Global defense stocks advanced on Wednesday after US President Donald Trump, in a marked rhetorical shift, expressed support for Ukraine's ability to retake Russian-occupied territory. The comments, published overnight on Trump's Truth Social platform, fueled gains in European and Asian defense equities. ...

A Swedish Air Force Saab JAS 39 Gripen jet fighter takes off during the NATO's Ramsteign Flag 2025 exercice at Leeuwarden Air Base on April 8, 2025.Global defense stocks moved higher on Wednesday after U.S. President Donald Trump, in a major rhetorical shift, said Ukraine could retake territory currently occupied by Russia.In a post published overnight on his Truth Social platform, Trump said that Kyiv, with the support of the European Union and the NATO military coalition, "is in a position to fight and WI ...

Market Overview - A-shares experienced a rebound with major indices such as the Shenzhen Component Index, ChiNext Index, and CSI 300 reaching multi-year highs, while the Shanghai Composite Index and other indices showed slight gains [2] - The market turnover decreased to 2.83 trillion yuan, indicating a slight contraction in trading activity [2] Sector Performance - The defense and military, new energy vehicles, rare metals, and consumer electronics sectors saw significant gains, while logistics, semiconductors, cloud services, and education sectors faced declines [2] - The electric equipment industry attracted over 14.7 billion yuan in net inflow from major funds, with non-ferrous metals and pharmaceutical sectors also receiving over 8 billion yuan each [2] Investment Trends - The defense and military sector showed a strong performance, particularly in ground equipment, with notable stocks like Beifang Changlong and Changcheng Military Industry hitting the daily limit [3] - The new energy vehicle sector continued its upward trend, with the index reaching a new phase high and several stocks, including Rongyi Precision and Xian Dao Intelligent, hitting their daily limits [6] Sales Forecasts - The automotive industry is entering a peak sales season, with the China Passenger Car Association raising its forecast for 2025 retail sales of passenger cars to 24.35 million units, a 6% year-on-year increase [8] - In the new energy vehicle segment, wholesale sales are expected to reach 15.48 million units in 2025, reflecting a 27% year-on-year growth, with a market penetration rate projected to reach 56% [8]

1. Report Industry Investment Rating - The investment rating for the stock index is "Oscillation" [1] 2. Core Viewpoints of the Report - Recently, the stock index has been rising hesitantly. Although the technical pressure has been increasing, the actual retracement is far less than expected, indicating that the short - term market sentiment remains strong. This week, this strong state is expected to continue, but to break through the current oscillatory pattern, new macro - level support is needed [3] - The rotation of sectors is still significant. Last week, the national defense and military industry concepts soared, while the anti - involution direction faded. In the pre - emptive market without performance realization, investors need to pay attention to the previous high pressure [3] - In August, the positive factors are expected to be limited, including the policy vacuum period after the Politburo meeting and the risk of downward revision of expectations due to the intensive release of corporate semi - annual reports. The general upward trend of the stock index is the market's main theme, but in the short term, the safety cushion for unilateral long positions has shrunk, and there is an expected phased retracement in August. It is recommended to take short - term long positions intraday, and subsequent sharp drops are opportunities to re - enter the market for long positions [3] 3. Summary of Related Catalogs 3.1 Macro Stock Market Information - Sino - US issued the "Joint Statement of the Sino - US Stockholm Economic and Trade Talks". The US promised to continue adjusting the measures of imposing tariffs on Chinese goods, and both sides continued to suspend the implementation of 24% reciprocal tariffs for 90 days starting from August 12 [4] - Three departments jointly issued the "Implementation Plan for the Fiscal Interest Subsidy Policy for Personal Consumption Loans", clarifying that from September 1, 2025, to August 31, 2026, eligible personal consumption loans can enjoy fiscal interest subsidies [4] 3.2 Stock Index盘面 Review - **Market Tracking**: In the previous trading day, the A - share market oscillated upwards. Among the four major indices, the Shanghai Composite 50 Index rose 0.61%, the CSI 300 Index rose 0.52%, the CSI 500 Index rose 0.41%, and the CSI 1000 Index rose 0.28%. In terms of sectors, motorcycles (+3.32%) and computer hardware (+2.18%) led the gains, while aerospace and military industry (-1.26%) and chemical fiber industry (-1.18%) lagged. More than 2,000 stocks rose, and 60 stocks hit the daily limit, with a relatively poor profit - making effect [4] - **Technical Tracking**: The daily and weekly lines maintain an upward trend, while the monthly line remains in an oscillatory market. Among different varieties, the CSI 500 and CSI 1000 have performed strongly in recent days, while the Shanghai Composite 50 and CSI 300 show signs of marginal weakening [4] - **Fund Flow**: The trading volume of the A - share market slightly increased to 1.9 trillion yuan, indicating a moderately positive trading sentiment [4] 3.3 Core Logic Summary - **Futures Operation**: The short - term sentiment is strong, but the safety cushion for long positions has shrunk. It is recommended to take short - term long positions intraday or wait and see. For the IH - IM spread, a left - hand layout can be made in advance [3] - **Options Operation**: The implied volatility of stock index options has flattened, with the at - the - money IV of the CSI 300 in the current month fluctuating between 12 - 13%. During the narrow - range oscillation period, the cost - effectiveness of participating in options is not high. It is recommended to wait and see for the second wave of enhanced volatility [3]

Group 1 - The defense and military industry concept opened high but closed low, indicating volatility in the sector [1] - Hengyu Xintong experienced a decline of over 10%, reflecting significant downward pressure on the stock [1] - Other companies such as Aileida, JianShe Industrial, Beifang Changlong, and Guanshang Technology also saw declines of over 5%, suggesting a broader trend of negative performance in the industry [1]

Core Viewpoint - The A-share market experienced a positive closing with the Shanghai Composite Index rising by 0.80%, driven by significant gains in the defense, agriculture, and aviation sectors [1] Market Performance - The three major indices opened high but fluctuated before closing, with the Shanghai Composite Index up by 0.80%, the Shenzhen Component Index up by 0.22%, and the ChiNext Index up by 0.51% [1] - The total market turnover exceeded 1.5 trillion yuan, with approximately 3,300 stocks rising [1] Sector Highlights - The defense and military industry saw substantial gains, with around 20 stocks, including Aerospace Long-March and Dazhong Technology, hitting the daily limit [1] - The agriculture sector, particularly seed and grain concepts, surged in the afternoon, with Qiule Seed Industry rising by approximately 18% [1] - The aviation sector also performed well, with stocks like Lijun Co. reaching the daily limit [1] - Other sectors that showed significant increases included shipbuilding, agriculture, insurance, real estate, large aircraft concepts, and fertilizer concepts [1] - Conversely, sectors such as semiconductors and media experienced declines [1]