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京华烟云 左晖与刘肖的万科贝壳往事
3 6 Ke· 2025-11-26 01:52
十一月的地产圈,一则耐人寻味的人事变动悄然上演。曾任职万科开发经营本部营销副经理的赵然,转 身加盟贝壳旗下贝好家,执掌总部营销事务。 这位2008年以"万科新动力"身份踏入行业的地产老兵并非孤例。早在2023年,贝好家就已将万科东北区 域财务负责人肖铮招致麾下,出任财务中心总经理。 人事层面的深度互动,看似亲密无间,实则并不意味着万科与贝壳的关系升温。 据深交所互动易信息,11月24日,万科A官方回复投资者提问时表示:"公司持有贝壳的股票已经全部 出售。" 从万科与贝壳前身链家结缘,到如今关系"清零",两者已携手走过8年风雨,但故事的结局再次印证 了"天下无不散之宴席"的谶言。 另一边,左晖掌舵的链家拥有北京二手房市场的庞大客源与线下门店网络,却面临着流量转化的苦恼。 可以说,当时的万科与链家存在着一种天然的互补关系,于是链家方面主动抛出了橄榄枝。 时任链家地产新房事业部总经理的陶红兵曾主动找到刘肖谈合作,双方交流了十几分钟,刘肖便表示不 感兴趣,同时询问能否合作布局装修业务。当链家方面给出肯定答复后,命运的齿轮正式开始转动。 2015年6月,刘肖与左晖在一家星巴克门店碰了一次面,两人各自点了一杯咖啡,谁也没 ...
中泰证券:维持贝壳-W“买入”评级 公司回购规模扩大
Zhi Tong Cai Jing· 2025-11-17 01:29
Core Viewpoint - Beike-W (02423) is expected to benefit from the continuous expansion of the industry scale, supported by its leading position and strategic nationwide layout, with projected net profits for 2025-2027 showing significant growth [1] Group 1: Financial Performance - In the first three quarters of 2025, Beike achieved operating revenue of 72.39 billion yuan, a year-on-year increase of 16.1%, demonstrating market competitiveness despite pressure in the real estate market [1] - The company's net profit attributable to the parent company was 2.91 billion yuan, a year-on-year decrease of 16.8%, primarily due to a decline in gross margin from 25.3% to 21.4% [1] - As of the end of Q3 2025, Beike's store count increased by 27.3% year-on-year to 61,393, and the number of agents reached 546,000, up 14.5% year-on-year, indicating ongoing expansion [1] Group 2: Business Segments - The existing housing business saw a transaction volume (GTV) increase of 5.8% year-on-year to 505.6 billion yuan, with net income of 6 billion yuan, down 3.6% from the previous year [2] - The new housing business experienced a GTV decline of 13.7% to 196.3 billion yuan, with net income of 6.6 billion yuan, down 14.1% year-on-year, reflecting a slowdown in the commodity housing market [2] - The home decoration business reported net income of 4.3 billion yuan, a year-on-year increase of 2.4% [2] - Rental services generated net income of 5.7 billion yuan, a significant year-on-year increase of 45.3%, attributed to the growth in the "worry-free rental" model [2] - Emerging businesses and others reported net income of 400 million yuan, down from 500 million yuan in the same period last year [2] Group 3: Shareholder Returns - In Q3 2025, Beike's share buyback amounted to 281 million USD, marking the highest quarterly buyback in nearly two years [3] - By the end of Q3 2025, the total buyback for the year reached 675 million USD, a 15.7% increase compared to the same period last year [3] - Since initiating the buyback in September 2022, Beike has repurchased approximately 2.3 billion USD worth of shares, representing 11.5% of the total shares before the buyback [3]
中泰证券:维持贝壳-W(02423)“买入”评级 公司回购规模扩大
智通财经网· 2025-11-17 01:20
Core Viewpoint - Beike-W (02423) is expected to benefit from the continuous expansion of the industry scale, supported by its strategic nationwide layout and platform advantages, with projected net profits for 2025-2027 being 5.38 billion, 6.54 billion, and 7.29 billion CNY respectively, maintaining a "buy" rating [1] Revenue Growth and Market Position - In the first three quarters of 2025, Beike achieved operating revenue of 72.39 billion CNY, a year-on-year increase of 16.1%, demonstrating its market competitiveness despite pressure in the real estate market [2] - The company's net profit attributable to the parent company was 