文 | 银行螺丝钉 （转载请注明出处） 在今晚的直播课里，螺丝钉详细介绍了这些问题。 长按识别下面二维码，添加 @课程小助手 微信，回复「 0826 」即可观看直播回放。 （提示：回复后可以耐心等待几秒哦～） 二、【部分直播课内容如下】 1. 单个指数基金，止盈的三种方式 一、【第402期直播回放】 最近上涨了，问止盈的朋友多了起来。 常见的止盈方式有哪些，各自有啥优缺点？ 上一轮5星级到3星级，有哪些「低估买入-高估止盈」的案例？ 投资了投顾组合，该如何止盈？ 如果投资单个指数基金，通常有三种止盈方式： 2. 方式1：按照收益率止盈 按照这种方式止盈，关键是看收益率是否达到自己设想的水平。 通常来说，收益率达到30%后，可以考虑止盈。 止盈后，对低估品种开启下一轮定投。 重复操作。 一般平均每3-5年，会遇到一次按照收益率止盈的机会。 比如， 最近10年，中证全指的历次反弹幅度，如下图所示： · 按照收益率止盈； · 按照高估止盈； · 长期持有不卖出，依靠分红作为盈利方式。 这种止盈方式的优点是，执行起来比较简单。 缺点是， 可能会错过牛市收益。 例如2007、2015年这种罕见的大牛市，会提前下车。 不 ...

文 | 银行螺丝钉 （转载请注明出处） 有朋友问，目前市场涨到4点几星，担心后面市场波动大，该如何控制风险呢？ 控制波动风险的三个方法 控制波动风险，主要是三种方法：定投、分散配置、控制仓位。 ▼方法一： 定投 在浮亏阶段坚持定投，不断降低持仓成本，这样之后不需要涨回原来的位置，就可以开始盈利了。 这就是我们经常提到的定投微笑曲线。 我们要做的，是在低估浮亏的时候坚持定投，积累更多便宜的份额。 ▼方法二：分散配置 不同类型的股票资产，波动风险相差很大。 通常，波动风险从大到小排序： 个股＞行业＞宽基＞基金组合 。 如果想进一步降低风险，可以做好分散配置，选择投资一篮子低估品种的基金组合。 前两个方法，操作起来比较容易。 想省心省力的话，可以直接跟投螺丝钉投顾组合。 例如 主动优选投顾组合（点击查看详情） ，就做好了不同风格、不同行业的分散配置。 每周二在公众号也会有定投发车实盘，可以很方便地跟投。 ▼方法三：控制仓位 下图，反映了不同股债比例下，大概会面对的风险和收益情况。 整体上来看，股票比例越高，长期年化收益率越高，但波动风险也越大。 | 股票:债券 | 最大回撤 | 年化收益 | | --- | --- ...

Core Viewpoint - The article discusses the current trends in the A-share market, highlighting the strength of small-cap and growth styles while noting the relative weakness of value styles. It emphasizes the impact of interest rate declines on market liquidity and investment strategies. Group 1: Market Trends - The A-share market has shown a strong performance in small-cap and growth styles this year [3][5] - The current bull market, primarily driven by small-cap stocks, is reminiscent of the bull market from 10 years ago [4] - Large-cap stocks have slightly declined, while small-cap stocks have seen minor gains [2] Group 2: Investment Strategies - The article mentions the introduction of a new monthly investment strategy focusing on value styles, which have seen a slight decrease in valuation compared to the beginning of the year [8][9] - The "Monthly Salary Treasure" investment strategy consists of 40% stocks and 60% bonds, with a focus on value stocks [12] - The article outlines two methods for following investment strategies: manual and automatic [19][21] Group 3: Performance Metrics - The performance of the "Monthly Salary Treasure" strategy is designed to provide stable market participation with low volatility [12] - The article provides insights into the performance of pension index funds, noting that both the CSI A500 and CSI Dividend funds have returned to normal valuations [25][36] - The A500 fund has achieved a profit of 11%, while the CSI Dividend fund has seen a profit of approximately 6% over the past seven months [34]

