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商品期权周报:2026 年第 2 周-20260111
Dong Zheng Qi Huo· 2026-01-11 15:37
周度报告——商品期权 商品期权周报:2026 年第 2 周 报告日期: 2026 年 1 月 11 日 ★ 商品期权市场活跃度 本周(2026.01.05-2026.01.09)商品期权市场成交活跃度继续 提升,日均成交量为 941 万手,日均持仓量为 863 万手,环 比变化分别为+15.16%和+20.23%。分品种来看,本周日均成 交活跃的品种主要包括碳酸锂(93 万手)、玻璃(82 万手)、 PTA(69 万手)。此外,本周共有 9 个品种成交增长超过 100%, 成交量增长较为显著的品种为铝合金(+198%)、工业硅 (+171%)、原油(+161%)。与此同时,成交量下降较为 明显的品种则有对二甲苯(-93%)、白银(-52%)。从持仓 量数据来看,本周日均持仓量较高的品种为玻璃(68 万手)、 纯碱(57 万手)和 PTA(46 万手)。日均持仓量环比增长 较为迅速的品种为沥青(+142%)。建议投资者可重点关注 交易活跃品种可能存在的市场机会。 ★ 商品期权主要数据点评 标的涨跌情况:商品期权标的以上涨为主。周度涨幅较高的 品种包括碳酸锂(+17.96%)、白银(+9.70%)、锡(+9.17 ...
东证期货商品期权周报-20260104
Dong Zheng Qi Huo· 2026-01-04 13:11
Report Industry Investment Rating - Not provided in the content Core Viewpoints of the Report - The trading volume of the commodity options market increased slightly this week, with an average daily trading volume of 8.17 million lots and an average daily open interest of 7.17 million lots, showing week - on - week changes of +10.16% and +5.30% respectively. Investors are advised to focus on potential market opportunities in actively traded varieties [1][7]. - The underlying futures of commodity options showed mixed price movements. Some varieties with high weekly increases include nickel (+4.81%), glass (+2.84%), and soybeans No. 1 (+2.74%); those with high weekly decreases include lithium carbonate (-6.85%), silver (-6.74%), and tin (-4.62%) [2][14]. - Most commodity options' implied volatility increased weekly. For varieties with implied volatility at a historical high, investors should be wary of one - sided risks and consider short - volatility opportunities; for those at a historical low, buying options has a higher cost - performance ratio [2][14]. - The PCR of trading volume and open interest of different varieties reflects different market sentiment. Some varieties have a concentrated short - term bearish or bullish sentiment [2][14]. Summary by Relevant Catalogs 1. Commodity Options Market Activity - The average daily trading volume of the commodity options market this week was 8.17 million lots, and the average daily open interest was 7.17 million lots, with week - on - week changes of +10.16% and +5.30% respectively [1][7]. - The actively traded varieties in terms of daily average trading volume this week included silver (1.11 million lots), PTA (0.64 million lots), and p - xylene (0.64 million lots) [1][7]. - Five varieties had a trading volume increase of over 100%, with significant growth in p - xylene (+292%), pure benzene (+122%), and cotton (+107%) [1][7]. - Varieties with a significant decline in trading volume were pulp (-74%), rebar (-59%), and bitumen (-57%) [1][7]. - The varieties with high average daily open interest this week were glass (0.54 million lots), soda ash (0.48 million lots), and cotton (0.38 million lots). Ethylene glycol had a rapid week - on - week increase in open interest (+118%) [1][7]. 2. This Week's Main Data Review of Commodity Options 2.1 Underlying Price Movements - Varieties with high weekly increases included nickel (+4.81%), glass (+2.84%), and soybeans No. 1 (+2.74%) [2][14]. - Varieties with high weekly decreases included lithium carbonate (-6.85%), silver (-6.74%), and tin (-4.62%) [2][14]. 2.2 Market Volatility - Most commodity options' implied volatility increased weekly, and 45 varieties' current implied volatility was above the 50th percentile of the past year [2][14]. - Varieties with implied volatility at a historical high included silver, nickel, aluminum, copper, pulp, cotton, and plastic. Those at a historical low included iron ore and soybean oil [2][14]. 2.3 Options Market Sentiment - The trading volume PCR of lithium carbonate, tin, and apple was at a historical high, indicating a concentrated short - term bearish sentiment. The trading volume PCR of zinc, polypropylene, live pigs, cotton, and methanol was at a one - year low, indicating a concentrated bullish sentiment [2][14]. - The open interest PCR of lithium carbonate, silver, and p - xylene was at a historical high, while that of alumina, plastic, ethylene glycol, zinc, and aluminum was at a one - year low, reflecting different levels of bullish and bearish sentiment [2][14]. 3. Key Data Overview of Main Varieties - This chapter presents key data of main varieties, including trading volume, volatility, and options market sentiment indicators. Detailed data of more varieties can be found on the Dongzheng Fanwei official website (https://www.finoview.com.cn/) [19]. 3.1 Energy - Relevant data charts such as total trading volume, volatility, open interest PCR, and trading volume PCR of crude oil are provided [21][22]. 