证券研究报告 | 公司深度报告 2025 年 08 月 25 日 美迪凯（688079.SH） 光学半导体领军企业，产品矩阵进入收获期 | 财务指标 | 2023A | 2024A | 2025E | 2026E | 2027E | | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | | 营业收入（百万元） | 321 | 486 | 641 | 1,000 | 1,400 | | 增长率 yoy（%） | -22.5 | 51.4 | 32.0 | 56.0 | 40.0 | | 归母净利润（百万元） | -84 | -102 | -81 | 150 | 266 | | 增长率 yoy（%） | -482.3 | -20.6 | 20.4 | 285.6 | 76.6 | | ROE（%） | -5.8 | -7.6 | -6.1 | 10.3 | 15.6 | | EPS 最新摊薄（元） | -0.21 | -0.25 | -0.20 | 0.37 | 0.65 | | P/E（倍） | -65.8 | -54.6 | -68.6 | 37.0 | 20.9 | | P/B（倍） ...

Group 1 - The core optical lithography machine for Sunyu Aolai has officially moved in, marking a significant step towards mass production and filling the domestic gap in high-end optical manufacturing [1] - A strategic cooperation agreement was signed among Shanghai State-owned Capital Investment Co., Lingang Group, and Sunyu Optical Technology Group, aiming to leverage technology, capital, and application scenarios to enhance micro-nano optics in industries like AI and high-end manufacturing [1][2] - Sunyu Aolai has also signed strategic cooperation agreements with Shanghai Tianyue Semiconductor Materials Co. and Zhongwei Semiconductor (Shanghai) Co. to initiate local collaboration in domestic integrated circuit equipment within the micro-nano optics field [1] Group 2 - Sunyu Group, founded in 1984, is a leading global manufacturer of optical components and products, listed on the Hong Kong Stock Exchange since June 2007 [1] - The company specializes in the design, research and development, production, and sales of optical and optoelectronic products, with major product categories including optical components, optoelectronic products, and optical instruments [2] - Sunyu Group has established eight business sectors, including mobile, automotive, security, microscopy, robotics, AR/VR, industrial inspection, and medical testing [2] Group 3 - The Lingang Group is focused on supporting the Sunyu Optical project, which aims to break through the domestic bottleneck in high-precision optical chip production, thereby promoting the autonomy of near-eye display technology for the metaverse [3] - Lingang New Area is positioned as a significant growth hub for the integrated circuit industry, fostering collaboration between semiconductor companies and XR core component enterprises [3] - The recent ceremony attracted multiple supply chain partners of Sunyu Optical, highlighting the foundational advantages of building an XR ecosystem in the Lingang New Area [3]

Core Viewpoint - The article highlights the rapid growth of the AR/VR market in China, projecting a CAGR of 41.1% from 2024 to 2029, making it the largest market globally, surpassing the US and Western Europe [2]. Industry Overview - The AR/VR technology is increasingly penetrating various sectors such as education, healthcare, entertainment, and industrial design, driven by the rising demand for intelligent living and immersive experiences [2]. - By 2029, China's total investment in AR/VR is expected to exceed $10.5 billion, accounting for 26.5% of the global market, second only to the US [2]. Technological Advancements - The development of AR/VR devices is moving towards greater intelligence, with advancements in scene recognition and content generation, leading to more personalized user experiences [2]. - Key hardware development directions include lightweight design, high resolution, high refresh rates, and low power consumption [2]. Company Developments - Sunyu Aolai Micro-Nano Optics has officially moved its first core lithography machine to its Lingang project, which will produce millions of semiconductor optical products annually for AR/VR, smart vehicles, and consumer electronics [2][3]. - The company has signed strategic cooperation agreements with leading firms in the new materials sector, enhancing collaboration in micro-nano optics and integrated circuit equipment [3]. Product Innovations - Sunyu Aolai is focused on developing surface relief grating waveguide (SRG) processing technology for AR glasses, with capabilities to independently process various grating shapes [4]. - The company has established a comprehensive NIL (Nanoimprint Lithography) process and material system, providing mature solutions in NIL and dry etching [5]. Market Impact - The migration of the core lithography machine marks a significant transition from planning to mass production, filling a gap in the domestic high-end semiconductor optical industry and boosting its development [5].

