原油变化率

Search documents
油价大涨近2毛/升后上演滑铁卢,下次7月15日调价,油价恐大降!
Sou Hu Cai Jing· 2025-07-04 06:59
Group 1 - The core viewpoint of the articles indicates a significant increase in domestic fuel prices, with a recent rise of nearly 0.2 yuan per liter following a series of price hikes in June, totaling an increase of 560 yuan per ton for gasoline and diesel [1][3][5] - The latest adjustments show that the price of 92/95 gasoline and 0 diesel has increased by 235 yuan and 225 yuan per ton respectively, leading to a cumulative increase of approximately 0.44-0.48 yuan per liter [1][3] - The current trend suggests a potential decrease in fuel prices in the upcoming adjustment on July 15, as the crude oil price change rate is currently negative, indicating a possible drop of 1.5-1.8 yuan per liter [5][7] Group 2 - As of July 4, 2025, the average price of crude oil is reported at 67.49 USD per barrel, with a crude oil change rate of -4.42%, leading to a projected decrease in domestic fuel prices [5][7] - The U.S. non-farm employment data released recently showed a growth of 147,000 jobs in June, exceeding market expectations, which may alleviate pressure on the Federal Reserve to cut interest rates, potentially supporting energy demand [5][7] - Despite the positive employment data, uncertainties regarding U.S. tariff measures and unexpected increases in crude oil inventory may lead to continued downward pressure on the oil market [5][7]
今天下班记得加油!油价即将迎来三连涨
Sou Hu Cai Jing· 2025-07-01 06:30
Group 1 - The core viewpoint of the articles indicates that domestic refined oil prices are set to increase for the third time, effective from July 1 at 24:00, due to fluctuations in international oil prices influenced by geopolitical tensions in the Middle East [1][3] - According to Zhaochuang Information, the reference crude oil change rate is currently at 5.41%, leading to an expected increase in retail prices of gasoline and diesel by 235 and 225 yuan per ton respectively, which translates to an increase of 0.18, 0.19, and 0.19 yuan per liter for 92 gasoline, 95 gasoline, and 0 diesel [1][3] - The increase in fuel costs for consumers is illustrated with examples: filling a 50L tank of 92 gasoline will cost an additional 9 yuan, while a small private car with a monthly mileage of 2000 km will see an increase of approximately 13 yuan in fuel costs before the next price adjustment window on July 15 [3] Group 2 - The logistics industry will experience a significant impact, with a heavy-duty truck running 10,000 km per month and consuming 38L per 100 km facing an increase of around 337 yuan in fuel costs before the next price adjustment [3] - Despite the recent easing of geopolitical tensions leading to a drop in international oil prices, the upcoming summer demand peak in the U.S. is expected to provide support for oil prices, indicating a potential for continued volatility in the market [3] - The new pricing cycle may present a downward adjustment expectation for domestic refined oil prices, with the next adjustment window scheduled for July 15 at 24:00 [3]
成品油:6月3日24时上调 汽柴油每吨分别涨65、60元
Sou Hu Cai Jing· 2025-06-03 04:42
Core Viewpoint - The retail price of refined oil in China will see a slight increase, impacting consumer fuel costs, with the adjustment window set for June 3 at 24:00 [1] Price Adjustment Details - The current pricing cycle has shown a positive change rate of 1.53% as of June 2, leading to an increase of 65 yuan per ton for gasoline and 60 yuan per ton for diesel [1] - The retail prices for 92 gasoline, 95 gasoline, and 0 diesel will rise by 0.05 yuan per liter, marking the fourth price increase this year [1] Consumer Impact - For a typical family car with a 50L fuel tank, filling up with 92 or 95 gasoline will cost an additional 2.5 yuan [1] - A small private car running 2,000 kilometers a month with an 8L/100km fuel consumption will see an increase of approximately 4 yuan in fuel costs before the next price adjustment on June 17 [1] - A heavy truck running 10,000 kilometers a month with a fuel consumption of 38L/100km will incur an additional fuel cost of about 89 yuan before the next adjustment [1] Market Conditions - The international crude oil prices have been fluctuating downwards due to factors such as easing US-China trade tensions, negotiations between the US and Iran, geopolitical issues in the Middle East, and OPEC+'s planned production increase in July [1] - OPEC+ has decided to increase production by an average of 411,000 barrels per day starting in July to suppress oil prices [1] - The overall geopolitical situation is currently manageable, with ongoing negotiations between the US and Iran, as well as between Russia and Ukraine, contributing to macroeconomic stability [1]
端午节后油价上涨,油价大降超0.57元/升后又上涨,6月3日调价!