3.2 Chemicals - **PTA**: Data charts of total trading volume, volatility, open interest PCR, and trading volume PCR are provided [27][33]. - **Caustic Soda**: Data charts of total trading volume, volatility, open interest PCR, and trading volume PCR are provided [36][38]. - **Glass**: Data charts of total trading volume, volatility, open interest PCR, and trading volume PCR are provided [43][44]. - **Soda Ash**: Data charts of total trading volume, volatility, open interest PCR, and trading volume PCR are provided [49][51]. 3.3 Precious Metals - Data charts of total trading volume, volatility, open interest PCR, and trading volume PCR of silver are provided [58][59]. 3.4 Ferrous Metals - **Iron Ore**: Data charts of total trading volume, volatility, open interest PCR, and trading volume PCR are provided [72][68]. - **Manganese Silicide**: Data charts of total trading volume, volatility, open interest PCR, and trading volume PCR are provided [74][75]. 3.5 Non - Ferrous Metals - **Copper**: Data charts of total trading volume, volatility, open interest PCR, and trading volume PCR are provided [81][87]. - **Aluminum**: Data charts of total trading volume, volatility, open interest PCR, and trading volume PCR are provided [90][93]. 3.6 Agricultural Products - **Soybean Meal**: Data charts of total trading volume, volatility, open interest PCR, and trading volume PCR are provided [97][100]. - **Palm Oil**: Data charts of total trading volume, volatility, open interest PCR, and trading volume PCR are provided [103][104]. - **Cotton**: Data charts of total trading volume, volatility, open interest PCR, and trading volume PCR are provided [109][110].
商品期权周报:2025年第52周-20251228
Dong Zheng Qi Huo· 2025-12-28 13:44
1. Report Industry Investment Rating - No relevant content provided. 2. Core View of the Report - This week (2025.12.21 - 2025.12.26), the trading volume of the commodity options market increased slightly, with an average daily trading volume of 8.43 million lots and an average daily open interest of 7.03 million lots, showing a week-on-week change of +22.16% and +8.84% respectively. Investors are advised to focus on potential market opportunities in actively traded varieties [1][7]. - The underlying futures of commodity options showed mixed price movements this week. Most commodity options' implied volatility increased on a weekly basis. The market sentiment for different varieties also varied, with some showing a concentrated expectation of price decline and others showing an expectation of price increase [2][16][17]. 3. Summary by Relevant Catalogs 3.1 Commodity Options Market Activity - The average daily trading volume of actively - traded varieties this week included silver (1.52 million lots), PTA (0.69 million lots), and nickel (0.43 million lots). Five varieties had a trading - volume increase of over 100%, with significant growth in paraxylene (+461%), nickel (+196%), and rapeseed meal (+171%). Meanwhile, LPG (-79%), fuel oil (-79%), and soybeans No.1 (-71%) had obvious trading - volume declines. The varieties with high average daily open interest were glass (0.47 million lots), silver (0.45 million lots), and soda ash (0.45 million lots). Paraxylene (+282%) and PTA (+119%) had a relatively rapid week - on - week increase in open interest [1][7]. 3.2 This Week's Main Data Review of Commodity Options 3.2.1 Underlying Price Movements - The varieties with high weekly increases included silver (+14%), lithium carbonate (+5.34%), and PTA (+4.62%); the varieties with high weekly decreases included polysilicon (-2.14%) and Shanghai tin (-1.58%) [2][16]. 3.2.2 Market Volatility - Most commodity options' implied volatility increased on a weekly basis, with the current implied volatility of 42 varieties above the 50% percentile of the past year. The implied volatility of silver, nickel, lithium carbonate, paraxylene, and staple fiber increased by 22.06, 18.17, 11.59, 10.22, and 10.17 percentage points respectively. Varieties with implied volatility at a one - year high included silver, tin, nickel, aluminum, copper, and paraxylene; those with implied volatility at a one - year low included soybean oil [2][16]. 3.2.3 Options Market Sentiment - Currently, the trading - volume PCR of lithium carbonate and apples is at a historical high, indicating a short - term concentrated expectation of price decline in the market; the trading - volume PCR of live pigs, aluminum, rapeseed oil, corn, gold, and rubber is at a one - year low, indicating a concentrated expectation of price increase. The open - interest PCR of lithium carbonate, silver, paraxylene, and PTA is at a historical high, showing a high level of market sentiment for betting on price decline; the open - interest PCR of aluminum, ethylene glycol, zinc, and styrene is at a one - year low, indicating an accumulation of market sentiment for betting on price increase [2][17]. 