盈利巨人竟是市场矮子？21万散户抄底反陷泥潭，央企股的底在何方 股民朋友们有没有发现一个怪现象？2025年的央企股堪称"矛盾综合体"——一边是不少央企赚得盆满钵满，净利润动辄数十亿甚至上百亿，一边是股价 跌跌不休，估值跌到地板上还在磨底；一边是政策频频释放利好，喊出"加强市值管理""提高股东回报"，一边是21万散户扎堆抄底，却硬生生陷入"越补 仓越被套"的泥潭。 据中证指数公司11月28日最新数据，中证央企指数（000926）2025年以来累计下跌7.3%，同期有32家市值超500亿的央企股股价创近3年新低，其中17家 更是处于"破净"状态（市净率低于1）。 而中国证券登记结算公司披露的持仓数据显示，仅三季度就有21.4万散户涌入这类"低估值央企股"，但截至11月底，超七成散户浮亏幅度在15%以上，不 少人感叹"以为抄到了价值洼地，没想到是万丈深渊" 。一边是盈利硬实力，一边是市场冷待遇，央企股的"底"到底在何方？ 按理说，盈利是股价的"定海神针"，但2025年的央企股偏要打破这个规律。先看一组实打实的业绩数据：据华源证券2025年11月19日研报，九大建筑央 企前三季度营收和归母净利润分别占申万建筑板块的8 ...

Emcor Group (EME) could be a solid choice for investors given its recent upgrade to a Zacks Rank #2 (Buy). This upgrade is essentially a reflection of an upward trend in earnings estimates -- one of the most powerful forces impacting stock prices.The sole determinant of the Zacks rating is a company's changing earnings picture. The Zacks Consensus Estimate -- the consensus of EPS estimates from the sell-side analysts covering the stock -- for the current and following years is tracked by the system.Individu ...

Core Points - The Shenzhen State-Owned Enterprises Shareholder Return Index (470064) closed at 2212.99 points, up 0.51% with a trading volume of 16.404 billion yuan and a turnover rate of 0.67% [1] - Among the index constituents, 36 stocks rose while 12 fell, with China Steel International leading the gainers at 2.67% and China Merchants Shekou leading the decliners at 2.63% [1] Index Constituents Summary - The top ten constituents of the Shenzhen State-Owned Enterprises Shareholder Return Index include: - BOE Technology Group (9.31% weight, latest price 3.86, market cap 144.418 billion yuan) in the electronics sector - Hikvision (7.97% weight, latest price 30.02, market cap 275.129 billion yuan) in the computer sector - Wuliangye Yibin (7.71% weight, latest price 117.85, market cap 457.448 billion yuan) in the food and beverage sector - Luzhou Laojiao (6.59% weight, latest price 135.88, market cap 200.007 billion yuan) in the food and beverage sector - XCMG Machinery (5.75% weight, latest price 10.32, market cap 121.291 billion yuan) in the machinery sector - Changan Automobile (3.88% weight, latest price 11.94, market cap 118.374 billion yuan) in the automotive sector - Shenwan Hongyuan (3.84% weight, latest price 5.15, market cap 128.956 billion yuan) in the non-banking financial sector - Yunnan Aluminum (3.81% weight, latest price 24.70, market cap 85.659 billion yuan) in the non-ferrous metals sector - Yanghe Brewery (3.37% weight, latest price 66.20, market cap 99.727 billion yuan) in the food and beverage sector - Tongling Nonferrous Metals (3.18% weight, latest price 5.10, market cap 68.388 billion yuan) in the non-ferrous metals sector [1] Capital Flow Analysis - The net inflow of main funds into the index constituents totaled 56.5973 million yuan, while speculative funds saw a net outflow of 69.8164 million yuan, and retail investors had a net inflow of 13.2191 million yuan [3] - Notable capital flows include: - Changan Automobile experienced a main fund net outflow of 54.1716 million yuan - China Steel International had a main fund net inflow of 31.1027 million yuan - Hikvision saw a main fund net inflow of 27.5848 million yuan [3]

