[Table_scodeMsg1] 联合研究丨公司深度丨特变电工（600089.SH） [Table_Title] 特变电工：圭璋"特"达，"变"启新程 %% %% %% %% research.95579.com 1 丨证券研究报告丨 报告要点 [Table_Summary] 我们认为特变电工经过多年的深耕和产业拓展布局，目前已经形成装备和能源的多元化布局， 公司正从输变电龙头企业向能源综合巨头发展。近 2 年受到硅料、煤炭价格下降影响，公司整 体经营有所波动。当前时点，我们认为公司几大核心业务有望迎来全面向上发展，并且公司积 极拓展能源一体化业务，未来有望带来增量贡献。 分析师及联系人 [Table_Author] 邬博华 王鹤涛 曹海花 SAC：S0490514040001 SAC：S0490512070002 SAC：S0490522030001 SFC：BQK482 SFC：BQT626 肖勇 司鸿历 易轰 SAC：S0490516080003 SAC：S0490520080002 SAC：S0490520080012 SFC：BUT918 SFC：BVD284 SFC：BUZ394 袁澎 周相君 ...

Core Insights - The report highlights a significant increase in the power equipment sector, with the power equipment index rising by 36.37% as of December 16, 2025, driven by the surge in power demand from AI and the robust domestic energy storage needs [1][12][14] - The outlook for 2026 anticipates continued growth in global power infrastructure investment, focusing on two main themes: overseas expansion of power equipment and domestic market reforms [1][18] Group 1: Global Power Demand and Investment - The AI wave is driving an increase in global power demand, leading to higher requirements for power grids, particularly in North America, where aging infrastructure needs replacement [2][20] - Global power grid investment is projected to reach $413.3 billion in 2025, a 6.63% increase from 2024, with North America, Europe, and China being the primary growth regions [20][21] - The report recommends companies such as Sanyuan Electric, Dongfang Electric, and Shunhua Power as potential beneficiaries of this trend [2][18] Group 2: Domestic Market Reforms and Opportunities - The introduction of policies requiring all renewable energy to enter market trading is expected to enhance investment in power grids, particularly in high-voltage and distribution networks [19][39] - The report emphasizes the need for companies that can address regional resource mismatches through high-voltage and main grid construction, recommending firms like XJ Electric and Pinggao Electric [19][39] - The ongoing reforms in the electricity market are anticipated to create new opportunities for investment in power grid infrastructure, particularly in digitalization and resource optimization [19][39] Group 3: Export Opportunities and Market Dynamics - The report notes a strong performance in exports of power equipment, with transformers, high-voltage switches, insulators, and cables showing over 30% growth, indicating a robust overseas demand [20][22] - Companies with overseas capabilities, such as Dongfang Electric and Siemens Energy, are expected to benefit from the increasing backlog of orders in the global gas turbine market [25][33] - The report highlights that the demand for gas-fired power generation equipment is rising due to the growing electricity needs in North America, particularly from data centers [31][33]

（文章来源：每日经济新闻） 电网ETF（561380）跟踪的是恒生A股电网设备指数（HSCAUPG），该指数从内地市场选取主营业务 涉及电网设备领域的上市公司证券作为指数样本，以反映电网设备相关行业证券的整体表现。指数成分 股覆盖电力网络建设、技术升级等关键领域，在行业代表性和聚焦性方面特征显著，配置上以制造业为 主，同时涵盖科技及周期性板块。 华福证券指出，攀西特高压交流工程项目获批，计划2026年上半年开工，总投资231.7亿元，将新建两 座1000千伏变电站及双回特高压线路，提升攀西地区580万千瓦电力外送能力，并带动700万千瓦新能源 开发。甘肃—浙江±800千伏特高压直流输电工程进入电气安装阶段，投运后每年可为浙江输送超360亿 千瓦时电能，其中新能源占比超50%。特高压建设加速推进，有助于提升清洁能源消纳能力，推动电网 升级。 ...

