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稀土价格高企,中国放宽管制也未缓解
日经中文网· 2025-08-07 08:00
Core Viewpoint - The prices of rare earth elements, particularly terbium, have reached record highs, with significant implications for industries reliant on these materials, such as electric vehicles and wind power generation [2][4]. Group 1: Price Trends and Export Controls - Terbium reached a new high price in July, indicating ongoing supply constraints despite discussions of easing export controls by China [2][4]. - As of July 31, the price of dysprosium was $805 per kilogram, approximately three times higher than pre-control levels, while terbium peaked at $3,150 per kilogram, the highest since May 2015 [4]. - China's customs data for June showed nearly zero exports of dysprosium-related products, with terbium-related exports down by 90% compared to March, leading to production halts in some automotive sectors in Europe and Japan [6]. Group 2: Demand and Future Projections - The demand for rare earth elements is expected to grow, with the International Energy Agency (IEA) projecting that by 2050, the demand for rare earth elements used in magnets will be 2.2 times that of 2024 under net-zero emissions scenarios [6]. - Efforts are underway in the U.S. and Japan to reduce dependence on Chinese rare earth supplies, with MP Materials partnering with the U.S. Department of Defense, which is expected to acquire a 15% stake in the company [6]. Group 3: Supply Diversification Efforts - Japan's Ministry of Economy, Trade and Industry has highlighted the need for diversification in supply sources, not just for rare earths but for other minerals as well [7]. - Japan is exploring projects to develop heavy rare earths outside of China, but challenges remain due to high costs associated with securing alternative production sites [7]. - Despite efforts to establish production outside of China, experts believe that China's dominance in high-value rare earth mining will not be easily disrupted [7].
美国处在无法摆脱对中国依赖的“绝望”中
Jin Tou Wang· 2025-05-16 05:58
Group 1 - China has agreed to suspend or cancel all non-tariff countermeasures implemented since April 2, while also reducing tariffs for a period of 90 days [1] - The agreement suggests that China will lift restrictions on the export of seven "medium and heavy" rare earth metals imposed on April 4, while maintaining restrictions on other critical minerals [1] - Since the implementation of China's restrictions on April 4, prices of certain "medium and heavy" rare earth elements have surged over 200% in overseas markets [1] Group 2 - The U.S. has been exploring various options to reduce its dependence on China, including accelerating domestic rare earth production and seeking partnerships with foreign entities [2] - MP Materials, a U.S. rare earth company, has signed a preliminary agreement with Saudi mining firm Ma'aden to explore the development of the rare earth industry in Saudi Arabia [2] - Despite efforts to find alternatives, U.S. companies acknowledge that China's advanced rare earth refining technology and supply chain remain a significant advantage, making rare earth minerals a "trump card" for China in the foreseeable future [2]