2.91 billion CNY, a decrease of 16.8% year-on-year, primarily due to a decline in gross margin from 25.3% to 21.4% [2] - As of the end of Q3, the number of Beike stores increased by 27.3% year-on-year to 61,393, and the number of agents reached 546,000, up 14.5% year-on-year, indicating overall scale expansion [2] Transaction Volume and Business Performance - The existing housing business saw a transaction volume (GTV) increase of 5.8% year-on-year to 505.6 billion CNY, with net income of 6 billion CNY, down 3.6% from the previous year [3] - The new housing business experienced a GTV decline of 13.7% to 196.3 billion CNY, with net income of 6.6 billion CNY, down 14.1% year-on-year due to a slowdown in the commodity housing market [3] - The home decoration business generated net income of 4.3 billion CNY, a 2.4% increase year-on-year, while rental services saw net income of 5.7 billion CNY, up 45.3% year-on-year, attributed to an increase in housing resources under the "worry-free rental" model [3] - Emerging businesses and others reported net income of 400 million CNY, down from 500 million CNY in the previous year [3] Shareholder Returns and Buyback Strategy - In Q3 2025, Beike's buyback amount reached 281 million USD, the highest quarterly buyback in nearly two years [4] - By the end of Q3 2025, the total buyback amount for the year reached 675 million USD, a 15.7% increase year-on-year [4] - Since initiating the buyback in September 2022, the company has repurchased approximately 2.3 billion USD worth of shares, representing 11.5% of the total shares before the buyback, reflecting confidence in future development and enhancing shareholder returns [4]
贝壳(BEKE):2025Q3业绩点评:新房承压,利润下滑
Western Securities· 2025-11-14 12:13
Investment Rating - The investment rating for the company is "Buy" [4][12]. Core Views - The company reported total revenue of 23.1 billion yuan in Q3 2025, representing a year-on-year growth of 2.1%. However, net income decreased by 27.8% to 1.286 billion yuan [1][4]. - The net revenue from second-hand housing transaction services fell by 3.6% to 6 billion yuan, while new housing transaction services saw a decline of 14.1% to 6.6 billion yuan [1][4]. - The adjusted net profit for Q3 2025 was 1.286 billion yuan, reflecting a significant drop compared to the previous year [2][4]. - The company maintained a strong cash position with cash and short-term investments totaling 55.7 billion yuan, and continued share repurchases amounting to 281 million USD in Q3 [2][4]. Summary by Sections Financial Performance - Total revenue for Q3 2025 was 23.1 billion yuan, with a year-on-year increase of 2.1%. The total transaction value (GTV) was 736.7 billion yuan, remaining stable year-on-year [1][2]. - The gross margin decreased to 21.4%, down from 22.7% in the same period last year, primarily due to reduced contributions from second-hand and new housing transaction services [2][4]. - The adjusted net profit for 2025 is projected to be 5.601 billion yuan, with a decline of 22.3% expected in 2025 [11]. Future Projections - Revenue estimates for 2025, 2026, and 2027 are 93.62 billion yuan, 92.83 billion yuan, and 96.16 billion yuan, respectively [11]. - The adjusted EPS for 2025, 2026, and 2027 is forecasted to be 0.71 USD, 0.97 USD, and 1.10 USD, respectively, with corresponding P/E ratios of 23.5X, 17.2X, and 15.3X [2][11]. Market Position - The company is recognized for its leading position in the market, and its scarcity as an investment target supports the "Buy" rating [2][4].