3.3 Key Data Overview of Main Varieties - This chapter presents key data of main varieties, including trading volume, volatility, and options market sentiment indicators. More detailed data for more varieties can be found on the official website of Dongzheng Fanwei (https://www.finoview.com.cn/) [22]. 3.3.1 Energy - Relevant charts show the total trading volume, volatility, open - interest PCR, and trading - volume PCR of crude oil, but no specific data analysis in the text [23][24][27]. 3.3.2 Chemicals - **PTA**: Charts display the total trading volume, volatility, open - interest PCR, and trading - volume PCR, but no specific data analysis in the text [30][31][37]. - **Caustic Soda**: Similar to PTA, relevant data are presented in charts without specific text analysis [39][40][41]. - **Glass**: Charts show related data, and there is no specific text analysis [45][46][47]. - **Soda Ash**: Charts present relevant information, and no detailed text analysis [53][54][56]. 3.3.3 Precious Metals - Charts show the total trading volume, volatility, open - interest PCR, and trading - volume PCR of silver, with no specific text analysis [62][63][64]. 3.3.4 Ferrous Metals - **Iron Ore**: The total trading volume, volatility, open - interest PCR, and trading - volume PCR are presented in charts, and no detailed text analysis [70][71][72]. - **Silicomanganese**: Similar to iron ore, relevant data are shown in charts without specific text analysis [77][78][79]. 3.3.5 Non - ferrous Metals - **Copper**: Charts display the total trading volume, volatility, open - interest PCR, and trading - volume PCR, with no specific text analysis [85][86][90]. - **Aluminum**: Similar to copper, relevant data are presented in charts without detailed text analysis [92][93][95]. 3.3.6 Agricultural Products - **Soybean Meal**: The total trading volume, volatility, open - interest PCR, and trading - volume PCR are shown in charts, and no detailed text analysis [98][100][103]. - **Palm Oil**: Relevant data are presented in charts without specific text analysis [106][107][108]. - **Cotton**: Similar to the above, relevant data are shown in charts without detailed text analysis [114][115][117].
商品期权周报:2025年第51周-20251221
Dong Zheng Qi Huo· 2025-12-21 09:45
1. Report Industry Investment Rating - No relevant content provided. 2. Core Viewpoints of the Report - The trading volume of the commodity options market decreased slightly this week, with an average daily trading volume of 6.91 million lots and an average daily open interest of 6.46 million lots, showing a week - on - week change of -16.35% and -35.33% respectively. Investors are advised to focus on potential market opportunities of actively traded varieties [1][7]. - The underlying futures of commodity options showed mixed price movements this week. The varieties with higher weekly increases included lithium carbonate (+14%), polysilicon (+5.34%), and p - xylene (+4.62%); those with higher weekly decreases included rapeseed oil (-6.45%), soybean oil (-3.53%), and apple (-3.36%) [2][17]. - Most commodity options' implied volatility increased this week. 32 varieties' current implied volatility was above the 50% quantile of the past year. For varieties with high implied volatility, investors should beware of unilateral risks and consider short - selling volatility opportunities; for those with low implied volatility, buying options has a higher cost - performance [2][17]. - Different varieties showed different sentiment in the options market. For example, the trading volume PCR of palm oil and PVC was at a historical high, indicating a short - term concentrated bet on price declines; while that of cotton, gold, and others was at a one - year low, indicating a concentrated bet on price increases [2][18]. 3. Summary According to Relevant Catalogs 3.1. Commodity Options Market Activity - This week (2025.12.15 - 2025.12.19), the trading volume of the commodity options market decreased slightly. The average daily trading volume was 6.91 million lots, and the average daily open interest was 6.46 million lots, with week - on - week changes of -16.35% and -35.33% respectively [1][7]. - The actively traded varieties in terms of average daily trading volume this week included silver (1.08 million lots), PVC (0.34 million lots), and glass (0.33 million lots) [1][7]. - There were 4 varieties with a trading volume increase of over 100% this week, with significant growth in p - xylene (+256%), asphalt (+143%), and nickel (+125%). The varieties with obvious trading volume decreases were rapeseed oil (-84%), rapeseed meal (-79%), and corn starch (-64%) [1][7]. - The varieties with high average daily open interest this week were silver (0.5 million lots), glass (0.36 million lots), and soda ash (0.36 million lots). The varieties with a rapid week - on - week increase in average daily open interest were p - xylene (+91%) and tin (+49%) [1][7]. 