Group 1 - The core viewpoint of the article emphasizes the characteristics and advantages of "fixed income +" products, which leverage the negative correlation between stocks and bonds to reduce volatility risk and achieve better long-term returns [2][3][4]. Group 2 - Characteristic 1: Negative correlation between stocks and bonds, where stock market surges typically lead to underperformance in bond funds, and vice versa [3]. - Characteristic 2: The short-term performance of "fixed income +" products is more influenced by the stock component due to the larger fluctuations in stock prices compared to bonds [4][5]. - Characteristic 3: The decline in deposit interest rates enhances the appeal of "fixed income +" products, as traditional deposits offer low returns, with one-year fixed deposit rates dropping below 1% as of May 2025 [6]. Group 3 - The influx of funds into "fixed income +" products is expected as a significant portion of maturing funds from previous loans will not remain in deposits or enter the stock market, thus driving growth in this category [8].

Core Viewpoint - The article discusses various methods for profit-taking in single index funds, highlighting their advantages and disadvantages, and introduces a cash flow investment strategy through a managed portfolio called "Monthly Salary Treasure" [1][40]. Group 1: Profit-Taking Methods for Single Index Funds - Method 1: Profit-taking based on return rate, typically considering a 30% return as a threshold for selling [4][7]. - Method 2: Profit-taking based on valuation, where low valuation is suitable for investment, normal valuation for holding, and high valuation for selling [10][11]. - Method 3: Long-term holding without selling, relying on dividends as a profit source, which is a strategy endorsed by investment experts [27][30]. Group 2: Details on Profit-Taking Methods - For Method 1, the simplicity of execution is a key advantage, but it risks missing out on significant bull market gains [9][24]. - Method 2 allows for a structured approach to selling based on market conditions, with a historical success rate demonstrated through various market cycles [17][19]. - Method 3 is less stressful as it does not require constant market monitoring, but it demands high-quality dividend-paying investments [30][31]. Group 3: Monthly Salary Treasure Managed Portfolio - The "Monthly Salary Treasure" portfolio allows for flexible cash flow options, with the ability to choose between weekly or monthly distributions [41][42]. - The cash flow distribution is stable regardless of short-term market fluctuations, with an estimated annual payout of about 6% of total assets [46][45]. - The portfolio employs an automatic rebalancing strategy to maintain a balanced stock-bond ratio, optimizing returns during different market conditions [60][62].

Market Overview - The A-share and Hong Kong markets have shown strong performance recently, with the market rebounding after a brief decline during the day [1][2] - The overall market index experienced a slight increase, maintaining a rating of 4.7 stars [2] - Both large-cap and small-cap stock indices saw minor gains, indicating a general upward trend [3] Style and Sector Performance - There is a significant divergence in value styles, with value indices slightly rising while dividend and free cash flow indices declined [4][5] - Growth styles are showing strong performance, indicating a preference for growth-oriented investments [6] - The pharmaceutical sector has seen an increase, with Hong Kong's pharmaceutical stocks leading the way, followed by recent gains in A-share pharmaceutical stocks [7] Legislative Developments - A new legislation signed by Trump in July introduces a "Trump Account" for newborns, which will automatically fund each account with $1,000 from the government [14][15] - Parents can contribute up to $5,000 annually to this account, which will be invested in S&P 500 index funds [20][21] - The funds can be used for significant expenses at age 18, such as education or home purchases, or transferred to retirement accounts if not used [22][23] Investment Strategy Insights - The account promotes long-term investment through a mandatory 18-year investment plan, leveraging behavioral finance principles to encourage consistent investing [35][39] - The introduction of a new child subsidy policy in China, providing 3,600 yuan per year for children under three, can be utilized to fund similar investment accounts for children [42] Product Offerings - The "Monthly Salary Treasure" investment product has lowered its entry threshold to 200 yuan and introduced a regular investment feature, catering to those seeking consistent cash flow for expenses like retirement and education [50][51] - The product employs a balanced strategy of 40% stocks and 60% bonds, aiming for long-term capital appreciation [51] Market Signals and Updates - The "Golden Bull and Bear Signal Board" has been updated to assist investors in assessing market valuations [55][56] - Weekly updates on market signals are available through the company's mini-program, providing insights into market conditions [57]

