土耳其政府正在计划在2026年对关键商品和服务(包括车用燃料)实施小幅加税，这是政府为帮助央行遏 制通胀所采取的最新举措。据媒体报道称，不愿具名的知情人士透露，土耳其政府官员预计将把燃料相 关税费和受管制价格的上调幅度控制在与货币当局明年通胀目标一致的水平，旨在帮助央行实现明年底 16%的通胀目标。 土耳其财政与金融部未立即回应置评请求。 知情人士表示，通常在每年第一周内正式公布的半年度税收措施将显示，汽油和柴油的税费涨幅将低于 法律法规所指示的幅度，意味着增速将更为温和。此举凸显埃尔多安领导的土耳其政府承诺帮助土耳其 央行央行实现其到2026年末将通胀从上月的逾31%大幅降至16%的下一年年度锚定目标。 2025年年初的上调幅度也略低于该测算公式所暗示的水平，因为土耳其当局试图抑制价格压力。 新一年的措施还将针对所谓的"受管制价格"，即所有由政府和监管机构直接设定或影响的商品与服务。 包括烟草、酒精饮料以及能源均属于这一类别。 土耳其财政与金融部长Mehmet Simsek上月表示，部分税费的上调将以目标通胀为依据，而不是以 25.5%的重估率为数据依据——后者是一项与生产者价格通胀趋于一致的指标。 根据土 ...

国别研究 [table_Header]2025.12.20 土耳其深度洞察：埃尔多安经济学的破局与 转型——土耳其国别研究专题系列报告 摘要： [Table_Summary] 本篇报告是土耳其国别研究专题系列报告，聚焦近年"埃尔多安经济学" 下的宏观经济与产业结构特征，结合土耳其的地理区位优势与地缘外交政 策变化，从土耳其与欧洲、中东及主要新兴市场的国别比较视角，刨析土 耳其亟待破局的结构转型方向，探寻中资企业在土耳其的产业投资机会。 投资要点： 请务必阅读正文之后的免责条款部分 1 of 53 产业研究中心 | [Table_Authors] | 陈熙淼(分析师) | | --- | --- | | | 021-38031655 | | | chenximiao@gtht.com | | 登记编号 | S0880520120004 | [Table_Report] 往期回顾 | 东南亚制造：泰国如何走出困境 2025.12.18 | | --- | | 印尼内外需稳健——东南亚国别观察 2025 第 7 期 | | 2025.11.30 | | 企业出海合规要点与案例指南——印尼篇 | | 2025.11. ...

Core Insights - The article presents the weekly ranking of outstanding works titled "作·嗅之星" for the period from August 15 to August 21, 2025, highlighting the top articles and their authors [1][10]. Ranking Summary - TOP 1: "The History of Middle-Aged Poverty in Japan" by Analyst Boden [4][6] - TOP 2: "Property Fees, Nationwide Plunge" by Yan Finance [4][7] - TOP 3: "The Mechanical Parking Spaces Everyone is Against are Finally Fading" by Cha Ping Jun [4][7] - TOP 4: "Backstab? Russia Announces Ban on Chinese Trucks" by Fast Knife Finance [4][7] - TOP 5: "The Collapse of 'Erdogan Economics', Where is Turkey Headed?" by New Trend Think Tank [4][7] - TOP 6: "The Biggest Challenge for Moutai is Young People Not Posting Moutai on Xiaohongshu" by Zhuo Zhuo You Wen [4][7] - TOP 7: "Why Russia is Reluctant to Develop the Far East?" by Jiang Ning Zhi Fu [4][7] - TOP 8: "Xiaomi's Moment of Weakness" by Autocar Weekly [4][7] - TOP 9: "How Sheraton Declined in China?" by Travel Industry [4][7] Support for Authors - The platform will regularly provide bonuses and special support rights to the awarded authors to encourage the continuous production of quality content [9].

Group 1 - Erdogan has successfully suppressed opposition and resolved the PKK issue, marking a significant political achievement for his nationalist and Islamist agenda [1][4][12] - Turkey is seen as an ideal diplomatic venue for international negotiations, enhancing its geopolitical influence in regions like the Caucasus and Syria [2][19] - The Turkish economy faces structural issues, including high deficits, unemployment, and low labor participation, despite temporary stabilization efforts post-2023 elections [4][22][43] Group 2 - Erdogan's political future is uncertain, with challenges in modifying the constitution to extend his presidency and declining public support [5][51][53] - The PKK's disarmament in May 2025 is a significant domestic political victory for Erdogan, potentially aiding his coalition's efforts to secure the necessary parliamentary votes for constitutional amendments [12][14][15] - Erdogan's foreign policy strategy, characterized by "strategic ambiguity," allows Turkey to navigate complex geopolitical landscapes and expand its influence [16][18][19] Group 3 - The economic policies under Erdogan, particularly the "Erdoganomics" approach, have led to soaring inflation rates, peaking at 85.5% in November 2022, and significant currency depreciation [25][28][33] - The recent shift back to orthodox economic policies, including a substantial interest rate hike from 8.5% to 50%, aims to stabilize the Turkish lira and attract foreign investment [33][34] - Turkey's reliance on short-term external financing to address its ongoing current account deficit poses significant vulnerabilities to economic stability [43][44][46] Group 4 - The geopolitical landscape presents both opportunities and risks for Turkey, with ongoing regional conflicts and the potential for increased Russian influence post-Ukraine war [47][49][50] - Erdogan's lack of a clear political successor raises concerns about the future stability of his administration and Turkey's geopolitical position [54][55][56] - The interplay between Turkey's economic challenges and geopolitical ambitions will determine its future trajectory, as Erdogan's leadership faces increasing scrutiny [56][57]