3.2. This Week's Main Data Review of Commodity Options 3.2.1. Underlying Price Movements - The underlying futures of commodity options showed mixed price movements this week. The varieties with higher weekly increases included lithium carbonate (+14%), polysilicon (+5.34%), and p - xylene (+4.62%); those with higher weekly decreases included rapeseed oil (-6.45%), soybean oil (-3.53%), and apple (-3.36%) [2][17]. 3.2.2. Market Volatility - Most commodity options' implied volatility increased this week. 32 varieties' current implied volatility was above the 50% quantile of the past year. The implied volatility of lithium carbonate, nickel, and polysilicon increased by 4.81, 4.71, and 4.25 percentage points respectively [2][17]. - Varieties with implied volatility at a one - year high included silver, polypropylene, plastic, tin, aluminum, copper, and ethylene glycol. Investors should beware of unilateral risks and consider short - selling volatility opportunities. Varieties with implied volatility at a one - year low included rapeseed meal, soybean oil, and urea, where buying options has a higher cost - performance [2][17]. 3.2.3. Options Market Sentiment - The trading volume PCR of palm oil and PVC was at a historical high, indicating a short - term concentrated bet on price declines; the trading volume PCR of cotton, gold, pure benzene, PTA, zinc, aluminum, etc. was at a one - year low, indicating a concentrated bet on price increases [2][18]. - The open interest PCR of lithium carbonate, silver, iron ore, tin, PTA, etc. was at a historical high, indicating a high - level accumulation of sentiment for betting on price declines; the open interest PCR of rapeseed oil, gold, aluminum, palm oil, etc. was at a one - year low, indicating an accumulation of sentiment for betting on price increases [2][18]. 3.3. Key Data Overview of Main Varieties - This chapter mainly presents key data of main varieties, including trading volume, volatility, and options market sentiment indicators. More detailed data of other varieties can be found on the Dongzheng Finoview official website (https://www.finoview.com.cn/) [23]. 3.3.1. Energy - The report provides charts on the total trading volume, volatility, open interest PCR, and trading volume PCR of crude oil, but no specific data analysis is provided [26][27]. 3.3.2. Chemicals - **PTA**: Charts on total trading volume, volatility, open interest PCR, and trading volume PCR are provided, but no specific data analysis [32][38]. - **Caustic Soda**: Charts on total trading volume, volatility, open interest PCR, and trading volume PCR are provided, but no specific data analysis [41][42]. - **Glass**: Charts on total trading volume, volatility, open interest PCR, and trading volume PCR are provided, but no specific data analysis [47][48]. - **Soda Ash**: Charts on total trading volume, volatility, open interest PCR, and trading volume PCR are provided, but no specific data analysis [55][56]. 3.3.3. Precious Metals - For silver, charts on total trading volume, volatility, open interest PCR, and trading volume PCR are provided, but no specific data analysis [63][64]. 3.3.4. Ferrous Metals - **Iron Ore**: Charts on total trading volume, volatility, open interest PCR, and trading volume PCR are provided, but no specific data analysis [73][74]. - **Manganese Silicide**: Charts on total trading volume, volatility, open interest PCR, and trading volume PCR are provided, but no specific data analysis [79][80]. 3.3.5. Non - ferrous Metals - **Copper**: Charts on total trading volume, volatility, open interest PCR, and trading volume PCR are provided, but no specific data analysis [86][88]. - **Aluminum**: Charts on total trading volume, volatility, open interest PCR, and trading volume PCR are provided, but no specific data analysis [95][97]. 3.3.6. Agricultural Products - **Soybean Meal**: Charts on total trading volume, volatility, open interest PCR, and trading volume PCR are provided, but no specific data analysis [103][104]. - **Palm Oil**: Charts on total trading volume, volatility, open interest PCR, and trading volume PCR are provided, but no specific data analysis [109][110]. - **Cotton**: Charts on total trading volume, volatility, open interest PCR, and trading volume PCR are provided, but no specific data analysis [117][118].
