12月8日（周一）24时，国内成品油零售限价将迎来新一轮调整时间窗口。机构跟踪的最新国际原油价 格变动状况预测数据显示，本轮成品油零售限价下调幅度超过50元/吨的红线要求，本轮成品油零售限 价大概率将下调，这也意味着有望迎来今年以来第十一次下调。 2025年以来，国内成品油零售限价已经历二十三轮调整窗口，分别为"七涨十跌六搁浅"。调价后，国内 汽、柴油价格每吨较去年底分别下跌690元、660元。 数据来源：国家发改委网站 自本轮计价周期以来，国际原油价格运行重心下移，导致国内参考的原油变化率持续在负值范围内运 行。卓创资讯监测模型测算显示，截至12月5日收盘，即国内成品油本轮计价周期的第10个工作日，参 考的原油变化率为-1.24%，预计本轮汽、柴油零售限价每吨或均下调55元，折合成升价后，92号汽油、 95号汽油、0号柴油分别下调0.04元、0.05元、0.05元。 隆众资讯成品油分析师李彦表示，本轮国内成品油零售限价将迎来2025年以来第十一次下调。 若此次成品油零售限价下调措施落实，消费者用油成本将继续减少。卓创资讯成品油分析师王雪琴表 示，届时，油箱容量50升的小型私家车，加满一箱92号汽油将比此前少 ...

新华财经北京12月8日电本计价周期以来（2025年11月24日24时至12月8日24时），国际原油价格呈现窄 幅波动行情，变化率持续处于负值范围运行。基于此，预计今晚24时，国内成品油零售限价有望达成年 内第十一次下调。 据卓创资讯成品油分析师王雪琴具体分析，本计价周期内，虽受欧洲局势扰动，但在美国石油库存累 积、感恩节假期导致市场交投清淡的影响下，原油市场多空因素交织，价格未能走出单边行情，整体呈 现窄幅波动态势。受此影响，本计价周期内，原油变化率持续在负值范围内运行。 本次下调落实后，消费者用油成本将继续减少。以油箱容量为50升的小型私家车为例，加满一箱92#汽 油将少花2元左右。以月跑两千公里，百公里油耗在8升的小型私家车为例，到下次调价窗口也就是12月 22号24点之前的半个月内，消费者用油成本将下降3元。物流行业，以月跑10000公里，百公里油耗在 38L的重型卡车为例，在下次调价窗口开启前，单辆车的燃油成本将减少89元左右。 后期来看，王雪琴进一步表示，未来油价走势除了需要关注美联储降息节奏以外，美元趋势性走弱可能 为原油价格带来长期提振，这导致短期油价维持偏强运行行情。按照上周五原油收盘价格测算 ...

2025年以来，国内成品油零售限价已经历二十二轮调整窗口，分别为"七涨九跌六搁浅"。调价后，国内 汽、柴油价格每吨较去年底分别下跌620元、595元。 11月24日(周一)24时，国内成品油零售限价将迎来新一轮调整时间窗口。机构跟踪的最新国际原油价格 变动状况预测数据显示，本轮成品油零售限价下调幅度超过50元/吨的红线要求，本轮成品油零售限价 大概率将下调。 数据来源：国家发改委网站 隆众资讯成品油分析师李彦认为，本轮国内成品油零售限价将迎来2025年以来第十次下调。 若本次成品油零售限价下调措施落实，消费者用油成本将有所下降。卓创资讯成品油分析师高青翠表 示，届时，油箱容量50升的小型私家车，加满一箱92号汽油将比此前少花约2.5元。此外，国内实行"一 省一价"的地区，92号汽油将全面进入"6元时代"。 国内成品油本轮计价周期以来，国际原油价格运行重心下移，导致国内参考的原油变化率持续在负值范 围内运行。卓创资讯监测模型测算显示，截至11月21日收盘，即国内成品油本轮计价周期的第10个工作 日，参考的原油变化率为-1.50%，预计11月24日24时汽、柴油零售限价每吨将分别下调70元、65元。折 合成升价后 ...

Core Insights - The price of gasoline and diesel in Shanxi Province will increase by 125 CNY and 120 CNY per ton respectively, marking the seventh increase in domestic retail prices [1] - Despite concerns over potential oversupply due to OPEC+ possibly increasing production and rising U.S. oil inventories, the overall trend in international crude oil prices has been downward [1] - The upcoming price adjustment window is set for November 24, 2025, with expectations of a potential decrease in prices based on current crude oil trends [2] Price Adjustments - The new retail prices for gasoline are set at 6.90 CNY per liter for 92 and 7.45 CNY per liter for 95 [1] - For private car owners, filling a 50L tank with 92 gasoline will cost an additional 5 CNY, while the monthly fuel cost for a typical vehicle running 2000 km will increase by approximately 7 CNY [1] - In the logistics sector, a heavy truck running 10,000 km per month will see an increase in fuel costs of about 177 CNY before the next price adjustment [1] Market Outlook - Future market focus will be on the crude oil inventory situation following the seasonal decline in U.S. oil demand, with expectations of narrow fluctuations in international oil prices [2] - The next pricing cycle may start with a negative crude oil price change rate, potentially leading to a price decrease of around 70 CNY per ton [2]

成品油：成品油零售限价遇年内第七次上调 【免责声明】本文仅代表作者本人观点，与和讯网无关。和讯网站对文中陈述、观点判断保持中立，不 对所包含内容的准确性、可靠性或完整性提供任何明示或暗示的保证。请读者仅作参考，并请自行承担 全部责任。邮箱：news_center@staff.hexun.com 11月10日24时汽、柴油零售限价每吨分别上调125、120元，升价92#汽油、95#汽油、0#柴油均上调0.10 元。此次调价为年内的第七次上调。由于欧佩克+进一步增产，油市供应过剩持续施压，本周期原油变 化率正值回落，因此本轮零售限价上调落地幅度收窄。北美进入需求淡季，油品市场面临持续累库，因 此新周期的原油变化率将负值开局，预计首日对应下调幅度在70元/吨，调价窗口在11月24日24时。 ...

