Core Viewpoint - Liu Gesong, a prominent fund manager at GF Fund, has stepped down from managing the GF Multi-Dimensional Emerging Stock Fund, which achieved a return of 140.03% during his tenure, marking it as the best-performing fund under his management [1][4][7]. Fund Management Changes - The change in management is officially termed as "dismissal of the fund manager," with Zhou Zhishuo taking over sole management responsibilities [5]. - The announcement emphasizes that Liu Gesong will remain with GF Fund, indicating that this is a "normal work adjustment" [1][7]. Performance Context - Despite the strong performance of the GF Multi-Dimensional Emerging Stock Fund, questions arise regarding the rationale behind the dismissal of the best-performing fund, especially in light of industry pressures and fee reforms [4][8]. - Liu Gesong continues to manage five other funds with a total scale of 29.463 billion yuan, maintaining a focus on key stocks such as Siasun, Shengbang, Yiwei Lithium Energy, and Sunshine Power [7]. Market Speculation - The management change has led to speculation about whether the scale of 29.463 billion yuan has become overwhelming for Liu, as larger fund sizes complicate asset allocation and rebalancing [8]. - The industry is witnessing a trend of star fund managers stepping down or leaving, with several notable managers transitioning to private equity [9]. Industry Trends - The public fund industry is experiencing a shift from "license dividends" to "capability competition," with a notable decline in the personal brand value of star managers, while platform value is becoming more prominent [9]. - The ongoing management pressures in the industry suggest that while "reducing burden" may alleviate short-term stress, optimizing portfolio strategies and enhancing the performance of remaining products are crucial for maintaining investor trust [9].

Core Viewpoint - Morgan Stanley's report highlights the potential growth and undervalued platform value of Pop Mart, particularly following their participation in the recent international toy exhibition in Beijing [1] Group 1: Product Performance - The Twinkle Twinkle product booth attracted significant crowds, with items such as figurines, artwork, bags, and accessories selling out quickly, indicating that Twinkle Twinkle could start contributing significantly to sales from 2024 onwards [1] - The Crybaby product line, including T-shirts, baseball caps, cushions, and slippers, was also well-received, with an average selling price exceeding 250 yuan [1] Group 2: Market Potential - Morgan Stanley believes that Pop Mart's platform value may be underestimated, noting that the company currently sells products in four regions, with its primary IP sources being Greater China, along with Crybaby from Thailand and Peach Riot from the United States [1] - There is significant potential for Pop Mart to tap into rich artistic resources in the United States, Europe, Japan, and Southeast Asia, suggesting that the company's IP and product portfolio will become more culturally diverse over the next 3-5 years [1] Group 3: Valuation and Rating - The intrinsic value of Pop Mart is considered to far exceed its current IP holdings, a point that the market has overlooked, leading Morgan Stanley to maintain an "overweight" rating with a target price of 365 HKD, which corresponds to a projected price-to-earnings ratio of 46 times for this year [1]

Investment Rating - The report maintains a "Buy" rating for the company and adjusts the target price to HKD 56.04 [2][4] Core Views - The company, as a leading real estate brokerage in China, continues to enhance platform value to strengthen market share advantage, showing significant upward elasticity during the real estate recovery cycle [2] - The first quarter of 2025 saw revenue of HKD 23.3 billion, a year-on-year increase of 42%, with Non-GAAP net profit remaining stable at HKD 1.39 billion [5] - The company is focusing on expanding its scale and improving operational efficiency, with expectations for profit margins to recover in the future [5] Financial Performance Summary - **Revenue Forecasts**: - 2023A: HKD 77.777 billion - 2024A: HKD 93.457 billion - 2025E: HKD 110.080 billion - 2026E: HKD 128.165 billion - 2027E: HKD 146.106 billion - Year-on-year growth rates: 28.2%, 20.2%, 17.8%, 16.4%, 14.0% [3] - **Profitability Metrics**: - Operating profit for 2023A: HKD 4.797 billion, with a significant year-on-year growth of 675.9% - Net profit attributable to the parent company for 2023A: HKD 5.883 billion, with a year-on-year growth of 524.5% [3] - **Earnings Per Share (EPS)**: - 2023A: HKD 1.63 - 2024A: HKD 1.13 - 2025E: HKD 1.36 - 2026E: HKD 1.93 - 2027E: HKD 2.76 [3] - **Valuation Ratios**: - Price-to-Earnings (PE) ratio for 2025E: 33.2 - Price-to-Book (PB) ratio for 2025E: 2.1 [3] Business Segment Performance - **Existing Home Business**: - GTV (Gross Transaction Value) for existing homes grew by 28% to HKD 5,803 billion, but the contribution margin decreased to 38% due to increased fixed salary costs [5] - **New Home Business**: - GTV for new homes increased by 53% to HKD 2,322 billion, outperforming the market, with a commission rate increase reflecting the value of the company's channels [5] - **Home Decoration and Rental Services**: - Home decoration revenue showed steady growth, while rental income surged by 94% to HKD 5.1 billion, indicating a strong growth phase [5]