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联化科技(002250):公司1H25业绩超市场预期,看好公司业绩底部向上,逐步修复
Great Wall Securities· 2025-09-16 12:17
Investment Rating - The report maintains a "Buy" rating for the company, indicating an expected stock price increase of over 15% relative to the industry index in the next six months [4]. Core Viewpoints - The company's performance in the first half of 2025 exceeded market expectations, showing signs of recovery with a revenue increase of 5.76% year-on-year and a significant net profit growth of 1481.94% [1][2]. - The recovery in profitability from the agricultural protection business and significant growth in the pharmaceutical sector are key drivers of the company's improving performance [2][8]. - The company is focusing on expanding its overseas operations and enhancing its product offerings in the agricultural protection and pharmaceutical sectors, which are expected to contribute to long-term growth [8][9]. Financial Summary - **Revenue Forecast**: The company is projected to achieve revenues of 68.82 billion, 79.49 billion, and 90.29 billion yuan for 2025, 2026, and 2027, respectively, with year-on-year growth rates of 21.2%, 15.5%, and 13.6% [9]. - **Net Profit Forecast**: Expected net profits are 4.09 billion, 5.81 billion, and 7.28 billion yuan for the same years, with growth rates of 297.0%, 42.0%, and 25.2% [9]. - **Earnings Per Share (EPS)**: The projected EPS for 2025, 2026, and 2027 are 0.44, 0.63, and 0.79 yuan, respectively [9]. - **Valuation Ratios**: The price-to-earnings (P/E) ratios are expected to be 25.6, 18.0, and 14.4 for the years 2025, 2026, and 2027 [9]. Business Segment Performance - **Agricultural Protection**: Revenue from agricultural intermediates was 17.02 billion yuan, with a year-on-year decline of 9.13%. However, the gross margin improved to 24.99%, up 9.48 percentage points year-on-year [2]. - **Pharmaceuticals**: The pharmaceutical segment saw revenue of 10.18 billion yuan, a year-on-year increase of 42.80%, with a stable gross margin [8]. - **New Energy**: The company has commercialized four new energy products and is advancing several others through various stages of development, indicating potential for a second growth curve [9].