商品期权周报:2025年第50周-20251214
Dong Zheng Qi Huo· 2025-12-14 10:45
Report Industry Investment Rating No relevant content provided. Core Viewpoints - The trading volume of the commodity options market increased slightly this week, with an average daily trading volume of 8.25 million lots and an average daily open interest of 9.98 million lots, showing a week-on-week change of +3.95% and -11.29% respectively. Attention should be paid to potential market opportunities in actively traded varieties [1][9]. - This week, most commodity options' implied volatility increased on a weekly basis. For varieties with high implied volatility, single - sided risks should be guarded against, and opportunities to short volatility can be considered; for those with low implied volatility, buying options is more cost - effective [2][18]. - Different varieties show different market sentiment in terms of trading volume PCR and open interest PCR, indicating concentrated expectations of either rising or falling [3][19]. Summary by Directory 1. Commodity Options Market Activity - The average daily trading volume of the commodity options market this week was 8.25 million lots, and the average daily open interest was 9.98 million lots, with week - on - week changes of +3.95% and -11.29% respectively [1][9]. - The most actively traded varieties this week included glass (830,000 lots), silver (790,000 lots), and methanol (470,000 lots). The varieties with significant trading volume growth were soybeans No. 2 (+256%), LPG (+191%), and ethylene glycol (+123%); those with significant decline were polysilicon (-72%) and lithium carbonate (-70%) [1][9]. - The varieties with high average daily open interest this week were glass (920,000 lots), soybean meal (850,000 lots), and soda ash (770,000 lots). The varieties with rapid week - on - week growth in open interest were lead (+56%) and p - xylene (+53%) [1][9]. 2. This Week's Commodity Options Main Data Review 2.1. Underlying Price Changes - This week, most underlying futures of commodity options declined. The varieties with high weekly gains were silver (+8.80%), polysilicon (+7.60%), and lithium carbonate (+6.03%); those with high losses were glass (-5.94%), industrial silicon (-5.20%), and LPG (-4.85%) [2][18]. 2.2. Market Volatility - Most commodity options' implied volatility increased this week. 27 varieties' current implied volatility was above the 50th percentile of the past year. The implied volatility of PVC, LPG, and silver increased by 8.46, 6.24, and 4.01 percentage points respectively. Varieties with high implied volatility included silver, PVC, polypropylene, etc.; those with low implied volatility included urea, rapeseed meal, etc. [2][18]. 2.3. Options Market Sentiment - The trading volume PCR of cotton, plastic, LPG, etc. was at a historical high, indicating a short - term concentrated expectation of price decline; the trading volume PCR of aluminum, zinc, gold, etc. was at a one - year low, showing a concentrated expectation of price increase. The open interest PCR of iron ore, soybean meal, etc. was at a historical high, indicating a high - level accumulation of bearish sentiment; the open interest PCR of rapeseed oil, plastic, etc. was at a one - year low, suggesting an accumulation of bullish sentiment [3][19]. 3. Key Data Overview of Main Varieties This chapter presents key data of main varieties, including trading volume, volatility, and options market sentiment indicators. More detailed data can be found on the Dongzheng Fanwei official website (https://www.finoview.com.cn/) [23]. 3.1. Energy No specific data and analysis content provided other than chart references. 3.2. Chemical Industry - **PTA**: No specific data and analysis content provided other than chart references. - **Caustic Soda**: No specific data and analysis content provided other than chart references. - **Glass**: No specific data and analysis content provided other than chart references. - **Soda Ash**: No specific data and analysis content provided other than chart references. 3.3. Precious Metals No specific data and analysis content provided other than chart references. 3.4. Ferrous Metals - **Iron Ore**: No specific data and analysis content provided other than chart references. - **Silicomanganese**: No specific data and analysis content provided other than chart references. 3.5. Non - ferrous Metals - **Copper**: No specific data and analysis content provided other than chart references. - **Aluminum**: No specific data and analysis content provided other than chart references. 3.6. Agricultural Products - **Soybean Meal**: No specific data and analysis content provided other than chart references. - **Palm Oil**: No specific data and analysis content provided other than chart references. - **Cotton**: No specific data and analysis content provided other than chart references.
商品期权周报:2025年第48周-20251130
Dong Zheng Qi Huo· 2025-11-30 14:45
周度报告——商品期权 商品期权周报:2025 年第 48 周 报告日期: 2025 年 11 月 30 日 ★ 商品期权市场活跃度 本周(2025.11.24-2025.11.28)商品期权市场成交小幅下滑, 日均成交量为 771 万手,日均持仓量为 1047 万手,环比变化 分别为-9.63%和+2.79%。分品种来看,本周日均成交活跃的 品种主要包括玻璃(73 万手)、碳酸锂(70 万手)、白银(64 万手)。此外,本周共有 3 个品种成交增长超过 100%,成交 量增长较为显著的品种为花生(+222%)、玉米淀粉(+154%)、 玉米(+116%)。与此同时,成交量下降较为明显的品种则 有白银(-67%)、豆二(-62%)和铝合金(-59%)。从持仓 量数据来看,本周日均持仓量较高的品种为玻璃(113 万手)、 纯碱(91 万手)和豆粕(83 万手)。日均持仓量环比增长较 为迅速的品种为瓶片(+48%)、工业硅(+38%)、玉米淀 粉(+35%)。建议投资者可重点关注交易活跃品种可能存在 的市场机会。 ★ 商品期权主要数据点评 标的涨跌情况:本周商品期权标的期货以上涨为主,共有 47 个品种周度收跌。周 ...