Core Viewpoint - The article discusses various strategies for profit-taking in index funds, highlighting their advantages and disadvantages, and emphasizes the importance of market valuation in making investment decisions [1][3][20]. Summary by Sections Profit-Taking Strategies - Three main profit-taking strategies for individual index funds are outlined: 1. Profit-taking based on return rate 2. Profit-taking based on overvaluation 3. Long-term holding without selling, relying on dividends for profit [3][4][30]. Strategy 1: Profit-Taking Based on Return Rate - This strategy suggests considering profit-taking when the return reaches a predetermined level, typically around 30% [4][5]. - The advantage is its simplicity, while the downside is the potential to miss out on gains during bull markets [7][8]. Strategy 2: Profit-Taking Based on Overvaluation - Investors can use valuation metrics to determine when to sell, with a reference to a star rating and valuation table updated regularly [11][14]. - The valuation table indicates: - Green for undervalued (suitable for investment) - Yellow for normal valuation (hold) - Red for overvalued (consider selling) [12][18]. Strategy 3: Long-Term Holding - This strategy emphasizes the benefits of holding investments for the long term, particularly for high-dividend stocks [30][34]. - It is considered low-maintenance but requires careful selection of high-dividend stocks [35]. Market Valuation Insights - The article provides historical context on market valuations, noting significant changes from 5-star ratings in 2018 to 3-star ratings in 2021, indicating effective investment strategies during these periods [20][23]. Monthly Cash Flow Investment Strategy - The "Monthly Salary" investment strategy allows for flexible cash flow options, with a projected annual payout of approximately 6% of total assets [50][56]. - The strategy has shown stability even during market downturns, with a maximum drawdown of only 9.13% since inception [56]. Automated Portfolio Management - The article discusses automated features in investment portfolios that help manage profit-taking and rebalancing without requiring manual intervention [60][64]. - This includes automatic adjustments between equity and bond allocations based on market conditions [68][80].

Core Viewpoint - The article discusses the performance and features of the "Monthly Salary Treasure" investment advisory portfolio, highlighting its recent historical highs and stable returns despite market fluctuations [6][7][72]. Group 1: Performance Overview - The Monthly Salary Treasure portfolio has seen continuous growth, reaching historical highs in July 2025, following a period of low performance in 2022 and 2023 [6][72]. - The portfolio has demonstrated significant excess returns compared to its performance benchmark, achieving an 81.82% quarterly win rate over 11 quarters [7][9]. - The maximum drawdown of the portfolio is limited to -9.13%, thanks to a 40:60 stock-bond allocation strategy [9]. Group 2: Portfolio Characteristics - The Monthly Salary Treasure portfolio is designed to provide approximately 6% annual cash flow, making it suitable for regular financial needs such as retirement or education [12][11]. - The portfolio employs a balanced strategy of 40% stock funds and 60% bond funds, with an automatic rebalancing mechanism to optimize buying low and selling high [18][20]. - Cash flow sources vary depending on market conditions; in bear markets, cash flow primarily comes from bond funds, while in bull markets, it comes from selling appreciated stock funds [31][33]. Group 3: Investment Strategy - The stock portion of the portfolio focuses on value-oriented investments, contributing an annual yield of 4%-5% from dividends, alongside potential price appreciation [35][39]. - The bond portion's returns are influenced by interest rates, with current short-term bond yields around 1.6%-1.7% [55][41]. - The portfolio's rebalancing actions have historically provided additional gains, with notable adjustments made in early 2024 and July 2025 to maintain the target asset allocation [30][62]. Group 4: Accessibility and Cost - The investment threshold for the Monthly Salary Treasure portfolio has been lowered to 200 yuan, allowing for more flexible investment options [64]. - A limited-time 50% discount on advisory fees is available from July 1, 2025, to December 31, 2025, benefiting all holdings during this period [70][71]. - As of July 2025, approximately 96.95% of investors in the portfolio are currently profitable, indicating strong overall performance [72].

