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王召金:9.30黄金今日最新最新行情走势分析
Sou Hu Cai Jing· 2025-09-30 00:09
Group 1: Gold Market Analysis - The current market has high expectations for interest rate cuts, and hawkish comments from officials could strengthen the dollar, negatively impacting gold prices [1] - Gold prices have continued to rise, recently surpassing the psychological level of $3,800 per ounce, reaching a high of $3,834, supported by U.S. inflation data aligning with market expectations [1] - The low interest rate environment reduces the opportunity cost of holding non-yielding assets like gold, providing strong support for gold prices amid ongoing geopolitical uncertainties and risks of U.S. government shutdown [1] Group 2: Technical Analysis of Gold - Gold prices are currently operating within an ascending channel, approaching the upper boundary, and traders should monitor reactions at this level [3] - Short-term support levels are identified at $3,805-$3,792, with significant support around $3,757-$3,760, while short-term resistance is noted at $3,850-$3,860 [3] - A bullish stance is maintained as long as prices do not break below $3,805, with a focus on buying on dips [3] Group 3: Gold Indicators - The Relative Strength Index (RSI) is at 75.90, indicating an overbought condition, yet the bullish trend remains intact [4] - The MACD suggests further upward movement for gold prices, and traders with low leverage are advised to hold positions as long as the price remains above the 5-day moving average [4] - Today's trading strategy for gold emphasizes buying on dips and selling on rebounds, with key resistance at $3,850-$3,860 and support at $3,805-$3,795 [4] Group 4: Silver Market Analysis - International and domestic silver prices have reached new annual and historical highs, indicating a strong bull market for silver [6] - Silver has shown consistent daily gains, with short-term moving averages in a bullish arrangement, and prices have surpassed the $46 mark [6] - The RSI indicates a slight overbought condition, but no immediate reversal signals are present, suggesting a continued strong outlook for silver [6] Group 5: Technical Analysis of Silver - The trading strategy for silver focuses on buying on pullbacks and selling on rebounds, with resistance levels at $46.7-$46.5 and support levels at $47.3-$47.5 [6] - Recommendations include entering long positions at $46.7-$46.5 with a stop loss at $46.3 and a target of $47.2-$47.5 [6]
黄金,调整继续,3760分水岭!
Sou Hu Cai Jing· 2025-09-26 03:24
据央视新闻消息,北京时间今晨(26日),特朗普在其社交平台宣布了多项关税措施,包括将对所有进口重型卡车加征25%关税、对所有厨房橱柜、浴室梳妆 台及相关产品征收50%的关税、对软垫家具征收 30%关税,对未在美国动工建设药厂的公司的药品征收100%关税。特朗普表示,上述关税措施都将于今年 10月1日起生效。 当地时间9月25日,美联储理事米兰表示,美联储应立即采取更激进的降息措施,以避免对美国经济造成损害。米兰主张"短期、大幅"降息。米兰认为,美 联储限制性政策持续的时间越长,经济风险就越大。美联储政策过于紧缩,经济更容易受到冲击。美联储需要前瞻性地看待经济正在发生的变革。米兰表 示,当前利率过于具有限制性,希望能够将利率下调150至200个基点,使其大幅接近中性利率。 芝加哥联储主席古尔斯比表示,短期内,最令人担忧的是通胀持续上升的风险。"我们将会且必须把通胀率降至2%。如果通胀朝着2%的目标迈进,利率可 以进一步大幅下调,但对提前大幅降息持谨慎态度。" 达拉斯联储主席洛根(Lorie Logan)提议,美联储应放弃其基准利率——联邦基金利率,转而采用一种应用更广泛的市场风向标。自20世纪80年代以来,联 ...
黄金,大涨抵达通道上沿,回落调整!
Sou Hu Cai Jing· 2025-09-24 02:49
Group 1 - Trump has shifted his stance on the Russia-Ukraine issue, indicating readiness to impose tariffs if Russia is unwilling to reach an agreement, and asserting that NATO countries should shoot down Russian planes entering NATO airspace [1] - The European Commission has implemented the 19th round of sanctions against Russia, which includes banning the import of Russian liquefied natural gas and expanding sanctions to third-country refineries and oil traders [1] - The Federal Reserve has lowered the federal funds rate by 25 basis points to a range of 4%-4.25%, with officials indicating that future policy adjustments will be data-driven and flexible [1][2] Group 2 - Gold prices have surged, reaching a new high of $3,790.9 per ounce, with a year-to-date increase exceeding 40%, while silver has also seen significant gains, rising over 50% [4] - The recent bullish trend in gold has seen prices rise nearly $450 from a low of $3,311, with potential targets for further increases set between $3,850 and $3,880 based on historical price movements [5] - The gold market is currently experiencing strong upward momentum, but caution is advised as it approaches resistance levels, with potential for a pullback [7][9]
黄金,如期大涨,3345会突破吗?
