Krispy Kreme股价重挫65.5%，评级"减持"，量化评分1.11，主要受制于高杠杆资产负债表拖累美国业务 复苏，EBITDA增长可见性不足，国际资产重组执行周期存不确定性。 摩根大通发布第四季度美国消费板块研究报告，针对标普500指数消费板块中表现分化的两大子板块 ——今年迄今上涨5.06%的非必需消费品板块(XLY.US)与下跌0.55%的必需消费品板块(XLP.US)，精选 出六大结构性及战术性空头标的，涉及西南航空(LUV.US)、Rivian Automotive(RIVN.US)、百富门- B(BF.B.US)、Beyond Meat(BYND.US)、Krispy Kreme(DNUT.US)和Shake Shack(SHAK.US)六家上市公 司。 具体来看，西南航空股价今年累计下跌3.7%，获摩根大通"减持"评级，Seeking Alpha量化评级为"持 有"(2.91)。摩根大通认为，该公司正处于埃利奥特管理公司主导的转型初期，虽需求呈现积极态势，但 隐含第四季度业绩指引过于激进，且当前估值为分析师覆盖范围内最高——预计2026年市盈率达13倍。 Rivian Automotive ...

希腊《论坛报》8月26日报道，根据欧盟统计局数据，2024年，希腊酒精饮料价格指数为154，比欧 盟平均水平高出54%，位列欧盟第三、地中海地区最高。专家分析高价原因为希腊高昂的消费税和增值 税。希腊酒精饮料的消费税比欧盟平均水平高出35%。消费税加增值税后占商品零售价的55%。 （原标题：希腊是欧洲酒精饮料价格最高的国家之一） ...

Core Insights - The 2025 Brand Finance report highlights the global alcoholic beverage market's shift towards health-conscious consumption and premiumization, with non-alcoholic and low-alcohol (NoLo) drinks emerging as significant growth areas [2][10][30]. Industry Trends - The NoLo segment is rapidly expanding, particularly in the beer category, with non-alcoholic beer drinkers showing a higher interest in sports and fitness [2][30]. - Premiumization is a key trend, with consumers opting for higher-quality, premium-priced products, especially among younger and more diverse demographics [2][32]. Beer Market Overview - Corona Extra retains its position as the most valuable beer brand globally, valued at $13.4 billion, marking a 29% increase from the previous year [3][20]. - Heineken and Budweiser follow as the second and third most valuable beer brands, valued at $12.9 billion and $11.86 billion, respectively [3]. - Asian brands are gaining traction, with China's Snow Beer valued at $4.66 billion and Tsingtao at $3.634 billion, the latter having the highest brand strength index (BSI) at 95.6 [3][4]. Spirits Market Overview - Moutai continues to dominate the spirits category with a brand value of $58.377 billion, a 16.5% increase, maintaining its position for ten consecutive years [5][20]. - Wuliangye ranks second with a brand value of $27.778 billion, growing by 7.3% [5]. - Don Julio, a tequila brand, is noted for its strong brand strength, with a BSI of 94.2, despite a lower brand value of $1.6 billion [5][20]. Champagne and Wine Market Overview - Moët & Chandon leads the champagne and wine category with a brand value of $2.072 billion, reflecting a 49% increase [7][20]. - Barefoot and Penfolds follow, valued at $1.235 billion and $1.134 billion, respectively, with Penfolds achieving a BSI of 86.2 [7][8]. Brand Strategy Insights - Successful brands leverage cultural resonance and youth engagement, as seen with Guinness's introduction of its non-alcoholic variant, which has improved its perception among younger consumers [9]. - Sustainability is becoming a critical competitive factor, with brands like Mumm and Mahou leading in environmental and social governance (ESG) assessments [9]. Overall Market Outlook - The report indicates that the global alcoholic beverage market is evolving, with brands needing to balance traditional heritage with modern consumer demands to maintain leadership [10].