Market Overview - The market has shown strong performance recently, with fluctuations in the index where it opened lower but closed higher, maintaining a rating of 4.7 stars [1] - Both large-cap and small-cap stocks have experienced upward movement, with large-cap stocks showing slightly more gains [2][3] Sector Performance - Value styles, particularly dividend stocks, have seen significant increases, despite a recent downturn in the banking sector. The CSI Dividend Index has returned to normal valuation levels [3] - Consumer and pharmaceutical sectors have also risen, with the liquor index showing notable gains, although it remains down approximately 7% year-to-date due to previous declines [4] Investment Strategies - The market is gradually trending upwards due to valuation increases and fundamental recovery, although this process will not be linear and may include corrections of 10-20% [6] - The company offers various investment advisory combinations that have reached new highs, indicating strong performance [6] Personal Pension Investment - The company has initiated a personal pension investment strategy, focusing on index funds, with a combination of A500 and dividend strategies showing profitability in recent months, around 6-7% [21] - The investment approach emphasizes a "periodic but irregular" strategy, where more is invested when valuations are lower [15] Valuation Insights - Recent valuations for various indices indicate that both A500 and CSI Dividend have returned to normal valuation levels, prompting a pause in further investments until lower valuations are observed again [21] - The company has provided a detailed valuation table for personal pension index funds, highlighting key metrics such as P/E ratios and dividend yields [25][26]

Core Viewpoint - The article discusses the recent performance and characteristics of the "Yuexinbao" investment advisory portfolio, highlighting its historical high returns and the strategies employed for asset allocation and cash flow generation [1][3][5]. Group 1: Performance Highlights - The "Yuexinbao" portfolio achieved a historical high with six consecutive days of gains in early July 2025 [3]. - Despite a bear market in recent years, the portfolio has shown stable performance, with 81.82% of the quarters since inception outperforming its benchmark [5]. - The maximum drawdown of the portfolio is limited to -9.13%, indicating effective risk management [9]. Group 2: Portfolio Characteristics - The portfolio features a 6% annual cash flow distribution, providing regular income to investors [8]. - It employs a 40:60 stock-to-bond allocation strategy, which allows for automatic rebalancing to optimize returns [14][16]. - Cash flow sources vary depending on market conditions, with bonds providing income in bear markets and stocks in bull markets [30]. Group 3: Sources of Returns - Returns are derived from three main components: stocks, bonds, and rebalancing strategies [32]. - The stock component focuses on value-oriented investments, contributing approximately 4%-5% in annual dividend yields [36][37]. - Bond returns are influenced by interest rates, with the current low levels of 10-year government bond yields enhancing bond performance [39][44]. Group 4: Recent Adjustments and Investor Engagement - The portfolio underwent rebalancing in July 2025 to adjust stock and bond allocations back to 40% and 60%, respectively, following a market rebound [27][29]. - The investment threshold for the "Yuexinbao" portfolio has been lowered to 200 yuan, making it more accessible for investors [55]. - A promotional activity offering a 50% discount on advisory fees is currently available, valid until December 31, 2025 [61]. Group 5: Investor Performance - Approximately 96.95% of investors in the "Yuexinbao" portfolio are currently profitable, indicating strong overall performance [62]. - The portfolio is recommended for investment during market phases rated between 4-5 stars, with the current rating at 4.8-4.9 stars [63][64].