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印度电力市场最新数据分析:中长期储能需求236.22GWh
鑫椤储能· 2025-07-16 07:06
Core Viewpoint - The Indian energy storage market is entering a rapid expansion phase, with significant growth in battery storage demand projected for the short and medium term [1][6]. Group 1: Market Demand and Government Support - The Indian Energy Storage Alliance predicts that battery storage demand will reach 8.68 GW/34.72 GWh by 2026-2027 and 47.24 GW/236.22 GWh by 2031-2032 [1]. - The Indian central government's VGF feasibility gap funding plan has a total investment of ₹2.0 billion, supporting 30 GWh of electrochemical storage projects, with 13.2 GWh already initiated [1]. - A new round of incentive policies has reduced the unit subsidy by 33% to ₹1.8 million/MWh but removed the previous 30% subsidy cap, allowing for more flexible project financing [1]. Group 2: Infrastructure and Capacity Growth - The Indian government has extended the ISTS transmission fee exemption policy until June 30, 2028, enhancing the economic viability of storage projects [2]. - As of May 2025, India's total installed capacity has reached 476 GW, a net increase of 106 GW from 370 GW in 2020, with an annual compound growth rate of approximately 6.5% [2]. - Nearly 40% of the new capacity comes from photovoltaics, which have doubled their share to 23%, while thermal power's share has decreased from 62% to 50% [2]. Group 3: Electricity Pricing and Market Dynamics - By June 2025, the daytime market electricity price in India has fallen to ₹3.71/kWh, with a significant price drop observed over the past 10 months [4]. - On July 8, the maximum price difference in the day-ahead market reached ₹8.25/kWh, indicating a favorable environment for storage arbitrage [4]. - The price fluctuations in the market suggest that the pure arbitrage model for storage is becoming increasingly feasible in India [4]. Group 4: Future Projections and Challenges - From May 2025 to the 2032 fiscal year, India plans to add a total of 425 GW of new installed capacity, with over half (254 GW) coming from photovoltaics [6]. - The peak load growth rate is expected to outpace electricity demand, with the peak load approaching 370 GW by 2032, highlighting the importance of storage [6]. - Structural issues such as low completion rates of solar projects and delays in PPA signing are hindering the growth of renewable energy installations [7]. Group 5: Global Opportunities and Events - The 2025 World Battery and Energy Storage Industry Expo will take place from August 8-10 in Guangzhou, providing a platform for global business cooperation and networking [8][10]. - The expo aims to connect high-quality overseas buyers with Chinese enterprises, facilitating international market expansion [9][10].