红利+策略

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市场策略报告:估值安全边际下的“红利+”-20250822
Capital Securities· 2025-08-22 14:34
Group 1 - The Hong Kong stock market indices have performed relatively well since 2025, with the Hang Seng Index increasing by 25.51%, the Hang Seng Technology Index by 22.89%, and the Hang Seng China Enterprises Index by 23.98% from the beginning of 2025 to July 30, 2025 [3][17]. - The improvement in liquidity in the Hong Kong market is significantly driven by the increase in southbound capital, which has seen a total trading volume of 14.63 trillion RMB, a year-on-year increase of 220.41% [3][21]. - The valuation of Hong Kong stocks remains attractive, with the Hang Seng Index, Hang Seng Technology Index, and Hang Seng China Enterprises Index having TTM P/E ratios of 11.49, 22.24, and 10.49 respectively, which are lower compared to the CSI 300 Index [3][31]. Group 2 - The "Dividend +" strategy is based on the high dividend yield and low valuation advantages of Hong Kong stocks, particularly state-owned enterprises, which generally have higher dividend rates [3][46]. - The "Dividend + Stability" strategy focuses on selecting stocks with high dividend yields and stable earnings, with criteria including a TTM dividend yield greater than 4.5% and a market capitalization of over 30 billion RMB [3][55]. - The "Dividend + Economic Recovery" strategy targets investment opportunities in the power sector, which is currently experiencing a recovery due to stable coal prices and increasing electricity demand [3][59]. Group 3 - The power industry is in a recovery phase, with coal prices stabilizing and electricity demand increasing, which enhances the profitability of power companies [3][60][64]. - The implementation of a two-part electricity pricing mechanism starting in 2024 is expected to support the profitability of coal power companies by allowing them to recover fixed costs [3][64]. - The renewable energy sector is also expected to benefit from improved cash flow and reduced accounts receivable, which will enhance dividend capabilities [3][70][71].
红利资产的定价模式探索系列(I):AH红利资产如何划分:W107市场观察
Changjiang Securities· 2025-04-28 09:44
丨证券研究报告丨 战略数据研究丨专题报告 [Table_Title] 红利资产的定价模式探索系列(I):AH 红利资 产如何划分——W107 市场观察 报告要点 [Table_Summary] 2024 年全 A 现金分红金额和分红上市公司数量显著提升,有接近 74%的上市公司进行现金分 红,红利股的概念和选股范围得到极大的扩容。分红基础的提升对于红利配置的好处在于能够 进行充分的"高卖低买",源源不断的选到新的红利标的;难度在于,红利资产内部的分化将会 持续和加剧,将打破以往股息率达到 4%或 5%则涨跌一致较强的选股范式,资产本身的定价逻 辑将显著影响个股和行业的收益表现。 分析师及联系人 [Table_Author] 陈洁敏 SAC:S0490518120005 SFC:BUT348 请阅读最后评级说明和重要声明 %% %% %% %% research.95579.com 1 [Table_Title 红利资产的定价模式探索系列( 2] I):AH 红利资 产如何划分——W107 市场观察 [Table_Summary2] 红利资产如何划分? 当下核心关注点 机构赚钱效应:基金重仓跑赢北向重仓,深股通 ...