Investment Rating - The report does not explicitly provide an investment rating for the industry Core Insights - The copper market shows a stable upward trend with a slight increase in prices and a notable rise in production rates for various types of copper [14] - The aluminum market is stabilizing at the bottom, with slight increases in production and inventory levels [15] - The gold market maintains high attractiveness due to international geopolitical tensions, enhancing its appeal as a safe-haven asset [16] - The rare earth sector is expected to see price increases due to supply constraints and regulatory changes, benefiting leading companies in the field [34] - The antimony market is stabilizing with expectations of price recovery driven by export improvements and domestic production cuts [37] - The molybdenum market remains bullish due to low inventory levels and strong demand from the steel industry [38] - The tin market is experiencing upward momentum supported by strong inventory levels and improving macroeconomic conditions [39] Summary by Sections 1. Base and Precious Metals Market Overview - Copper prices increased by 1.40% to $9,768.00 per ton on LME, with a notable rise in production rates [14] - Aluminum prices rose by 1.69% to $2,615.00 per ton on LME, with stable inventory levels [15] - Gold prices increased by 0.86% to $3,458.20 per ounce, driven by geopolitical factors [16] 2. Base and Precious Metals Fundamental Updates 2.1 Copper - The copper processing fee index rose to $38.06 per ton, with a significant increase in production rates across various sectors [14] 2.2 Aluminum - The operating capacity of alumina increased to 82.57%, reflecting recovery from maintenance [15] 2.3 Precious Metals - Gold holdings in SPDR increased by 4.84 tons, indicating strong demand [16] 3. Minor Metals and Rare Earth Market Overview - The rare earth market is expected to see price increases due to supply constraints and regulatory changes [34] - The antimony market is stabilizing with expectations of price recovery driven by export improvements [37] - The molybdenum market remains bullish due to low inventory levels and strong demand [38] 4. Minor Metals and Rare Earth Fundamental Updates 4.1 Rare Earth - Prices for praseodymium and neodymium oxide decreased by 1.84%, but supply constraints are expected to drive future price increases [34] 4.2 Antimony - Antimony prices remain stable, with expectations of recovery due to improved export conditions [37] 4.3 Molybdenum - Molybdenum prices are expected to rise due to low inventory and strong demand from the steel industry [38] 4.4 Tin - Tin prices increased by 1.61%, supported by strong inventory levels and improving demand conditions [39]

Core Viewpoint - The rare metals sector has seen a significant rise this week, driven by consumer demand and a trend against "involution" in the strategic resources field, with notable increases in related indices and ETFs [1][2]. Group 1: Market Performance - As of August 8, the Zhongzheng Rare Metals Theme Index and the Zhongzheng Rare Earth Industry Index recorded weekly gains of 5.13% and 5.43%, respectively [1]. - The Rare Metals ETF (562800) achieved a five-day consecutive increase with a weekly trading volume of 346 million yuan, while the Rare Earth ETF (516150) had a trading volume exceeding 1.6 billion yuan, averaging 322 million yuan daily, ranking first among similar products [1]. - Over the past month, the Rare Metals ETF (562800) had an average daily trading volume exceeding 80 million yuan, leading among comparable funds, with a circulation scale of 1.258 billion yuan [2]. Group 2: Fund Inflows and Investor Interest - The Rare Earth ETF (516150) saw an average daily trading volume of over 300 million yuan in the last month, ranking first among comparable funds, with a latest scale of 4.819 billion yuan, marking a new high since its inception [2]. - The Rare Earth ETF (516150) experienced continuous net inflows over four trading days, with a peak single-day net inflow of 168 million yuan on August 7, totaling over 400 million yuan in net inflows, indicating increasing investor interest in the rare earth sector [2]. Group 3: Industry Outlook - According to Guojin Securities, the prices of strategic resources are expected to be revalued due to the "anti-involution" trend, with expectations of supply contraction and a gradual recovery in exports, establishing an upward price trend [2]. - The series of policies aimed at industry supply reform is anticipated to benefit leading state-owned enterprises, suggesting a potential dual increase in performance and valuation for the sector [2]. Group 4: Index Composition - The Zhongzheng Rare Earth Industry Index focuses on upstream and downstream enterprises in the rare earth industry chain, with the top ten weighted stocks accounting for 59.32% of the index [3]. - The Zhongzheng Rare Metals Theme Index covers a broader range of rare metals, including lithium, cobalt, and nickel, with the top ten weighted stocks comprising 55.85% of the index [3].

Group 1: Market Overview - The price of praseodymium and neodymium oxide increased to 513,200 CNY/ton, a week-on-week rise of 7.23% [1][5] - LME copper price rose by 0.02% to 9,796.00 USD/ton, while Shanghai copper increased by 1.07% to 79,300 CNY/ton [2] - LME aluminum price decreased by 0.27% to 2,631.00 USD/ton, while Shanghai aluminum rose by 1.22% to 20,800 CNY/ton [3] Group 2: Supply and Demand Dynamics - Supply expectations for strategic resources are strengthening, with a potential recovery in exports [1][5] - Domestic electrolytic aluminum ingot inventory increased to 510,000 tons, indicating a supply surplus [3] - The operating rate of brass rod enterprises decreased by 0.32 percentage points to 49.32%, primarily due to weak demand [2] Group 3: Policy and Regulatory Impact - The implementation of new management regulations is expected to benefit leading state-owned enterprises, potentially leading to performance and valuation increases in the sector [1][5] - The introduction of mandatory 3C certification for flame-retardant wires and cables starting July 1 may boost demand for antimony [5] Group 4: Price Trends and Forecasts - The price of lithium carbonate increased by 7.64% to 70,200 CNY/ton, while lithium hydroxide rose by 4.18% to 65,200 CNY/ton [6] - Antimony prices are expected to rebound due to reduced domestic smelting capacity and improved export expectations [5] - Molybdenum prices are anticipated to rise as supply constraints emerge from a recent mining accident [6]