Core Viewpoint - The analysis from Zhaochuang Information indicates that during the current retail price adjustment cycle for refined oil (from October 27 to November 10), international crude oil prices have shown a narrow fluctuation and a downward trend in average values, leading to a significant decrease in the crude oil change rate after a high starting point. The probability of an increase in retail price for refined oil is high, but the expected increase is narrowing [1] Group 1 - The crude oil change rate as of November 6 is reported at 3.12%, suggesting an expected increase in gasoline and diesel prices by 135 CNY per ton [1] - The anticipated price adjustments for 92 gasoline, 95 gasoline, and 0 diesel are expected to rise by 0.11 CNY [1] - There is still one working day before the price adjustment window opens, indicating that the expected increase may further narrow [1]

Core Viewpoint - The analysis from Zhaochuang Information indicates that during the current retail price adjustment cycle for refined oil (from October 27 to November 10), international crude oil prices have shown a narrow fluctuation and a downward trend in average values, leading to a significant decrease in the crude oil price change rate, which is expected to result in a retail price increase for refined oil, although the anticipated increase is narrowing [1] Group 1 - The crude oil price change rate as of November 6 is reported at 3.12%, suggesting an expected increase in gasoline and diesel prices by 135 yuan per ton, translating to an increase of 0.11 yuan per liter for 92 gasoline, 95 gasoline, and 0 diesel [1] - The price adjustment window is set to open on November 10 at 24:00, with one working day remaining before the adjustment [1] - The probability of a price increase for refined oil is high, but the expected increase margin is likely to further narrow before the adjustment [1]

Group 1 - The core point of the article is that the retail prices of refined oil in China are experiencing their ninth reduction of the year, with gasoline and diesel prices decreasing by 265 and 255 yuan per ton respectively, translating to a drop of 0.21 yuan for 92 gasoline, 0.22 yuan for 95 gasoline, and 0.22 yuan for 0 diesel [1] - The price adjustment is attributed to the recent strong rebound in international oil prices due to intensified sanctions against Russian oil by Europe and the United States [1] - There is an expectation for an increase in retail prices in the next cycle, with an anticipated rise of 230 yuan per ton, and the next price adjustment window is set for November 10 at 24:00 [1]

Core Viewpoint - The domestic retail price of refined oil is expected to be lowered significantly, marking the ninth reduction this year, with a predicted decrease of approximately 300 yuan/ton for both gasoline and diesel [1][2][3]. Price Adjustment Expectations - The new round of domestic refined oil price adjustments is set to occur on October 27, with expectations of a reduction exceeding 50 yuan/ton [1]. - The current reference crude oil change rate stands at -6.93%, indicating a strong likelihood of price cuts for gasoline and diesel [2]. - Analysts predict that the prices for 92 gasoline and 0 diesel will decrease by 0.24 yuan/liter and 0.26 yuan/liter, respectively [2]. Historical Context - Since 2025, there have been twenty rounds of price adjustments, resulting in six increases, eight decreases, and six instances of no change [3]. - The cumulative price reductions for gasoline and diesel since the end of last year are 480 yuan/ton and 460 yuan/ton, respectively [3]. Market Trends - Recent data shows that the average market price for 92 gasoline is 7418 yuan/ton, down 3.18% from the previous adjustment cycle, while diesel is at 6451 yuan/ton, down 1.78% [5]. - The overall supply remains stable, but demand has weakened, contributing to a bearish market sentiment [5]. - Analysts express caution regarding future oil prices, noting that geopolitical factors and production adjustments could influence market dynamics [5].

Core Viewpoint - The domestic retail price of refined oil is expected to decrease significantly, marking the ninth reduction this year, with a predicted drop of approximately 300 yuan/ton for both gasoline and diesel [1][2][3]. Group 1: Price Adjustment Expectations - The new round of domestic refined oil retail price adjustments is set to occur on October 27, with expectations of a reduction exceeding 50 yuan/ton [1]. - The current reference crude oil price change rate is at -6.93%, indicating a strong likelihood of price reductions for gasoline and diesel [2]. - Analysts predict that the price of 92 gasoline and 0 diesel will decrease by 0.24 yuan/liter and 0.26 yuan/liter, respectively [2]. Group 2: Market Conditions - The international crude oil prices have shown a mixed trend, initially declining and then rebounding slightly due to geopolitical tensions in Europe and decreasing U.S. oil inventories [2][5]. - The overall market sentiment remains cautious, with a weak demand for oil and a stable supply contributing to the downward pressure on prices [5]. - The average market price for 92 gasoline is currently 7418 yuan/ton, down 3.18% from the previous pricing cycle, while diesel is at 6451 yuan/ton, down 1.78% [5]. Group 3: Historical Context - Since 2025, there have been 20 rounds of price adjustments, with the current trend showing six increases, eight decreases, and six instances of no change [3]. - The cumulative price drop for gasoline and diesel since the end of last year is 480 yuan/ton and 460 yuan/ton, respectively [3][4].