文 | 银行螺丝钉 （转载请注明出处） 安用吖饿, 机个迫百仅贝胶示页厂」。 从进入4星级，股票资产仍然可能出现 30%-40%级别的下跌。 (2) 第二步:确定股债配置比例 如果之后市场上涨，那股票资产这部分 仍然会带来不错回报;如果之后市场下 跌，再遇到5点几星，也有子弹加仓。 「100-年龄」是全球养老金投资中常用 的目标生命周期策略。 原理是年龄越大抗风险能力越弱，配置 风险资产的比例也可以适当降低,但通 常最低也会保持30%以上的股票比例。 /^\ 位一止。 叶小工人机 尔伯尔卡 (3) 勇二灭,屯掉道宣反贫的负广 股票资产中,在4点几星通常还有一些低 估的品种，例如指数基金中的部分价值 风格指数。 截至2025年12月，市场在4.2星上下， 主动优选投顾组合还可以投资,但金额 相比5星级时大幅减少。 此外,也可以考虑一些「固收+」类的品 种,比如月薪宝和360天投顾组合。 对这些组合感兴趣的朋友，在公众号底 部对话框回复「 投顾组合」，即可查看 组合详细介绍~ 4点几星,长期不用的资金,配置股票基 金的比例，最好不超过「100-年龄」的 比例。例如40岁，那大约是60%的股票 资产,40%的债券类 ...

Group 1 - The core concept of fund advisory is to address the issue where funds make profits but investors do not [4] - Fund advisory serves as a solution to enhance investor returns through professional guidance [5] - The article introduces a free course on fund advisory, providing insights and learning materials for better understanding [5][7] Group 2 - The article discusses three classic strategies for stock-bond allocation, emphasizing the importance of asset allocation in different market conditions [10][12] - The first strategy is valuation-based allocation, where funds are shifted to cash or bonds when the stock market is expensive, allowing for opportunistic buying during market dips [13][15] - The second strategy is target risk strategy, which maintains a fixed stock-bond ratio and rebalances when deviations occur, impacting long-term returns and risks [18][19] - The third strategy is target life cycle strategy, which adjusts stock and bond allocations based on age, promoting higher stock exposure in younger years and more stable assets as one ages [21]

Group 1 - The article emphasizes the importance of diversifying investments across different asset classes, including both RMB and foreign currency assets, as well as stocks and bonds [2] - It introduces a free course that systematically covers investment knowledge related to US dollar bond funds, highlighting its significance in a diversified portfolio [2] - The article suggests that for long-term investments, a certain proportion of family assets should be allocated to stock assets, with a focus on the "target life cycle strategy" for managing existing funds [5][6] Group 2 - The "target life cycle strategy" recommends allocating stock and bond assets based on the formula "100 - age," indicating that a 40-year-old should allocate 60% to stock funds and 40% to bond funds [6][7]

Group 1 - The article emphasizes the importance of asset allocation and rebalancing strategies in investment, highlighting that different asset classes (stocks and bonds) do not move in sync, necessitating adjustments to maintain desired risk levels [7][10][60] - It introduces the concept of "rebalancing" as a strategy to adjust asset proportions back to their original targets after market fluctuations, which can enhance overall returns [8][25][59] - The article outlines four common rebalancing strategies: periodic rebalancing, threshold-based rebalancing, valuation-based rebalancing, and risk parity rebalancing [27][28][35] Group 2 - The article discusses two specific rebalancing strategies used in the author's investment approach: growth/value style rotation and stock/bond rebalancing [39][47] - It provides an example of how to implement stock/bond rebalancing, illustrating the process of adjusting allocations based on market conditions, such as selling bonds to buy stocks during market downturns [50][54] - The article concludes that market volatility can create more opportunities for rebalancing, ultimately benefiting investors by enhancing returns [61][62]

