针对公众关心的今冬气候趋势，高荣介绍，截至9月，赤道中东太平洋处于ENSO（厄尔尼诺与南 方涛动的合称）中性偏冷状态。基于国内外数值模式和海洋大气演变特征的综合分析，预计今年秋季后 期将进入拉尼娜状态，并持续至2026年初，随后转为ENSO中性。此次拉尼娜状态持续时间较短，形成 拉尼娜事件的概率较低。 高荣表示，10月以来，我国冷空气活跃度较9月增强，共出现3次冷空气过程，接近常年同期，强度 均属一般。其中，16日至21日过程相对较强，导致中东部大部地区降温8—14℃，内蒙古、黑龙江、吉 林等地出现雨雪天气。 季节进程监测显示，目前北方大部地区已进入冬季。与常年同期相比，我国多地入冬时间呈现显著 差异。东北地区南部、华北东部和南部、西北地区东南部、华中西北部及山东中东部、贵州中部、新疆 西北部等地入冬偏早5天以上，其中华北东南部、山东中东部、河南西部、湖北西部、贵州中部等地偏 早幅度达10—20天，局地超20天。与此相反，黑龙江西北部、吉林东部、内蒙古中东部、西北地区中 部、四川中西部、西藏东部等地入冬偏晚5—20天，局地偏晚20天以上。 "10月以来（截至10月29日），全国平均气温11.1℃，接近常年同期 ...

Economic News - The Chinese Ministry of Commerce announced that recent negotiations between China and the US resulted in a consensus, including the US's cancellation of the 10% "fentanyl tariff" on Chinese goods and a one-year suspension of its 301 investigation measures against China's maritime, logistics, and shipbuilding industries [1] - Several leading lithium iron phosphate cathode material manufacturers, including Jiangxi Shenghua New Materials Co., Ltd. and Hunan Youneng New Energy Battery Materials Co., Ltd., have announced plans for capacity expansion [1] - The manufacturing Purchasing Managers' Index (PMI) for October is reported at 49.0%, a decrease of 0.8 percentage points from the previous month, indicating a decline in manufacturing activity [1] - The China Iron and Steel Association reported that key steel enterprises had a total operating income of 4.56 trillion yuan in the first three quarters, a year-on-year decrease of 2.36%, while total profits increased by 1.9 times to 96 billion yuan [1] Company Insights - Kefu Medical has launched its first respiratory mask and plans to introduce multiple new masks and next-generation ventilators next year, enhancing its smart respiratory ecosystem [4] - Zhenyu Technology signed a strategic cooperation agreement to invest 2.11 billion yuan in precision component manufacturing and humanoid robot modules in Ninghai County from 2025 to 2030 [4] - Huayu Pharmaceutical's subsidiary received approval for the market launch of injectable paclitaxel (albumin-bound) in Portugal and the UK [4] - Qiaoyin Co., Ltd. won a bid for a sanitation integration project in Lai County, with a contract value of approximately 204.98 million yuan per year for 25 years [4] - Pro Pharmaceutical's subsidiary received a drug registration certificate for L-carnitine injection, with a projected market size of 1.03 million units and sales of 9.65 billion yuan in 2024 [4] Daily Research Report - Qiaqia Food (002557.SZ) reported a total revenue of 4.501 billion yuan for the first three quarters of 2025, a year-on-year decrease of 5.38%, with net profit down 73.17% to 168 million yuan [5] - The sunflower seed segment, traditionally a revenue driver, faced challenges due to poor quality and increased competition, leading to significant revenue declines [6] - The nut segment showed resilience, maintaining a revenue share of around 20%, supported by seasonal sales during the Mid-Autumn Festival and National Day [6] - New product launches, including high-end sunflower seeds and low-calorie konjac products, are in the early promotion stage and are expected to contribute to future growth [7] - The company is experiencing increased pressure on raw material costs, with a sales gross margin of 21.94% and a net profit margin of 3.76%, both showing a significant decline year-on-year [7] Investment Forecast and Ratings - Due to ongoing cost pressures and competitive challenges, the profit forecast for Qiaqia Food has been revised downwards, with expected net profits of 459 million, 732 million, and 824 million yuan for 2025-2027, reflecting a year-on-year decline of 45.94% in 2025 [8] - Ningbo Bank (002142.SZ) reported a revenue of 54.98 billion yuan and a net profit of 22.45 billion yuan for the first three quarters of 2025, both showing an 8.3% year-on-year increase [10] - The bank's net interest income grew by 11.8% year-on-year, benefiting from a narrowing decline in net interest margins and strong growth in loan and bond investments [11] - The asset quality remains stable, with a non-performing loan ratio of 0.76% and a provision coverage ratio of 375.9%, indicating effective risk management [13] - The bank is expected to maintain a strong growth trajectory in revenue and profit, with projected net profit growth rates of 8.6%, 9.5%, and 10.0% for 2025-2027 [12]

（文章来源：央视新闻） 根据中国气象局国家气候中心最新预计，秋季后期将进入拉尼娜状态，并持续至2026年初。根据预测， 此次拉尼娜状态的持续时间较短，因此形成拉尼娜事件的概率较低。在拉尼娜状态下，冬季全国平均气 温接近常年同期至偏高，降水总体偏少，呈"北多南少"分布，南方地区发生大范围持续性低温雨雪冰冻 天气的风险总体较低。预计冬季气温阶段性特征明显，冷暖起伏大，华东南部、华中东部、华南东部等 地降水偏少。 ...

转自：北京日报客户端 ▶今日天气 今天是霜降节气，早晨有轻雾，山区伴有雨夹雪或零星小雪，白天阴转多云，北转南风二三级，最高气 温13℃。 夜间多云，南转北风一二级，最低气温3℃。 未来三天天空云量较多，早晚气温较低，请及时添衣保暖，谨防呼吸道和心脑血管疾病。 ▶尾号限行 2和7 ▶ 今年北京已完成27项市级疏堵工程！崇内大街将打通瓶颈点 2025年北京计划完成30项市级疏堵工程，截至目前已完工27项，包括京港澳高速杜家坎缓堵综合治理等 项目。正在推进的还有崇文门内大街（同仁医院门前）瓶颈段拓宽改造、建国路南辅路（国贸桥至四惠 桥）交通组织优化等项目，计划年内完工。 ▶ 年底开工，地铁亦庄线将与5号线直连直通，为宋家庄站减压 10月22日，北京市基础设施投资有限公司公示了《北京轨道交通亦庄线至5号线、10号线联络线工程环 境影响报告书》全文。根据报告书，亦庄线至5号线、10号线联络线工程计划在2025年底开工建设。项 目建成后，地铁亦庄线将与5号线直连直通运营，与10号线上行方向同台换乘，预计宋家庄站每日约7.1 万人次可不再换乘。 记者10月22日获悉，本周，物美将迎来7家"胖改"店集中开业，进一步织密京城便 ...