Core Viewpoint - The company has completed the main renovation of its micro-nano optical laboratory and has introduced some experimental equipment, focusing on the development of sub-wavelength structured optical components [1] Group 1: Company Developments - The company is engaged in the research and development of sub-wavelength structured optical components, including superlenses and metasurface devices [1] - The application scenarios for these developments include semiconductor optics, photovoltaics and new energy, AR/VR, and infrared fields [1]

Group 1: Semiconductor Optical Business - The company's semiconductor optical business revenue for 2024 is approximately 17.7 million yuan, with ongoing efforts to expand customer cooperation and enhance technical exchanges [1][2] - The semiconductor optical business includes applications in lithography, packaging testing, and measurement, focusing on both mature and advanced processes [2] Group 2: Precision Processing Equipment - The company has invested in advanced processing equipment such as ion beam and magnetorheological polishing to meet high precision requirements in semiconductor and aerospace applications [3] - The advanced manufacturing process center has been established to enhance precision processing capabilities, although current utilization rates of these advanced machines are low due to product size differences [3] Group 3: Talent Development - As of the end of 2024, the company has over 700 employees, with 151 technical personnel, accounting for 21.09% of the total workforce [4] - The company plans to continue building a talent pipeline to enhance personnel quality and develop a high-caliber talent team [4] Group 4: Micro-Nano Optical Laboratory - The micro-nano optical laboratory has completed its main construction and is focusing on developing sub-wavelength optical components for various applications, including semiconductor optics and AR/VR [5] - The laboratory aims to collaborate with external universities and research institutions to enhance its R&D capabilities [5] Group 5: International Business and Trade Impact - In 2024, the company's overseas business generated revenue of 12,750.37 million yuan, accounting for 30.66% of total revenue, primarily from its wholly-owned subsidiary in Singapore [6] - The company is monitoring international trade environments and tariff policy changes to mitigate potential impacts on its business [6] Group 6: Profit Margin Outlook - The company's gross margin has declined due to lower margins on infrared optical products influenced by raw material supply issues [7][8] - The company continues to focus on high-value-added products in the industrial sector to maintain relative stability in gross margins [8]

Core Viewpoint - The company reported a decline in net profit for 2024 and Q1 2025, primarily due to the impact of recent acquisitions and integration challenges, which were in line with market expectations [1][2]. Financial Performance - In 2024, the company achieved revenue of 620 million yuan, a year-on-year increase of 10.49%, but reported a net loss of 175 million yuan, a significant decline of 293.17% [1]. - For Q1 2025, revenue was 170 million yuan, up 23.75% year-on-year, while the net loss was 32 million yuan, down 97.38% year-on-year [1]. Business Segments Upstream Business - Revenue from semiconductor laser components and materials in 2024 was 150 million yuan, down 34.42% year-on-year due to increased competition and price pressure [3]. - Revenue from laser optical components was 287 million yuan, up 38.71% year-on-year, driven by the acquisition of Swiss Light [3]. Midstream Applications - Automotive applications generated revenue of 77 million yuan, a significant increase of 66.63% year-on-year, attributed to new projects from the Swiss Light acquisition [4]. - Revenue from semiconductor processing was 69 million yuan, up 10.19% year-on-year, supported by growth in wafer annealing and new product developments [4]. - Revenue from healthcare applications was 17 million yuan, up 44.65% year-on-year, as more clients adopted the company's laser skin treatment modules [4]. Gross Margin and Cost Structure - The overall gross margin for 2024 was 28.11%, a decrease of 19.85 percentage points year-on-year, while Q1 2025 saw a recovery to 33.39% [5]. - The gross margin for laser optical components was down 10.39 percentage points year-on-year due to competitive pricing pressures [6]. - The automotive application solutions experienced a significant drop in gross margin due to high production costs from Switzerland, which are expected to improve following the relocation of production to China [6]. Strategic Outlook - The company aims to enhance its core competitiveness through acquisitions and is focusing on expanding into new fields, including optical communication, consumer electronics, and healthcare [8]. - Ongoing R&D efforts are directed towards developing high-power, reliable laser devices and optimizing manufacturing processes to reduce costs [9][10]. Earnings Forecast - The company adjusted its revenue forecasts for 2025-2026 to 832 million and 1.095 billion yuan, respectively, with expected net profits of 46 million and 153 million yuan [11].