Sou Hu Cai Jing· 2025-08-20 13:39
Group 1 - The gold market experienced a significant increase, with prices rising over $20, reaching a daily high near the 3340 area, while the lowest point was around 3311 [1] - The analysis indicated that while the medium-term outlook for gold remains bearish, a short-term bullish reversal is anticipated, particularly around the 3315-3313 area, which serves as a strong support level [1] - The market is closely monitoring the upcoming Federal Reserve meeting minutes, as the potential for interest rate cuts in September is a key focus for investors [3] Group 2 - The gold bulls showed strong momentum, breaking through the short-term resistance levels around 3320-3323 and reaching the daily dividing line at 3330, achieving the short-term bullish target [5] - Attention is now on the 3340-3445 area, which represents a significant resistance level, as well as the potential for further upward movement towards 3358-3360 and possibly 3370-3375 [5] - In the silver market, the medium-term outlook remains bearish, with short-term fluctuations observed around the 37 area, indicating a potential for a rebound before further declines [5]
7.20黄金下周一行情走势分析及操作建议
Sou Hu Cai Jing· 2025-07-20 02:53
Group 1: Gold Market Analysis - The gold market is currently experiencing high-level fluctuations, with a large range between 3500 and 3120, and a smaller range between 3452 and 3245 [1] - Last week, gold closed with a small bullish candlestick, while this week it closed with a small bearish candlestick, indicating a lack of clear trend [1] - The market is expected to maintain a narrow range of fluctuations next week, with a focus on the 3400-3300 range, as there are no major economic data releases anticipated [1] - The overall performance of gold this week was stable, with price fluctuations not exceeding 70 USD, and the weekly candlestick forming a doji pattern, suggesting a balance of power between bulls and bears [1] - The four-hour chart indicates potential for upward movement towards the 3400-3420 area, with MACD showing signs of a bullish crossover [4] - Next week, gold is expected to maintain high-level wide fluctuations, with 3400 acting as a critical support/resistance level [4] Group 2: Silver Market Analysis - The silver market is currently on an upward trend, with prices remaining above the 10-day moving average [6] - The relative strength index (RSI) for silver is high, indicating strong bullish sentiment in the market [6] - Silver prices are stabilizing around the support level of 37.4-37.5 USD, with potential to challenge previous highs [6] - A breakthrough above the key resistance level of 40.00 USD could attract more capital into the market, pushing prices towards the target of 43.00 USD as predicted by Citigroup [6] - If silver prices decline, the primary support level is at 37.00 USD, with further downside potential to 35.00 USD if this level is breached [6]
王召金:7.2今日黄金最新行情走势分析及操作建议
Sou Hu Cai Jing· 2025-07-02 01:56
Group 1: Gold Market Analysis - The gold market is expected to experience significant fluctuations this week due to geopolitical developments and upcoming non-farm payroll data, with a focus on comments from central bank leaders, including Fed Chair Jerome Powell [1] - Gold prices initially fell but later rose, confirming a key signal with a double bottom at 3245, and a potential test of a double top at 3455 in July [1] - A bullish trend has been established as gold broke above 3300, with targets set at 3370 and 3400, supported by technical indicators showing a clear upward trend [1] Group 2: Employment Data and Economic Indicators - If ADP and non-farm employment data remain weak, coupled with dovish comments from Powell, the dollar is likely to remain under pressure, providing support for gold [3] - Concerns over the U.S. fiscal deficit and rising long-term inflation fears may allow gold to challenge levels above 3450 and potentially reach 3499 [3] Group 3: Domestic Gold Trends - Domestic gold prices have shown significant downward movement, but the long-term bullish trend remains intact, with expectations of a rebound [4] - The focus for domestic gold is on the support level at 755, with potential buying opportunities if prices stabilize above 760 [5] Group 4: Silver Market Analysis - The potential for deeper interest rate cuts by the Fed, along with U.S. fiscal and trade tensions, is expected to support the entire metals sector [7] - Silver prices opened at 36.089, experienced a drop to 35.783, and then rallied to close at 36.015, indicating a possible bullish reversal if the price breaks above 36.84 [7]
王召金:5.25黄金下周最新行情分析策略及独家操作建议
Sou Hu Cai Jing· 2025-05-25 11:23
Group 1: Gold Market Analysis - The gold market is experiencing a significant decline, with weekly losses potentially reaching the highest level since April 7, driven by a weakening US dollar and increasing concerns over US fiscal sustainability [1] - The passage of a large tax and spending bill by the House of Representatives is expected to add trillions of dollars to federal debt, heightening market fears regarding fiscal risks [1] - Current gold prices are around $3330.00, supported by the key upward trend line and the middle Bollinger Band at $3301.24, indicating a potential short-term consolidation phase [3] Group 2: Silver Market Analysis - Silver prices are currently just below the resistance level of $33.70, with a confirmed breakout potentially leading to targets of $34.59 and $34.87 [5] - The market sentiment is cautious, but maintaining prices above the 50-day moving average of $32.80 is crucial for a bullish outlook [5] - Short-term trading strategies suggest focusing on buying on dips while monitoring resistance at $33.60-$33.80 and support at $33.00-$32.80 [5]