花旗表示，在全球电力需求被AI数据中心、电气化和可再生能源并网大举推高的背景下，叠加美联储 降息周期降低融资成本，助推电网基建长期项目投资，亚洲市场的最核心电网设备与储能类公司（尤其 是聚焦于高压变压器、GIS和储能系统的相关电力公司）正处在一个"多年的结构性上升周期"开端。 全国统一电力市场建设持续推进，推动主网投资需求增长。华泰证券指出，"十五五"期间电网投资有望 超4万亿元，较"十四五"期间显著提升。其中，750kV和500kV等高电压等级主网建设是重点方向，近年 来相关设备招标需求快速上升。2025年1-5批国网输变电招标金额同比增速达19.1%，预计2026年将进一 步加速。随着西部能源外送需求增强及区域电网互联互济能力要求提升，主网网架建设将成为支撑全国 电力大市场的重要基础设施。 海外方面，美国数据中心电力接入周期长、供应紧张，催生对就地供电方案的需求。天风证券指出， AI驱动下美国2025-2030年将新增55GW数据中心负荷，传统燃气轮机交付周期超过三年，而固体氧化 物燃料电池（SOFC）模块化系统可在90至120天内完成部署，更适配紧迫用电需求。此外，SOFC具备 低冗余配置优势，在实现同 ...

金吾财讯 | 电力设备股震荡走强，截至发稿，哈尔滨电气(01133)涨7.16%，东方电气(01072)涨6.02%， 超威动力(00951)涨2.94%，上海电气(02727)涨2.48%，亿华通(02402)涨2.05%。 该机构提到，全国统一电力市场建设加速推进，该机构预计"十五五"期间电网投资有望达到4万亿元以 上，相比于"十四五"期间电网投资2.8万亿元显着提升。其中，主网建设助力全国电网网架实现互联互 通，是全国统一电力大市场搭建的重要支撑，该机构认为仍将是重点建设方向。 来源：金吾财讯 华泰证券表示，根据浙江日报，浙江特高压交流环网工程正式获国家发展和改革委核准批复，预计在 2029建成投运，总投资约293亿元，是迄今为止国内投资最高、单体工程量最大的特高压交流工程。该 机构看好全国统一电力市场建设加速推进下，十五五期间电网投资保持稳步增长态势，跨省输电通道建 设与西部薄弱电网补强需求明确，特高压建设需求处于高位，主网投资有望进一步提速。 ...

该机构提到，全国统一电力市场建设加速推进，该机构预计"十五五"期间电网投资有望达到4万亿元以 上，相比于"十四五"期间电网投资2.8万亿元显着提升。其中，主网建设助力全国电网网架实现互联互 通，是全国统一电力大市场搭建的重要支撑，该机构认为仍将是重点建设方向。 金吾财讯 | 电力设备股震荡走强，截至发稿，哈尔滨电气(01133)涨7.16%，东方电气(01072)涨6.02%， 超威动力(00951)涨2.94%，上海电气(02727)涨2.48%，亿华通(02402)涨2.05%。 金吾财讯 | 电力设备股震荡走强，截至发稿，哈尔滨电气(01133)涨7.16%，东方电气(01072)涨6.02%， 超威动力(00951)涨2.94%，上海电气(02727)涨2.48%，亿华通(02402)涨2.05%。 华泰证券表示，根据浙江日报，浙江特高压交流环网工程正式获国家发展和改革委核准批复，预计在 2029建成投运，总投资约293亿元，是迄今为止国内投资最高、单体工程量最大的特高压交流工程。该 机构看好全国统一电力市场建设加速推进下，十五五期间电网投资保持稳步增长态势，跨省输电通道建 设与西部薄弱电网补强需求明 ...