商品期权周报:2025年第47周-20251123
Dong Zheng Qi Huo· 2025-11-23 12:44
周度报告——商品期权 商品期权周报:2025 年第 47 周 报告日期: 2025 年 11 月 23 日 ★ 商品期权市场活跃度 本周(2025.11.17-2025.11.21)商品期权市场成交小幅反弹, 日均成交量为 854 万手,日均持仓量为 1019 万手,环比变化 分别为+10.09%和-0.74%。分品种来看,本周日均成交活跃的 品种主要包括白银(109 万手)、碳酸锂(81 万手)、玻璃 (59 万手)。此外,本周共有 4 个品种成交增长超过 100%, 成交量增长较为显著的品种为合成橡胶(+138%)、对二甲 苯(+121%)、碳酸锂(+120%)、工业硅(109%)。与此 同时,成交量下降较为明显的品种则有原油(-57%)、烧碱 (-52%)和 PTA(-42%)。从持仓量数据来看,本周日均持 仓量较高的品种为玻璃(96 万手)、豆粕(82 万手)和纯碱 (81 万手)。日均持仓量环比增长较为迅速的品种为合工业 硅(+49%)、对二甲苯(+42%)、碳酸锂(+40%)。建议 投资者可重点关注交易活跃品种可能存在的市场机会。 ★ 商品期权主要数据点评 标的涨跌情况:本周商品期权标的期货以下跌 ...
商品期权周报:2025年第46周-20251116
Dong Zheng Qi Huo· 2025-11-16 09:15
1. Report Industry Investment Rating There is no information about the report industry investment rating in the provided content. 2. Core Viewpoints of the Report - The trading volume of the commodity options market rebounded slightly this week. The average daily trading volume was 7.75 million lots, and the average daily open interest was 10.26 million lots, with a week - on - week change of +6.85% and +2.72% respectively. Investors are advised to focus on potential market opportunities in actively traded varieties [1][6]. - Most of the underlying futures of commodity options rose this week. The varieties with higher weekly increases include silver (+7.54%), lithium carbonate (+6.15%), and apple (+5.86%); the varieties with higher weekly decreases include glass (-5.41%), eggs (-4.60%), and red dates (-4.17%) [2][14]. - This week, the implied volatility of most commodity options in each sector increased on a weekly basis. For varieties with implied volatility at a high level in the past year, investors should be vigilant against unilateral risks and consider short - selling volatility opportunities; for varieties with implied volatility at a low level, the cost - performance of buying options is relatively high [2][14]. - Different varieties show different market sentiment in terms of trading volume PCR and open interest PCR, reflecting the market's expectations of rising or falling [2][14]. 3. Summary by Relevant Catalogs 3.1 Commodity Option Market Activity - This week, the average daily trading volume of actively traded varieties mainly includes silver (700,000 lots), glass (680,000 lots), and soda ash (520,000 lots). The varieties with significant trading volume growth are tin (+268%), LPG (+126%), and alumina (+122%); the varieties with obvious trading volume decline are polysilicon (-61%), industrial silicon (-61%), and lithium carbonate (-40%) [1][6]. - The varieties with high average daily open interest this week are glass (1 million lots), soybean meal (870,000 lots), and soda ash (810,000 lots). The varieties with rapid week - on - week growth in average daily open interest are p - xylene (+54%), styrene (+42%), and asphalt (+41%) [1][6]. 3.2 This Week's Main Data Review of Commodity Options - **Underlying price changes**: The underlying futures of commodity options mainly rose this week. The varieties with high weekly increases include silver (+7.54%), lithium carbonate (+6.15%), and apple (+5.86%); the varieties with high weekly decreases include glass (-5.41%), eggs (-4.60%), and red dates (-4.17%) [2][14]. - **Market volatility**: Most sectors' commodity options' implied volatility increased this week. 21 varieties' current implied volatility is above the 50% quantile of the past year. Varieties with implied volatility at a high level in the past year include silver, methanol, asphalt, apple, and gold; varieties with implied volatility at a low level include ferromanganese, alumina, rubber, and corn [2][14]. - **Option market sentiment**: The trading volume PCR of pulp, ferrosilicon, and cotton is at a historical high, indicating a short - term concentrated bet on a decline; the trading volume PCR of gold, aluminum, lead, and PTA is at a low level in the past year, indicating a concentrated bet on an increase. The open interest PCR of silver, p - xylene, lithium carbonate, and soybean meal is at a historical high, showing a high level of bearish sentiment; the open interest PCR of methanol, plastic, urea, and palm oil is at a low level in the past year, showing a bullish sentiment [2][14]. 