Core Insights - The report from Brand Finance reveals that Chinese alcoholic beverage brands continue to dominate the global market, with the industry valued at $123.38 billion, reflecting a 5.2% increase from 2024 [1] Beer Segment - Snow Beer is recognized as the most valuable beer brand in China, with a brand value of $4.66 billion, marking an 8.6% year-on-year growth and ranking sixth globally [1] - Tsingtao Beer saw a significant brand value increase of 42.3%, reaching $3.63 billion, and rose three positions to ninth in the global beer brand ranking [2] - Yanjing Beer experienced a 21.5% growth in brand value, reaching $640 million, and improved its ranking by seven places to 38th [2] Spirits Segment - Six Chinese liquor brands made it to the top ten in the global spirits brand value ranking, with Moutai, Wuliangye, Luzhou Laojiao, and Fenjiu maintaining the top four positions [3] Wine Segment - Zhangyu is the only Chinese wine brand listed, with a brand value increase of 16.1% to $820 million, solidifying its position among the top five global wine brands [4] Global Brand Leaders - Corona Extra retained its title as the most valuable beer brand globally, valued at $13.36 billion [5] - Jack Daniel's remains the most valuable whiskey brand with a value of $4.44 billion [5] - Crown Vodka's brand value grew by 33.3% to $2.93 billion, maintaining its leading position in the vodka category [5] Industry Trends - The Chinese alcoholic beverage industry is experiencing four key development trends: accelerated premiumization, deepened internationalization, innovation-driven competition, and cultural empowerment reshaping brand value [5]

Group 1 - The EU is demanding immediate tariff reductions for key industries in any trade agreement reached with the US before the July 9 deadline, but expects some level of inequality in the agreement [1] - The EU has accepted a 10% baseline tariff as a non-negotiable bottom line while pushing for a principle agreement, with specific details to be finalized later [1] - Brussels is seeking to restore baseline tariffs to pre-Trump levels or achieve zero tariffs for specific industries, including alcoholic beverages and medical technology products currently subject to a 10% tariff [1] Group 2 - The EU's key demands include the elimination of a 25% tariff on automobiles and parts, and an immediate reduction of the recently increased 50% tariffs on steel and aluminum products [2] - The EU considers the automobile tariff a "red line," highlighting a fundamental conflict with the US, which aims to revitalize its automotive industry while the EU seeks to open its market due to high energy costs and competition from China [2] - The EU insists that any initial agreement should lead to immediate tariff reductions rather than waiting for a final agreement to be signed, with several member states stating that an agreement lacking this clause would be unacceptable [2] Group 3 - The EU Commission has informed its 27 member states that the negotiation outcomes could range from successfully signing a framework agreement to the US expanding its tariff range [3] - If immediate tariff reductions are not achieved, Brussels may face a dilemma of either accepting significantly imbalanced terms or initiating countermeasures [3] - Another possibility is extending the negotiation deadline, with the US Treasury Secretary indicating that any decision to delay rests with President Trump, but all agreements must be completed by September 1 [3]

Core Viewpoint - The new tariffs have not immediately increased the costs affecting the U.S. consumer price index for April, indicating a stable pricing environment for various consumer goods [1] Price Changes - In April, clothing prices decreased by 0.2% month-over-month, while new car prices remained unchanged from March [1] - Overall, core goods prices rose by 0.1% in the same month [1] - Footwear prices saw a notable decline of 0.5% in April, raising concerns as many shoes are imported from Asia [1] - The prices of alcoholic beverages, which account for approximately 15% of U.S. agricultural imports, remained stable compared to March [1]

以下文章来源于棱镜 ，作者温世君 棱镜 . 腾讯新闻出品栏目，《棱镜》聚焦泛财经深度记录。 风暴来袭。 作者 | 温世君 编辑 | 孙春芳 来源 | 棱镜 （ID：lengjing_qqfinance） 4月4日，初春的纽约乍暖还寒，最低气温只有6摄氏度。 这是中国的清明节，也是美股市场又一个黑色星期五。资金持续出逃，恐慌抛售情绪集 中爆发。当日，美股三大指数同步暴跌。当日收盘，道琼斯工业指数（DJI）、标普500 指数（SPX）创下了2 0 2 0年6月以来，纳斯达克综合指数（IXIC）创下2020年3月以来 最大单日跌幅——2 0 2 0年，正是全球疫情恐慌下的那轮市场动荡。 但他们之中唯有一位，财富不降反升。 以1 550亿美元的个人财富，排在比尔·盖茨之后，是全球第六大富豪。即便经历了这轮美 股的大回调，他的财富从年初至今，依旧上涨了127亿美元（约9 2 8亿元人民币）。 正是在2020年后，美股市场迎来一轮"史诗级"的大牛市。先是疫情后的经济持续复苏， 后是AI为核心动能的科技股狂潮，在人人都赚钱的幻象之下，美股神话似乎永不终结。 高 潮 就 发 生 在 不 久 之 前 ： 去 年 12 月 ， ...