（责任编辑：张晓波 ） 【免责声明】本文仅代表作者本人观点，与和讯网无关。和讯网站对文中陈述、观点判断保持中立，不对所包含内容 的准确性、可靠性或完整性提供任何明示或暗示的保证。请读者仅作参考，并请自行承担全部责任。邮箱： news_center@staff.hexun.com 注：如提及个股仅供参考，不代表投资建议。指数/基金短期涨跌幅及历史表现仅供分析参考，不 预示未来表现。市场观点随市场环境变化而变动，不构成任何投资建议或承诺。文中提及指数仅供参 考，不构成任何投资建议，也不构成对基金业绩的预测和保证。如需购买相关基金产品，请选择与风险 等级相匹配的产品。基金有风险，投资需谨慎。 每日经济新闻 华福证券指出，攀西特高压交流工程项目已获核准，计划2026年上半年开工，总投资231亿元，将 新建两座1000千伏变电站和双回特高压线路，提升攀西地区580万千瓦电力外送能力及700万千瓦新能源 开发规模。甘肃—浙江±800kV特高压直流输电工程取得关键进展，越州换流站进入电气安装阶段，预 计投运后每年可为浙江输送超360亿千瓦时电能，其中新能源占比超50%。特高压建设加速将显著增强 清洁能源消纳与跨区域调配能力 ...

华福证券指出，攀西特高压交流工程项目已获核准，计划2026年上半年开工，总投资231亿元，将新建 两座1000千伏变电站和双回特高压线路，提升攀西地区580万千瓦电力外送能力及700万千瓦新能源开发 规模。甘肃—浙江±800kV特高压直流输电工程取得关键进展，越州换流站进入电气安装阶段，预计投 运后每年可为浙江输送超360亿千瓦时电能，其中新能源占比超50%。特高压建设加速将显著增强清洁 能源消纳与跨区域调配能力，推动电网设备需求持续释放。 电网ETF（561380）跟踪的是恒生A股电网设备指数（HSCAUPG），该指数综合反映电网设备相关上 市公司的整体市场表现。 （文章来源：每日经济新闻） ...

Core Viewpoint - China Western Electric's performance in the first three quarters of 2025 shows a year-on-year increase of 19.29%, indicating strong growth [1] Financial Performance - The company's gross profit margin for the first three quarters of 2025 is 22.14%, an increase of 1.66 percentage points year-on-year, reflecting an overall improvement in profitability [1] Market Outlook - The core growth in the first three quarters is expected to be driven by key products such as switches and transformers [1] - The investment scale for national grid construction in 2025 is projected to exceed 650 billion yuan, continuing a high growth trend [1] - Fixed asset investment by the Southern Power Grid is expected to surpass 175 billion yuan [1] Industry Demand - The demand for ultra-high voltage construction is rigid and sustained, driven by the delivery from the Shage Desert Base and the demand for hydropower in the southwest [1] - The company maintains a solid market position, with products like switchgear and transformers ranking among the industry leaders [1] - As a comprehensive leader in transmission and distribution equipment, the company is poised to benefit from the high demand in grid construction and a robust downstream market [1]

Investment Rating - The report maintains a rating of "Accumulate" for the company [5]. Core Views - The company reported a year-on-year revenue increase of 19.29% for the first three quarters of 2025, with a gross margin of 22.14%, reflecting improved profitability [1][3]. - The company is expected to benefit from the high demand for high-voltage equipment, with significant investments in the national grid projected to exceed 650 billion yuan in 2025 [1][10]. - The core products, including switches and transformers, are anticipated to contribute significantly to revenue growth [4][10]. Summary by Sections Financial Performance - For the first three quarters of 2025, the company achieved a revenue of 17.004 billion yuan, a year-on-year increase of 11.54%, and a net profit attributable to shareholders of 939 million yuan, up 19.29% [2]. - The gross margin for the first three quarters was 22.14%, an increase of 1.66 percentage points year-on-year, attributed to scale effects and cost reduction efforts [3]. Product Contribution - In the first half of 2025, the revenue from the transformer segment was 4.94 billion yuan, up 10.4%, while the switch segment generated 4.25 billion yuan, a 4% increase [4]. - The company’s core products, including power transformers and high-voltage switches, are expected to see substantial revenue growth [4]. Market Outlook - The investment in the national grid is projected to continue at a high level, with the first nine months of 2025 seeing an investment completion of 398.2 billion yuan, a 21.1% increase year-on-year [10]. - The demand for high-voltage equipment remains strong, with significant procurement planned by the State Grid, including approximately 119 billion yuan for transformers and 135 billion yuan for combination electrical equipment [10].