的不确 ...
全球货币变局研究九:代币化:货币、金融的历史性变革
GUOTAI HAITONG SECURITIES· 2025-07-02 11:04
宏观研究 /[Table_Date] 2025.07.02 代币化:货币、金融的历史性变革 [Table_Authors] 梁中华(分析师) 021-38676666 登记编号 S0880525040019 ——全球货币变局研究九 本报告导读: 我们在《全球货币变局》系列专题中已经有两篇专题探讨稳定币的问题。在本篇专 题中,我们希望更深层次的探讨稳定币和 RWA,要理解这些货币和金融体系的创新 和发展趋势,其实还是需要"返璞归真",回到货币的本质这个起点。 投资要点: 风险提示:全球地缘风险;美国政策的不确定风险;监管政策变化 风险 宏 观 研 究 证 券 研 究 报 告 请务必阅读正文之后的免责条款部分 宏 观 专 题 [Table_Summary] 也许 5 年以后、10 年以后的全球货币体系和金融体系,会和现在的 运行方式有很大不同。稳定币的发展,或将在现有的"中心化"的货 币体系之外,打造一个"平行"的、"去中心化"的货币体系;RWA 的创新和发展,体现了"万物皆可货币",或将在现有的"中心化" 的金融体系之外,打造一个"平行"的、"去中心化"的金融体系。 中长期来看,稳定币和 RWA 将会给当前的全 ...
全球货币变局研究九:代币化,货币、金融的历史性变革
GUOTAI HAITONG SECURITIES· 2025-07-02 08:41
投资要点: Q 也许5年以后、10年以后的全球货币体系和金融体系,会和现在的 运行方式有很大不同。稳定币的发展,或将在现有的"中心化"的货 币体系之外,打造一个"平行"的、"去中心化"的货币体系;RWA 的创新和发展,体现了"万物皆可货币",或将在现有的"中心化" 的金融体系之外,打造一个"平行"的、"去中心化"的金融体系。 中长期来看,稳定币和 RWA 将会给当前的全球货币和金融体系带来 巨大的变革,而这种变革或许不亚于 AI发展对全球经济的改变。 观研 SHIT A 宏观研究 / 2025.07.02 代币化:货币、金融的历史性变革 全球货币变局研究九 本报告导读: 我们在《全球货币变局》系列专题中已经有两篇专题探讨稳定币的问题。在本篇专 题中,我们希望更深层次的探讨稳定币和 RWA,要理解这些货币和金融体系的创新 和发展趋势,其实还是需要"返璞归真",回到货币的本质这个起点。 观 参研究报 请务必阅读正文之后的免责条款部分 梁中华(分析师) 021-38676666 ● 一个"去中心化"的丰富的货币、金融体系,可能会和传统的"中心 化"的体系并行、交织、融合。而这些改变的过程,可能会给不少产 业、机构、 ...