东易日盛家居装饰集团股份有限公司 关于股价异动暨风险提示的公告
Zheng Quan Shi Bao· 2025-11-10 18:34
Core Viewpoint - The company is facing significant financial challenges, including negative earnings and potential delisting risks, while attempting to restructure and inject new business assets. Financial Performance - As of November 7, 2025, the company's static P/E ratio is -5.20, rolling P/E ratio is -9.4, and P/B ratio is -5.23, indicating substantial discrepancies compared to the industry averages of 26.27 for static P/E, 23.66 for rolling P/E, and 2.36 for P/B [2][11]. - For the fiscal year 2024, the company reported a revenue of 1,295.95 million and a net loss attributable to shareholders of 1,171.35 million [9]. Restructuring Efforts - The company is undergoing a pre-restructuring process initiated by creditors, with a court decision pending on whether to accept the restructuring application [4][6]. - The success of the restructuring and the potential injection of new business assets depend on compliance with legal regulations and obtaining necessary approvals [11][12]. Risks and Challenges - The company faces risks related to the construction and operational readiness of the He Lin Ge Er Intelligent Computing Center, which has not yet been completed and may require significant future investments [3][12]. - There are concerns regarding the ability to secure new orders due to the company's lack of qualifications and the competitive market environment, which may affect profitability [3][12]. - The company has been issued a delisting risk warning due to negative net assets and consecutive years of losses, with potential termination of stock trading if certain conditions are met [4][13]. Stock Trading Activity - The company's stock experienced abnormal trading fluctuations, with a cumulative price deviation exceeding 12% over three consecutive trading days in early November 2025 [5][6]. - The company has confirmed that there are no undisclosed significant matters that could impact stock trading prices [10].
*ST东易(002713.SZ):产业投资人拟向公司无偿捐赠的和林格尔智算中心尚未建成投产
Ge Long Hui A P P· 2025-11-05 13:04
Core Viewpoint - The company's ability to inject computing power industry business depends on the successful implementation of bankruptcy reorganization, compliance with legal regulations, and obtaining necessary approvals [1][2] Group 1: Business Risks - There is significant uncertainty regarding the timing, scale, and future profitability of the asset injection [1] - The company faces risks from intensified market competition, which may lead to a decline in overall industry profit margins and extended cost recovery periods [1] - The existing business may not synergize effectively with the new business, posing additional risks [1] Group 2: Investment and Financial Risks - The planned donation of the Hohhot Intelligent Computing Center has not yet been completed, raising concerns about insufficient future funding and extended construction timelines [2] - The current phase of the Hohhot Intelligent Computing Center has only completed the first phase of construction, with significant funding required for subsequent phases [2] - The industry investor's cash and financial assets as of June 30, 2025, amount to 56.03 million, with a debt ratio of 65%, indicating potential funding shortages for construction [2] - The operational cash flow for the first half of 2025 is projected at 71.48 million, highlighting risks related to insufficient construction funds and potential fundraising failures [2]
房地产2026年度展望+贝壳港股深度报告
2025-11-03 15:48
Summary of Key Points from the Conference Call Industry Overview - **Real Estate Market Trends**: The Japanese real estate market is experiencing supply contraction, demand improvement, rising costs due to inflation, and population concentration in core urban areas as key driving factors [1][4]. - **Chinese Real Estate Market Outlook**: The Chinese real estate market is expected to gradually stabilize, with conditions such as new home supply contraction and improved purchasing power. However, the recovery of income expectations and stabilization of housing prices in high-tier cities are critical [1][5]. The forecast for new home sales growth in 2026 is negative, with an investment decline of approximately 7% [1][5]. Company Insights: Beike - **Revenue Composition**: Beike's revenue is composed of approximately 60% from brokerage services and 40% from emerging businesses such as home decoration [1][6]. - **Market Position**: Beike holds a market share of 30%-50% in the existing housing market in first and second-tier cities, and over 20% in new home sales, indicating a leading position in the industry [1][6]. - **AI Integration**: The application of AI systems has enhanced the efficiency of real estate transactions, with the AI guest system covering 330,000 agents, achieving a penetration rate of 75% in Beijing and Shanghai [1][6][8]. Business Segments - **Home Decoration Business**: Beike's home decoration segment has achieved profitability since Q3, with stable profits of 8%-10% in first and second-tier cities. The company plans to increase prices by 10%-15% in 2026 and introduce high-quality soft decoration materials, potentially contributing over 8% to profits [1][7][8]. - **New Home Business Strategy**: Beike is strengthening collaborations with state-owned enterprises to enhance its new home business, which is expected to outperform the overall real estate market [1][3][10]. - **Rental Business Model**: The rental business primarily focuses on a "worry-free rental" model, utilizing a subleasing approach combined with home decoration services. This segment is expected to transition to a light asset operation model, aiming for a profit contribution of over 5% in the future [1][12][13]. Financial Projections - **Revenue Growth**: For 2025, the existing housing transaction growth is projected at around 7%, with total revenue growth of approximately 10%. Despite adjustments in the second half of the year, a total revenue growth of 7% is expected [1][14]. - **Profit Margin Expectations**: The operating profit margin is anticipated to improve significantly by 2026, with a target stock price of around 60 HKD, reflecting a positive long-term outlook despite potential short-term adjustments [1][14]. Additional Insights - **Emerging Business - Beijiaojia**: Launched in 2023, Beijiaojia is focused on providing product positioning solutions and marketing services, with plans to expand its light asset service model. It has already initiated projects in 10 cities, with significant projects expected to deliver results by 2026 [1][11]. - **Market Dynamics**: The real estate market is showing signs of structural differentiation, with opportunities in regions like Hong Kong and core urban areas of major cities expected to lead the recovery [1][5]. This summary encapsulates the essential insights from the conference call, highlighting the current state and future outlook of the real estate industry and Beike's strategic positioning within it.
