投资银行业与经纪业

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回调后可积极配置,关注绩优权重及优质红马
Changjiang Securities· 2025-07-06 09:11
丨证券研究报告丨 吴一凡 谢宇尘 盛晓双 行业研究丨行业周报丨投资银行业与经纪业 [Table_Title] 回调后可积极配置,关注绩优权重及优质红 马 报告要点 [Table_Summary] 本周板块调整回落。政策端证监会召开扩大会议,研究部署资本市场贯彻落实具体举措,券商方面估值和 机构持仓位于低位,交易量维持高位,投行和海外业务环比改善,中报有望延续高景气,继续看好板块机 会;保险方面当前估值隐含市场对长期投资的悲观假设,考虑中远期利差水平,当前估值仍安全,看好集 中度和负债成本改善。从盈利和分红的稳定性维度出发,推荐江苏金租、中国平安及中国财险。综合业绩 弹性及估值分位,推荐新华保险、中国人寿、香港交易所、中信证券、东方财富、同花顺、九方智投控股。 分析师及联系人 [Table_Author] SAC:S0490519080007 SAC:S0490521020001 SFC:BUV596 请阅读最后评级说明和重要声明 %% %% %% %% research.95579.com 1 投资银行业与经纪业 cjzqdt11111 [Table_Title 回调后可积极配置,关注绩优权重及优质红马 2] ...
海通证券晨报-20250703
Haitong Securities· 2025-07-03 10:52
Group 1: Macro Trends and Innovations - The report discusses the potential transformation of the global monetary and financial systems due to the development of stablecoins and RWA (Real World Assets), suggesting that these innovations may create a parallel decentralized financial system alongside the existing centralized one [2][3] - It is anticipated that the changes brought by stablecoins and RWA could be as significant as the impact of AI on the global economy, indicating a major shift in how currencies and financial systems operate [2][3] Group 2: Steel Industry Insights - Recent data shows a slight decrease in steel demand, with total inventory shifting from a reduction to an increase, indicating a potential weakening in demand as the industry enters a traditional off-season [5][6] - The apparent consumption of five major steel products was 8.7985 million tons, down by 4.33 million tons week-on-week, while total inventory rose to 13.4003 million tons, marking a 1.14% increase [5][6] - The report forecasts that steel demand may stabilize gradually, with construction and manufacturing sectors expected to support demand, despite ongoing challenges in the real estate sector [6] Group 3: Cement and Building Materials - The cement industry is showing signs of stabilization after price adjustments, with competition and profitability continuing to improve [4] - The report notes that the national average cement price has seen a slight decline of 1.2%, with certain regions experiencing price increases due to demand fluctuations [8] - The building materials sector is expected to enter a low base period starting June 2024, which may improve demand metrics as previous high demand levels are compared against lower future figures [9] Group 4: Glass and Fiberglass Market - The domestic float glass market is experiencing a downturn, with average prices dropping to 1250.27 yuan per ton, reflecting a weak demand environment [8] - The fiberglass market is also facing challenges, with limited order growth and competitive pressures affecting pricing and profitability [8] Group 5: Investment Recommendations - The report recommends several steel companies that are expected to benefit from industry consolidation and high-quality development, including Baosteel and Hualing Steel [7] - In the cement sector, leading companies such as Anhui Conch Cement and Huaxin Cement are highlighted as strong investment opportunities due to their market positions [10] - For the glass industry, companies like Fuyao Glass and Xinyi Glass are recommended based on their competitive advantages and market resilience [10]
积极配置非银板块优质红马,持续关注业绩高弹性个股
Changjiang Securities· 2025-06-15 15:16
丨证券研究报告丨 SFC:BUV596 吴一凡 谢宇尘 程泽宇 SAC:S0490519080007 SAC:S0490521020001 SAC:S0490524090001 行业研究丨行业周报丨投资银行业与经纪业 [Table_Title] 积极配置非银板块优质红马,持续关注业绩 高弹性个股 报告要点 [Table_Summary] 二季度政策端与市场交投趋势稳中向好,我们认为优质的非银行业红马配置性价比仍较高,从盈利和分红 的稳定性维度出发,推荐江苏金租、中国平安及中国财险。综合业绩弹性及估值分位,推荐新华保险、中 国人寿、香港交易所、中信证券、东方财富、同花顺、九方智投控股。 分析师及联系人 [Table_Author] 请阅读最后评级说明和重要声明 %% %% %% %% research.95579.com 1 投资银行业与经纪业 cjzqdt11111 [Table_Title 积极配置非银板块优质红马,持续关注 2] 业绩高 弹性个股 [Table_Summary2] 核心观点: 市场:市场热度有所回升,两市日均成交额 13,716.78 亿元,环比+13.47%,日均换手率 1.72%, 环 ...
5月26日电,利弗莫尔证券显示,北京先通国际医药科技股份有限公司-B向港交所提交上市申请书,联席保荐人为中信证券、中金公司。
news flash· 2025-05-26 10:20
智通财经5月26日电,利弗莫尔证券显示,北京先通国际医药科技股份有限公司-B向港交所提交上市申 请书,联席保荐人为中信证券、中金公司。 ...
