在发布环节，研究中心总结了9月全国碳市场的运行情况：第一，价格方面，本月CEA的日均收盘价为 62.94元/吨，相较于8月的日均收盘价71.12元/吨大幅下降11.5%。本月碳价呈震荡下行走势，从月初的 69.41元/吨逐步走低至月末的59.16元/吨，跌下60元价格平台。第二，成交量方面，本月碳配额日均成 交量为136.78万吨，相较8月的71.95万吨增加约90%。本月市场交易的活跃度和稳定均明显提升，四分 之三的交易日成交量破百万吨，单日成交最高峰为9月26日的318.29万吨，反映出履约期将近的碳市场 交投热度大幅跃升。 据研究中心介绍，9月份，全球主要碳市场成交量整体回升，韩国碳市场出现下跌。同时，全球主要碳 市场月内走势分化，成交价环比涨跌不一。 研究中心模型计算得出，2025年10月全国碳排放配额(CEA)的买入价格预期为55.39元/吨，卖出价格预 期为60.63元/吨，中间价为58.00元/吨；买入价格指数为138.48，下跌19.09%；卖出价格指数为136.80， 下跌16.23%；中间价格指数为137.57，下跌17.64%。2025年12月全国碳排放配额(CEA)的买入价格预期 为6 ...

Group 1 - The national carbon market closed at 72.43 yuan/ton on August 1, showing a slight decrease of 0.07% from the previous day, and a decline of 3.39% from the end of June [1] - In July, the total trading volume of carbon emission allowances (CEA) was 11.6642 million tons, representing a significant decrease of 26.57% month-on-month, with the average daily trading volume dropping by 35.75% compared to June [1] - The Fudan University Sustainable Development Research Center noted that the carbon price fluctuated downwards in July, narrowing the price range from 74.28 yuan/ton at the beginning of the month to 72.33 yuan/ton by the end [1] Group 2 - The Fudan Carbon Price Index forecasts that by August 2025, the expected buying price for CEA will be 71.25 yuan/ton, while the selling price is expected to be 76.04 yuan/ton, with a midpoint of 73.65 yuan/ton [2] - As of July, the national carbon market has cumulatively traded 6.811 billion tons, with a total transaction value of 46.823 billion yuan [2] - The carbon market is set to expand in 2025 to include industries such as steel, cement, and aluminum smelting, with new trading methods introduced [2] Group 3 - The Chairman of the Shanghai Environment and Energy Exchange stated that efforts will continue to enhance the development and improvement of the national carbon emission trading market mechanisms [3]

Group 1 - The carbon price index released by Fudan University indicates a comprehensive increase in national carbon market prices in July, with expected buying price for carbon emission allowances at 70.67 yuan/ton and selling price at 76.67 yuan/ton, resulting in a midpoint price of 73.67 yuan/ton [1] - The buying price index increased by 3.37% to 176.66, while the selling price index rose by 2.52% to 172.98, and the midpoint price index saw a 2.93% increase to 174.73 [1] - The average closing price for carbon allowances in June was 71.04 yuan/ton, up approximately 1.6% from May's average of 69.90 yuan/ton, with a significant increase of over 12% from the beginning to the end of June [1] Group 2 - The Shanghai Environment and Energy Exchange announced the implementation of a one-way bidding trading method for the national carbon emission trading system, which can adopt either uniform price or bid price transaction models [2] - The minimum bid quantity for sellers in the one-way bidding process is set at no less than 100,000 tons of carbon dioxide equivalent, with sellers allowed to set a base price based on the previous trading day's closing price or a 10% discount [2] - Buyers are restricted to a maximum bid price that does not exceed 10% above the previous trading day's closing price for the designated annual carbon emission allowances [2]

Group 1 - The Fudan University Sustainable Development Research Center released the carbon price index for May 2025, indicating expected buy and sell prices for national carbon emission allowances (CEA) at 78.37 CNY/ton and 82.66 CNY/ton respectively, with a midpoint of 80.52 CNY/ton [1] - The buy price index decreased by 7.70%, the sell price index decreased by 7.32%, and the midpoint price index decreased by 7.51% [1] Group 2 - The research center provided price expectations for green certificates (GEC) for 2024 and 2025, with the price for centralized projects in May 2025 expected to be 5.20 CNY/unit, showing a significant increase compared to previous months [2] - The price for distributed projects in May 2025 is expected to be 4.87 CNY/unit, and for biomass power generation, it is expected to be 4.48 CNY/unit, indicating an overall increase in green certificate prices [2] Group 3 - The National Energy Administration announced the launch of the green certificate cancellation function, enhancing the transparency and regulation of the green power consumption management system [3] - In April, the average closing price of CEA was 82.26 CNY/ton, down 6.42% from March, while the average daily trading volume of carbon allowances increased significantly to 23.31 million tons, nearly doubling from March [3]