本文黄金、白银等产品行情分析，以国际报价为基准；今日换算系数，国际金价/4.368≈国内金价。 黄金早盘开盘后4080下方一路震荡下行，整体走势符合我们上周五，周六以及周日视频和文章分析，继续参考分析！ 今天是11月最后一周的第一个交易日，维持观点不变。4100美元区域只要站不上就是空头主动，上去则短线走强，进一步4140-55，然后测试4200及收敛三 角上边缘再跌！下方重点依然3886以来趋势支撑和4040区域，下破前谨慎性看空，提防利多消息多头反击。 一旦下破则3998-4000大概率破，进一步3980--950以及3915并测试3886美元区域。参考制定建议策略，杠杆产品关键位置操作，4100上去前，高空为主，上 去则顺势跟短多。无杠杆产品，如积存金等，耐心等待！具体参考今天的视频 黄金无敌大扫荡，早盘一路下跌，考验关键支撑！ 以上个人观点，仅供参考！ 整体而言继续大扫荡，短线依然等待打破震荡走小单边！基本面，美国和委内瑞拉，俄乌谈判，日本挑动亚太局势需要关注；然后就是美联储相关官员讲 话。 ...

换资前言： 利润才是检验实力的唯一标准，不管分析报告多么的专业，还是文章读起来多么的深入人心，都不能改 变我们追求利润的目的。智者务其实，愚者争虚名，分析师不是作家，不需要多么华丽的语言去感动他 的客户，只需要用利润证明自己，市场变化莫测，优秀的分析师尽可能把握每一波的行情，回报大家， 让你从容不迫面对市场。 近期有哪些消息面影响黄金原油走势？后市黄金多空该如何研判？ 周五（11月21日）美盘交易时段，黄金价格保持稳定。此前美联储官员为12月会议降息敞开大门，现货 黄金盘中报4081.35美元/盎司，涨幅0.10%，日内最高触及4101美元/盎司。美联储官员释放12月可能降 息的信号，推动鸽派押注升温，现货黄金价格飙升至4100美元附近。美国经济数据显示经济活动保持韧 性，但消费者信心疲软，这加剧了市场对美联储下一轮政策行动的不确定性。由于10月CPI报告缺失， 市场被迫在其他数据上寻找"锚"。下周的PCE通胀数据在美联储决策框架中的边际权重明显升高，一旦 读数偏软，可能重新点燃对12月降息的押注，进而压低无风险利率，对风险资产构成一定支撑，并阶段 性打压美元。与此同步，美国消费者信心的变化被赋予更高权重：若 ...

昨日11月17日（星期一），黄金早盘开盘后一度上行至4107附近，随后开启下行走势，午盘时段下探至4049附近后止跌回升。欧盘初上涨4096附近后受阻， 转而进入震荡下行；美国交易时段初期，下行趋势持续延续，直至凌晨时段加速下探，触及日内最低点4007附近。收盘前夕，金价略有回弹，最终收于4045 附近，日线级别收出一根阴线。 一、基本面 2、四小时级别：黄金在周一呈现震荡下行态势，日内虽有反弹，但最终还是受阻下跌，高点持续下移，整体走势偏弱。凌晨时段，价格跌破上周五低点 4032关键支撑位，最低下探至4007附近。从技术结构来看，黄金自4245高点开启的下跌行情，已形成完整的五波运行结构。 根据周末的行情推演，黄金自4381高点启动的调整浪走势清晰：其中4381至3886的下行段定义为A浪，3886至4245的回升段构成B浪，目前价格处于4245高 点以来的C浪下跌阶段。从浪型结构推演，C浪下跌大概率延续五波运行模式，当前正处于C浪中的第一波下跌进程。昨日价格成功下破4032支撑位，标志着 C浪第一波下跌同样完成五波结构走势。 二、技术面 1、日线级别：黄金在周一呈现震荡下跌的弱势格局，最终以阴线报收，日线 ...

Group 1: Gold Market Analysis - The article discusses the fluctuation of gold prices, indicating that the market is at a critical juncture with the upcoming U.S. non-farm employment data and central bank's foreign exchange reserves announcement being key points of focus [1][4] - The gold market has experienced two consecutive weeks of declines, and the closing this week is crucial; a continued decline suggests ongoing bearish adjustments, while a positive close could indicate a potential rebound [1][3] - The current trading range for gold is highlighted, with $4000 being a significant resistance level; if this level is breached, further resistance is noted at $4020 and $4040-$4045 [4][6] Group 2: Market Trends and Predictions - The article notes that both U.S. and European stock markets experienced declines, with major indices such as the Dow Jones and S&P 500 dropping by 0.84% and 1.12% respectively, indicating a broader market downturn [3] - The gold market is expected to continue its mid-term "sweeping" trend, with short-term volatility anticipated; the article suggests that traders should adopt strategies based on the $4000 threshold [6] - Silver prices are also discussed, with a critical support level identified at $45.5; a breach of this level could lead to further declines towards $44 or even $42 [6]

Group 1 - The article discusses the current trends in the international gold market, highlighting fluctuations in prices and demand [1] - It mentions that the gold price has shown significant volatility, influenced by various global economic factors [1] - The analysis includes technical indicators and charts to illustrate the price movements and potential future trends in gold [1] Group 2 - The article emphasizes the importance of monitoring geopolitical events as they can impact gold prices significantly [1] - It notes that investor sentiment towards gold is shifting, with increasing interest in gold as a safe-haven asset amid economic uncertainty [1] - The report suggests that the gold market may experience further changes based on upcoming economic data releases and central bank policies [1]