2连板万通发展：数渡科技存在持续亏损的风险，可能对公司持续经营产生不利影响。 今日聚焦 天普股份：股票明日开始起停牌核查。 摩尔线程：网上投资者放弃认购数量为29302股，全部由保荐人包销。 赛微电子：国家集成电路基金减持，持股比例降至5%以下。 东芯股份：上海砺算近日与某云计算服务商签署《战略合作框架协议》。 金富科技：筹划收购蓝原科技股权事项涉及新业务领域，存在一定的行业整合风险。 增减持 迈瑞医疗：董事长拟2亿元增持公司股份。 孚能科技：股东上杭兴源拟减持不超1.6816%公司股份。 中曼石油：股东拟合计减持不超3%股份。 回购 迈得医疗：董事长、实控人林军华提议以2000万元—4000万元回购股份。 合同中标 嘉友国际：与中非发展基金有限公司签订战略合作备忘录。 中国建筑：近期获得3个重大项目，合计金额106.7亿元。 广东建科：与林芝经济开发区管理委员会签署了框架协议。 中铝国际：联合中标青铜峡电解槽"以大代小"升级改造项目，合同总价为29.09亿元。 *ST松发：下属公司一批船舶建造合同签约生效，合同金额合计约11亿—16亿美元。 股权变动 重大投资 利安隆：拟投资5000万元取得斯多福25%股权 ...

有利集团(00406)发布截至2025年9月30日止6个月的中期业绩，该公司取得收入约56.84亿港元，同比增 加28.21%;公司权益持有人应占溢利3919.8万港元，同比增加59.22%;每股盈利约为8.95港仙。 公告称，本集团创纪录的合约价值推动所有主要分部在此期内的收入显著增长。本集团于上半年的收入 增加28%至56.84亿港元，由核心业务增长同比带动。建筑分部取得42.03亿港元的可观收入，同比增长 23%。机电安装分部取得令人鼓舞的收益，增长40%至13.19亿港元。此外，建筑材料供应分部的收入大 增49%至6.47亿港元。凭借强劲的订单量，我们预期于这两年保持高收入水平。 ...

Group 1: Investment Strategy for Industrial Bonds - The report emphasizes that the coupon strategy is superior to the duration strategy, with a focus on identifying yield enhancement opportunities [3][13] - It suggests that within the 2Y-1Y range, riding the yield curve can effectively balance risk and return, as the yield spread for industrial bonds is generally greater than that of local government bonds [19][15] - The report highlights that the yield spread for perpetual bonds is limited, but certain bonds with thicker spreads within 3Y can provide value for allocation [8][19] Group 2: Industry Analysis - In the construction sector, the report notes that the industry is facing increasing competition, with a lack of fundamental support for valuation, leading to continued volatility [8][19] - The steel industry is experiencing weak demand and cost pressures, with a focus on winter storage as a potential short-term strategy [8][19] - In the coal sector, supply constraints and expectations of a cold winter are expected to support coal prices, with a focus on high-valuation companies like Jinneng Group [8][19] - The real estate market anticipates increased policy support in Q4, with state-owned enterprises showing significant absolute returns [8][19] - In the non-ferrous metals sector, the report indicates that the copper price is expected to rise due to ongoing supply adjustments, while aluminum prices are projected to remain stable [8][19] - The cement industry is facing supply-demand imbalances, with limited opportunities for investment due to low yield spreads [8][19] - Overall, the report concludes that the value of digging deeper into industrial bonds is limited, and maintaining a conventional allocation strategy is advisable [8][19]

每经AI快讯，11月20日，港股收盘，恒生指数涨0.02%，恒生科技指数跌0.58%。港股科技ETF （159751）跌1.28%，恒生港股通ETF（159318）持平。板块方面，建筑与工程板块涨幅靠前；酒店和 度假村REIT、居家用品板块跌幅靠前。个股方面，创科实业涨5.36%，贝壳-W涨5.28%；黑芝麻智能跌 10.39%，中环新能源跌16.06%；大众公用涨7.65%，中国信达涨6.45%。 ...

