当"噩梦"照进现实：烂尾楼的"死局"迎刃而解，购房者迎来春天 然而，时移世易。就在不久前，最高人民法院发布了一份具有划时代意义的"终极定调"："房子未交付，购房者有权依法解除合同，贷款合同亦可一并解 除，购房者无需承担房贷责任！" 买房，本应是人生中充满憧憬与希望的里程碑。然而，残酷的现实却让一批购房者陷入了漫长的"烂尾噩梦"，焦头烂额，身心俱疲。他们支付了高昂的首 付，背负了沉重的贷款，却迟迟无法迎来新家的钥匙，甚至还面临着贷款"断供"和被催收"黑债"的双重危机。 就在近日，一份来自最高人民法院的"官方定音"，为困扰已久的烂尾楼困境带来了破冰的曙光。这一重大转变，不仅让银行、开发商、购房者皆感措手不 及，更彻底动摇了旧有的房地产市场游戏规则。 01、烂尾楼：为何屡禁不止的"顽疾"？ 近年来，烂尾楼的触角似乎无处不在，频频成为媒体关注的焦点。有人将根源归咎于房地产市场的"风声鹤唳"，认为开发商资金链断裂是导致项目停工的罪 魁祸首。另一些人则将矛头直指"预售制"这一制度性陷阱，购房者担心购买的期房最终沦为"烂尾"，却仍需顶着巨大的财务压力继续还贷。 然而，深入剖析，烂尾的成因绝非仅仅是购房者的"不幸"或"失误" ...

Group 1 - The Supreme People's Court has ruled that homebuyers facing unfinished properties can legally terminate their purchase contracts and loan agreements, relieving them of repayment obligations for loans on properties that have not been delivered [4][5][6] - A significant case involving a buyer from Yancheng, Jiangsu, illustrates the ruling's implications, where the court ordered the developer to refund the buyer's down payment and loan principal, along with interest, while also relieving the buyer of further loan obligations [6][7] - The ruling marks a pivotal shift in the legal landscape, emphasizing that financial contracts cannot override principles of fairness and justice, thus protecting homebuyers from undue financial burdens in cases of project abandonment [10][12] Group 2 - The prevalence of unfinished properties has reached alarming levels, with approximately 2.31 million unfinished homes reported nationwide, affecting over a million families and raising significant social stability concerns [14] - The shift from a pre-sale system to a focus on selling completed properties is becoming mainstream, as the drawbacks of the pre-sale model have become increasingly apparent, leading to a redefinition of market rules [15] - This new legal precedent signals a transformation in buyer confidence, encouraging a preference for completed properties to mitigate risks associated with unfinished developments [15][16]

Core Insights - The mortgage default rate in China has risen to 4.7% in July 2025, marking a 0.3 percentage point increase from June and continuing a four-month upward trend, particularly affecting third and fourth-tier cities where the rate has reached 6.8% [1][2] - Economic pressures, including a GDP growth rate of only 4.8% in the first half of 2025, have contributed to declining household income growth, which has fallen to 3.2% compared to 5.8% in the same period of 2022, impacting repayment capabilities [1][2] - The continuous decline in housing prices, with new home prices down 5.7% and second-hand home prices down 6.9% year-on-year, has exacerbated the situation for homebuyers, leading to increased default intentions [2][4] - The financial stability of the banking sector is under threat, with the non-performing loan rate for real estate-related loans rising to 3.7%, and potential new non-performing loans exceeding 400 billion yuan if defaults continue [4][6] - Government and financial institutions are implementing measures to stabilize the real estate market, including lowering down payment ratios and adjusting mortgage interest rates [4][6] Economic Factors - The economic downturn is a significant factor, with the National Development and Reform Commission reporting a GDP growth target of 5.2% for 2025, which has not been met [1][7] - The decline in household income growth has directly affected repayment abilities, particularly for high-debt families where mortgage payments exceed 50% of their income [1][2] Housing Market Dynamics - The ongoing decline in housing prices has led to a significant number of homebuyers facing negative equity, with some cities experiencing price drops exceeding 15% [2][4] - The number of unfinished housing projects has surpassed 380, affecting nearly 390,000 homeowners, contributing to the rising default rates [2][4] Financial Sector Response - Major banks have increased provisions for potential bad loans, with state-owned banks setting aside over 280 billion yuan in the first half of 2025, a 22.6% increase from the previous year [6][9] - Banks are offering various relief measures, including loan repayment extensions and interest rate adjustments, to assist struggling homeowners [6][9] Future Outlook - The future of the mortgage default rate will depend on macroeconomic recovery and stabilization of the real estate market, with expectations that policy effects will lead to a peak and subsequent decline in default rates by the end of the year [7][9] - The transition from the previous housing market model to a more sustainable development framework is essential for addressing the underlying issues of mortgage defaults [9]

Core Viewpoint - The article discusses the complexities and risks associated with purchasing abandoned real estate properties, highlighting a specific case in Guilin where a previously unsold property was auctioned for a significantly lower price, but with substantial hidden costs and obligations involved in the acquisition process [1][3][5]. Group 1: Auction Process and Costs - A property in Guilin was auctioned for 20.3 million, down from a previous price of over 60 million, but the buyer must pay a 5 million performance deposit, which is non-refundable if the project fails to meet inspection standards for two consecutive months [3][5][6]. - The property is an abandoned residential complex that requires resolving issues for 13 households, with additional costs totaling approximately 2.13 million, leading to a total upfront cost of 7.13 million before any construction begins [5][6]. - There are strict timelines for starting construction within two months and completing delivery within nine months, with financial liabilities falling on the buyer if these deadlines are not met [6][8]. Group 2: Risks of Purchasing Abandoned Properties - The article emphasizes that purchasing abandoned properties is not straightforward, as seen in a case in Beijing where a factory was auctioned for only 18,000, but the court later canceled the sale due to creditor objections [8][9]. - Factors such as unclear property rights, creditor disputes, and multiple mortgages can complicate the acquisition process, often leading to the cancellation of sales to protect creditor interests [9][10]. - The article illustrates that the government plays a crucial role in facilitating the sale of abandoned properties, as demonstrated by the successful auction of the Fengdan Liyuan property in Guilin, which involved government intervention to attract buyers through financial incentives [12][14][16]. Group 3: Government Initiatives and Market Dynamics - The Guilin government has actively sought to address the issue of abandoned properties by implementing strategies to revitalize these assets, including adjusting commercial-residential ratios and providing financial support for redevelopment [14][16][20]. - The article notes that the problem of abandoned properties is widespread across China, with various provinces, including Hunan, facing similar challenges and implementing measures to ensure the delivery of housing projects [20][22]. - The "guarantee delivery" initiative in Hunan aims to address the backlog of undelivered housing units, highlighting the need for collaborative efforts among stakeholders to resolve the abandoned property crisis [22].