天然碱

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研报掘金丨开源证券:维持博源化工“买入”评级,天然碱项目或打开公司成长空间
Ge Long Hui A P P· 2025-08-11 06:16
Core Viewpoint - The report from Kaiyuan Securities indicates that Boyuan Chemical's Q2 performance exceeded expectations, driven by the commissioning of the Alashan Phase II natural soda project and the 1.2 million tons of sodium bicarbonate project, suggesting further growth potential for the company while maintaining a "buy" rating [1] Group 1: Financial Performance - Boyuan Chemical's Q2 net profit attributable to shareholders showed a significant quarter-on-quarter increase, supported by the widening price gap of urea and the cost advantage of natural soda [1] - The estimated operating cost for the company's soda ash in 2024 is projected to be 741 RMB per ton, reflecting a year-on-year decrease of 12.31% [1] Group 2: Project Developments - The Alashan natural soda Phase II project plans to produce 2.8 million tons of soda ash and 400,000 tons of sodium bicarbonate, with trial production expected by the end of 2025 [1] - Silver Root Chemical plans to utilize carbon dioxide and alkaline mother liquor generated during the Alashan natural soda project, in conjunction with renewable energy sources like wind and solar power, to construct a comprehensive carbon recovery and utilization project for 1.2 million tons of sodium bicarbonate, with a total investment of 3.56 billion RMB [1] Group 3: Market Position - The company is viewed positively as a long-term leader in the natural soda industry, expected to stand out amid intense competition and trends against overcapacity [1]
博源化工(000683):Q2业绩环比实现增长,天然碱龙头韧性十足
Changjiang Securities· 2025-08-11 02:13
Investment Rating - The investment rating for the company is "Buy" and is maintained [8]. Core Views - The company achieved a revenue of 5.92 billion yuan in the first half of 2025, a year-on-year decrease of 16.3%, with a net profit attributable to shareholders of 740 million yuan, down 38.6% year-on-year. In Q2 2025, the revenue was 3.05 billion yuan, a year-on-year decrease of 19.6% but a quarter-on-quarter increase of 6.3%, with a net profit of 400 million yuan, down 36.9% year-on-year but up 19.0% quarter-on-quarter [5][7]. Summary by Sections Financial Performance - In H1 2025, the company's revenue was 5.92 billion yuan, with a net profit of 740 million yuan, reflecting a significant year-on-year decline of 38.6%. Q2 2025 saw a revenue of 3.05 billion yuan, with a net profit of 400 million yuan, indicating a quarter-on-quarter improvement of 19.0% [5][7]. Market Conditions - The company operates in a challenging market environment, with product prices significantly declining in 2025. The average prices for key products like heavy soda ash and light soda ash fell by 34.2% and 34.7% respectively in H1 2025 [12]. Growth Potential - The company is viewed positively for its long-term investment opportunities due to its strong safety margin and growth potential. It has a high dividend payout ratio, with expected dividends in 2024 corresponding to a yield of over 5%. The company is anticipated to maintain strong dividend potential as new projects come online [7][12]. Future Projections - The company's projected net profits for 2025, 2026, and 2027 are 1.47 billion yuan, 2.09 billion yuan, and 2.41 billion yuan respectively, indicating a positive growth trajectory [7].
山东海化23亿元押注天然碱矿:从氨碱到天然碱的转身 能否避开陷阱?
Mei Ri Jing Ji Xin Wen· 2025-08-05 15:54
8月5日晚间,山东海化(SZ000822,股价6.06元,市值54.24亿元)公告称,将以23.2亿元自有资金,通过增资挂牌摘牌方式,获取中盐(内蒙古)碱业有限 公司(以下简称"中盐碱业")29%的股权。 在建筑用玻璃产能大幅萎缩、光伏玻璃增速放缓的背景下,纯碱消费市场明显缩减,价格大幅下滑。此时,合成碱巨头山东海化向天然碱的跨界犹如一次豪 赌。 《每日经济新闻》记者(以下简称"每经记者")注意到,作为国内纯碱产能前三的氨碱法龙头企业,山东海化现有280万吨产能,在成本与环保双重压力 下,这场跨界投资究竟是破局救赎,还是风险陷阱? 图片来源:山东海化公告 氨碱法优势不再,山东海化23亿元押注天然碱 山东海化的这一动作,发生在合成碱行业逐渐式微的背景下——化学合成碱因成本高、环保压力大等问题,产能已显过剩,而天然碱凭借低成本、工艺简单 等优势渐成趋势。 作为以合成碱(尤其是氨碱法)为主的行业参与者,山东海化的这次"跨界"背后,从其自身财务状况来看,其正面临着较大的经营压力。 财务数据的下降,显示出山东海化急需新的利润增长点来扭转业绩下滑的局面。 每经记者梳理发现,山东海化长期深耕盐化工产业,主导产品为纯碱、烧碱 ...