3.3 Key Data Overview of Main Varieties This chapter mainly shows the key data of main varieties, including trading volume, volatility, and option market sentiment indicators. More detailed data of other varieties can be found on the Dongzheng Fanci website (https://www.finoview.com.cn/) [19]. - **Energy**: Data on option total turnover, volatility, open interest PCR, and trading volume PCR of crude oil, LPG, asphalt, fuel oil, etc. are presented [15][20]. - **Chemicals**: - **PTA**: Data on option total turnover, volatility, open interest PCR, and trading volume PCR are provided [15][27]. - **Caustic soda**: Similar data for caustic soda are shown [15][36]. - **Glass**: Data related to glass options are presented [15][42]. - **Soda ash**: Key data of soda ash options are provided [15][48]. - **Precious metals**: Data on option total turnover, volatility, open interest PCR, and trading volume PCR of silver are shown [15][54]. - **Ferrous metals**: - **Iron ore**: Data related to iron ore options are presented [15][61]. - **Ferromanganese**: Similar data for ferromanganese are provided [15][69]. - **Non - ferrous metals**: - **Copper**: Data on copper options are shown [15][75]. - **Aluminum**: Key data of aluminum options are provided [15][84]. - **Agricultural products**: - **Soybean meal**: Data related to soybean meal options are presented [15][90]. - **Palm oil**: Similar data for palm oil are provided [15][97]. - **Cotton**: Key data of cotton options are shown [15][105].
商品期权周报:2025年第45周-20251109
Dong Zheng Qi Huo· 2025-11-09 14:43
1. Report Industry Investment Rating No relevant content provided. 2. Core View of the Report - The trading volume of the commodity options market rebounded slightly this week, with an average daily trading volume of 7.22 million lots and an average daily open interest of 10.01 million lots, showing a week - on - week change of +13.63% and +17.96% respectively. Investors are advised to focus on potential market opportunities in actively traded varieties [1][7]. - The underlying futures of commodity options showed mixed performance in terms of price changes. There are opportunities in varieties with high trading activity, and attention should be paid to the risks and opportunities indicated by factors such as price fluctuations, implied volatility, and option market sentiment [1][2][15]. 3. Summary According to the Table of Contents 3.1 Commodity Options Market Activity - This week, the average daily actively - traded varieties included glass (650,000 lots), lithium carbonate (610,000 lots), and polysilicon (520,000 lots). Five varieties had a trading volume increase of over 100%, with asphalt (+161%), ethylene glycol (+158%), and urea (+156%) showing significant growth. The varieties with a significant decline in trading volume were p - xylene (-83%), log (-58%), and alumina (-47%) [1][7]. - The varieties with a relatively high average daily open interest were glass (1.05 million lots), soda ash (870,000 lots), and glass (840,000 lots). The varieties with a relatively rapid week - on - week increase in average daily open interest were synthetic rubber (+83%), styrene (+66%), and LPG (+51%) [1][7]. 3.2 This Week's Commodity Options Main Data Review - **Underlying Price Changes**: The underlying futures of commodity options showed mixed price changes. The varieties with high weekly increases included rapeseed meal (+6.32%), pulp (+3.49%), and urea (+2.58%); the varieties with high weekly decreases included asphalt (-6.04%), polysilicon (-5.66%), and red dates (-5.47%) [2][15]. - **Market Volatility**: Most commodity option implied volatilities in various sectors decreased this week. Seventeen varieties had their current implied volatility above the 50th percentile of the past year. Varieties with implied volatility at a high level in the past year included live pigs, methanol, and asphalt; those at a low level included sugar, tin, cotton, and manganese silicon [2][15]. - **Option Market Sentiment**: The trading volume PCR of varieties such as apples, eggs, lithium carbonate, LPG, and cotton was at a historical high, indicating strong short - term bearish sentiment. The trading volume PCR of aluminum, ethylene glycol, and corn was at a historical low, showing concentrated short - term bullish sentiment. The open interest PCR of ferrosilicon, soybean meal, silver, and lithium carbonate was at a historical high, while that of aluminum, corn, methanol, palm oil, and plastic was at a historical low [2][15]. 3.3 Main Varieties Key Data Overview - The chapter presents key data of main varieties, including trading volume, volatility, and option market sentiment indicators. More detailed data can be accessed on the Dongzheng Fanwei official website (https://www.finoview.com.cn/) [20]. - Specific sub - sections cover energy (crude oil, LPG, etc.), chemicals (PTA, caustic soda, glass, soda ash), precious metals (silver), ferrous metals (iron ore, manganese silicon), non - ferrous metals (copper, aluminum), and agricultural products (soybean meal, palm oil, cotton), with corresponding data on trading volume, volatility, open interest PCR, and trading volume PCR provided [21][28][59][66][82][97].