Core Viewpoint - The article discusses three classic asset allocation strategies between stocks and bonds, emphasizing their historical significance and application in investment practices. Group 1: Asset Allocation Strategies - The first strategy is the "Valuation Allocation Strategy," used by Graham and Buffett, where cash and bonds are favored when the stock market is overvalued, allowing for opportunistic buying during market downturns [9][10][12]. - Buffett's cash holdings reached $140-150 billion in 2021 during a high valuation period, which decreased to around $100 billion in 2022 as he made investments during a market decline, and by 2023-2024, his cash and short-term treasury holdings grew to a record high of $334.2 billion [14]. - The second strategy is the "Target Risk Strategy," which maintains a fixed ratio of stocks to bonds, such as 50:50 or 40:60, and involves rebalancing when the allocation deviates significantly from the target [20][22]. - The third strategy is the "Target Lifecycle Strategy," introduced by Fidelity in the 1990s, which allocates assets based on age, typically following the formula "100 - age" for stock allocation, ensuring a minimum of 30% in stocks even in older age [32][34][36]. Group 2: Performance Metrics - The article presents a backtest of different stock-bond ratios, showing that higher stock allocations lead to higher annualized returns but also increase volatility and maximum drawdown [30]. - For example, a 90:10 stock-bond ratio had a maximum drawdown of -42.49% with an annualized return of 9.7%, while a 10:90 ratio had a maximum drawdown of -4.81% with a return of 5.2% [30]. Group 3: Importance of Rebalancing - The article emphasizes that asset allocation and rebalancing are crucial for optimizing investment returns, with rebalancing being referred to as a "free lunch" in investment [41][44].

Group 1 - The article emphasizes the importance of asset allocation, particularly for investors with a risk rating of around 4 stars, suggesting that there are still undervalued stock assets available for investment [2][5]. - It recommends a stock-to-bond allocation ratio based on the formula "100 - age," indicating that a 40-year-old should allocate approximately 60% to stocks and 40% to bonds [3][5]. - The article notes that if the market rises, the stock portion can yield good returns, while if the market falls, there is still an opportunity to increase positions when the rating reaches 5 stars [4][5]. Group 2 - After determining the stock-bond ratio, the next step is to select assets, highlighting that there are generally undervalued stocks available for investment, such as actively selected stocks and certain value-style indices within index funds [6]. - It discusses three main types of bond funds: short-term bonds, long-term pure bonds, and fixed income plus, with a note that long-term pure bonds are currently not undervalued, while short-term bonds are expected to have low volatility and overall growth by 2025 [8]. - The article suggests a simple investment option like "monthly salary treasure," which has already diversified stock and bond assets, making it suitable for investors at the 4-star rating stage [8].

Group 1 - The core viewpoint of the article emphasizes that the current investment environment is at a 4.3-star level, which is still a reasonable stage for asset allocation, especially for those who have recently added funds [4][37] - The A-share market has shown a significant recovery since mid-2022, with the overall rating fluctuating between 4.3 and 5 stars, indicating a strong market performance [4][5] - The longest bear market in the last decade occurred from 2022 to 2024, providing ample investment opportunities during brief periods of 5-star ratings [7][9] Group 2 - The article outlines a three-step asset allocation strategy for investors at the 4.3-star level, starting with assessing whether the funds are long-term and unused [16][17] - It suggests determining the stock-bond allocation ratio, recommending a maximum stock allocation of "100 minus age" for long-term funds, ensuring a minimum of 30% in stocks [19][21] - The article highlights that there are still undervalued stocks available for investment, particularly in value-style indices, and mentions the ongoing updates of common index valuation tables [22][27] Group 3 - The "Monthly Salary Treasure" investment combination is presented as a balanced asset allocation option, maintaining a stock-bond ratio of approximately 40:60, suitable for the current market stage [28][36] - The combination has undergone two rebalancing adjustments since 2024, with the first adjustment in early 2024 leading to a significant increase in stock value [33][34] - The article concludes that if the market reaches a 3-star level, it may be prudent to pause investments in stock funds, as alternative strategies may become more favorable [40][41]

文 | 银行螺丝钉 （转载请注明出处） 要注意的是,这里的存量资金,指的是至 少3-5年不用的闲钱。 对于存量资金,有一种较好的配置方法, 就是「目标生命周期策略」。 也就是根据"100-年龄"，来分配股票 资产和债券资产的比例。 例如年龄为40岁，就可以: · 分配60%的资金到股票基金。 目标生命周期策略 ▼点击阅读原 文，免费学习大额家庭资产配置课程 · 分配40%的资金到债券基金。 40方 年轻时，资金量虽小，但抗风险的能力较 ...