政策与业绩向好,持续增配绩优权重和优质红马
Changjiang Securities· 2025-05-18 13:47
丨证券研究报告丨 行业研究丨行业周报丨投资银行业与经纪业 [Table_Title] 政策与业绩向好,持续增配绩优权重和优质 红马 报告要点 [Table_Summary] 近期非银上市公司业绩披露完毕,趋势上仍延续较高增长,叠加资本市场政策的陆续出台,本周板块涨幅 亮眼。展望后续,业绩基数有所上移,政策端维持平稳,建议重点关注板块绩优权重个股,以及优质的高 股息个股。 分析师及联系人 [Table_Author] SFC:BUV596 吴一凡 谢宇尘 程泽宇 SAC:S0490519080007 SAC:S0490521020001 SAC:S0490524090001 请阅读最后评级说明和重要声明 %% %% %% %% research.95579.com 1 投资银行业与经纪业 cjzqdt11111 [Table_Title 政策与业绩2] 向好,持续增配绩优权重和优质红 马 [Table_Summary2] 核心观点: 近期非银上市公司业绩披露完毕,趋势上仍延续较高增长,叠加资本市场政策的陆续出台,本 周板块涨幅亮眼。展望后续,业绩基数有所上移,政策端维持平稳,建议重点关注板块绩优权 重个股,以及 ...
一揽子政策齐发力,把握非银配置窗口期
Changjiang Securities· 2025-05-11 11:42
丨证券研究报告丨 [Table_Author] 吴一凡 谢宇尘 SAC:S0490519080007 SAC:S0490521020001 SFC:BUV596 行业研究丨行业周报丨投资银行业与经纪业 [Table_Title] 一揽子政策齐发力,把握非银配置窗口期 报告要点 [Table_Summary] 近期因全球资产风险偏好下降板块估值整体有所回调,从业绩估值匹配度来看配置性价比正显著提升。一 季报券商业绩表现强劲,配置价值持续提升,另外本周国新办会议介绍"一揽子金融政策支持稳市场稳预 期",政策组合拳持续稳定和活跃资本市场,看好非银金融行业业绩估值双升,建议 5 月积极增配。 分析师及联系人 近期因全球资产风险偏好下降板块估值整体有所回调,从业绩估值匹配度来看配置性价比正显 著提升。一季报券商业绩表现强劲,配置价值持续提升,本周国新办会议介绍"一揽子金融政 策支持稳市场稳预期",政策组合拳持续稳定和活跃资本市场,看好非银金融行业业绩估值双 升,建议 5 月积极增配。1、板块行情节奏上持续在回调中配置高景气低估值个股,耐心等待 催化;2、金融供给侧改革加速推进,券商行业进展尤为迅速,综合当前行业经营环境 ...
券商季报稳定改善,配置价值仍在提升
Changjiang Securities· 2025-04-27 13:41
Investment Rating - The report maintains a "Positive" investment rating for the investment banking and brokerage industry [10] Core Insights - The report highlights that the performance of the non-bank sector has lagged behind the broader market since the beginning of 2025, with a slight market correction observed this week. However, the first quarter results for brokerages show stable improvement, suggesting a favorable environment for investment [2][7] - It is recommended to actively increase allocations in April, with a focus on stocks that exhibit both performance and valuation growth. The report emphasizes the importance of patience in waiting for catalysts while continuing to invest in high-growth, undervalued stocks [7] Summary by Sections Market Performance - The non-bank financial index increased by 1.2% this week, outperforming the CSI 300 by 0.8%. However, year-to-date, the non-bank financial index is down 8.6%, underperforming the CSI 300 by 4.9% [8] - The average daily trading volume in the market rose to 11,466.36 billion yuan, a 3.43% increase week-on-week, while the margin trading balance decreased slightly to 1.81 trillion yuan [8][39] Brokerage Performance - The report notes that the brokerage sector's performance is improving, with a recommendation to focus on high-growth, low-valuation stocks during the ongoing market correction [7] - Specific stocks recommended include New China Life Insurance, China Life Insurance, Hong Kong Exchanges and Clearing, CITIC Securities, Dongfang Wealth, and Tonghuashun, with a focus on M&A themes for China Galaxy and stable dividend stocks like China Pacific Insurance and Jiangsu Jinzhong [7] Financial Market Trends - The report indicates that the financial supply-side reform is accelerating, particularly in the brokerage industry, which is progressing rapidly. This environment presents opportunities for thematic investments in the short term [7] - The report also tracks key financial metrics, noting that the average daily turnover and trading volume have shown signs of recovery, indicating a potential upward trend in brokerage profitability [39][45] Insurance Sector Insights - The insurance sector saw a cumulative premium income of 21,745 billion yuan in March 2025, reflecting a year-on-year increase of 0.93%. However, life insurance premiums showed a slight decline [25][29] - The total assets of the insurance industry reached 37.84 trillion yuan, with a net asset scale of 3.52 trillion yuan, indicating a healthy growth trajectory [29][30] Investment Banking Activity - In March 2025, equity financing reached 568.10 billion yuan, a significant increase of 1141.3% month-on-month, while bond financing also saw a rise to 8.69 trillion yuan, up 26.5% [49][50] - The report anticipates an increase in stock underwriting volumes due to the promotion of refinancing regulations and registration systems, while bond underwriting will need to be monitored closely in relation to interest rate fluctuations [50]