Sou Hu Cai Jing· 2025-05-30 08:59
Core Viewpoint - The domestic fuel prices in China have reached a new low ahead of the Dragon Boat Festival, with gasoline and diesel prices decreasing by 0.57 yuan per liter, providing relief for consumers during the holiday period. However, a price increase is expected after the holiday due to the oil price adjustment mechanism [1][3][5]. Price Adjustments - As of May 19, 2023, the 10th price adjustment of the year resulted in a decrease of 0.18 to 0.2 yuan per liter for gasoline and diesel, marking a significant drop and bringing 92-octane gasoline back to the "6 yuan era" [1][3]. - Cumulatively, there have been 10 price adjustments this year, with a trend of more decreases than increases, particularly noted in April when international oil prices fell sharply [3][5]. Future Expectations - The 11th price adjustment is anticipated to occur after the Dragon Boat Festival, with predictions of an increase of 40 to 60 yuan per ton for gasoline and diesel prices, indicating a potential upward pressure on prices [5][7]. - Current international oil prices are fluctuating, with WTI at $60.94 per barrel and Brent at $64.15 per barrel, leading to an expected increase of 0.05 to 0.07 yuan per liter in the upcoming adjustment [5][7]. Regional Price Overview - The current prices for 92-octane gasoline across various regions in China range from 6.81 to 8.03 yuan per liter, with specific prices listed for major cities such as Beijing (6.91 yuan) and Shanghai (6.88 yuan) [7].
成品油:零售限价下周一将再遇下调
news flash· 2025-05-16 06:11
Group 1 - The core viewpoint of the article indicates that domestic refined oil retail prices will be adjusted downwards due to a decline in crude oil prices, with a significant impact expected on gasoline prices [1] - The average crude oil price during the current pricing cycle has shown a notable decrease compared to the previous cycle, leading to a negative crude oil price change rate of -5.23% as of May 15 [1] - The expected reduction in retail prices is approximately 230 yuan per ton, translating to a decrease of about 0.18 yuan per liter for 92 gasoline, which may bring prices back to the 6 yuan per liter range in multiple regions [1]
油价大涨2毛/升后,原油惨遭重创,下次4月17日调价,恢复下跌?
Sou Hu Cai Jing· 2025-04-04 07:28
Core Viewpoint - The oil market has experienced significant fluctuations, with recent price increases followed by a sharp decline, indicating potential volatility in future oil price adjustments [1][3][5]. Oil Price Adjustments - The latest oil price adjustment occurred on April 2, 2025, with gasoline and diesel prices increasing by 230 yuan and 220 yuan per ton, respectively, translating to an increase of approximately 0.18 to 0.20 yuan per liter for 92 and 95 octane gasoline [1][3]. - The current pricing cycle runs from April 3 to April 17, 2025, with the next adjustment window set for April 17 at 24:00 [3][7]. Market Trends - As of April 4, 2025, the reference crude oil change rate is at 2.91%, suggesting a potential increase of 150 yuan per ton for gasoline and diesel prices in the new cycle, equating to an increase of about 0.12 to 0.13 yuan per liter [3][5]. - Recent data shows a significant drop in international oil prices, with WTI crude at $66.95 per barrel (down 6.64%) and Brent crude at $70.14 per barrel (down 6.42%) [5][7]. Supply and Demand Factors - The increase in U.S. crude oil inventories by 6.2 million barrels has raised concerns about oversupply in the market [5]. - The implementation of new tariffs by the U.S. has led to fears of increased inflation and potential impacts on energy demand, complicating the outlook for oil prices [5][7]. Price Predictions - There is a possibility that the current cycle may see oil prices decline after an initial increase, with expectations of a potential drop in prices before the next adjustment [7].