Investment Rating - The report maintains an investment rating of "Leading the Market - A" for the real estate industry, indicating an expected return that exceeds the CSI 300 index by 10% or more over the next six months [7]. Core Viewpoints - The real estate industry in China continues to face pressure, with the top 100 real estate companies experiencing a sales decline of 13.3% year-on-year in the first seven months of 2025, with a more pronounced drop of 18.2% in July alone [1]. - The report suggests focusing on companies that may reverse their current difficulties, such as Jindi Group and New Town Holdings, as well as leading firms maintaining land acquisition intensity like China Merchants Shekou and Poly Developments [1]. - The report highlights a significant decrease in land supply and a mixed performance in housing sales across different city tiers, with first-tier cities showing some resilience while second and third-tier cities continue to struggle [3][4][38]. Summary by Sections Sales Review (July 26 - August 1) - Total transactions in 32 monitored cities reached 16,000 units, a week-on-week increase of 17.2%, but a cumulative year-on-year decline of 6.3% for 2025 [2][13]. - First-tier cities sold 4,734 units, up 38% week-on-week, while second-tier cities sold 9,726 units, up 13.6% week-on-week, and third-tier cities saw a decline of 11.1% with 1,290 units sold [2][13]. Land Supply (July 21 - July 27) - The planned land supply in 100 cities was 407 million square meters, with a cumulative supply of 12,730 million square meters for 2025, reflecting a year-on-year decrease of 13% [3][38]. - The average land listing price across 100 cities was 3,852 CNY per square meter, with a recent decline of 15.3% [3][40]. Land Transactions (July 21 - July 27) - The total area of residential land sold in 100 cities was 392 million square meters, with a cumulative total of 10,918 million square meters for 2025, showing a year-on-year increase of 3.8% [4][64]. - The average transaction price for residential land was 8,891 CNY per square meter, with a significant increase of 46.2% month-on-month and 55.9% year-on-year [4][66].

Core Viewpoint - The company reported a significant decline in profitability for 2024, but showed a notable recovery in Q1 2025, indicating potential for future growth [1][2]. Financial Performance - In 2024, the company achieved revenue of 6.522 billion yuan, a year-on-year increase of 31.27%, but reported a net loss attributable to shareholders of 239 million yuan, a year-on-year decline of 1354.99% [1]. - For Q1 2025, the company generated revenue of 1.981 billion yuan, a year-on-year increase of 113.00% but a quarter-on-quarter decrease of 9.25%. The net profit attributable to shareholders was 24.46 million yuan, a year-on-year increase of 151.17% and a quarter-on-quarter increase of 125.79% [1][2]. - The overall gross margin for 2024 was 2.01%, down 3.82 percentage points year-on-year. However, in Q1 2025, the gross margin improved to 4.65%, with a net profit margin of 1.15%, reflecting a year-on-year increase of 4.56 and 6.33 percentage points respectively [2]. Business Strategy - The company is focusing on its core business while actively seeking diversification. It has increased its annual production capacity of advanced copper foil to over 110,000 tons, maintaining a leading position in the industry [3]. - The company is also pushing for a transformation towards production in its subsidiary, with revenue from high-performance copper wire exceeding 878 million yuan in 2024. It is exploring new technologies such as high-purity copper [3]. - The company is expanding its footprint in renewable energy, with 15.27 million kWh generated in the Meizhou area and winning a bid for a 69 MW solar project, while also venturing into wind power and energy storage [3]. Profit Forecast and Valuation - Based on the 2024 financial report, the processing fee for lithium battery copper foil is projected at 15,900 yuan per ton, indicating a significant decline. The overall gross margin is expected to decrease due to a soft copper foil capacity outlook for 2025-2026 [4]. - The company’s EPS for 2025-2027 is estimated to be 0.27, 0.61, and 0.96 yuan respectively, reflecting a downward revision of 56.5% and 29.9% from previous estimates [4]. - The projected BPS for 2025 is 16.46 yuan, with a target price set at 21.04 yuan, corresponding to a PB of 1.28 times, reflecting increased market risk appetite due to the company's diversification efforts [4].