Core Viewpoint - The recent fluctuations in gold prices are characterized as a healthy correction driven by short-term factors, aimed at building momentum for medium to long-term upward trends, with the underlying bull market foundation remaining intact [2] Group 1: Short-term Driving Factors - The core reason for the recent gold price adjustment is identified as short-term factors rather than a fundamental reversal, including easing pressure in the silver market, a retreat in short-term safe-haven demand, and profit-taking from previous gains [3][4] - The easing of silver market pressures, which previously saw extreme conditions, has led to a corresponding adjustment in gold prices [3] - A decline in short-term safe-haven demand occurred as temporary issues like U.S. government shutdowns and trade uncertainties were resolved, prompting some investors to liquidate gold positions [3][4] Group 2: Technical Analysis and Market Behavior - The current adjustment, with gold prices dropping nearly 10% from approximately 4380 to 4000, is considered a normal occurrence within a bull market, as similar adjustments have been observed historically [4] - Key support levels, such as the 4000 mark, are highlighted as critical for maintaining bullish sentiment, with potential further declines to the 3800-3850 range anticipated for more thorough price correction [5] - The market's behavior indicates that the recent decline is primarily due to profit-taking rather than a significant increase in short positions, as evidenced by stable ETF holdings [5] Group 3: Future Outlook and Trading Strategies - December is projected as a crucial month for gold prices, with seasonal trends and potential signals from the Federal Reserve's monetary policy decisions expected to influence market movements [7] - Investors are advised to manage risks carefully, avoiding common pitfalls such as chasing prices or mixing short-term and long-term positions, emphasizing the importance of clear trading objectives and timelines [7]

Group 1: Market Overview - The current spot gold price is experiencing a rebound after a recent decline, influenced by profit-taking and technical adjustments, but supported by expectations of Federal Reserve rate cuts, geopolitical risks, and uncertainties from the U.S. government shutdown [1] Group 2: Technical Analysis - The gold market showed a rebound after hitting a low of $4004 per ounce, with a peak at $4161 per ounce, indicating intense market competition [2] - The daily chart shows a narrowing Bollinger Band and a MACD crossover indicating a temporary halt in upward momentum, while the 4-hour chart suggests potential for a rebound despite a bearish crossover [2] - Key support levels are identified at $4005-$4000, while resistance levels are noted at $4180-$4175, with a breakout potentially leading to a return of bullish momentum [2] Group 3: Trading Recommendations - Suggested trading strategy includes attempting to short at $4145-$4150 and $4157-$4162, with protective measures at $4170 and target levels set at $4065-$4055 and $4030-$4020, while preparing to buy near $4007-$4013 [4]

Market Analysis - The gold price experienced fluctuations throughout the week, starting at $3884, rising to $4059, and closing at $4018, marking an 8-week consecutive bullish trend [1] - Technical indicators such as TRIX and MACD suggest a bullish outlook on the weekly chart, while daily indicators show mixed signals with a potential for a downward correction [1] Trading Recommendations - For the upcoming week, a trading strategy is suggested to sell gold around $4035-$4038 with a stop loss at $4043 and a target profit at $4000 [3] - The market is characterized by rapid changes, and real-time strategies are emphasized for trading decisions [3]

Core Insights - The article discusses the historical context of gold prices, highlighting significant price movements and market reactions over the past few years, including the recent fluctuations around the $4000 mark [1][3] - It emphasizes the importance of key price levels, particularly the $4000 support and $4055 resistance, and the implications of breaking these levels for short-term trading strategies [3] Market Analysis - Gold prices have recently experienced a decline from $4060 to $3960, indicating a normal adjustment after a period of significant gains [1] - The article notes that the current trading range for gold is between $4000 and $3945, with a focus on the potential for further declines if the $3945 level is broken [3] - Short-term trading strategies are suggested, including a potential short position around $3985-90 and a long position if prices break above $4000 [3]

Group 1: Gold Market Analysis - The current market has high expectations for interest rate cuts, and hawkish comments from officials could strengthen the dollar, negatively impacting gold prices [1] - Gold prices have continued to rise, recently surpassing the psychological level of $3,800 per ounce, reaching a high of $3,834, supported by U.S. inflation data aligning with market expectations [1] - The low interest rate environment reduces the opportunity cost of holding non-yielding assets like gold, providing strong support for gold prices amid ongoing geopolitical uncertainties and risks of U.S. government shutdown [1] Group 2: Technical Analysis of Gold - Gold prices are currently operating within an ascending channel, approaching the upper boundary, and traders should monitor reactions at this level [3] - Short-term support levels are identified at $3,805-$3,792, with significant support around $3,757-$3,760, while short-term resistance is noted at $3,850-$3,860 [3] - A bullish stance is maintained as long as prices do not break below $3,805, with a focus on buying on dips [3] Group 3: Gold Indicators - The Relative Strength Index (RSI) is at 75.90, indicating an overbought condition, yet the bullish trend remains intact [4] - The MACD suggests further upward movement for gold prices, and traders with low leverage are advised to hold positions as long as the price remains above the 5-day moving average [4] - Today's trading strategy for gold emphasizes buying on dips and selling on rebounds, with key resistance at $3,850-$3,860 and support at $3,805-$3,795 [4] Group 4: Silver Market Analysis - International and domestic silver prices have reached new annual and historical highs, indicating a strong bull market for silver [6] - Silver has shown consistent daily gains, with short-term moving averages in a bullish arrangement, and prices have surpassed the $46 mark [6] - The RSI indicates a slight overbought condition, but no immediate reversal signals are present, suggesting a continued strong outlook for silver [6] Group 5: Technical Analysis of Silver - The trading strategy for silver focuses on buying on pullbacks and selling on rebounds, with resistance levels at $46.7-$46.5 and support levels at $47.3-$47.5 [6] - Recommendations include entering long positions at $46.7-$46.5 with a stop loss at $46.3 and a target of $47.2-$47.5 [6]