Group 1: Company Insights - Aerospace Technology reported Q3 revenue of 603 million, a year-on-year increase of 46.60%, and net profit growth of 26.45%, driven by increased orders for aircraft engines and gas turbines [1] - The company has a backlog of orders amounting to 5.968 billion, primarily from international clients, and has signed long-term agreements to expand its global market presence [1] - Aerospace Technology has received the GE Aviation 2025 Innovation Award for its NISP technology and is experiencing strong demand in the gas turbine market, with rising equipment prices [1] Group 2: Industry Developments - AVIC Heavy Machinery is actively expanding into high-growth sectors such as commercial aerospace, civil aviation, and gas turbines, leveraging its expertise in forging, casting, and hydraulic systems [2] - The company has established stable supply relationships with key players in the commercial aerospace sector and is integrating into the domestic large aircraft supply chain [2] - AVIC Heavy Machinery's gas turbine business is projected to exceed 100 million in revenue by Q3 2025, with clients including GE and Siemens Energy [2] Group 3: Infrastructure and Robotics - Hongrun Construction is focusing on urban infrastructure in the Yangtze River Delta, with an increase in new business volume in Q3 [3] - The company has formed a joint venture to develop humanoid robots and aims to achieve commercialization by 2026, with a target team size of 60-100 [3] - The company is also investing in technology for quadruped robots and plans to expand production capabilities in response to demand [3] Group 4: Smart Driving Technology - Desay SV Automotive is responding to stricter smart driving regulations by enhancing performance and safety features in its products [4] - The company has secured new project orders from major international automotive manufacturers and is expanding its production facilities in Germany and Spain [4] - Desay SV has launched a robot smart base ICube, designed for durability and reliability in robotic applications [4]

Investment Rating - The report maintains a "Positive" investment rating for the construction and engineering industry [9]. Core Insights - In October, narrow infrastructure investment decreased by 8.7%, with a month-on-month decline of 4.1 percentage points, while broad infrastructure investment fell by 8.1%, also with a month-on-month decline of 4.1 percentage points [2][6]. - The marginal weakening of infrastructure investment is evident, with the single-month growth rate for narrow infrastructure investment reaching its lowest since July 2021 [11]. - The report highlights that despite the current downturn, there remains fiscal space for potential growth in infrastructure investment by the end of the year [11]. Summary by Sections Economic Data - In October, narrow infrastructure investment saw a month-on-month decline of 8.7%, while broad infrastructure investment decreased by 8.1% [2][6]. - Year-to-date, narrow infrastructure investment has declined by 0.1%, while broad infrastructure investment has grown by 3.0%, with a month-on-month decrease of 1.6 percentage points [11]. Project Analysis - All project categories experienced year-on-year declines in investment for the month, with notable decreases in power (down 6.3%), transportation (down 10.1%), and water management (down 19.0%) [11]. - The report indicates that the construction industry’s PMI for October was 49.1%, reflecting a contraction for three consecutive months [11]. Fiscal Outlook - As of November 14, 2023, special bonds issued totaled 41,492 billion yuan, with a year-on-year increase of 2,476 billion yuan, indicating room for further issuance [11]. - The report emphasizes the government's focus on high-quality development and the need to optimize investment structures to stimulate private investment [11].

丨证券研究报告丨 行业研究丨行业周报丨建筑与工程 [Table_Title] 重视年底高股息标的的配置价值 报告要点 [Table_Summary] 建筑板块具备估值低、机构持仓少、市值容量大、优质标的展望稳健等核心特性。市场高低切， 建筑行业优选 4 大方向：1）三季报业绩好，具备更强短期业绩确定性。2）股息率高，具备更 强的持股安全垫。3）长期成长性强。4）绝对估值低的大市值权重标的。 分析师及联系人 [Table_Author] SAC：S0490520080022 SAC：S0490522060005 SAC：S0490525070008 SAC：S0490525080003 SFC：BUT917 张弛 张智杰 袁志芃 龚子逸 请阅读最后评级说明和重要声明 %% %% %% %% research.95579.com 1 建筑与工程 cjzqdt11111 [Table_Title2] 重视年底高股息标的的配置价值 [Table_Summary2] 2026 年保险业"开门红"启幕，增量资金有望加速入市 从行业惯例来看，每年 10 月到次年 2 月，险企会集中推出高吸引力产品。11 月 9 日，北京商 ...