Market Overview - A-shares experienced a slight increase in the morning session, with the Shanghai Composite Index rising by 0.34% to 3528.90 points and a trading volume of 412.1 billion yuan [1] - The Shenzhen Component Index increased by 0.30% to 10905.91 points with a trading volume of 602.9 billion yuan, while the ChiNext Index rose by 0.26% to 2275.26 points with a trading volume of 279.6 billion yuan [1] Sector Performance - The rare earth permanent magnet, lithium mining, coal, and military industries saw significant gains, with notable stocks like Huahong Technology and Shengxin Lithium Energy hitting the daily limit [2] - Conversely, sectors such as gaming, photovoltaic, beauty care, and consumer electronics experienced declines, with Yamaton dropping over 5% [2] Institutional Insights - Hengsheng Qianhai Fund anticipates that the market will continue to exhibit structural trends in the short term, with external uncertainties gradually expanding from tariffs, while domestic policies are expected to remain proactive [4] - Citic Securities highlighted that the stricter compliance checks in the mining sector, particularly regarding lithium resource extraction, could impact domestic lithium supply significantly [4] - The long-term outlook for lithium prices remains strong, supported by a cost range of 60,000 to 70,000 yuan per ton, alongside robust demand and short-term supply disruptions [4] Consumer Market Insights - The Ministry of Commerce announced plans to reduce restrictive measures in the service consumption sector during the 14th Five-Year Plan period, aiming to enhance the quality of service supply [5] - China's retail sales are projected to exceed 50 trillion yuan this year, with an average annual growth rate of 5.5% over the past four years [6] - The share of residents' service consumption expenditure has increased by 3.5 percentage points to 46.1% [6] ETF Market Activity - The launch of 10 technology innovation bond ETFs saw a remarkable increase in scale, with total assets reaching 764.98 billion yuan, marking a growth of 163.86% from the initial issuance [7] - Four of these ETFs surpassed 10 billion yuan in scale, indicating strong market interest and participation [7]

一、央妈牛市大放水！央行就放出择机降准降息，并且已经有了行动，目前的环境是否迎来大幅降息降准窗口期呢？ 最近美国在关税问题上一直找中国谈，咱们也在评估中，这说明双方已经开始接触了。说不定一两个月内就能开始谈关税的事儿，这可是个积极的信号啊！ 再看看央行，4月搞了12000亿元的买断式逆回购操作，而且是首次缩量，这是啥意思呢？5月会不会降准呢？ 我觉得5月底到6月份说不定会降息。为啥呢？6月份有60000多亿的国债要到期，要是美联储不降息，美国政府就借不到新债来还旧债。所以，美联储6月份 降息几乎是板上钉钉的事儿。按照这个逻辑，中国在5月到6月之间降准降息的概率也挺大的。 二、超4000只个股下跌，上证指数跌0.30%，深证成指微跌0.69%，创业板指跌0.87%。 不过，整体市场还算不错，还是有机会。五一假期期间，海外市场的表现都不错，还有不少利好消息。首先是人民币资产越来越有吸引力，其次是港股提前 拉出了阳线。 再加上中美贸易谈判释放出缓和信号，市场情绪整体比较积极。A股市场也迎来了五月的开门红，新周期开始了，情绪也在逐步回暖。机构对五月市场的走 势预测，基本都挺乐观的。 撰稿、收集数据不易，觉得有帮助的朋 ...