商品期权周报:2025年第43周-20251026
Dong Zheng Qi Huo· 2025-10-26 14:15
1. Report Industry Investment Rating No relevant content provided. 2. Core Viewpoints of the Report - This week (October 20 - October 24, 2025), the trading volume of the commodity options market declined slightly, with an average daily trading volume of 6.29 million lots and an average daily open interest of 8.95 million lots, showing a -8.93% and +3.79% change respectively compared to the previous period. It is recommended that investors focus on potential market opportunities in actively traded varieties [1][8]. - This week, most of the underlying futures of commodity options rose, with 45 varieties closing higher for the week. The energy sector had relatively high weekly gains, while precious metals such as silver and gold had relatively high weekly losses. Most sectors, except for agricultural products, saw an increase in the implied volatility of commodity options this week. It is advisable to be vigilant against unilateral risks and pay attention to opportunities for short - selling volatility or buying options with high cost - effectiveness based on different implied volatility levels [2][15]. 3. Summary by Directory 3.1 Commodity Option Market Activity - This week, the average daily trading volume of the commodity options market decreased by 8.93% compared to the previous period, and the average daily open interest increased by 3.79%. Actively traded varieties included silver, styrene, and glass. The trading volume of lead, double - gum paper, and aluminum alloy increased significantly, while that of polysilicon and industrial silicon decreased significantly. In terms of open interest, varieties with high average daily open interest were soybean meal, glass, and soda ash. The open interest of double - gum paper, lead, and short - fiber increased rapidly [1][8]. 3.2 Main Data Review of Commodity Options - **Underlying Price Movements**: 45 varieties of underlying futures of commodity options closed higher this week. The energy sector had high weekly gains, with fuel oil (+7.12%), crude oil (+6.87%), and asphalt (+5.23%) leading the way. Silver (-7.49%) and gold (-6.17%) had high weekly losses [2][15]. - **Market Volatility**: Except for agricultural products, most sectors saw an increase in the implied volatility of commodity options this week. 25 varieties had their current implied volatility above the 50th percentile of the past year. Varieties with implied volatility at a one - year high included crude oil, LPG, asphalt, and fuel oil; those at a one - year low included rapeseed oil, rapeseed meal, and sugar [2][15]. - **Option Market Sentiment**: Varieties such as rapeseed oil, soybean oil, sugar, and live pigs had a high volume PCR, indicating strong short - term bearish sentiment. Aluminum, alumina, nickel, tin, and copper had a low volume PCR, showing concentrated short - term bullish sentiment. Silver, ferrosilicon, manganese silicon, and rapeseed oil had a high open interest PCR, indicating a high level of accumulated bearish sentiment, while asphalt, corn, methanol, and alumina had a low open interest PCR, indicating accumulated bullish sentiment [2][15]. 3.3 Key Data Overview of Main Varieties - This chapter presents key data of main varieties, including trading volume, volatility, and option market sentiment indicators. More detailed data can be found on the Dongzheng Fanwei official website (https://www.finoview.com.cn/) [20]. - **Energy**: Key data such as trading volume, volatility, and option market sentiment indicators of energy varieties like crude oil are presented, with relevant charts provided [21][23][25]. - **Chemicals**: - **PTA**: Key data and relevant charts of PTA are presented [28][29][35]. - **Caustic Soda**: Key data and relevant charts of caustic soda are presented [37][38][40]. - **Glass**: Key data and relevant charts of glass are presented [44][45][46]. - **Soda Ash**: Key data and relevant charts of soda ash are presented [50][51][52]. - **Precious Metals**: Key data and relevant charts of precious metals such as silver are presented [56][57][58]. - **Ferrous Metals**: - **Iron Ore**: Key data and relevant charts of iron ore are presented [62][63][66]. - **Manganese Silicon**: Key data and relevant charts of manganese silicon are presented [70][71][72]. - **Non - Ferrous Metals**: - **Copper**: Key data and relevant charts of copper are presented [77][78][83]. - **Aluminum**: Key data and relevant charts of aluminum are presented [85][86][89]. - **Agricultural Products**: - **Soybean Meal**: Key data and relevant charts of soybean meal are presented [93][95][96]. - **Palm Oil**: Key data and relevant charts of palm oil are presented [100][101][102]. - **Cotton**: Key data and relevant charts of cotton are presented [114][109][110].