*ST东易(002713) - 2025年第三季度装修装饰业务主要经营情况简报
2025-10-30 11:29
证券代码:002713 证券简称:*ST 东易 公告编号:2025- 074 东易日盛家居装饰集团股份有限公司 2025年第三季度装修装饰业务主要经营情况简报 本公司及董事会全体成员保证公告内容真实、准确和完整,没有虚假记载、误导性陈 述或者重大遗漏。 根据《深圳证券交易所股票上市规则》《深圳证券交易所上市公司自律监管 指引第 3 号——行业信息披露》等相关规定,东易日盛家居装饰集团股份有限公 司 2025 年第三季度装修装饰业务主要经营情况如下: | 单位:万元 | | --- | | 业务类型 | 新签订单合同金额 [工程(含配套)、设计产值合计] | 截至报告期末累计已签 约未完工合同金额 | | --- | --- | --- | | 家装业务 | 9,042 | 18,594 | | 精工装业务 | 1,582 | 4,249 | | 公装业务 | 4,839 | 12,293 | | 合 计 | 15,463 | 35,136 | 注 1:公司不存在重大项目。 注 2:以上数据仅为阶段性数据且未经审计,供各位投资者参阅。 特此公告。 东易日盛家居装饰集团股份有限公司 董事会 二〇二五年十月三十日 ...
金 螳 螂(002081) - 2025年9月2日投资者关系活动记录表
2025-09-02 08:08
Group 1: Financial Performance - The company achieved a revenue growth of 2.49% year-on-year in the first half of 2025, with significant contributions from Zhejiang, Jiangsu, and Guangdong provinces [4] - The overseas business revenue grew by 29% year-on-year, demonstrating strong development momentum [5] - The gross profit margin improved year-on-year, with clear growth potential driven by structural optimization and efficiency enhancement [2][3] Group 2: Business Strategy and Operations - The company has implemented effective risk management and collection measures, leading to improved impairment results compared to the previous year [2] - The public decoration business accounted for nearly 90% of new orders in Q2, with hotels and public spaces each contributing 35% to the public decoration business [3] - The company is focusing on urban renewal as a long-term strategic priority, with successful projects in various high-value sectors [7] Group 3: Market Expansion and Innovation - The company is leveraging AI, BIM technology, and construction robotics to enhance cost efficiency and reduce operational costs [3] - Future plans include deepening the cleanroom market through increased R&D and technological innovation [8] - The company aims to explore investment and acquisition opportunities to foster a second growth curve, ensuring long-term sustainable development [9]
*ST东易:二季度新签2.15亿元
news flash· 2025-07-25 09:14
Group 1 - The company *ST Dongyi (002713)* announced that the new signed contract amount for home decoration business in Q2 2025 is 127 million yuan, with a total of 205 million yuan in signed but uncompleted contracts [1] - The precision engineering business reported new signed contracts of 16.03 million yuan and 45.85 million yuan respectively [1] - The public decoration business recorded new signed contracts of 72.24 million yuan and 132 million yuan respectively [1] Group 2 - The total new signed contracts amount to 215 million yuan, with a cumulative total of 383 million yuan in signed but uncompleted contracts [1]